3-20-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

ATS Tourney

NCAA
5 units Ariz +1.5
4 units Ariz St -5.5
4 units WVU -9

NIT
5 units Auburn -6
4 units San Diego St -5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

Charlies Sports - Early
cbb. syracuse vs stephan f austin over 130' (500*)
cbb. east tenn st+20 (30*)
cbb. sf austin+11' (20*)
cbb. tennessee vs oklahoma st over 156 (20*)
cbb. temple+5' (10*)
cbb. kansas-10(10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

Dave M@linsky
GAME: Utah State @ Marquette Mar 20, 2009 12:30PM
SPORT: College Basketball Picks
PICK: Marquette
Offered at: -4.5
REASON FOR PICK: 4* #850 MARQUETTE over UTAH STATE
12:30 Eastern

No, Marquette is not the same team without Dominic James. But now that there has been a full week of practice time to make some adjustments the Golden Eagles are still far better than this opponent, and bring some major matchup advantages that they can exploit, along with a sincere sense of purpose – you will see shaved heads when they take the court today, a sign that seniors Jerel McNeal, Wesley Matthews and the supporting cast have not given up on their mission.

While Marquette was indeed 1-5 after losing James, when you take a closer look it is difficult to find any fault at all. Three of the defeats came against tourney #1 seeds Louisville (62-58 in a hard-fought game on the road), Pittsburgh (where they led by nine on the road in the second half), and Connecticut (the actual game in which James was injured); while the other two were vs. #3 seeds Syracuse (in overtime) and Villanova (76-75 at the buzzer in Madison Square Garden). The only time they stepped down in class at all in that span was a 74-45 blowout of St. John’s in the Big East tourney opener. And the reality is that they are stepping way down in clss again.

With James this was a Final Four contender, but without him the Sweet 16 may still be within reach, and this particular opponent was an excellent draw. The athleticism of McNeal and Matthews will be too much for a slow Aggie defense, which means penetration to the basket to set up easy scoring opportunities, and likely foul trouble as well for a team unaccustomed to this level of athleticism. The Utah State schedule rated only #179 this season, without a single road game against an NCAA tourney team, and yet there were signs of wear down the stretch anyway – late-season road losses by 10 at Boise State, 13 at Nevada and 11 at a Saint Mary’s team without Patty Mills, and in the W.A.C. tourney the Aggies trailed New Mexico State by 13 in the second half of the semi-finals before gutting out a one-point win.

Stew Morrill is one of the best tactical coaches around, but you do not attract great athletes to Logan, Utah. As such he has only gone 1-6 in the Big Dance with this program, and the resume does not bring nearly enough to be in this short of a price range against this class of opponent.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

RJ_Bell | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet848 Missouri -12.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 847 Cornell
Analysis: Favorite Game of Year:

Triple Dime:

Missouri -12.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

dr guru

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3/20/09
NCAA BASKETBALL
12* Marquette -4.5
5* Ohio State -4
5* Oklahoma State +2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

The real animal




Pick title: 2* Marquette -4 1/2
Pick Date: 03/20/2009
Pick description:
Utah State is 0-6 SU since 2002 in the first round of either the NCAA or NIT Tournament. If you don't think that's critical, consider the fact BYU is now 0-8 in round #1 after yesterday's defeat to Texas A&M. This line is giving a ton of respect to the Aggies against a member of the best conference in the country. I know Marquette stumbled down the stretch without Dominic James, but two of their last four defeats were by four points at Louisville and by a single point to Villanova in the Big East tourney last week. The venue today in Boise is preventing the Golden Eagles from appearing on the premium side. But knowing Utah State lost by double digits at Boise State, St. Mary's, and Nevada since Valentines Day has me skeptical about this team given their track record in round #1. Note Marquette is 9-2 ATS in all neutral court games the last two years and 7-0 ATS when the posted total is in the 140's. Take the Golden Eagles -4 1/2 and now steaming to -5.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

M@LINSKY

4- Marquette -4.5

4- Pitt -19.5

4- Dayt/Wvirg Under 128

5- Michigan State -16.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

CRAIG TRAPP TOP PLAY

Craig has this ACC and Big Ten Clash as a key game of the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Not necessarily because one of these teams can win it all but more to see how the two conferences do against each other. Take a look at records and trends below!

Team records:

Wisconsin: 19-12 SU, 12-16-1 ATS
Florida State: 25-9 SU, 18-9-1 ATS

Wisconsin most recently:

When playing on Friday are 9-1
Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
After a loss are 5-5

Florida State most recently:

When playing on Friday are 6-4
Florida State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
After a loss are 9-1

Sitting your conference power rankings before the NCAA Tournament can be a key indicator for the both bracket winners and ATS winners. Craig had the ACC ranked #2 and the Big Ten as #4. How do we use this to help pick winners. Easy in this match up Craig had the game as -6 FSU and even at that number still liked FSU. Pretty simple in this game Tony Douglas is the best scoring guard in the tournament and Wisconsin has not faced anybody nearly as good as him all year. Last loss to Ohio State the badgers struggled to stop Turner which is not as good as Douglas. This game might get out of hand early and with the style of Wisconsin might be trouble for them coming back. This spread is a gift and love it. SCORE FSU 72 - WISC 63

[Guest]

Re: 3-20-09

Sebastian-UNDER Arizona State
Winner Line-Cornell
OTM-UNDER Pitt.
Rocky Mountain-Pitt.
Kevin Kennedy-Pitt.

[Guest]

Re: 3-20-09

Wunderdog

Game: Tennessee vs. Oklahoma State (12:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oklahoma State -2 (-110)

Tennessee lost 133 out of 200 minutes of contributions from last year's team that lost trying to advance to the Elite 8. This team took some time to gain experience, and came within three points of winning the SEC Championship, so they are ready. Oklahoma State had a shinning moment in the Big-12 Tournament by knocking off Oklahoma. The problem is that they dropped all of their road conference games to the good teams. Out of conference, they got hammered by the good teams as well. I think this team is still a year away from winning in the NCAA Tournament, so I'll go with Tennessee here.

[Guest]

Re: 3-20-09

SportsBetCapping

rough day yesterday 3-8 combined..

early games:
Tenn -2 (5X)

[Guest]

Re: 3-20-09

Beat Your Bookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Friday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Temple (+5) over Arizona State (NCAA)

Temple is 10-1 ATS when playing in the month of March the last 3
seasons
Temple is 6-0 ATS coming off a win by 6 points or less this season
Temple is 6-0 ATS in all tournament games this season


100* Play Cornell (+13) over Missouri (NCAA)

Cornell is 11-0 ATS after scoring 60 points or less in the last game
Cornell is 8-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in the last game
Cornell is 28-4 SU coming off an UNDER the total the last 3 seasons
Cornell is 15-2 SU coming off a conference home win


100* Play Cleveland State (+8) over Wake Forest (NCAA)

Wake Forest is 9-26 ATS when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5
points
Wake Forest is 1-9 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points
Wake Forest is 6-17 ATS when playing in Friday road games
Wake Forest is 1-9 ATS in all NCAA Tournament games

[Guest]

Re: 3-20-09

Vic Monte

500* Louisville.
500* Temple.

[Guest]

Re: 3-20-09

Bob Balfe

NCAA Basketball
Cornell/Missouri Over 146
East Tennessee State +20 over Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -8 over Cleveland State
Morehead State +21 over Louisville
Boston College +2.5 over USC
Ohio State -3 over Siena
Utah State/Marquette over 142

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 3-20-09

Beat Your Bookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Friday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Temple (+5) over Arizona State (NCAA)

Temple is 10-1 ATS when playing in the month of March the last 3
seasons
Temple is 6-0 ATS coming off a win by 6 points or less this season
Temple is 6-0 ATS in all tournament games this season


100* Play Cornell (+13) over Missouri (NCAA)

Cornell is 11-0 ATS after scoring 60 points or less in the last game
Cornell is 8-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in the last game
Cornell is 28-4 SU coming off an UNDER the total the last 3 seasons
Cornell is 15-2 SU coming off a conference home win


100* Play Cleveland State (+8) over Wake Forest (NCAA)

Wake Forest is 9-26 ATS when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5
points
Wake Forest is 1-9 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points
Wake Forest is 6-17 ATS when playing in Friday road games
Wake Forest is 1-9 ATS in all NCAA Tournament games