Saturday 11/25/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Saratoga Harness

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 6
4	4	IM NO OUTLAW N	5/2	Randall, Jay - 18	546.55
3	3	PRIMO UOMO	9/2	Macdonald, John - 4	524.16
5	5	PICKUP MAN HANOVER	6/1	Dobson, Billy - 14	522.63
2	2	ISAAC	10/1	Gray, Shawn T - 19	518.82
8	8	SEVENTH SECRET	8/1	Devaux, Jim - 20	506.72
6	6	SOUL ASSASSIN	3/1	Cushing, Mitchell - 11	502.98
7	7	ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR	4/1	Beckwith, Brett - 16	454.53
1	1	AMERICAN ZEST A	12/1	Athearn, Matthew - 10	451.90

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Dayton Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 12
4	4	HERECOMESCHARLIE B	7/2	Hanners, Austin - 6	542.09
8	8	LUV LORELEI	9/2	Taylor, Robert - 11	529.38
5	5	OPPORTUNIST	10/1	Kauffman, Kayne - 7	518.65
3	3	FIFTYFOUR K	2/1	Noble, Dan - 17	516.22
7	7	BETMETOWIN	8/1	Page, Chris - 19	492.52
2	2	WIXX HANOVER	6/1	Clark, Chad - 8	492.26
6	6	SWEET MR PINETUCKY	12/1	Tharps, Devon - 8	491.11
1	1	WEGOFORTHEFRONT	8/1	Miller, Brett - 12	488.57

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Century Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Post: 9:27 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 68 - Purse:$11000 - CLM 25,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 KEYSTONE TENACIOUS 2/1
# 7 NO COLLUSION 6/1
# 4 ARMYCAPTIN HANOVER 10/1

KEYSTONE TENACIOUS clearly is tough to overlook as the fine animal to beat for this race. Hard to put finger on it, but back him in this race. Could be the best in the bunch here, showing very nice ratings of late. Avg speed is a solid 74. If performance in the most recent race is representative, this horse will have a very very good shot this time. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. NO COLLUSION - Take a good look at making this horse your win play based on excellent win stat alone. Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this brain trust. Pace stats here point to a formidable play. ARMYCAPTIN HANOVER - Positive feel - battling well enough to contend in this race. Could surprise us at a fairly reasonable price. Don't leave out.

[ConleyPicks]

TALKING HORSES
Saturday November 25, 2023
AQUEDUCT
Andy Serling
Race 1 4 - 8 - 1 - 9
Race 2 5 - 6 - 3 - 2
Race 3 1 - 5 - 4 - 2
Race 4 2B - 1/1A - 6 - 4
Race 5 5 - 8 - 9 - 1A
Race 6 7 - 3 - 2 - 5
Race 7 8 - 1 - 6 - 2
Race 8 2 - 1 - 8 - 4
Race 9 4 - 8 - 2 - 7
Race 10 6 - 4 - 5 - 10

[ConleyPicks]

Picks & Plays for Saturday, November 25
by David Aragona

AQUEDUCT

Visit TimeformUS to view this card’s Highlight Horse and get PPs.

PICKS

Race 1: 8 - 9 - 1 - 4
Race 2: 5 - 1 - 3 - 4
Race 3: 4 - 1 - 5 - 2
Race 4: 8 - 2B - 1/1A - 4
Race 5: 5 - 3 - 8 - 4
Race 6: 7 - 5 - 2 - 3
Race 7: 1 - 6 - 2 - 9
Race 8: 6 - 2 - 1 - 3
Race 9: 4 - 8 - 2 - 7
Race 10: 9 - 6 - 4 - 1

FAIR VALUE PLAYS
(Fair Value: These are the odds at which I could reasonably bet each of the horses listed. Wagering decisions should be based on the actual odds. The best value option will not necessarily be the top pick.)


RACE 1

Kid’s Last Laugh (#1) will probably beat this field if she’s able to repeat any of about 5 of her first 7 career starts. She ran very well on debut as a 2-year-old and has looked good enough to break through at the maiden special weight level on a few occasions since then. However, she’s now coming of the worst performance of her career in a race where she was supposed to be successful, and Ken McPeek immediately drops her in class. He does have great stats with this move – 29 for 115 (25%, $2.34 ROI) with MSW to MCL dropdowns on dirt over 5 years – but I’m still skeptical that she’s going to bounce back. It’s also worth noting that she’s making her third start in just 4 weeks. I believe the best alternatives to this favorite are others making the same drop. Put the Crazy Away (#9) figures to attract some support for Todd Pletcher, but I wish she had done a little more running in her prior starts against tougher competition. I much prefer Take Time to Dream (#8), who finished ahead of that Pletcher trained rival when they met going this distance on Sep. 15. She ran pretty well that day considering that she lost some momentum trying to go inside of a tiring rival in upper stretch before altering course. She then stayed on decently at Keeneland two back before finding a mile to be too far for her last time. I like her turning back in this realistic spot, and she drew a favorable outside post. Rob Falcone is 8 for 21 (38%, $2.23 ROI) with MSW to MCL dropdowns on dirt over 5 years.

Fair Value:
#8 TAKE TIME TO DREAM, at 3-1 or greater


RACE 4

This race is complicated by a pair of entries, which I’m always reticent to take, especially when I prefer one half of the pair. The David Jacobson duo of Royal Meghan (#1) and Starship Defiant (#1A) is hard to split, and I could use either of them if one scratches, which often seems to be the case with this barn. The Sanford Goldfarb-owned pair of Good Penny (#2) and Fancy Azteca (#2B) is more annoying, since I much prefer the latter and they’re likely to be a short price as a couple. Fancy Azteca hasn’t done much of anything in two starts since getting claimed by Rick Dutrow, but she was pulled up once and involved in a fast pace the next time. Those were probably ambitious spots anyway going a distance that’s a little far for her. I like the turnback to 7 furlongs and the class relief is realistic. I just wouldn’t want to take too short a price, especially now that Dutrow’s horses are starting to become more popular with the bettors. My top pick is I’m Buzzy (#8). While she hasn’t quite gotten back to the best efforts that she achieved for Amira Chichackly last winter, she did show some signs of life coming off the layoff in her first start for Pat Reynolds last time. Though she was beaten by Royal Meghan, all the TimeformUS Pace Figures for that race are color coded in blue, indicating a slow pace. She was actually finishing best of all at the end despite not threatening for the win. This slight stretch-out to 7 furlongs should suit her, and she lands in a race that the TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting will feature a faster pace.

Fair Value:
#8 I'M BUZZY, at 9-2 or greater


RACE 7

Alibi Ike (#6) obviously didn’t have a fair chance the last time we saw him in June at Belmont, since he was completely buried in traffic on the rail for the entire stretch drive, never asked for run by Irad Ortiz. It’s unclear where he would have finished if not for that trouble, and now he’s coming into this race as a potential favorite despite the fact that he still hasn’t put forth a competitive dirt effort. I suppose it’s a good sign that he’s returning with claiming tag waived, especially after he was a voided claim prior to the layoff. However, I still wouldn’t want to take any kind of short price on this type of runner. I think there’s a logical alternative in Whenlovetakesover (#1). I know this horse has had chances, but the reality is that he’s only raced in dirt sprints on 5 occasions, and three of those were at the maiden special weight level. He didn’t even run that badly in those first few starts against tougher company before trying a variety of new distances. Now he’s gradually cutting back in distance, and I like him returning to 6 furlongs here. His last race is better than it might look at first glance, since he was loaded around the far turn and had to wait briefly while trying to find a clear path in the stretch. He ultimately shook loose late and was finishing well across the wire. There’s pace in here to set up his late run, so Luis Rivera has to avoid getting trapped inside from the rail post.

Fair Value:
#1 WHENLOVETAKESOVER, at 2-1 or greater


RACE 8

Bustin Bay (#1) obviously would have won that Oct. 27 optional claimer even without breaking through the starting gate a fraction of a second too early. Yet the rules dictated that she be disqualified for that infraction, so now she’s back racing for the same allowance condition. She clearly merits respect not only because of that performance, but due to her overall body of work. She’s crossed the wire first in 5 of her last 7 starts, finishing second in the other two races. She has to work out a trip from the rail this time whereas she’s drawn advantageous outside posts in her last two starts. Yet she’s still the horse to beat. In searching for an alternative, some may be enticed by Comparative (#4), who makes her NYRA debut for Brad Cox. Yet I wish she had shown a little more in those early season victories where she beat up on weaker competition. I’m more intrigued by some familiar faces. Into Happiness (#2) is perfectly logical as she gets some class relief dropping out of the Pumpkin Pie. I don’t love the fact that she’s returning in just 20 days, but she has plenty of prior races that would make her tough on this group. She was clearly in great form at Saratoga, and she relishes this one-mile distance. The major concern with her is her lack of early speed, since there isn’t much pace in this race. The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring frontrunners with Missy Greer (#6) on the lead. This 4-year-old is dangerous as she makes her second start off the layoff for Tom Morley, who is 9 for 44 (20%, $4.03 ROI) second off a 90 to 180 day layoff over the past 5 years. The hope is that she just needed her return last time, where she carved out legitimate fractions before tiring behind Bustin Bay and some others. Unlike in a few previous starts, she didn’t completely give up until the very late stages. She figures to have gotten some fitness out of that start, and she arguably has the best prior form of anyone in this group. Now she’s drawn well towards the outside, and I’m expecting a step forward this time.

Fair Value:
#6 MISSY GREER, at 5-1 or greater


RACE 9

Raging Sea (#8) showed plenty of promise as a two-year-old, closing to victory in her debut and nearly winning the Grade 1 Alcibiades before placing in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies. She figured to be among the top players in the division based on that introduction, but it took her a while to get back to the races this season. She was initially disappointing in a pair of allowance attempts at Saratoga. Yet she seemed to get back on track last time at Keeneland, making a sustained rally to duel with the runner-up before pulling away late. She’s headed in the right direction now as she moves back into stakes company, and the 9-furlong distance is obviously right up her alley. She drew a wide post, but she has the tactical speed to get into decent position, and is arguably the horse to beat. Defining Purpose (#7) is coming off a good effort over this track when second in the Mother Goose to Xigera last month. While no match for that superior rival, she stayed on well to pick up another graded stakes placing in a season where she has overachieved at the highest levels. However, she’s also gotten some favorable trips and setups when she’s been successful, and now she’s likely to be a shorter price than she has been in recent starts. Julia Shining (#2) is another who could attract support coming out of the Mother Goose. While she again failed to hit the board in that spot, it was a much better effort than her return in the Alabama. The pace was not in her favor, and she was still trying hard all the way down the lane, finishing fastest of all at the end. She obviously gets the distance, but she needs to continue her progression into this race. I’m also concerned about her lack of early speed in a race that doesn’t feature a ton of pace. My top pick is Just Katherine (#4). It took this daughter of Justify a while to fully come around, but she announced her improved form with a deceptively strong third-place finish in a tough allowance race back June. She then put a scare into future Grade 1 winner Randomized in the Wilton, the only horse to rally into a slow pace that day. She followed that up with a victory over today’s rival Raging Sea going this distance at Saratoga, earning a strong 113 TimeformUS Speed Figure. The connections took a shot at the Grade 1 level in the Cotillion just 19 days later, but she just didn't appear to handle the sloppy going. She’s now had some time to regroup since then, and is likely to do better in another stakes on her home circuit. She has a versatile running style, which should allow her to work out a trip in a race that features a murky pace scenario.

Fair Value:
#4 JUST KATHERINE, at 3-1 or greater

[ConleyPicks]

JOE KRISTUFEK
EXPERT SELECTIONS


Churchill Downs, Fair Grounds and Twin Spires racing analyst Joe Kristufek began his career in his native Chicago, climbing the ladder at the local racing venues. The 1989 rivalry between Kentucky Derby winner Sunday Silence and his nemesis Easy Goer got Joe hooked on horse racing. A self-proclaimed 'horse racing ambassador', Joe's industry experience spans from Dubai to Hong Kong to more than 35 tracks across North America.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

Saturday, November 25, 2023
Double-check listed numbers against program numbers before wagering. Selections subject to change on race day due to scratches, off the turf, etc. For the most up to the minute information, tune in to 'Churchill Downs Today' presented by twinspires.com one hour before first post every racing day, watch the pre-race paddock shows and follow Joe on Twitter @JoeyDaKRacing.

Bet now at TwinSpires >

RACE 1
1 PM
Selections: 1-7-6-4-3-5/8-2
1 GUEST OF HONOR Drops & stretches out off of troubled debut
7 SACRED CONNECTION Flashed brief speed on debut vs. better on an off track; might offer some value here
6 DIXIE RAG Out the back closer gets some class relief; must respect the team

RACE 2
1:28 PM
Selections: 8-4-3-6/1-7-2
8 HIJACK THE PARTY Nearly overcame trouble to win last out; claim earned the hike
4 AUTO DIAL Newly-turned gelding hit the reset button; fits well despite the rise
3 BATTLE BORN Plenty of chances; rates on consistency

RACE 3
1:56 PM
Selections: 4-8-6-7-3/5/9-2
4 DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Can run them down with better early positioning; price is right
8 JUST LIKE MAGIC Followed up an easy win with a big time clunker; drops in off the freshening
6 SHIP IT Usually runs her race, but she does have some hang in her game

RACE 4
2:24 PM
Selections: 4-1-2/8-10-6
4 ANGELIC VISION Placement makes sense for homebred; working well enough
1 UNMATCHED Best run of her young career came sprinting on a fast track
2 JANUARY JUBILEE Debuts for Hartman; watch tote for clues

RACE 5
2:53 PM
Selections: 3/4-7/1-5-2/6/8-9
3 HOLLYWOOD ENDING 2nd behind a very talented foe in debut; should appreciate added distance
4 SPIELMAN Runner-up behind a pair of monsters last two; might happen again
7 REMARKABLE MO Can build off respectable debut at a square price

RACE 6
3:21 PM
Selections: 11-4-1/2-9/6-13
11 GRAND ASPEN Just missed in dirt route in last; adds blinkers for this
4 REDEEMER Odd comeback race; might put it all together here
1 THE PRINCE'S SPUR Plenty of chances; distance suits

RACE 7
3:49 PM
Selections: 2-7-3/9-1-5-6/4-8
2 LYKAN Legit closer has been facing tougher; square price likely
7 WIND OF CHANGE (Brz) Worked hard to win last; steps up off the claim
3 UNDER THE GUN Fresh face adds blinkers in his first run for Sharp

RACE 8
4:18 PM
Selections: 8-9-10/3-4/5-12
8 AUNT FANNIE Well-breed colt should improve significantly in this one
9 TAYNA SHOWERS Has run two big races; the one to beat here
10 LEMON MUFFIN Displayed a serious late kick in last; begging for a hot pace to chase

RACE 9
4:48 PM
Selections: 3/4-1/5-6-7
3 PUNCHBOWL Tosses the blinkers aside; wins the 'Battle of the Brad's'
4 CHOP CHOP Trouble may have cost her the win in last; off the pace threat
1 THE ALY'S LOOK Ran 3rd in KY Oaks; fresh, fit & ready to take on ex-stablemates

RACE 10
5:18 PM
Selections: 3-11-1 (REVISED OFF THE TURF)

RACE 11
5:48 PM
Selections: 4-2-6-9/3-1/7-5
4 GASOLINE Never been better; edge off huge local romp three weeks ago
2 FIRST MISSION Hype horse could be any kind moving forward, but he still needs to prove it
6 FILM STAR Former $75K claimer has proven himself vs. stakes company

RACE 12
6:18 PM
Selections: 5-3-2/8-9
5 STAGFLATION Cuts back with tactical speed; edge in wide open race
3 ANIMAL FRIES Has been facing better; gets her first try on dirt & is bred for it
2 EYES OF GOLD Plenty of chances, but today could be the day

[ConleyPicks]

SCOTT SHAPIRO
EXPERT SELECTIONS
Scott Shapiro is the Senior Racing Analyst for Churchill Downs and the Kentucky Derby. He fell in love with thoroughbred racing when his father took him to Garden State Park in 1985 to see Kentucky Derby winner Spend A Buck race in the Jersey Derby instead of the Preakness Stakes. Scott graduated from the University of Wisconsin in 1996 and is an avid NFL and PGA fan. His favorite horses are A.P. Indy, Fly So Free, Captain Bodgit, Victory Gallop, and Ghostzapper.

CHURCHILL DOWNS

November 25, 2023
Double-check listed numbers against program numbers before wagering. Selections subject to change on race day due to scratches, off the turf, etc. For the most up to the minute information follow Scott on Twitter @ScottShap34.

Bet now at TwinSpires >

RACE 1
1:00 PM
Selections: 4-1-3-6-8
4 CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Takes big drop in class in 3rd start for Wilkes
1 GUEST OF HONOR Ran into buzzsaw on debut; drops & stretches out for Cox
3 PRINCESS KALAMOH Ships in from IN after runner-up effort vs just 3 other rivals

RACE 2
1:28 PM
Selections: 10-3-6/8
10 ANTHEM KING Takes big step fwd after chasing while wide on debut
3 LEGALIZE Took ton of $$ on debut, but underwhelmed. Expect improvement but at what price?
6 LINEBACKER Never threatened in 3rd place finish in first try; retains Prat

RACE 3
1:56 PM
Selections: 7/5-6-3
7 SONADOR Has been at best at CD; makes 1st start off claim Amoss
5 ARDEN'S ASSAULT Drops in class in 2nd start for new barn; needs to avoid early tussle
6 SHIP IT Attracts Saez; picks up pieces in 1st start off claim for Bahena

RACE 4
2:24 PM
Selections: 7-10-1/2-6-9
7 DENIM AND PEARLS Showed grit in debut score; relishes the added ground
10 LOOKSTER Likely to get favorable stalking trip in search of 2 in a row
1 TARIFA Was awesome on debut despite less than ideal trip, but concerned about rail draw

RACE 5
2:53PM
Selections: 4-12-3-6-9-5-8-7
4 JUST A COED Got hammered on debut despite rail draw in race that fell apart late
12 PERFECT SHOT Has progressed nicely thru 2 starts; should love two turns
3 SHILOH'S MISTRESS Makes 2nd try for barn that is 3 for 10 at fall meet w/ 4 2nds

RACE 6
3:21 PM
Selections: 11-4-1-6-13-10
11 GRAND ASPEN Not bred to get 9F, but should get great trip vs modest bunch
4 REDEEMER Might get over bet after merely passing tiring rivals in last
1 THE PRINCE'S SPUR Freshened up by barn having great year & that won 3 on Thanksgiving

RACE 7
3:49 PM
Selections: 10-8/5-2-1
10 THE PROCESS Won when hammered on debut; freshened up for 8 furlong test
8 MYSTIK DAN Has huge shot if able to avoid getting caught up in early tussle
5 INFORMED PATRIOT Drops back into ALW ranks; might get overbet but in w/ shot nonetheless

RACE 8
4:18 PM
Selections: 6-7/5-9-1-11
6 LAT LONG Comes in fully rested & ready to put forth career best effort
7 TRACK PHANTOM Ran huge in defeat over slop; stretches out to 2 turns
5 D DAY SKY Moved fwd on move to main track; has shown serious ability in AM

RACE 9
4:48 PM
Selections: 9-6/2-8
9 BOOTH Was dominant on front end on debut; can he avoid early duel
6 NORMANDY HERO Is likeliest to relax early & take advantage of contentious pace
2 AGOO Has done little wrong, but did take advantage of favorable track profile in last

RACE 10
5:18 PM
Selecti0ns: 7-8-2/5-6-3
7 WEST SUNSET Has shown versatility thus far; takes advantage of lack of early zip
8 THORPEDO ANNA Has been awesome thus far, but could regress in 3rd start in month
2 INTRICATE Gets class test here, but was extremely professional in start #2

RACE 11
5:48 PM
Selections: 1-7-6-2-3
1 AWESOME ROAD Failed to fire in 1st stakes try, but gets some class relief today
7 RISK IT Freshened up after chasing scorching early pace in Iroquois S.
6 STRETCH RIDE Has fooled the public in back to back starts; aims to make it 3 straight

RACE 12
6:18 PM
Selections: 10-1-4/2
10 SHARP TUNE Was more dominant than running line suggests in 10/29 score
1 YOUALMOSTHADME Is clear one to beat, but could get caught up in early battle
4 HALINA'S FORTE Tries winners for 1st time for barn that is 6 for 15 at fall meet

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar Picks

By Brad Free
BEST BET: Urban Legend (8th race)
First Race
1. Rhyme Or Reason 2. Sand to Sea 3. Satoshi
Though she misfired on dirt last out, surface-switcher RHYME OR REASON gets the call to upset this Cal-bred maiden turf sprint based
on her runner-up debut two back in a similar Del Mar sprint. 'REASON employs a forwardly placed style that has held the advantage this
meet in turf sprints; she worked well following her dirt misfire. SAND TO SEA, a three-time sprint runner-up, should vie for favoritism.
Both turf starts were solid, runner-up in a sprint at Santa Anita and third in a route at DMR. She is quick, and will be forwardly placed.
SATOSHI finished behind the top pair twice this year, but she is improving gradually. First-time starter PLUM CREEK merits a longshot
look based on trainer and pedigree. Antonio Garcia started two firsters this year sired by Saburo that outran their odds: McGregor Lake
won at $128.80 in June; Saburo's Gal finished second at 9-1 in March.

Second Race
1. Arham 2. Peaceful Waters 3. Good With People
Five entered this N3X/classified sprint; all five have a look. ARHAM disappointed in a $125k route stakes at Albuquerque, but now drops
and returns to the DMR dirt on which he is two-for-two. His closing style could play well in a small field with enough speed; his 90-plus
Beyers are sufficient for this level. PEACEFUL WATERS was in tough in the G1 Bing Crosby in summer. He finished 10th in his first
start for new connections. Off nearly four months since, working well, facing easier, comfortably drawn outside, he can either speed to the
lead or press in the clear. His allowance wins last year (Saratoga) and this spring (Keeneland) are fast enough for this class level in
California. GOOD WITH PEOPLE, 3-for-5 over the DMR track, moves up following a N2X upset at Santa Anita; KINGDOM HEART
is quick, and would keep the pace honest. C Z ROCKET is "back class," having won 12 races and more than $2 million. He is 9-years-old,
and probably lost a step, but he will be rolling late.

Third Race
1. Castleknock 2. Eddie's Last 3. Rahm
Five furlongs on turf is shorter than preferred for CASTLEKNOCK, but his heavy-traffic third on this course in summer might be enough
to handle this N2L starter allowance. But he must rally from behind over a layout that has been kind to speed, and the pace scenario is a bit
murky. Tepid choice only. EDDIE'S LAST, maiden winner on this course at a mile in summer, returned from a short layoff with a solid
runner-up finish at SA. He faces the same challenge as the top choice, rallying from behind in a field without much speed. Lightly raced
RAHM, stablemate of the top choice, fits off his maiden win two back at one mile. MARS ON FIRE has some speed, as does last-out
maiden-20 winner HABEAS. The truth is, this race looks wide open.

Fourth Race
1. Tahoe Secrets 2. Dual Threat 3. Tiz Tok
First-time long, TAHOE SECRETS can upset this low-level N2L claiming route. He has speed for a front-running/pressing trip in a field
light on pace; he did not have great trips either recent start (broke from rail last out, wide trip two back). DUAL THREAT wheels back
eight days after finishing nowhere as a N1X longshot at Golden Gate. 'THREAT ran well both starts over the DMR track in summer
(maiden win, starter allowance third). This is his first try at the bottom class for winners; it is the proper level for the gelding. TIZ TOK
missed by a neck at this level three back; he had excuses for two recent defeats. He was overmatched two back, he stumbled at the break
last out. Obvious contender.

Fifth Race
1. Summer Lake 2. Jessebear 3. Candy On Top
A sibling to stakes winners Big Summer, Ultimate Bango and Tribalist, SUMMER LAKE is the choice in this turf mile for maiden
Calbred fillies and mares based on her runner-up comeback. She missed by a neck while making her first start in a year and a half, and first
around two turns. This is just her fourth start, she worked well since her comeback and will get the jump over her main rival. That is late
runner JESSEBEAR, who ran her final quarter-mile in less than 23 seconds last out, but had too much to do in that speed-dominated race
and finished a neck behind the top choice. One could argue JESSEBEAR ran better. The knock is it was the seventh start of the maiden's
career. Win or lose, she will roll late. CANDY ON TOP is an 18-start maiden whose pressing style could play well in a field without much
true speed.

Sixth Race
1. Big Pond 2. Signora Minister 3. Power Surge
The first two starts by BIG POND were fast sprint wins on dirt that stamp her the one to beat as she returns to preferred footing/distance
after being overmatched on turf in the G1 Del Mar Oaks. She finished next to last at long odds. Sprinting on dirt seems to be her game for
now, recent works are sharp, she runs well fresh and likes the DMR track. She would be tough if she reproduced either of her first two
starts. SIGNORA MINISTER returned to form last out with a relatively fast starter allowance win at SA. 'MINISTER also ran fast over
the DMR surface in summer, and from her outside post she can apply pressure to the top choice. POWER SURGE scratched from a Calbred stakes two weeks ago to wait for this allowance. Her runner-up finish on this track at this level in summer puts her in the hunt.

Seventh Race
1. Hong Kong Harry 2. Easter 3. Astronomer
HONG KONG HARRY won this G2 turf route last year; the multiple graded winner seeks a repeat following a fast turf-mile stakes win
two months ago at SA. A reliable 10-for-17 gelding, 'HARRY targeted this race as his autumn objective; he carries 125 pounds, one more
than his winning effort in this race last year. Plenty of pace to flatter his rally, and also the rally of stablemate EASTER. The latter smoked
his final quarter-mile in :22.36 last time winning a restricted stakes at a mile on turf. The quirky gelding, who was transferred to trainer
Phil D'Amato following his recent win, is less accomplished than the top choice, but his figures are comparable and he will fly late.
ASTRONOMER finished a neck behind 'HARRY two back, then was overmatched and finished nowhere in the Breeders' Cup Mile. This
field is in reach for ASTRONOMER. Since autumn racing began at DMR in 2014, a dozen horses started in this stakes after finishing off
the board in a Breeders' Cup race, four of the 12 won. BALNIKHOV likes the DMR turf course and will rally late. SUMTER stretches out
from a runner-up sprint, and looks like the speed of the field.

Eighth Race
1. Urban Legend 2. Cornell 3. All That Glory
Second-time starter URBAN LEGEND merits top billing in this 2yo maiden sprint following a runner-up debut. He lost by more than 10
lengths, but that was after being hounded by potential superstar Nysos, who returned to crush a G3. 'LEGEND worked well before and
since his debut, and with a race under his belt is likely to improve. He is trained by Bob Baffert and sired by Into Mischief, same as debut
stablemate CORNELL. The latter begins his career with a series of sharp works; his dam won her career debut by four lengths as an earlyseason 2yo in 2015. Baffert popped twice last month with longshot maidens ridden by Kyle Frey ($28.60 Wynstock, $14.80 Nysos). Firsttime starter ALL THAT GLORY debuts with fast works. Juvenile progeny of Goldencents have won a modest 10 percent first out; the
dam of 'GLORY is a 1-for-8 mare who is a sibling to multiple G1-winning sprinter Rock Fall. AIN'T NO JOKE finished an okay third in
his debut on turf. He should improve with a race under belt.

Ninth Race
1. Inner Beauty 2. In Your Face 3. Ruff Ride
Based on her better-than-looked third last out, INNER BEAUTY gets the call in this N3L starter allowance turf mile. She pressed fast
fractions last out, shook off her pace rivals who both finished near the back, then got collared by a pair of closers. 'BEAUTY missed by less
than a length. This field came up with less speed, a softer pace can allow 'BEAUTY to win with an up-front trip. IN YOUR FACE moves
up in class following a sharp N2L claiming win at SA. 'FACE won a maiden race on DMR turf last year, and will be rolling from midpack.
RUFF RIDE ran the best race of her career last out winning a Cal-bred N1X. However, that race was on dirt; this is turf. Either the dirt
moved her up, or the light bulb went on. If the latter, she could score right back. She did win a maiden race on the DMR turf in summer.

[ConleyPicks]

Aqueduct Tip Sheet - November 25

Nov. 24, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	5	Party Is Over	D Davis
PLACE	8-1	7	Lady Astoria	K Davis
SHOW	5-2	1	Kids Last Laugh	J Alvarado
WILD CARD	4-1	8	Take Time to Dream	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	3	It Wasnt Me	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	9	Put the Crazy Away	K Carmouche
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
RACE #2 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	6	Blame D Rule Maker	D Davis
PLACE	7-5	5	Ice Road	M Franco
SHOW	3-1	1	Disappearance	M Olver
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Proven Hope	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	4	Dads Good Runner	R R Maragh
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Jeeper	T McCarthy
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
RACE #3 $16,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:50 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	5	K D Kakes	M Franco
PLACE	5-2	4	Afilada	D Davis
SHOW	4-1	2	Shasi	J A Gomez
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Mouly	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	1	Best Coast	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Rosemary Potatoes	E Ruiz
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
RACE #4 $40,000 CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2B	Fancy Azteca	J A Gomez
PLACE	2-1	1	Royal Meghan	I Castillo
SHOW	6-1	8	Im Buzzy	D Davis
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Pretti Xtreme	M Olver
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	5	Hydra	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Halo City	K Carmouche
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
RACE #5 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:48 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 HAMMERIN AAMER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	8	Hammerin Aamer	L J Luzzi
PLACE	4-1	1	Winning Drive	T McCarthy
SHOW	8-1	4	Grumps Little Tots	J A Gomez
WILD CARD	6-1	5	Blake B.	L R Rivera Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	3	My Friends Beer	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Goldini	R Silvera
* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #6 $75,000 ALLOWANCE 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:17 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Better Humor Me	K Carmouche
PLACE	3-1	7	Queens Masterpiece	J Alvarado
SHOW	7-2	3	Big Bean Christine	K Davis
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Reigning Chick	T McCarthy
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Stella Mars	R Silvera
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Queens Over Threes	T B Alpander
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 2/3/7 BOX
RACE #7 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:45 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	2	Little Skippy	T McCarthy
PLACE	7-2	1	Whenlovetakesover	L R Rivera Jr.
SHOW	2-1	6	Alibi Ike	J R Velazquez
WILD CARD	12-1	9	Pine Alley	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	8	Borletti	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	7	Tuesdays Child	K Davis
* EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/6/9 BOX
RACE #8 $92,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:15 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 BUSTIN BAY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	1	Bustin Bay	J Lezcano
PLACE	7-2	2	Into Happiness	J R Velazquez
SHOW	6-1	5	Amandas Folly	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	5-1	8	Toned Up	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Comparative	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Missy Greer	D Davis
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/5/8 BOX
RACE #9 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:43 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Defining Purpose	J Alvarado
PLACE	5-2	8	Raging Sea	M Franco
SHOW	12-1	1	Ichiban	J Lezcano
WILD CARD	12-1	6	Warriors Ransom	R Silvera
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	2	Julia Shining	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	4	Just Katherine	T McCarthy
* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
RACE #10 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 SWEET LIBERTY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	4	Sweet Liberty	J A Davis
PLACE	9-2	10	Lady Banker	M Franco
SHOW	6-1	2	Mo Damorninggrouch	E Ruiz
WILD CARD	5-1	1	Purest Performance	R Silvera
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	8	Bank Holiday	J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	9	Follow the Fed	M Olver
* EXACTA: 4-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/10 BOX, 1/2/10 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - November 25

Nov. 24, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $8,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	5	Chem Major	A S Arroyo
PLACE	5-1	6	What a Knockout	P Morales
SHOW	7-5	3	Wishing On a Star	S Camacho
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Irish Kitten	C Lindsay
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	8	Disco Queen	F Jara
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	9	Montana Joyce	C E Rojas
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	9	Del Rey Dolly	S Camacho
PLACE	8-1	3	Mambo Dancer	R D Allen Jr.
SHOW	7-2	4	Cartwheel	M J Sanchez
WILD CARD	8-1	1	Drills Valentine	H Villa-Gomez
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	8	Shesasuperfreak	K Gomez
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	5	Chess Not Checkers	H R Diaz Jr.
* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
RACE #3 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:33 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	6	The Big Calico	S Marin
PLACE	3-1	1	Austonian	S Camacho
SHOW	12-1	9	Makizan	R A Bracho
WILD CARD	5-1	10	Buffalo Spirit	F Jara
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Uncaptured Boy	H R Diaz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	8	Fire Baron	L Sosa
* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX
RACE #4 $24,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:01 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 PASSAGE OF LINES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	10	Passage of Lines	M J Sanchez
PLACE	7-2	1	San Costantino	R D Allen Jr.
SHOW	15-1	8	Awesomebrotherbill	S Marin
WILD CARD	10-1	5	Exacting	A S Arroyo
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Sovereign of Speed	I Villalobos
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	4	Great Faces	D Centeno
* EXACTA: 10-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/8/10 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
RACE #5 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:29 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 E MS TREASUREGIRL
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	2	E Ms Treasuregirl	S Camacho
PLACE	5-1	5	Frosty Secret	J A Batista
SHOW	4-1	10	Larned Gaze	H Villa-Gomez
WILD CARD	8-1	11	Lte Stark Winter	S Marin
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	3	Amor Salvaje	A S Arroyo
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	8	Rapid Miss Tapit	M Fuentes
* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/10 BOX, 5/10/11 BOX
RACE #6 $8,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	1	Charlie Lightning	M Jimenez
PLACE	5-1	9	Simpson Bay	E Villasmil
SHOW	20-1	12	San Andres	A A Rodriguez
WILD CARD	9-2	11	Misterchilliwilli	R Feliciano
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	Joyful Ghost	M Allen
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	8	Bet Hes Ready	C Cedeno
* EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-12 BOX, 12-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/9/12 BOX, 9/11/12 BOX
RACE #7 $53,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:28 PM ET
BEST BET: #10 ALEXAS DREAM
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	10	Alexas Dream	M Meneses
PLACE	7-2	2	Perfectly Golden	S Camacho
SHOW	6-1	7	Waterworks	J Hiraldo
WILD CARD	9-2	1	Treasured Gem	V Cheminaud
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Irazu	J R Herrera
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	11	Duneen Bay	H R Diaz Jr.
* EXACTA: 10-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/10 BOX, 1/2/7 BOX
RACE #8 $53,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:58 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	7	Style	M Jimenez
PLACE	2-1	3	Both Sides	P Morales
SHOW	10-1	5	One Tough Dame	C Cedeno
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Delightful Breeze	A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	10	Ritabook	D Centeno
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	1	Kikilove	H R Diaz Jr.
* EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX
RACE #9 $16,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:28 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	2	Charles Chrome	H R Diaz Jr.
PLACE	7-2	5	Gratia Prince	A A Gallardo
SHOW	15-1	12	Skipperini	S Camacho
WILD CARD	12-1	8	Fast Payday	S Marin
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	10	Major Frontier	P Morales
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	7	Joe Brains	D Centeno
* EXACTA: 2-5 BOX, 5-12 BOX, 12-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/12 BOX, 5/8/12 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - November 25

Nov. 24, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	16	Mo Caliente	J L Ortiz
PLACE	6-1	3	Bourbons Fault	J R Leparoux
SHOW	3-1	13	Tireless	L Saez
WILD CARD	9-2	11	Live to Ride	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Mandatory Meeting	J Talamo
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	12	Raguel	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 16-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/13/16 BOX, 3/11/13 BOX
RACE #2 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 LINEBACKER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	6	Linebacker	F Prat
PLACE	4-1	15	Vesture	J R Leparoux
SHOW	7-2	3	Legalize	L Saez
WILD CARD	10-1	13	Riverwalk	L Saez
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	1	El Magnifico	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	11	Full Armor	E Morales
* EXACTA: 6-15 BOX, 15-3 BOX, 3-13 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/6/15 BOX, 3/13/15 BOX
RACE #3 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:56 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	5	Lagynos	J Rosario
PLACE	5-1	10	Gorilla Trek	J R Leparoux
SHOW	6-1	2	Footprint	F Prat
WILD CARD	7-2	11	Depiction	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	7	Thomas Aquinas	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	12	Tifareeh	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/10 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX
RACE #4 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 TARIFA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Tarifa	F Geroux
PLACE	9-2	10	Lookster	J L Ortiz
SHOW	5-1	7	Denim and Pearls	F Prat
WILD CARD	6-1	11	Zadorsky	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	2	Ice Cold	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	Autumn Chill	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX, 7-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/10 BOX, 7/10/11 BOX
RACE #5 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	12	Perfect Shot	T Gaffalione
PLACE	3-1	5	Irinas Charm	J Castellano
SHOW	5-1	16	Lady Moscato	J Castellano
WILD CARD	6-1	9	Flight to Paris	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Legal Deceiver	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	6	Mishka	F Geroux
* EXACTA: 12-5 BOX, 5-16 BOX, 16-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/12/16 BOX, 5/9/16 BOX
RACE #6 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:21 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1	Pendulum	T Gaffalione
PLACE	5-2	3	Floribunda	L Saez
SHOW	3-1	14	Egyptian Candy	L Machado
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Washashore	E Morales
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	9	Dazzlin Dictator	C Landeros
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	13	Pin Up Betty	L Saez
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-14 BOX, 14-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/14 BOX, 3/5/14 BOX
RACE #7 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:49 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 MYSTIK DAN
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	8	Mystik Dan	B J Hernandez Jr.
PLACE	10-1	1	Who Dey	J McKee
SHOW	3-1	5	Informed Patriot	T Gaffalione
WILD CARD	10-1	6	Knicks Storm	L Machado
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	2	Bergen	F Prat
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	10	The Process	J L Ortiz
* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
RACE #8 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:18 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Track Phantom	J Rosario
PLACE	9-2	11	Top Gun Rocket	F Prat
SHOW	10-1	4	Wistucky	M Garcia
WILD CARD	4-1	6	Lat Long	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	13	Hall of Fame	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	12	Droptop Caddy	E Morales
* EXACTA: 7-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/11 BOX, 4/6/11 BOX
RACE #9 $225,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	9	Booth	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	8-1	5	Bye Bye Liam	J L Ortiz
SHOW	10-1	1	Bowstreet	G Corrales
WILD CARD	8-1	8	Divieto	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Normandy Hero	A Achard
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	2	Agoo	D Cannon
* EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/5/8 BOX
RACE #10 $400,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:18 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	7	West Sunset	F Prat
PLACE	8-5	8	Thorpedo Anna	B J Hernandez Jr.
SHOW	8-1	6	Gin Gin	F Geroux
WILD CARD	5-1	5	Central Avenue	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Intricate	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	30-1	4	Heres the Spider	J McKee
* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
RACE #11 $400,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:48 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	7	Risk It	T Gaffalione
PLACE	3-1	6	Stretch Ride	M Chuan
SHOW	8-1	2	Honor Marie	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	5-1	3	Real Men Violin	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	4	Dancing Groom	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	7-2	1	Awesome Road	F Prat
* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
RACE #12 $225,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:18 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	1	Youalmosthadme	T Gaffalione
PLACE	5-2	4	Halinas Forte	M Garcia
SHOW	6-1	10	Sharp Tune	J Rosario
WILD CARD	10-1	8	Field Lass	J R Leparoux
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	2	Fibber	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	6	Ma Raes Girl	R Bejarano
* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/10 BOX, 4/8/10 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Del Mar Tip Sheet - November 25

Nov. 24, 2023

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.

RACE #1 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 SAND TO SEA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	5	Sand to Sea	R Gonzalez
PLACE	8-1	6	In Her Pryme	U Rispoli
SHOW	12-1	7	Plum Creek	M Gutierrez
WILD CARD	3-1	2	Satoshi	K Frey
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	4	Rhyme Or Reason	A Aguilar
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	1	Shes Not Kidding	A Fresu
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
RACE #2 $70,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:58 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	4	C Z Rocket	J J Hernandez
PLACE	5-2	2	Arham	U Rispoli
SHOW	2-1	5	Peaceful Waters	J Torrealba
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Good With People	A Aguilar
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	Kingdom Heart	H I Berrios
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 2/3/5 BOX
RACE #3 $36,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 5 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:27 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 CASTLEKNOCK
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	6	Castleknock	J J Hernandez
PLACE	5-2	3	Paulliac	K Frey
SHOW	8-1	1	Habeas	D A Herrera
WILD CARD	3-1	5	Eddies Last	M Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Mars On Fire	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	4	Rahm	A Fresu
* EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/6 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #4 $14,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:56 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Dual Threat	R A Vazquez
PLACE	4-1	1	Take Charge Curly	K Frey
SHOW	5-1	4	All the Kings Men	T Baze
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Tahoe Secrets	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	5	Tiz Tok	A Ayuso
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Noble Union	T J Pereira
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/7 BOX
RACE #5 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	5	Warrens Paradice	A Fresu
PLACE	4-1	8	Jessebear	D A Herrera
SHOW	5-2	1	Summer Lake	R A Vazquez
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Candy On Top	T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Ashleys Sandcastle	J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Hey Demps	A Ayuso
* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
RACE #6 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	5	Big Pond	R A Vazquez
PLACE	2-1	6	Signora Minister	J J Hernandez
SHOW	4-1	2	Power Surge	T J Pereira
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Kristis Tiger	K Frey
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	R Swirvin Girvin	J Valdivia Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	3	Satin Doll	A Fresu
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #7 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Astronomer	U Rispoli
PLACE	12-1	8	Front Run the Fed	G Franco
SHOW	8-5	4	Hong Kong Harry	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	3-1	2	Easter	A Fresu
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	1	Sumter	E A Maldonado
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Balnikhov	H I Berrios
* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/7/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
RACE #8 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Urban Legend	J J Hernandez
PLACE	4-1	10	Cornell	K Frey
SHOW	8-1	9	Moonlit Sonata	G Franco
WILD CARD	8-1	11	All That Glory	R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	4	Schwarzmeier	H I Berrios
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	1	De Medici	U Rispoli
* EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-9 BOX, 9-11 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/9/10 BOX, 9/10/11 BOX
RACE #9 $40,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 ANNIES JOY
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	7	Annies Joy	A Fresu
PLACE	5-1	4	Ruff Ride	R A Vazquez
SHOW	7-2	2	Miss Lizzy	H I Berrios
WILD CARD	3-1	6	Inner Beauty	T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	1	In Your Face	J J Hernandez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Vincero Grande	D A Herrera
* EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/7 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Northwestern +5.5 over Illinois

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Totals4U

Early Saturday Free Selection: Indiana Hoosiers/Purdue Boilermakers under 53 1/2

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Free play from #1 Sports

Early Saturday's Free Play: Syracuse Orangemen - 2