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9* Baylor +3.5
9* Baylor +3.5
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Re: 3-13-09
MATT FARGO
Penn St. closed the season pretty impressively winning four of five games including a last second victory over Illinois in the second to last game of the season. The Nittany Lions lost at Iowa in overtime two days later but that can be attributed to a big time letdown spot. We don’t have that here as Penn St. easily took out Indiana on Thursday and while it is likely into the field of 65, another win over a quality opponent will not hurt. I am not solid on the quality of this Purdue team. The Boilermakers were a sexy pick to win the Big Ten this season after coming out of nowhere last year and returning virtually the entire team this season. They went 11-2 in the non-conference season with the losses coming against Duke and Oklahoma, nothing to be ashamed of, but a 0-2 in the conference season had people wondering. However the Boilermakers ran off six straight wins and were looking good to compete for the title. However, Purdue went 5-5 down the stretch including losses in three of its last four games and comes into this one with little momentum. Penn St. is a team that can be dangerous if its go to players are playing well. This season’s meetings are a perfect example. During Penn State’s 67-64 upset of the Boilermakers in January, guards Talor Battle and Stanley Pringle combined for 39 points. In a 61-47 loss in February however, Battle was held scoreless for the only time this season and Pringle totaled only five points. The two were a combined 2-of-16 from the field and 1-of-7 from three-point range. Penn State is 14-1 when Battle, Pringle and Jamelle Cornley all reach double figures. Play on neutral court teams that are revenging a loss against an opponent that is coming off a road loss scoring less than 60 points. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 3* Penn St. Nittany LionsComment
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Re: 3-13-09
BeatYourBookie.com
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Friday
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Kentucky (+1.5) over LSU (NCAA)
LSU is 1-8 ATS coming off a road loss by 10 points or more
LSU is 6-16 ATS when the line is between +3 to -3
LSU is 3-10 SU vs. Kentucky since 1997
100* Play Mississippi State (+2) over South Carolina (NCAA)
South Carolina is 2-8 ATS coming off a road win the last 3 seasons
South Carolina is 1-5 ATS after allowing 55 points or less
South Carolina is 2-10 SU when revenging a same season loss
100* Play Temple (+4.5) over Xavier (NCAA)
Temple is 3-0 ATS in all tournament games this season
Temple is 2-0 ATS when playing on a neutral court this season
Temple is 7-2 ATS over the last 9 games
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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Milwaukee (+4.5) over New Orleans (NBA)Comment
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Re: 3-13-09
Craig Trapp
Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
Play: Wisconsin -1.5
Ohio State and Wisconsin are both solidly in the NCAA Tournament and now are only playing for seeding in the big dance. These two only played once this year with Wisconsin winning at home by five. The game was close the whole game and Wisconsin pulled away late but did not cover the spread which was 6.
Betting Trends
Buckeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Badgers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
ATS Overall Records
Ohio State 14-11 Overall ATS, 7-4 Away ATS
Wisconsin 12-15 Overall ATS, 6-7 Away ATS
Craig is going to take the Badgers in this match up. Trends and ATS records really don't point to either team having an advantage. When this occurs you must just go with your handicapping skills. This will be a low scoring game and when looking at these situations I always take the better defense. Wisconsin holds there opponents to under 59 points per game and will hold down the Buckeyes today. Don't expect a huge win this one will be close. SCORE WISC 64 - OSU 59Comment
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