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Thursday 12/28/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
PSP's Data Driven NBA Free Pick: Celtics-16.5 -115
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind.
Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the Boston Celtics as a large home favorite against the NBA-worst Pistons on Thursday night.
Supporting trends: The Celtics are 15-6-2 ATS in their 23 wins this season, and they won eight of those games by 17 points or more. The Pistons covered the spread in a 118-112 loss to Brooklyn on Dec 26, but they are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS win.
Week 17 is here, and on Thursday night we get the Cleveland Browns (10-5, 9-5-1 ATS) taking on the New York Jets (6-9, 5-9-1 ATS) in Amazon Prime's Thursday night football. A rare game where I'm picking an OVER in a prime-time spot hey? Doesn't happen often, but I'm on the OVER on Thursday night. Last game out Cleveland took down the Texans Sunday 36-22. For NYJ, they won on a late FG 30-28. It's a win and they're in the playoffs night for the Browns, so you'll see a team plenty motivated to put on a show. All we need is Flacco to throw some INT's in his own half to give the Jets short field positions and we'll cash this over on the back of the Jets putting up 13-17 points. When these teams clash, high-scoring games often ensue. In their recent 5 meetings, Cleveland has posted 116 points, with New York tallying 99. Notably, the Browns rank 12th in points allowed (20.7 PPG), while the Jets sit at 14th (21 PPG). Though the weather won't be a major concern, expect a chilly kickoff in the high 40s. Worth mentioning, Cleveland has exceeded the total in 4 of their last 5 games and in all 5 of their recent matchups against AFC East opponents. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Arkansas Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech (8:30 PM EST)
Play On: Arkansas Little Rock -120
The Arkansas Little Rock Trojans travel to Tennessee Tech to take on the Golden Eagles on Thursday night. Arkansas Little Rock is 6-8 overall this year while Tennessee Tech comes in with a 5-7 overall record on the season. Little Rock is 8-4 ATS last 12 games when playing in December. Tennessee Tech is 4-9 SU last 13 games overall. Tennessee Tech is 3-10 SU last 13 games in December. My Rocketman line for this game is Arkansas Little Rock to win by 8.8 points. We'll recommend a small play on Arkansas Little Rock tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #256 Oklahoma Sooners+3 over Arizona Wildcats (Thursday, December 28 ESPN) ALAMO BOWL The Wildcats were playing as well as anyone in the country to close out the regular season but the time off will hurts them a great deal in this game. Oklahoma will have a major edge in fans and a backup quarterback that is more than capable of performing at a high level. I believe Coach Fisch is disappointed he did not get an upgraded job and the talent level of Oklahoma from top to bottom is just much stronger than a basketball school from the PAC-12. I feel Oklahoma has the better defense and many fans do not realize that this team won 10 games this season and beat Texas. We will grab the field goal in this game and expect the Sooners to win this game straight-up. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring our Bowl Game of the Year! This play won in 2022 (Mississippi State) and will be one of the most sought-after games in the entire country this weekend. Buy it right here and let Doc and his 52 years of handicapping experience work for you.
I think this number is a little high despite the offenses. Oklahoma, has a new QB, a few new linemen, and a different offensive coordinator all starting in this game. Arizona has a pass-heavy offense, which will give Oklahoma opportunities to make plays with their back seven. The Sooners were stronger against the pass than the run this season. Arizona improved on defense this season and should be able to find some success against a Sooners offense with some changes to key positions. I am looking for a lower-scoring game than the books.
Play on the UNDER 60 Arizona/Oklahoma, This is a free play.
Thursday CBB Free play. My selection is on UCLA minus the points over Oregon State at 10 pm et on Thursday.
This is the game the Bruins have undoubtedly had circled as they look to snap their four-game losing streak. UCLA is off to a disappointing 5-6 start but it has also faced an extremely difficult schedule, going up against the likes of Marquette, Gonzaga, Villanova, Ohio State and Maryland already this season. Oregon State rides a five-game winning streak into Thursday's clash but it was favored in all five of those games. The Beavers have stepped up in class three times previously this season, losing by 21 points against Nebraska, 16 points against Baylor and 25 points against Pittsburgh. UCLA has won three straight meetings in this series with the closest margin of victory being 15 points. Take UCLA
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Golden State are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Miami are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games against Golden State.
I'm laying the 3-points at home with Golden State on Thursday. Warriors will be hosting the Heat, who come in having won and covered 3 in a row. I feel it has Miami a bit overpriced in this one. We are also seeing value with the Warriors right now with the Draymond suspension. Not having Draymond hasn't really hurt them. They are 5-1 in their last 6 with the only loss by just 6 on the road vs the Nuggets. There's also a lot of injury concern for the Heat in this one. Lowry, Robinson and Butler are all questionable. Caleb Martin and Josh Richardson are both doubtful. Warriors are 17-7 ATS last 24 as a home favorite of 6 or les and 23-9 ATS last 32 at home off a road loss. Give me the Warriors -3!
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