Sunday 11/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:42 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

PURCHASE

Will Rogers Downs - Race 11	$2 Exacta / (.50) Trifecta / (.10) Superfecta / $2 Daily Double
Claiming $10,000 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 70 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 4:10P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ROSALBA RDRGZ: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. A FANCY MATE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MISS INDEPENTENT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. EYES ON FOLLIES: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. NCC CHERRY BOTTOM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4	ROSALBA RDRGZ	2/1	6/1
10	A FANCY MATE	8/1	6/1
1	MISS INDEPENTENT	3/1	6/1
8	EYES ON FOLLIES	15/1	8/1
7	NCC CHERRY BOTTOM	5/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	MISS INDEPENTENT	1	3/1	Slow	68	65	6.9	0.0	0.0
2	ONE FLASHY	2	15/1	Average	52	59	4.7	0.0	0.0
3	QUEENS FAVORITE	3	8/1	Average	52	56	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	ROSALBA RDRGZ	4	2/1	Average	75	66	4.4	0.0	0.0
5	PHELICITOUS	5	12/1	Fast	64	56	1.8	0.0	0.0
6	REAGAL CAT	6	20/1	Slow	61	56	6.9	0.0	0.0
7	NCC CHERRY BOTTOM	7	5/1	Average	68	63	4.3	0.0	0.0
8	EYES ON FOLLIES	8	15/1	Average	66	63	0.0	0.0	0.0
9	CUZ IM HIGH ON YOU	9	20/1	Slow	63	59	7.0	0.0	0.0
10	A FANCY MATE	10	8/1	Slow	73	64	6.9	0.0	0.0

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:43 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for CamareroPURCHASE

Camarero - Race 7	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 7-8
Stakes • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 48 • Purse: $75,000 • Post: 5:30P
CLASICO CAMARERO S. - GRADE 1 CLASICO CAMARERO.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SOLA BELLA is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SOLA BELLA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SEDUCTORA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BELLEZA CELESTIAL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	SOLA BELLA	3/1	3/1
5	SEDUCTORA	8/5	7/1
3	BELLEZA CELESTIAL	2/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	SOLA BELLA	6	3/1	Front-runner	49	40	46.8	39.9	36.4
4	CLAUDANIA	4	4/1	Stalker	45	38	35.8	30.2	22.2
2	GLORIMAR	2	5/1	Stalker	41	34	34.3	29.6	19.6
3	BELLEZA CELESTIAL	3	2/1	Trailer	48	37	33.4	39.5	35.0
5	SEDUCTORA	5	8/5	Trailer	45	47	25.9	45.2	41.2
1	LUNA ESPECIAL	1	10/1	Trailer	42	38	24.0	28.3	19.8

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:43 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $90000 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 5 DADDY KNOWS 9/2
# 6 BENDOOG 4/5
# 2 AGGREGATION 7/2

DADDY KNOWS has a competitive shot to take this race. Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the group going into the halfway point of the outing. Win percentage one of the top in this field. I can't pass on this gelding given one of the most competitive jockey and handler combos on the grounds. BENDOOG - Last time out, this colt faced a stronger bunch. With a nice class fig average of 106, has one of the strongest class advantages in this field. AGGREGATION - Should be considered here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. With Franco uptop him, this gelding should be able to break out early for this event.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:43 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 13 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT: 126 LBS. HORSES WHICH QUALIFY TO THE FINALS OF THIS RACE MUST REMAIN ON THE GROUNDS UNTIL 48 HOURS AFTER THE FINALS HAVE RUN.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 TELLER PERRY MRL 5/1
# 9 BF HES OUTRAGEOUS 7/2
# 5 WALK IT BACK 2/1

TELLER PERRY MRL seems to be the wager in here. BF HES OUTRAGEOUS - This horse has a terrific win percentage in shorts. Strong average Equibase Speed Figs in short races make this racer a key contender. WALK IT BACK - Solid average Equibase Speed Figures in short races make this equine a key contender. Players ought to note that this equine runs now going off Lasix today.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:43 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 4:04pm - Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $52,000 Class Rating: 95

Rating:

#1 TALKIN TIPSY (ML=3/1)
#2 CHOOSE JOY (ML=5/2)
#5 DREAMING OF SNOW (ML=15/1)
#4 FAWNING (ML=7/2)

TALKIN TIPSY - Sub-par performance last out at Saratoga was due to the off-going (she finished fourth). I'd expect a better race in this event without the off-track conditions. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the 1st time should be considered. That's what we have here. CHOOSE JOY - This mare should give a strong account of herself in today's race. DREAMING OF SNOW - Ranks number one in earnings per race. A dominant effort in this race will add to that bankroll. FAWNING - Has happened upon a great spot in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 GLITTER UP (ML=9/2), #3 OH DARLIN (ML=6/1),

GLITTER UP - No picnic to play any vulnerable equine in a short distance event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last two months. This thoroughbred likes to hit the board, but doesn't usually finish on top. Leave out of the top spot. OH DARLIN - This filly hasn't had any positive results in sprint races in the last couple months.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #1 TALKIN TIPSY on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,4,5] with [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,4,5] with [2,4,5] with [2,4,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:44 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Laurel - Race #7 - Post: 3:21pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $52,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#5 TWIRLING EXPRESS (ML=6/1)
#2 WON AN AWARD (ML=9/2)

TWIRLING EXPRESS - Look for this one to go wire to wire at some decent odds in this event. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish. This is the only real pace presser in the race. Has a decent chance to break maiden moving over to the dirt in this race. WON AN AWARD - You always have to be on the lookout for revenue generating jockey/trainer teams; we have it right here. He has the topmost earnings per start. Take a long look at this one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 NASTY HABIT (ML=6/5), #6 TIME THE AVENGER (ML=5/1), #7 RESPIRATOR (ML=8/1),

NASTY HABIT - He showed not much at all in the last race. The extended layoff since Apr 14th is somewhat alarming. Don't believe this runner will make an impact in today's event. That last speed figure was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. TIME THE AVENGER - This gelding in all probability won't be very close at the finish line. RESPIRATOR - You always believe this horse has a shot to win, but he falters regularly.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - TWIRLING EXPRESS - This colt's superior last speed number of 74, against these ponies, makes him the overwhelming choice.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 TWIRLING EXPRESS is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:44 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 19 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 4 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 TIZ LIGHT THE WAY 4/1
# 8 NO MAN LEFT BEHIND 9/2
# 4 MURAT 5/1

TIZ LIGHT THE WAY looks competitive to best this field. He has been running soundly lately while recording sharp speed figs. Looks competitive for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. NO MAN LEFT BEHIND - With one of the best jockeys in terms of gains at the window, don't count this colt out. Must be carefully examined based on the quite good speed figure recorded in the last race. MURAT - Earned a very good speed rating last time out.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:44 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13400 Class Rating: 76

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 COUNT ASHER 9/5
# 2 BRONZE ONE 4/1
# 1 DANZ TILL TEN 10/1

I think COUNT ASHER is a very good choice. He has been racing admirably lately while recording sharp speed figures. He looks respectable in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed fig - 79 - of his last effort. BRONZE ONE - He should be given a shot given the competitive speed figures. Has strong early pace and should fare admirably versus this field. DANZ TILL TEN - He has very strong class ratings, averaging 77, and has to be given a shot in this race.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:44 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

Woodbine - Race 1	Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)/ $1 Swinger
Claiming $10,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $34,400 • Post: 1:05P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * MO TOURIST: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. OCTOBER FROST: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designa tion or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. INFAMOUS COVERT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GENDRAGON: Horse has run a Good Ra ce within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	MO TOURIST	3/1	5/1
2	OCTOBER FROST	20/1	6/1
5	INFAMOUS COVERT	6/1	6/1
1	GENDRAGON	10/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	INFAMOUS COVERT	5	6/1	Stalker	87	82	82.4	75.4	71.9
4	MO TOURIST	4	3/1	Stalker	83	85	77.4	81.8	77.8
1	GENDRAGON	1	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	87	73	81.0	77.4	67.4
2	OCTOBER FROST	2	20/1	Trailer	86	79	80.6	76.6	70.1
8	ROCKLAND EXPRESS	8	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	82	71	86.0	61.0	46.5
3	JMR PURE SENSATION	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	76	80.2	67.4	58.9
7	THUNDERHEAVYRAIN	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	69	78.7	64.5	51.0
6	GIANT ONE	6	2/1	Alternator/Non-contender	83	70	73.0	68.2	58.2

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:45 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Del Mar - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#3 WARRENS CANDY MAN (ML=6/1)
#5 SIGNOFTHECROSS (ML=2/1)
#2 SOL DEL SUR (ML=5/2)

WARRENS CANDY MAN - Has found a great spot this time around. SIGNOFTHECROSS - Frey is back up for another event today after getting on board this horse for the first ride on October 21st and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. Utilizing this rider/handler combination is a good choice. This equine is tops in earnings per race. He looks solid in today's affair. A horse coming back this quickly after a nice outing is a good sign. SOL DEL SUR - This gelding garnered a nice speed figure of 88 in his last affair. That speed rating should be strong enough to prove victorious in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 TEMBO (ML=7/5), #1 PAPALE (ML=8/1),

TEMBO - I have some doubts when a questionable contender has front wraps added in the last event. PAPALE - This animal just hasn't looked fit lately. This pony ran a substandard speed rating in the last race. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's race running that fig.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 WARRENS CANDY MAN to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:45 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 3	$2 Daily Double (Races 3-4) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 2-3 • CR: 64 • Purse: $16,500 • Post: 7:50P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO AND THREE YEARS OLD. TWO YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WORK N FLIRT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in aver age Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LOVE MY CANDY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace.
8	WORK N FLIRT	4/1	3/1
2	LOVE MY CANDY	3/5	3/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	LOVE MY CANDY	2	3/5	Stalker	72	54	47.6	60.4	56.9
6	THIRSTY FOR LOVE	6	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	59	32	61.5	31.1	23.1
1	VALENTINA MIA	1	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	38.9	33.2	25.7
8	WORK N FLIRT	8	4/1	Alternator/Trailer	83	75	42.4	48.4	45.9
7	QUEEN CATALINA	7	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	2.6	14.9	3.9
4	QADIRA	4	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
5	MARAVILLOSO	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: SILVER CANDICE (5/1) [Jockey: Batista Luis Alberto - Trainer: Mathes Julie].

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:45 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #7 - Post: 3:50pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $120,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating:

#8 YO BANANA BOY (ML=5/1)
#4 SHAKIN LOOSE (ML=6/1)
#5 MIYAGI (ML=3/1)

YO BANANA BOY - You have to consider the solid works of late. Was in the New York Breeders' Futurity at Finger Lakes in the last race. That race had a class rating of 87 and he is moving down in this field. A certain strong challenger. Another way to evaluate class is (EPS) earnings per start. This horse has the highest in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish line. SHAKIN LOOSE - This colt has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Asmussen. Better be careful of this angle. Asmussen comes to ride after getting to know the colt in the last event. I like the piece of information that this colt's last speed figure, 67, is tops in this bunch. The improved speed ratings over the last three races is great. Asmussen drops him in this affair fit and ready to go. MIYAGI - Rider hops up on after getting to know the magnificent animal by riding in the last race. That's always a good sign. I like to see fast workouts. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is meeting an easier bunch than in the last race at Keeneland. Catalano drops this one in today for only his second outing. Should do better than last out.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 CARBONE (ML=9/2), #10 DECATUR STREET (ML=8/1), #7 GOLDBRICK (ML=8/1),

CARBONE - Likely won't make much of an impression in today's event. DECATUR STREET - Would have to get more than the morning line odds of 8/1 to bet on this horse. GOLDBRICK - This sustainer should have a rough go of it to get up with an absence of pace in this race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - YO BANANA BOY - Consider this. Finished sixth in the slop last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 25 percent improvement in class ability.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #8 YO BANANA BOY to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	8 with [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	None

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:45 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 9
4	4	WINNING MUSCLE	2/1	Macdonald, Brett A - 16	430.54
2	2	THE PINBALL WIZARD	5/2	Moore, Tyler - 11	429.43
1	1	CENTURY ISAIAH	12/1	Desroche, Ryan P - 8	420.41
5	5	BARZY	3/1	Coulter, Scott - 13	379.60
6	6	HP RUN FOR DAN	4/1	Fillion, Samuel - 9	369.55
7	7	FANTASTIC MVP	8/1	Ryan, Jason D - 15	349.88
8	8	WOLINAK	10/1	Whelan, Michael W - 6	335.55
3	3	GIVE ME KARETS K	6/1	Hudon, Phillippe - 3	326.31

**ConleyPicks** · 11-19-2023, 08:46 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rideau Carleton

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 9
7	7	JET ROCK	2/1	Shepherd, Robert H - 19	526.37
8	8	THE LIGHT SPEED	8/5	Gagnon, Guy - 26	510.25
3	3	DYLANS BANK	3/1	Gagnon, Jimmy - 14	496.30
2	2	HES GOT A VENDETTA	10/1	Brosseau, Stephane - 14	490.04
1	1	FLYING ART A	12/1	Guy, Ryan - 9	489.88
5	5	VANILLA MALTED	4/1	Roy, William - 6	481.72
6	6	SHOTGUN JERRY	8/1	Pouliot, Stephane - 14	480.84
4	4	FLASH CUBE	6/1	Fillion, Samuel - 14	478.95

Sunday 11/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 11/19/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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