Thursday 1/18/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: DELAWARE -7.5 over Stony Brook

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Atlantic Sports

Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Northern Kentucky Norse - 3 1/2

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Vegas Steam Line

Your FREE WINNER for Thursday: WILLIAM & MARY -4.5 over Campbell (CBB)

[ConleyPicks]

Free play from Tony Sacco

Tony Sacco's Free Play for THURSDAY is on the Cal Irvine Anteaters

[ConleyPicks]

Frank Sawyer

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR PLAY FOR THURSDAY, 1/18: Camilo Villegas +125 (PGA Prop)

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Thursday afternoon is with Camilo Villegas versus Grayson Murray in Round One head-to-head props. Murray is a prime candidate for a letdown in the first day of this tournament after he won the PGA Sony Open five days ago. Murray won twice on the Korn Ferry Tour last year — but this was just his second victory on the PGA Tour. Murray has three top-15s at The American Express — but he has also missed the cut twice. Villegas comes into this event a bit undervalued after missing the cut at the Sony Open last week. He followed up a second place at the Worldwide Technology Championship with a first place at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship last November. Villegas is no stranger to this event having played here as a professional eight previous times. Take Villegas (7141) versus Murray (7142) in Round One head-to-head props. Best of luck — Frank.

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Capitals-106

[ConleyPicks]

ProSportsPicks

PSP's Data Driven NBA Free Pick: Bulls-2.5 -109
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Chicago Bulls as a short road favorite in Toronto Thursday night. The Bulls have had good results against teams with losing records and the Raptors are in a slump.
Supporting trends: Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Bulls are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the SOUTH DAKOTA JACKRABBITS-9.5 for our Thursday Free Play. South Dakota St. opened the season 2-0 in the Summit League and those wins were sandwiched around a split in the Big Sky/Summit Challenge but the Jackrabbits are coming off a 19-point loss against Nebraska Omaha and are now a half-game out of first place. South Dakota St. returns home where it is 5-2, both losses coming out of the conference against MAC teams Kent St. and Akron. The Jackrabbits finished second in the conference last season and have been pegged to win it this year and can pick up a game on a leader on Thursday. Nebraska Omaha won a pair of games at home against North Dakota and North Dakota St. to improve to 3-1 in the conference. The Mavericks have won three straight games in the Summit League following a 15-point opening loss against Denver and the recent run includes a win at South Dakota which is their only road win of the season. They are 0-7 in their other seven true road games, four by double digits and three others against Air Force, Texas A&M-CC and Idaho St., and there is value based on their current 5-0 ATS run. Play (790) South Dakota St. Jackrabbits

[ConleyPicks]

Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Southern Utah-3.5 -105

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Lundin

MIKE'S MAPLE LEAFS/FLAMES NHL FREE PICK
The Calgary Flames are 11-7-1 at home but the Toronto Maple Leafs are 11-4-6 on the road. They've won the last three head-to-head meetings with the Flames and seven of the last 10.
I think this looks like a potential flat spot for the Flames who are coming off four consecutive wins while we should see a hungry Maple Leafs team looking to end a four-game skid.
This is a classic buy low/sell high spot, and the fact that the Leafs are favorites despite the two teams' recent results is quite telling.
2* FREE PICK ON THE MAPLE LEAFS-124

[ConleyPicks]

Sean Murphy

Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on New York-123 over Vegas at 10:05 pm et on Thursday.
The favorite has gone 8-2 in 10 all-time meetings between these two teams and I think the oddsmakers have got it right once again on Thursday. New York checks in off consecutive wins which come on the heels of a four-game losing streak. The Rangers have fared far better when in positive momentum situations in recent years, going 81-56 in their last 137 contests following a win. They're also 29-21 in their last 50 games after a home win in which they scored four goals or more, as is the case here. Vegas is coming off a 4-1 victory over Nashville on Monday but hasn't delivered consecutive wins since a four-game winning streak from December 6th to 12th. The Knights are dealing with a number of key injuries right now and check in having gone a mediocre 25-27 in their last 52 games following a home win in which they produced at least four goals. Take New York.

[ConleyPicks]

Joey Tron

I like the Pacers+8.5 -115 to cover this spread on the road against the Kings. Reports indicate that newly acquired star Pascal Siakam will not play, however I still believe the Pacers can cover this for us. They may have lost back to back, but I see this as a good spot for them against similar struggling Kings team. The Pacers are great at shooting the ball ranking 1st in the NBA in effective FG% and are excellent in the mid range and near proximity, where they can dominate the Kings. The Kings shooting defense is not the best as they rank 29th in 3PT% and 24th in effective FG%. The Kings have allowed an average of 124 PPG their L3 and the Pacers need to attack the rim in this one. The Kings are 9-11 ATS at home and the Pacers are 11-8 ATS on the road. Take points with the Pacers here. -Joey Tron

[ConleyPicks]

Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Stanford-2.5
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*