Sunday 1/7/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Eagles/Giants OVER 42

The New York Giants are giving up 24.8 points per game this season. They just lost a 25-33 shootout against the Eagles two weeks ago and 25-26 to the Rams last week. This total of 42 is too low when you consider how poorly the Eagles are playing defensively as well. The Eagles have given up at least 25 points in five of their last six games overall. They are giving up 31.5 points per game in those six games. They just gave up 35 points and 449 yards to the Cardinals at home last week. Tyrod Taylor is the best option for the Giants at QB and he has proven it the last two weeks. The weather doesn't look too bad with a 50% chance of rain and only 10 MPH winds forecast as of Friday. Give me the OVER.

[ConleyPicks]

Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Buffalo Bills -2.5

The Miami Dolphins were blitzed by the Baltimore Ravens 56-19 last week while allowing 491 total yards. For some reason they still had their best pass rusher in Bradley Chubb still in the game deep into the 4th quarter of the blowout. Chubb was lost for the season with a knee injury. Now the Dolphins are without their top two pass rushers as they were already without LB Jaelan Phillips.

The injuries are really starting to pile up for the Dolphins now. They lost starting CB Xavien Howard to injury against the Ravens as well. They were already without WR Jaylen Waddle and RB Raheem Mostert, who have yet to practice this week. Tyreke Hill is playing through injury and dealing with distractions with a house fire this week. QB Tua Tagovailoa will play through a shoulder injury suffered against the Ravens. Four of five offensive linemen are listed as questionable as well, and they already lost C Connor Williams to a torn ACL. What a mess this team is right now.

Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills are getting healthier at the end of the season, especially defensively. They will have all hands on deck defensively with the exception of LB Milano, CB White and DT Phillips, who they have been without for quite some time. But DT Jones, S Hyde, S Poyer and LB Miller have all missed time recently and all are back healthy now. The Bills are proving what they can do when healthy defensively, holding their last four opponents to 17.5 points per game and 277 yards per game.

The Bills are also remarkably healthy on offense. They are scoring 28 points per game in their last six games. The Bills put up 48 points on the Dolphins in their first meeting this season. They have now scored 38 points per game in their last three meetings with the Dolphins. They have also put up an average of 445 yards per game in their last four meetings with Miami. Josh Allen simply owns the Dolphins, and he will have his way again considering how short-handed their defense is right now. Bet the Bills Sunday night.

[ConleyPicks]

Going to stop doing the records for these free plays as I will be starting up school this week so I will probably fall behind on the tracking so better to stop it now.

[2trikpony]

Teams Avenging a Week 1 loss today

41-6 ATS since 1989
24-1 in last 25

Active on Broncos +3 and Bears +3

The Team missed playoffs last season
The Team is away
The Team is the Underdog
The Team Lost to the opponent in Week 1
The Game is Week 9 or Later