Wednesday 11/22/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

PURCHASE

Charles Town - Race 6	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $15,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $18,600 • Post: 9:21P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF THREE RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $6,250 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. FANCY HER UP is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FANCY HER UP: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1	FANCY HER UP	8/5	2/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	FANCY HER UP	1	8/5	Front-runner	78	78	85.4	71.2	68.2
5	BAYLIS STREET	5	10/1	Front-runner	58	63	82.4	60.0	46.5
6	MY SISTER CLURRIE	6	12/1	Front-runner	76	60	72.6	49.4	36.4
4	GHOSTLY SQUALL	4	8/1	Stalker	74	76	65.6	59.6	55.6
8	JUBA'S HOUSE	8	12/1	Stalker	70	69	56.8	51.4	38.9
3	TATOR MADE	3	6/1	Stalker	73	61	56.2	57.8	50.3
9	PURE NONSENSE	9	20/1	Stalker	59	58	40.6	48.4	32.9
7	RIVER REWARDS RVF	7	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	66	67	58.0	62.4	53.9
2	CEDAR'S WISH	2	5/1	Trailer	66	69	52.6	56.8	46.3

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer ParkPURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race 1	$2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 4 (races 1-4) $.50 Wheel
Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $8,300 • Post: 7:00P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 22, 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 22 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FIANNA HILLS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MONGOLIAN MISSION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ORBITING THE SKY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FIANNA HILLS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying a t least 120 lbs. ILLUSIONS OF LOVE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
3	MONGOLIAN MISSION	4/1	9/2
5	ORBITING THE SKY	2/1	5/1
6	FIANNA HILLS	10/1	7/1
1	ILLUSIONS OF LOVE	3/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	FIANNA HILLS	6	10/1	Front-runner	66	58	80.8	44.8	33.8
4	WEDDING CHAPEL	4	5/1	Stalker	68	43	53.0	45.4	35.9
3	MONGOLIAN MISSION	3	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	75	64	75.0	58.8	55.3
1	ILLUSIONS OF LOVE	1	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	69	54	58.8	53.2	42.7
2	BISCOTTINI	2	5/1	Trailer	61	54	40.0	52.0	43.0
5	ORBITING THE SKY	5	2/1	Trailer	71	70	36.2	59.6	56.1
7	LITTLE LUCERITO	7	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	50	60.2	41.0	32.0

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #5 - Post: 1:53pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#4 WHISKEY PRIZE (ML=3/1)
#1 MICROBEASTIE (ML=8/1)


WHISKEY PRIZE - This gelding is in superb form right now. Finished third in the last race and comes back soon. I figure Ness is making a good move here. This gelding can only be aided by the shorter trip. This gelding is utmost in earnings per race. Check out this one before the race. Took a significant drop in class rating in the last race at Parx Racing. Returning to a similar class in this race. Should do well today. MICROBEASTIE - I think Parx Racing players know a good thing when they see the jock/handler pair of Sanchez and Pino. Their winning percentage together has been good. Pino drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more handicapping data to figure that this horse is in a good spot at this level.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 VESELSKY (ML=4/1), #8 ROAD CALL (ML=9/2), #9 GAMERUN (ML=5/1),

VESELSKY - Almost certainly won't make much of an impression today. ROAD CALL - I can't play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled from time to time. This racer has not scored here today in 13 starts. Little chance he wins today. GAMERUN - Not likely that the speed fig he notched on Oct 31st will be enough in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 WHISKEY PRIZE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 70

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 TCB EYE B FAMOUS 8/5
# 5 GOLDEN DOC 5/2
# 6 SHESABADMOONRISING 9/2

TCB EYE B FAMOUS looks to be a formidable contender. This trainer has the strongest ROI in this group of horses in this race with entries moving at this distance and surface. Flores has a formidable 17 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. With a +142 ROI, this jockey and handler duo has produced competitive returns lately for risk takers. GOLDEN DOC - Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone. Powell has a solid win percent with horses racing in short races. SHESABADMOONRISING - She has been running very well recently while recording sharp speed figures. Has strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of animals - worth a look.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $32100 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 LICENSE TO CHILL 15/1
# 11 MAX FOSTER 4/1
# 8 SINALOA 8/1

LICENSE TO CHILL figures to be the bet in here and is a very good value bet given the line. Has been running quite well lately and ought to be up near the lead early on. This choice will feel the med change - on Lasix today. MAX FOSTER - Looks quite good versus this field and should be one of the leaders. This racer could stun this lot at a decent number. SINALOA - Dediego has been sizzling the last month, winning at a nifty 21 percent rate.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:38pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#7 ZHU DADDY (ML=6/1)


ZHU DADDY - This horse obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has recorded the highest speed rating on the turf at the distance and surface. Entered a Maiden Special race at Mahoning Valley Race Cour last time out and raced on a track listed as good finishing sixth. Has to do better in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CODE ENFORCER (ML=2/1), #2 STYLE ME ROYAL (ML=7/2), #9 BACHMAN (ML=5/1),

CODE ENFORCER - Didn't hit the board on August 6th at Monmouth Park. Followed it up with another less than stellar performance. This runner ran a most unsatisfactory speed figure last time out. He shouldn't improve and will probably get beat today running that figure. STYLE ME ROYAL - Doubtful that the speed fig he earned on Sep 7th will be good enough in this contest. BACHMAN - Hasn't been coming close at all of late. Finished fifth in his most recent effort with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #7 ZHU DADDY on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs

Churchill Downs - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (5-6-7) / Pick 5 (5-9) Super Hi-5
Claiming $20,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $52,000 • Post: 3:01P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * PALACE KITTEN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a la yoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SPEIGHT AND MALICE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. UPSTRIKER: H orse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). MACHO ROCCO: Horse has the highest TrackM aster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
6	PALACE KITTEN	5/2	5/1
8	SPEIGHT AND MALICE	15/1	6/1
5	UPSTRIKER	3/1	6/1
9	MACHO ROCCO	8/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
9	MACHO ROCCO	9	8/1	Front-runner	95	88	95.8	79.6	71.6
5	UPSTRIKER	5	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	96	90	77.8	83.8	77.8
4	WELLMAN	4	6/1	Stalker	88	80	68.2	73.2	58.7
2	DROP IT	2	20/1	Stalker	82	65	61.8	71.4	53.4
8	SPEIGHT AND MALICE	8	15/1	Alternator/Stalker	102	94	79.0	79.2	71.2
6	PALACE KITTEN	6	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	103	94	71.4	85.0	80.5
7	STEINBECK	7	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	101	80	77.8	66.8	56.8
3	RISK PROFILE	3	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	93	93	69.2	78.0	69.5
1	DEVOTED TO YOU	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	95	89	54.4	71.6	60.1

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 2	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 2-3) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 2-3-4)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $12,600 • Post: 12:43
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. REMOANE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TRIVIA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. INOUAINTALKINTOME: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. OUCH THAT HURT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7	DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS	3/1	9/2
5	REMOANE	7/2	6/1
6	TRIVIA	10/1	8/1
2	INOUAINTALKINTOME	5/1	10/1
8	OUCH THAT HURT	4/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	OUCH THAT HURT	8	4/1	Front-runner	70	67	66.8	66.0	61.0
2	INOUAINTALKINTOME	2	5/1	Front-runner	72	78	45.8	65.8	60.3
7	DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS	7	3/1	Stalker	72	70	73.2	67.0	59.5
6	TRIVIA	6	10/1	Stalker	71	60	54.8	58.6	51.6
5	REMOANE	5	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	71	63	44.8	64.0	57.5
1	CLIFDEN PUNCH	1	12/1	Trailer	69	62	27.0	60.2	45.7
3	TWICE SMITTEN	3	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	67	52.6	55.4	45.9
4	BASTET	4	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	65	53	13.4	48.8	34.3

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12800 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 22. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 PAT DADDY 5/2
# 5 T MONEY 6/1
# 1 BROADWAY JONES 3/1

PAT DADDY looks formidable to best this field. Boasts strong speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of animals. Ought to be given a shot based on the very good speed rating put up in the last contest. The average class figure of 75 makes this horse hard to beat. T MONEY - Has been running solidly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is sound for this pony. BROADWAY JONES - Must be considered for this event if only for the decent Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last race.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Churchill Downs - Race #9 - Post: 5:05pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $92,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#14 RUN JALEN RUN (ML=2/1)
#2 MOHAWK RIVER (ML=7/2)
#5 WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS (ML=8/1)


RUN JALEN RUN - Gaffalione comes to ride after getting to know the colt in the last event. Have to give this colt a good chance. Ran a nice race last out within the last month. This colt's last speed fig registered on October 29th is at the top in last race speed figures. Is ranked highest in earnings per race entered. A dominant effort today will boost that total. MOHAWK RIVER - After the event aboard this horse on October 29th, the jock is going to be in tune with the gelding much better. Last time out, finished fifth on a sloppy track at Churchill Downs. Expect better in this event. WECALLEMFUNCOUPONS - This front-runner is shortening up today. Should increase his likelihood of winning.

Vulnerable Contenders: #12 YAQUI VALLEY (ML=4/1), #13 BEAR RIVER (ML=4/1), #10 SALMING (ML=9/2),

YAQUI VALLEY - Last seen on Aug 4th at Saratoga. Probably needs to race into form. BEAR RIVER - Awfully hard to bet on this pony when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. If today's event shapes up right, all the speed horses will force a ferocious speed duel early. Too bad this animal is one of those front runners. When scrutinizing today's class figure, he will have to record a better speed rating than last time out to be competitive in this dirt sprint. SALMING - Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a short distance event to be any kind of value at modest odds in a sprint.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #14 RUN JALEN RUN on the win end if we get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	14 with [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5,14] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[2,5,14] with [2,5,14] with [1,2,5,13,14] with [1,2,5,13,14] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:	[2,5,14] with [2,5,14] with [2,5,13,14] with [1,2,5,10,13,14] with [1,2,5,10,13,14] Total Cost: $72

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Post: 6:35 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$14000 - DELAWARE SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE MICHAEL T. SCUSE FILLIES/MARES WINNERS OF 4 RACES LIFE - W/OF 6 N/E 5 YEAR OLDS & UNDER NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER BALLY`S DOVER DRIVER CHOICES: MONTRELL TEAGUE 5 OVER 9 TIM TETRICK 4 OVER 7,8

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 HOLD MY WINE 6/1
# 3 ALWAYS SUGARY 5/2
# 2 A LIST GIRL 9/2

The consensus for this race is that HOLD MY WINE is the one to beat. This race horse will have to be a wager, based on the superb driver/trainer win figure. Teague and Columbo have a formidable working relationship. Top notch results from their outings. Considered a solid wager based solely on her high triumph percentage. ALWAYS SUGARY - This interesting entrant looks tough considering the high class rankings. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics. Had one of the best speed figures of the field of starters in her last contest. I'd recommend using in your bets. A LIST GIRL - Can't forget based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been excellent (80 avg) in recent times. Heads into this competition with formidable TrackMaster class markings relative to the grouping - take a good look.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
5	5	CODY HANOVER	5/2	Noble, Dan - 16	549.18
4	4	WHITECOOKIE	9/2	Page, Chris - 19	546.82
3	3	ODDS ON CAPITALISM	6/1	Smith, Tyler - 12	530.53
7	7	FOUREVER BOY	7/2	Kauffman, Kayne - 7	528.56
2	2	MADELINES BLK JACK	8/1	Sutton, Josh - 11	519.31
6	6	LOUIE LOUIE	12/1	Widger, Sam - 11	517.48
9	9	ROCKIN SPEED	8/1	Smith, Jeremy - 22	515.14
8	8	GRANTMEAWISH	12/1	Hanners, Austin - 6	503.48
1	1	IDEAL FEELING	12/1	Miller, Brett - 13	493.70

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Post: 12:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 67 - Purse:$6700 - CD CLAIM 3YO& UP NW 2 EXT PM`S LIFE AE: 3YO& UP F& M NW 3 EXT PM`S LIFE CLAIM PRICE: $12,500 W/A MORNING LINE: 8-5-6-9 NO. 5 - FIRST TIME LASIX A.MERRIMAN - #5 OR 6

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 8 TRIFECTA HANOVER 5/2
# 9 C DIDDY'S GAL 5/1
# 6 WRITE THE RULES 4/1

The consensus in this one is that TRIFECTA HANOVER is the one to beat. This solid standardbred may have some hidden form, a top prize would be a pleasant surprise. Feel the need for speed, this interesting entrant has been turning in some outstanding TrackMaster Speed Ratings averaging around 68. Good for a win bet just off the terrific prior class stats. Have to like this race horse. C DIDDY'S GAL - Good for a win wager just off the excellent prior class ratings. Have to like this entrant. Is a huge win contender given the 67 speed fig from her most recent race. WRITE THE RULES - Analyzers love to play the driver of this filly - tremendous win pct recently.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Monticello Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 11
5	5	LOOK IN MY EYES	3/1	Devaux, Jim - 16	449.58
2	2	ACKLES HANOVER	5/2	Aldrich, Bruce Jr - 14	433.85
3	3	LOUS LIVIA	4/1	Moeykens, Adam - 7	416.41
7	7	HUNTERS GAL	7/2	Merton, Gregory - 28	410.67
4	4	SWIZZLE HANOVER	10/1	Merton, Thomas - 7	397.59
1	1	JUMPSHOT	9/2	Parker, Brandon - 11	396.87
6	6	MY SWEET MI MI	8/1	Dibenedetto, Kyle - 7	380.01