Thursday 11/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:37 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

PURCHASE

Lone Star Park - Race 5	Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 6 (Races 5-6-7-8-9-10)
Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 69 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 7:57P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SEPARATIST CORONA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MP BAD HABITS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed F igure at the distance/surface. HEZA CLOSET DRINKER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FIERROS SIS: Horse ranks in the top three in avera ge Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
8	SEPARATIST CORONA	5/2	4/1
6	MP BAD HABITS	3/1	6/1
1	HEZA CLOSET DRINKER	4/1	7/1
3	FIERROS SIS	12/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	HEZA CLOSET DRINKER	1	4/1	Average	73	58	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	LIGHT MY CANDY	2	20/1	Slow	0	0	8.1	0.0	0.0
3	FIERROS SIS	3	12/1	Average	67	57	5.2	0.0	0.0
4	JR MITEY EFFORT	4	10/1	Slow	0	0	7.0	0.0	0.0
5	HEZA FAST DYNASTY	5	15/1	Fast	63	53	2.8	0.0	0.0
6	MP BAD HABITS	6	3/1	Average	68	59	3.7	0.0	0.0
8	SEPARATIST CORONA	8	5/2	Slow	74	70	6.4	0.0	0.0
9	SHES BLACKS BLOOD	9	20/1	Slow	0	0	6.8	0.0	0.0
11	BP WAGON SIX	11	5/1	Average	0	0	4.4	0.0	0.0
12	INSEPERABLE JESSIE	12	30/1	Slow	0	0	9.2	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: ZEVIS CARTEL EFFORT (8/1) [Jockey: Vega Jose - Trainer: Sanchez Jr Jorge Luis], HEROIC (10/1) [Jockey: Urieta Jr Victor M - Trainer: Diaz Jr Juan].

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:37 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline DownsPURCHASE

Evangeline Downs - Race 4	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Optional Claiming $15,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $11,500 • Post: 6:50P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SHES JESS SO SPECIAL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CASH FOR WILLIE: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SHEZA BELL PERRY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. DIAMONDONATRAIN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. VG IMTHEB OSS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
7	SHES JESS SO SPECIAL	5/2	4/1
2	CASH FOR WILLIE	15/1	7/1
1	SHEZA BELL PERRY	2/1	8/1
8	DIAMONDONATRAIN	10/1	9/1
5	VG IMTHEBOSS	12/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SHEZA BELL PERRY	1	2/1	Fast	82	76	3.1	0.0	0.0
3	DENZELL	3	6/1	Slow	80	82	7.1	0.0	0.0
4	CORONA BLUES	4	9/2	Fast	81	73	3.1	0.0	0.0
5	VG IMTHEBOSS	5	12/1	Average	84	80	3.8	0.0	0.0
6	MR COMMANDER	6	8/1	Fast	68	65	3.3	0.0	0.0
7	SHES JESS SO SPECIAL	7	5/2	Average	91	91	3.8	0.0	0.0
8	DIAMONDONATRAIN	8	10/1	Average	80	77	5.2	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: CASH FOR WILLIE (15/1) [Jockey: Alvarez Arturo - Trainer: Carrizales Jose].

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:37 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,800 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#5 I'M A TOTAL DIVA (ML=5/1)
#1 WISHING FOR SPRING (ML=8/1)

I'M A TOTAL DIVA - I am keen on that most recent outing on October 26th at Charles Town where she ran second. WISHING FOR SPRING - The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. Peltroche drops her in this affair conditioned properly and ready to go. Peltroche has this filly in the right spot. Smart move here since this horse won a $5,000 Claiming race not too long ago. The addition of the 'hood' should keep her mind on business today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SING A LULLABYE (ML=4/5), #6 EMBERLY (ML=9/2),

SING A LULLABYE - This probable favorite ran on October 21st and hasn't had a blow out since. EMBERLY - Not easy to wager on this runner today. Make her show you something in a short distance race before you bet on her in a race of 4 1/2 furlongs. Awfully difficult to invest in this less than sharp equine when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness lately.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #5 I'M A TOTAL DIVA to win if we can get at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:37 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17600 Class Rating: 82

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 ANIPPE 2/1
# 4 MAUREENLOVESFRANK 8/1
# 1 GRAY ROYALITY 8/5

ANIPPE is the best bet in this race. With one of the most respectable jockeys in terms of returns at the window, don't count this filly out. Will almost certainly come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved swiftly to the front end recently. Recorded a formidable Equibase Speed Figure last time out. MAUREENLOVESFRANK - Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt route races in this field. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept. GRAY ROYALITY - This mare looks very good in this contest since Farrior has a very strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. Could beat this group given the 82 speed figure earned in her last outing.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:37 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 71

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 1 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. 3# A CLASF.$4,000 Y DEBTS ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 END ALL GET ALL 4/1
# 2 SUPER WICKED CHARM 2/1
# 4 DIVINING STAR 3/1

I think END ALL GET ALL is a solid choice. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong Equibase Speed Figs (70 average) at today's distance and surface lately. Tough to pass on this gelding with Figueroa in the saddle. The Equibase Speed Fig of 58 from his last race looks competitive in here. SUPER WICKED CHARM - Ought to be given consideration - I like the numbers from the last race. He has been racing soundly recently while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures. DIVINING STAR - Had one of the most respectable Equibase speed figs of this group in his last contest. Overall the speed figs of this pony look solid in this affair.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:37 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:55pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,400 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#1 MAKOTO (ML=6/1)
#2 DOUBLE O OTTO (ML=5/2)

MAKOTO - Faced tougher last time out at Delaware Park. Based on class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this animal on my list of contenders. DOUBLE O OTTO - Taking a big drop in class rating points from his Oct 25th race at Delaware Park. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge. Don't look any further. This horse has my money. Way too much speed. You have to really like that latest race fig, 62, which is the best last race speed rating of this group. This gelding is tops in earnings per race. Check out this horse in the post parade.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 I'M NOT A BABY (ML=3/1), #5 DISCREETLY THRIFTY (ML=7/2), #4 DON'T QUESTION ME (ML=9/2),

I'M NOT A BABY - Not likely that the fig he registered on October 25th will be good enough in this contest. DISCREETLY THRIFTY - The finish of fourth in the last affair shows me that this animal may be going off form. DON'T QUESTION ME - Any speed rating acquired on the soft turf must be taken with a grain of salt. Could be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MAKOTO - This is a great longshot angle. Play the top-rated TrackMaster power-rated horse if he has a morning line of at least 5-1.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 MAKOTO to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:38 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10800 Class Rating: 59

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. NO WVB CLAUSE.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 DEVIN ON EARTH 9/5
# 10 MASHUA 6/1
# 8 TOUGH ENOUGH 7/2

I think DEVIN ON EARTH is a respectable choice. As of late Farrior has provided players with a strong winning percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Ought to compete very well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this group. Always seems to be right there at the wire. MASHUA - With one of the best jockeys in terms of profits at the window, don't count this filly out. With a very good 62 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this outing. TOUGH ENOUGH - With a formidable 58 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's affair. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved rapidly to the lead recently.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:38 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Horseshoe Indianapolis

Horseshoe Indianapolis - Race 4	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Optional Claiming $40,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 3:19P
FOR INDIANA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ACE REPORTER is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ACE REPORTER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race wit hin the last 30 days. IMAGE RUN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RILEYS REDEMPTION: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
1	ACE REPORTER	7/5	7/2
4	IMAGE RUN	9/5	4/1
5	RILEYS REDEMPTION	6/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	ACE REPORTER	1	7/5	Front-runner	78	91	82.2	80.2	74.7
4	IMAGE RUN	4	9/5	Front-runner	85	88	78.0	75.8	69.3
5	RILEYS REDEMPTION	5	6/1	Alternator/Front-runner	81	78	75.8	69.4	64.4
3	MINTCHOCOLATECHIP	3	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	80	74	53.6	67.4	60.9
6	BUOY	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	73	52.4	59.0	49.5
2	BOTOX KATIE	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	75	42.6	68.6	60.1

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:38 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 7:39pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,200 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#1 CLOUD STORAGE (ML=6/1)
#8 TRIZZEL TRAZZEL (ML=10/1)

CLOUD STORAGE - Taking a trip to a lower class level; has the class to make her presence felt. TRIZZEL TRAZZEL - Rider jumped on this filly's back for the initial time on Oct 14th. Should be in tune with the horse even better today. This filly has been training well, and the recent bullet work says she's primed for a big race today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SWEET SERENADE (ML=2/1), #9 UMNEYAAT (ML=3/1), #2 VERY SAVVY (ML=8/1),

SWEET SERENADE - Difficult to bet on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no value to taking the chance. Today's contest is 7 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance clash in the last couple of months. Not the greatest of signs. UMNEYAAT - Doesn't seem to have enough good aspects to justify the reward. VERY SAVVY - No victories for this racer at Woodbine.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #1 CLOUD STORAGE to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:39 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #3 - Post: 2:00pm - Maiden Special - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating:

#5 TREBLE CLEF (ML=9/2)
#4 ALEXANDER HELIOS (ML=5/2)
#2 TIZ WICKED STRONG (ML=5/1)

TREBLE CLEF - Mott brings him right back. I advocate you stay with this hot colt. This colt recorded a strong speed rating of 93 in his last race. That speed rating should be strong enough to win this time. Ranks number one in (EPS) earnings per start. A strong performance in this race can add to the lifetime bankroll. ALEXANDER HELIOS - A campaigner coming back this soon after a strong race is a good signal. You have to consider the solid works of late. Last raced at Keeneland with a poor draw. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today. TIZ WICKED STRONG - The jock and conditioner combination have a positive ROI when they partner up. This thoroughbred has increased his speed figures in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is important to note.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BEN FRANKLIN (ML=7/2), #6 ICE TIME (ML=4/1), #7 BEARINGS (ML=6/1),

BEN FRANKLIN - This horse hasn't shown much in the last pair of contests. ICE TIME - If you keep choosing these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed most of the time. Not probable that the speed rating he garnered on September 28th will be enough in this clash.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 TREBLE CLEF to win if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,4,5] with [2,4,5] with [1,2,4,5,6] with [1,2,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	Skip

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:39 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dover Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 13
2	2	SIR CHARLES OF SKY	12/1	Stafford, Art Jr - 16	557.81
3	3	MAJOR BETTS	12/1	Davis, Allan - 11	540.95
5	5	ON THE CARDS N	6/1	Morgan, Anthony - 18	539.28
6	6	SOMETHING BETTOR A	9/2	Allard, Simon - 7	537.51
8	8	HEINIKIN BYTHEBAY	7/2	Tetrick, Tim - 23	530.10
9	9	DECLAN SEELSTER	10/1	Mccarthy, Andrew - 15	518.34
1	1	STAG PARTY	8/1	Miller, David - 5	514.24
4	4	VIRGO	12/1	Callahan, Corey - 14	511.09
7	7	MACK	5/2	Teague, Montrell - 12	508.35

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:39 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 6:15 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$8500 - N/W 4

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 2 CLASSY LASSY 8/5
# 5 FIX-IT-UP 6/1
# 4 HELP ME HELP YOU 7/2

We've got a gut feel CLASSY LASSY is going to get the win. May provide us a victory based on great recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an avg of 77. The number crunching team noted a very compelling performance out of this horse last time. Looking for a repeat effort of that to win. Looks like a strong choice in this bunch and her positive winning percentage says she has the determination to dominate for this one. FIX-IT-UP - He has very good class ratings, averaging 79. Should be considered for a bet for this race. Bender has been real tough the last 30 days, winning at a really good 19 percent. HELP ME HELP YOU - The brain trust will always throw in a interesting entrant from the 4 post here at Hoosier Park, always worth a look. Positive thought - going to post well enough to contend in this race.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:40 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 11
1	1	JIMMY CHILL	4/1	Myers, Hunter - 14	420.03
8	8	IVY STUD	3/1	Lems, Chris - 6	409.92
4	4	MR PINK PIE	12/1	Walters, Justin - 6	400.24
3	3	GUMBOLAYA	20/1	Killeen, Jack - 6	394.08
5	5	GLAZOG	5/1	Brown, Brady - 8	388.81
6	6	OH HOT JAM	9/2	Merriman, Aaron - 15	362.97
2	2	SMOKIN GUNSLINGER	5/1	Indof, Jeremy - 11	356.86
9	9	DRAGONLICIOUS	20/1	Dodson, James - 5	334.92
7	7	MAGIC CHIP	20/1	Smith, Branden - 8	323.80

**ConleyPicks** · 11-16-2023, 09:40 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rideau Carleton

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Post: 5:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$7000 - N/W $900. PER START LAST 10 STARTS

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 6 MAJOR HILL 2/1
# 5 MAKE IT COME TRUE 10/1
# 9 IMA DUDE 4/1

MAJOR HILL is the clear stand out wager in the eyes of the knowledge group. Many harness players know speed is of the utmost importance. This contender has credentials with a 82 average number. He has good class figures, averaging 84. Worth considering for a bet in this event. Could dominate this field, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 77 - from his most recent effort. MAKE IT COME TRUE - Don't count out this fine animal, especially with Gagnon as the trainer. In the money percentage is terrific. Drawing the 5 slot at this track has lead to an above average win clip. IMA DUDE - He has been squaring off well and the speed ratings are among the top in the field of starters. This entrant has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 81 avg class ranking. Should play well here.

Thursday 11/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 11/16/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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