3-20-09

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    3-20-09

    Maddux Sports

    EARLY NCAA TOURNAMENT PICKS
    #827 - NCAA - 3 units on Stephen Austin +12
    #847 - NCAA - 4 units on Cornell +13
    #851 - NCAA - 3 units on Wisconsin +2.5
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    #2
    Re: 3-20-09

    Matt Farrgo Guaranteed Selections
    Date: Friday, March 20, 2009
    $50.00 Guaranteed: ***** went 12-8 ATS (60%) during the conference tourneys and his TOP RATED REPORTS were king! During the regular season, his 10* GAME OF THE YEAR reports went an AWESOME 8-4 ATS (66.7%)! His 9* and 10* GOY Tournament reports went a TREMENDOUS 8-2 ATS (80%) for a combined 16-6 ATS (72.7%)! 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR goes Friday! Do not miss out on this MONSTER! Guaranteed! 3/16/2009

    **10** 1ST RND GAME OF THE YEAR *16-6 RUN* Wisconsin comes into the NCAA Tournament as a number 12 seed meaning it along with Arizona was the last teams to get into the field of 65. It may come as a surprise to many that the Badgers were seeded so low but not me. I didn’t think they deserved to be here in the first place. The Badgers finished strong, going 7-2 over their last nine games but included in those seven wins were four victories against teams not making the tournament including two against Indiana. Wisconsin quietly bowed out of the Big Ten Tournament with a loss against Ohio St. which was its 9th loss this season when it had a lead with under six minutes remaining. Sure, that said the Badgers have hung around in their games this season but it also tells us that they do not have what it takes to win these games down the stretch. Solid defense has been the difference in year’s past but that is not the case this year. After leading the nation in scoring defense last year, the Badgers haven’t been nearly as efficient this year. When Indiana shot 54 percent against Wisconsin in Sunday’s regular-season finale, they hit the postseason allowing opponents to shoot 44.0 percent from the floor which was good for ninth place in the Big Ten. After the Buckeyes game, they are allowing 44.4 percent shooting and here is the real kicker. Wisconsin is one of only four teams in the entire tournament that is getting outshot on the season (Michigan, Tennessee-Chattanooga and Portland St. are the others). The schedule has been tough as it is ranked 11th in the nation but in comparison. The Seminoles have played the 13th ranked schedule and they have outshot opponents by +4.9 percent. Over the last five games, Florida St. is +10.5 percent in shooting margin while the Badgers are -5.7 percent in shooting margin. That is an enormous difference. Florida St. made a great run through the ACC Tournament and this is a dangerous NCAA Tournament team. The Seminoles are long and athletic and they are dangerous both up top and down low and a combination of the two is often the main ingredient for advancing in this tournament. Guard Toney Douglas finished the regular season by scoring in double figures in 19 straight games, including 19 or more points in his last 15 ACC games while averaging 23.5 ppg during that span. Center Solomon Alabi leads the ACC with 67 blocked shots, and the Seminoles finished the regular season with twice as many blocked shots (180) as their opponents (89). The Badgers will no doubt be keying on Douglas but as mentioned, the defense is far from what it used to be like as there is no lock down defender similar to Michael Flowers from last year. The Seminoles are allowing opponents to shoot 9.3 percent less than what the Badgers are allowing opponents to shoot over the last five games. Considering Florida St. has played Duke twice and North Carolina in that span, it is even more impressive. Wisconsin is just 3-10 ATS in the second half of this season when playing a team with a winning record. It has struggled against the better defensive teams, going 1-9 ATS in the second half of the year against teams allowing 42 percent shooting or better. Florida St. meanwhile is 7-1 ATS following a loss this season and it has won those games by nearly 10 ppg. If there is a team that matches up well with Pittsburgh in this bracket, it is the Seminoles, just look at the first meeting this season, and we could see a Sweet 16 rematch next weekend. 10* Florida St. Seminoles

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      #3
      Re: 3-20-09

      Fairway Jay

      CBB
      20* Big Drive: Utah Pk (824)
      3/20/09

      CBB
      Stephen F. Austin +12 (827)
      3/20/09

      CBB
      Big Drive: USC -2 (841)
      3/20/09

      CBB
      North Dakota State +10.5 (843)
      3/20/09

      CBB
      Cornell +13 (847)
      3/20/09

      CBB
      Wisconsin +2.5 (851)
      3/20/09

      CBB
      Portland State +10.5 (853)

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        #4
        Re: 3-20-09

        Gold Sheet Key Release won eariler on Thrusday with MARYLAND!

        FRIDAY'S KEY IS UTAH STATE!!!!

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          #5
          Re: 3-20-09

          Karl Garrett

          30 DIMER - WAKE FOREST....
          10 DIMERS - FLORIDA STATE, & BOSTON COLLEGE




          30 DIMER - WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS


          I will answer the question I posed on my home page...Wake Forest will blow this team out!
          I know the Deacons haven't been anywhere near where they were earlier this season, but this is still a team that held down the #1 ranking in the land for a cup of coffee, and I think today's opponent is tailor-made for a game that may stay close for a while, but gets outta control late. Cleveland State did take the Horizon Tournament, but the Horizon was most definitely in a down year this year, and it is likely the Vikings are going back home with a double-digit loss hung on them. Wake has covered 5 of their last 7 when laying points, and they cover tonight, as the Demon Deacons show why they were once ranked #1 in the nation with the ringing win tonight.



          10 DIMER - FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES

          I saw enough of Wisconsin on TV this season to know they will not win this game against Florida State. The Badgers simply don't have a reliable enough offense to avoid going into a 5-minute drought or so, which they seem to do at least twice a game.
          Florida State served notice with a solid run in the ACC tournament that they can play with the best of them, and after tangling with mighty North Carolina, playing Wisconsin will seem like a walk in the park. The Badgers did drop 3 of their final 5 games straight up, and 4 of those 5 against the spread.
          Have to side with the Sems minus the small impost, as I have a feeling Florida State is sticking around for another dance.



          10 DIMER - BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES

          Yesterday the Cal Golden Bears of the Pacific 10 were a slight favorite over the ACC's Maryland Terrapins, and the Terps controlled that game for just about the full 40 minutes.
          Today we have another slight Pac 10 favorite in USC going up against another team from the ACC.
          You see where I am going with this? Boston College has beaten Duke, and North Carolina already this season, and I am just not sure why they are getting no love against a team that I feel is the "chic" "it" team right now.Yes, the Trojans did take the Pac 10 tourney, but they has lost 6 of 9 coming into that tournament, so the G-Man sure as shit ain't sold on Tim Floyd's crew.
          I am back BC in this one.






          Today's Complimentary Selection

          G-Man on a 7-3 comp play run entering Friday's action.
          After watching both number one seeds destroy the competition yesterday, I have a feeling Louisville will follow suit tonight with a destruction of Morehead State.
          The Eagles won the play-in game on Tuesday, but only netted 58-points in doing so. In fact, Morehead has been in the 60's or less in 3 in a row, and 5 of their last 6.
          I have a feeling State is going to have a very hard time keeping pace with this Louisville team.
          Don't be surprised if Louisville ends this game in triple-digits the way # 1's Connecticut, and North Carolina did yesterday.
          The Redbirds have won 10 straight, and they have covered their last 4, and 8 of their last 10.
          Pitino's team is playing with an energy level that will see them in Detroit before long.
          Go right ahead and lay this big number, as the 'Ville makes their statement on Friday night.
          4? LOUISVILLE

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            #6
            Re: 3-20-09

            Raging bull

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            SOCCER:

            HSC MONTPELLIER/STADE BRESTOIS 29 over 2 (France Ligue 2)

            HANSA ROSTOCK/TUS KOBLENZ over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)

            VFL OSNABRUCK/ROT WEISS OBERHAUSEN over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)

            NCAA:

            CORNELL vs. MISSOURI OVER 145

            UTAH STATE +5

            NORTH DAKOTA STATE +10

            SIENA +3

            FLORIDA STATE -2.5

            FLORIDA -5

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              #7
              Re: 3-20-09

              Mike Devine Sports


              CBB
              3/20/2009
              Best Bet! TENNESSEE -2

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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98821

                #8
                Re: 3-20-09

                Bob Valentino

                Friday's 25 Dime winner!
                25 DIME -- UTAH (minus the points vs. Arizona)
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98821

                  #9
                  Re: 3-20-09

                  Marc Lawrence Playbook Newsletter

                  3* Siena over the team they are playing
                  4* Utah over Arizona
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98821

                    #10
                    Re: 3-20-09

                    igz1 sports

                    Friday CBB Action !!
                    Thursday Recap: 2-1 CBB (+60 pts)

                    CBB
                    4* Syracuse -11.5 (-110)
                    3* Kansas -10 (-110)
                    3* Pittsburgh -19.5 (-110)
                    3* Louisville -20.5 (-110)
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98821

                      #11
                      Re: 3-20-09

                      Sixth Sense

                      2% Utah St/marquette Under 142.5

                      2% Syracuse -12

                      2% Marquette -4

                      3% E. Tennessee St/pittsburgh Under 149

                      2% Cornell/missouri Under 146.5

                      2% Arizona/utah Under 134.5

                      2% Usc/boston College Over 136

                      2% Siena/ohio State Under 142.5

                      2% Robert Morris/michigan State Under 131.5

                      2% Ohio State -3
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98821

                        #12
                        Re: 3-20-09

                        12:25p
                        The Prezz NA
                        Oklahoma State r838
                        +3.0 (-110) / 5 units


                        2:55p
                        The Prezz NA
                        East Tennessee St r835
                        +21.0 (-110) / 3 units


                        3:00p
                        The Prezz NA
                        Cornell r847
                        +14.0 (-110) / 5 units


                        7:10p
                        The Prezz NA
                        Arizona r823
                        Utah r824
                        u135.5 (-110) / 7 units


                        9:55p
                        The Prezz NA
                        Florida State r852
                        -2.5 (-110) / 4 units
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98821

                          #13
                          Re: 3-20-09

                          Jeff Scott Sports

                          4 UNIT PLAY

                          Ohio State/ Siena Over 142

                          The Over is 5-1 in Buckeyes last 6 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5, while the Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 non-conference games. Siena's games have averaged 147.7 ppg overall and 154 ppg when playing away from home, plus their last 10 games have averaged 152.2 ppg. The saints rank 28th in scoring at 77.7 ppg and 31st in FG% at 47.7%, while their odefense is 228th in points allowed (70 ppg) and 194th in defensive FG% (43.7%). Now the Buckeyes aren't your offensive juggernaut as they have averaged just 66.7 ppg, but they are an efficient offense as they are 9th in FG% (48.4%). With that kind of shooting I can easily see them getting 70+ in this one. The Buckeys have also hit 37.9% from beyond the Arc (33rd) and 70% from the FT line (136th). The Buckeye defense is tough, but the Saints have been able to score on everyone this year and I see tonight's game as no different. Siana will get the Buckeyes into a running game and I look for a game in the 150's here.


                          3 UNIT PLAYS

                          Syracuse -11.5 over Stephen F. Austin

                          The Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. the Lumberjacks have had a fine season as they went 23-7 overall, including a 7-4 mark vs non-conf opponents, but they did play 3 schools from the BCS conferences (Texas A&M, Texas Tech and Arkansas) and they were 0-3 vs those schools and were outscored by 12.3 ppg in those games. The Orange have been impressive down the stretch, but the OT's in the Big East tourney finally caught up with the in the Big East Final and they eventually lost the Title game to Louisville. Before the 6 OT game the Orange had been playing some of the best ball in the country. Greanted they beat up on some bottom feeders in the Big East, but prior to the UConn game the Orange went 5-0 and those wins included a 25 pt win over St Johns, a 24 pt win over Cincinnati, a 30 pt win over Rutgers and a 15 pt win over Seton Hall. Why do I list those games? Because I feel that those teams could still probably beat the Lumberjacks and If the Cuse can demolish those teams then they should be able to take this one by 15+ with ease. The Cuse are now rested and ready and should have an easy win here.


                          Pitt/ East Tennessee State Over 147.5

                          The Over is 8-2 in Buccaneers last 10 neutral site games, while the Over is 6-0-1 in Panthers last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. The Buccaneers have been anoffensive machyine of late as thyey have averaged a whopping 89.4 ppg in their last 5 games. Overall ETSU is 18th in the nation in scoring at 78.5 ppg and 51st in FG% at 46.6%. Pitt comes in averaging 78 ppg overall (26th) and they are 12th in FG% hitting 48.2% of their shots. Pitts defense has been good overall as they have allowed just 64 ppg, but gthey may be tiring a bit down the stretch as they have allowed 73.6 ppg in their last 5 games. EYTSU has not been a good defensive team this year, as they have allowed 70.4 ppg overall (231st) and 74.6 ppg in their neutral site games. When Pitt has been a double digit fav this year their games have averaged 149.9 ppg, while ETSU's neutral site games have averaged 154.6 ppg. Both teams will look to push the ball in this one, so i look for a game that will approach the 160's.

                          Dayton/ West Virginia Over 126.5: The Over is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 neutral site games and 19-5 in their last 24 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, while the Over is 5-1 in Mountaineers last 6 vs. Atlantic 10. The Flyers last 6 games have averaged 144.2 ppg, while their neutral site games have averaged 138.8 ppg on the year. West Virginia's games have averaged 134 ppg on the year, including 133 ppg in their neutral site games and 135.8 ppg in their last 5 games. Both defense have played well this year, but the offenses have stepped it up of late and should be able to put enough on the board to get an easy over here.


                          2 UNIT PLAY

                          Missouri -12.5 over Cornell

                          The Big Red are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, while the Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Cornel has had a nice year but most of their damage has been done at home this year, where they went 13-0. Once the Big red left their home court this team went just 8-9, including neutral games. Back in Nov & Dec, Cornell played St John's, Siena, Indiana, Syracuse, Minnesota and St Joes all away from home and were 0-6 in those games and were outscored by 12.5 ppg in those games. Missouri is better than all of thos teams so Cornell should have some real struggles today vs a team that has just won the Big 12 Tourney and may just find themselves in the Final Four when all is said and done. Missouri by 15+ here.


                          1 UNIT PLAY

                          Oklahoma State/ Tennessee Under 157.5

                          The Under is 7-2 in Volunteers last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, while the Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 5-1 in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog. Down the stretch the Cowboys gamnes have been a bit lower scoring than normal as they have averaged 140.1 ppg in their last 7 games. The Vols last 10 games have averaged just 145.6 ppg. Both teams can score but teams have been playing better defense of late and that will keep the score down here.
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98821

                            #14
                            Re: 3-20-09

                            BobbyClarkeSports: 3-5 yesterday (5-11-1) -$4940

                            NCAA:
                            Arizona State -5.5 Wager 990 to win 900
                            OK State +2 Wager 990 to win 900
                            Cornell +12.5 Wager 990 to win 900
                            Arizona +1.5 Wager 990 to win 900
                            Morehead State +21.5 Wager 990 to win 900
                            USC-2.5 Wager 990 to win 900
                            Portland State +10.5 Wager 990 to win 900
                            Robert Morris +16 Wager 990 to win 900
                            Wisconsin +2.5 Wager 990 to win 900
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98821

                              #15
                              Re: 3-20-09

                              Jake Timlin
                              Friday's Action
                              900? Utah State Aggies

                              Tipping off the day in grand style I like the Aggies to not only cover today’s game, but I expect for Utah State to pull off the upset against Marquette. The same Utah State team that is the only 30 win team in the tournament thanks to the Aggies being one of the top efficient teams in the nation thanks to their amazing assist to turnover ratio. Plus, the selection committee did Utah State a huge favor by putting the Aggies in the west regional with a opening round game in familiar arena in Boise, Idaho. Meanwhile, for Marquette they have not been the same team since Dominic James was lost for the season due to an injury as the Golden Eagles have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Flat out, the Aggie are 30-4 this year for a reason and with that I look for them to earn win 31 as they upset Marquette. With that take Utah State plus the points for added insurance.

                              All Utah State!

                              100? Utah Utes

                              The one team that is being dissed the most might just be the Utes as nobody is really giving them a change today. Well not only am I giving them a chance, but I see the Utes having their way with the Wildcats today. After all given that Utah has wins over LSU, Gonzaga and a regular season and tournament league title it’s not like the Utes are chopped liver here today. Not like Arizona who has lost 5 of their last 6 games and should not even be playing in the big dance this season. Meanwhile, while all the talk has been about the Wildcats three potential NBA players don’t underestimate the Utes talented lineup the features seven foot Luke Nevill who might just be the best player on the floor today. Flat out, Utah in my opinion is the better team here and it will show as it will be the Utes advancing with a win.
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