Sunday 12/3/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 7	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick Four Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)
Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 85 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 7:41P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * BUDDER OFF FRIENDS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FELDZPAR: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface. JESS DYNASTY B: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. FOREVER DYNASTY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. KISS ME FLYIN: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating.
1	BUDDER OFF FRIENDS	2/1	6/1
5	FELDZPAR	5/2	7/1
4	JESS DYNASTY B	8/1	7/1
6	FOREVER DYNASTY	7/2	7/1
2	KISS ME FLYIN	7/2	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	BUDDER OFF FRIENDS	1	2/1	Average	88	89	5.4	0.0	0.0
2	KISS ME FLYIN	2	7/2	Average	85	82	6.0	0.0	0.0
3	PRINCESA ROCK	3	10/1	Average	82	69	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	JESS DYNASTY B	4	8/1	Fast	84	82	3.4	0.0	0.0
5	FELDZPAR	5	5/2	Average	88	85	4.2	0.0	0.0
6	FOREVER DYNASTY	6	7/2	Average	85	79	4.3	0.0	0.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel ParkPURCHASE

Laurel Park - Race 1	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5)
Maiden Claiming $30,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 65 • Purse: $36,000 • Post: 12:25
(PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000, IF FOR $24,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SUMMERSTATEOFMIND is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SUMMERSTATEOFMIND: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SILVERBULLETTWENTY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FORMAL AFFAIR: Hor se has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	SUMMERSTATEOFMIND	7/2	7/2
1A	SILVERBULLETTWENTY	5/2	5/1
7	BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH	5/1	9/1
8	FORMAL AFFAIR	2/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH	7	5/1	Front-runner	68	58	71.8	52.6	46.6
4	AVES MAKIN' WAVES	3	20/1	Front-runner	62	44	63.6	43.8	32.3
8	FORMAL AFFAIR	8	2/1	Alternator/Front-runner	68	58	70.2	54.3	49.3
3	SUMMERSTATEOFMIND	2	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	68	56	75.5	55.6	52.1
1A	SILVERBULLETTWENTY	10	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	66	55	61.4	52.9	45.9
5	DOUBLE NICKEL	5	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	56.9	45.5	35.0
2	TIZAWINNER	1	10/1	Trailer	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1	KICK STARTNESS	4	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	66	49	66.3	41.3	28.8
9	SIN PERMISO	9	50/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	15.2	19.0	2.5

Unknown Running Style: RESTLESS (20/1) [Jockey: Toledo Jevian - Trainer: Iannotti IV Thomas].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Del Mar - Race #8 - Post: 3:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#7 CONQUEST CELSIUS (ML=8/1)
#4 BOSSY BRUIN GAL (ML=5/2)


CONQUEST CELSIUS - This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. This horse brings in a lot of money per race around the track. I believe she can add to the lifetime total in this event. BOSSY BRUIN GAL - I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp race within the last month. Atop this thoroughbred on Nov 18th and Torrealba is right back in the irons today. Filly's last workout should have her fit for today's race. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. O'Neill drops her in this event conditioned properly and ready to go.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 DREAMING OF HOPE (ML=3/1), #5 MISS WORLD PEACE (ML=5/1), #9 CAPO SORELLA (ML=5/1),

DREAMING OF HOPE - Not probable for this entrant to do much running with no success lately in a short distance event. MISS WORLD PEACE - Not a good enough price on this thoroughbred at the likely odds of 5/1. CAPO SORELLA - Don't think this questionable contender will do much running today. That last speed fig was pedestrian when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #7 CONQUEST CELSIUS to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Stakes - 12.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $150000 Class Rating: 106

VALEDICTORY S. - GRADE 3 FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 WAR COURT 20/1
# 8 WIN FOR THE MONEY 5/1
# 12 PALAZZI 4/1

WAR COURT looks to be a very good contender especially at 20/1. Has been running soundly lately and will most likely be up on the front end early on. WIN FOR THE MONEY - Shows signs of the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 102 speed figure which is one of the best in this field. There is a competitive chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. PALAZZI - This entrant has been constatntly racing well lately. Sharp jockey with trainer figures make this horse a strong betting selection.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 83

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER IN 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 BOLD LOOKER 5/2
# 7 UNCLE WATER FLOW 8/1
# 1 DADS GOOD RUNNER 6/1

My pick here is BOLD LOOKER. Looks competitive for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in dirt route races lately. Ran a strong last race. He has decent class ratings, averaging 95, and has to be carefully examined in here. UNCLE WATER FLOW - Has earned sound speed figures in dirt route races in the past. Is tough not to examine given the company run in as of late. DADS GOOD RUNNER - Looks competitive to be up on the front end at the first call. Have to love when any racer makes a quick turnaround.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating:

#2 MISS LINDYSUE (ML=6/1)


MISS LINDYSUE - This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +40. Sub-par try last race out at Mountaineer Park was due to the off-going (she ended up fourth). Will most certainly do better right here without the slop.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MISS SHADY (ML=3/5), #5 SHE HAD A SECRET (ML=4/1), #3 MOONLIGHT TANGO (ML=8/1),

MISS SHADY - The chalk horse is suspect here with the lack of works. You think this horse is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish on top regularly. SHE HAD A SECRET - Awfully difficult to wager on this horse when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. The Brain cautions me to stay away from thoroughbreds in short distance contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance contests recently. MOONLIGHT TANGO - This filly hasn't had any in the money efforts in sprint affairs in the last couple months.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #2 MISS LINDYSUE to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 53

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 18 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 MAKART 2/1
# 4 LITTLE JUNIOR V. 3/1
# 3 JAQUE MATE COCO 10/1

MAKART is tough to overlook as the wager in here. He has been running strongly and the speed figs are among the most respectable in this field. Lisboa has a sharp winning percentage with horses moving in dirt route races. This horse must be given a shot just off the earnings per start in dirt route races alone. LITTLE JUNIOR V. - Should finish in the top three without any problem. The Equibase class rating of today's affair is much lower than his last race. JAQUE MATE COCO - A solid 64 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this group of horses in this race. Last time out, this gelding ran against a tougher crew.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 7	Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta Daily Double
Optional Claiming $50,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 105 • Purse: $54,000 • Post: 3:45P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $18,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 5 AND 1/2 FURLONGS.).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PLANE TALK is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PLANE TALK: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MY PAL MATTIE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed F igure at the distance/surface.
3	PLANE TALK	8/1	3/1
13	MY PAL MATTIE	6/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	PLANE TALK	3	8/1	Front-runner	110	109	118.2	100.2	93.7
13	MY PAL MATTIE	13	6/1	Front-runner	103	97	98.6	98.6	83.6
9	INTO THE SUNRISE	9	5/1	Front-runner	101	97	93.2	88.0	78.5
4	ROBO	4	12/1	Front-runner	100	92	90.6	90.6	73.6
14	BERTIE'S GALAXY	14	8/1	Front-runner	100	98	86.3	92.9	68.4
10	SWING SHIFT	10	30/1	Front-runner	94	78	85.3	85.3	60.3
15	UPHOLD THE LAW	15	7/2	Alternator/Front-runner	98	100	88.9	89.9	77.4
2	DOWAGIAC CHIEF	2	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	93	97	84.4	93.9	72.9
11	CHISELER	11	8/1	Stalker	91	94	89.6	91.0	73.5
7	CORTESE	7	12/1	Stalker	90	93	84.4	86.2	61.2
5	MISTER MMMMM	5	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	104	99	97.6	97.0	93.0
6	B D VALESKI	6	10/1	Trailer	103	105	65.6	96.2	84.7
8	FIELD DAY	8	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	96	84	90.3	90.8	81.3
12	CALL ME MIDNIGHT	12	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	107	94	59.4	89.6	70.1
1	MIDNIGHT ESCAPE	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	98	93	18.0	69.2	54.7

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $48000 Class Rating: 85

FOR RESTRICTED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOR MD BRED OR MD SIRED HORSES WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED/STATE SIRED/RESTRICTED OR STATE CERTIFIED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, OR STARTER AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER,

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 ANGEL ART 8/1
# 5 DEEDS OF LOVE 3/1
# 6 GENIEINABRIDLE 2/1

My selection in this race is ANGEL ART and could score at a price in here. I like the jockey on this filly - competitive chance to win the contest. Ought to be given a shot for this race if only for the respectable speed figure posted in the last contest. This filly has a strong win percentage in dirt sprint races. DEEDS OF LOVE - Ran a strong last race. Must be given consideration given the class of races run lately. GENIEINABRIDLE - This filly has posted some nice finishes in her last few starts. Can't overlook the connections here, a 16 winning percentage, one of the best at getting into the winner's circle.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-Expo

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Post: 5:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$6000 - NON-WINNERS OF $4,501

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 1 ITSONLYROCKNROLL A 9/2
# 5 ALBERGO HANOVER 5/1
# 4 DANCIN LANCE 8/5

ITSONLYROCKNROLL A could be our best wagering option in this race. Might be there at a decent price tag. More than likely one to keep in your exotics. Quite possibly the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 80. A nice contender. Should be considered here if only for the really good TrackMaster Speed Rating recorded in the most recent competition. ALBERGO HANOVER - Post 5 has been winning at a better than expected percentage, suggesting competitive probability of success today. Has the perfect running style to dominate this bunch, according to the pace stats. DANCIN LANCE - Cutting will be looking to score here, has been hot as a pistol recently. Win percent this last month is a sparkling 24. Worth taking a close look at here based on the numbers in the TrackMaster SR department alone.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 4 - Post: 1:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$7200 - CLAIMING $10,000 PA PREFERRED

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 DANCING JOE 7/2
# 4 DONT GET SHOCKED 2/1
# 8 JOLLITY 7/2

DANCING JOE looks great to best this field. This race could very well be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage speed fig will prove that. This standardbred has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 83 average class rating. Should play well for this race. Not many folks know, but the 5 post here at Harrah's Philadelphia has been amazing for a better than expected win rate. DONT GET SHOCKED - Have to lean toward a fine animal coming out of the Harrah's Philadelphia 4 post. The win clip is exemplary, way above normal. The consortium knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This horse will unlock our way to a nice victory. JOLLITY - Had one of the most respectable TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the grouping in his last competition. A good idea to use in your wagers. Mosher knows this race horse well. Fantastic in the money results when starting with one another.

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[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Rideau Carleton

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 9
4	4	CANDID CAMERON	2/1	Pouliot, Stephane - 13	446.68
10	AE	BS TYRRIFIC	N/A	Gagnon, Jimmy - 14	431.75
1	1	TWOMACSONEMACH	8/1	Shepherd, Robert H - 20	427.10
5	5	WHITEMOUNTAINCAMMY	12/1	Auger, Marie-Claude - 6	406.98
9	9	AMERICAN COLT N	10/1	Audet, Denis - 20	400.32
2	2	SPORT A LUCKY STAR	4/1	Roy, William - 7	383.33
7	7	STOCK	15/1	Berube, Pascal - 19	376.14
3	3	CANADIAN EDITION	3/1	Robinson, Robert C - 5	368.92
8	8	MISTER BIG TOP	6/1	Gilchrist, Jason L - 3	359.60
6	6	SENORITA I AM	5/2	Brosseau, Stephane - 14	336.19

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cumberland Raceway

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 11
3	3	INUKCHUK CHUCK	5/1	Graffam, Nicholas - 15	420.02
1	1	STARLIT THISWANMAN	4/1	Case, Walter Jr - 14	416.88
4	4	OSPREY DELTA	3/1	Stevenson, Michael - 9	411.92
6	6	FOXY TROTTIN STICK	6/1	Switzer, Kevin Jr - 19	411.14
5	5	VALYRIAN STEEL	5/2	Campbell, W. Drew - 18	403.03
2	2	GUINNESS	4/1	Ingraham, David - 11	388.17

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 13 - Post: 10:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$14000 - $10,000 GUARANTEED POOL NON WINNERS $10,000 IN LAST 4 STARTS. AE: CLAIMING $40,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 4 CAROLINA BEACH 7/2
# 6 DANCIN DRAGON 3/1
# 9 BETTOR THAN SPRING 15/1

CAROLINA BEACH sure does look ready to end up in the winner's circle. Gelding has one of the most favorable win percents in the race and that could be the deciding factor when they cross the wire. Some drivers just ride better with certain solid standardbreds. That seems to be the case here with Irvine. A really strong play. Seymour has been able to get this interesting entrant to perform when sending to the post. Keep in mind for your exotics. DANCIN DRAGON - Is a clear-cut win contender given the 90 speed figure from his most recent contest. Talk about a dynamic duo, Wrenn and Bendis have some of the best driver/trainer figures at the track. BETTOR THAN SPRING - Talk about a dynamic duo, Myers and Kreiser have some of the best driver-trainer rankings at the track. This horse has a nose for the wire, just look at his better than average win pct.