3-25-09

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 11:48 AM

Re: 3-25-09

Jeff Scott
5 UNIT PLAY (CBI GOY)

Stanford -3 over OREGON STATE: The Cardinal are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite, while the Beavers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Wednesday games. Oregon State took both meetings in the regular season, but the Cardinal got a measure of revenge in the PAC-10 Tourney. Stanford has gone 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 trips to Corvallis. Stanford has taken their 1st 2 gamnes of the CBI tourney rather easily, as they crushed Boise State by 20 points and then they won at Wichita State by 14. Oregon State has had the easier schedule in the CBI Tourney, yet they could only beat Houston by 4 (at home) and then they won in OT vs a Vermont team that had to fly all the way cross-country to play the game. OSU has had a hard time at the offensive end of the court this year, as they have averaged just 59.5 ppg (320th) and they have averaged 56.7 ppg vs the Pac-10 this year. Stanford has had no such problems at that end of the floor. The Cardinal comes in averaging 72.9 ppg (84th) on 45.6% shooting (79th) and they also shoot 38.1% (30th) from beyond the Arc. The Beavers do have the advantage at the defensive end as they allow just 63 ppg compared to the Cardinal that allows 68.9 ppg. The Cardinal does have a slight edge on the boards (288th to 338th), plus they have a big edge at the FT line as they are 101st (72.9%) at the charity stripe, while the Beaver as are 293rd (64.6%). The Cardinal comes in averaging 77.6 pg in their last 5 games, while the Beavers have averaged just 56 ppg in their last 5. Despite the defensive edge the Beavers own and the fact they they are playing at home, I just don't see OSU being able to score enough to stay with the hot Cardinal in this one. Stanford big in this on

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 11:48 AM

Re: 3-25-09

Redd-
St. Mary's - 20 dime
Notre Dame - 5 dime
UTEP - 5 dime

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:19 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Stanford Cardinal @ Oregon State Beavers - Wednesday March 25, 2009 10:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Stanford Cardinal -3 (-110)

This game will be the fourth match-up between these two teams this season. Stanford was able to get the win against Oregon State in the Pac-10 Tournament to avenge their two losses to the Beavers earlier in the season. In that game, the Cardinal was able to hold the Beavers to 39% shooting overall and only 26 points in the 2nd half. Stanford has shown up to play in the CBI, evident by their two dominant blowout wins against Boise State and Wichita State. I look for them to play with great intensity in this game, as they do not want to fall for a 3rd time against lowly Oregon State. Look for Stanford to get the road win and cover.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:20 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Karl Garrett

30 DIMER - STANFORD CARDINAL....
10 DIMERS - ST. MARY'S GAELS, & NJ NETS

30 DIMER - STANFORD CARDINAL

I am sorry, but the only reason this Oregon State is in this tournament is because the head coach is President Obama's brother in-law. How else can you explain letting in a team that was, and still is BELOW .500 into a post-season tournament?!?!?!
Stanford may have lost both regular season meetings with the Beavers, but the Cardinal did come through with a pull-away win, and cover earlier this month in the Pac 10 tournament, winning by 8 as the 7-point fave.
That cover put Stanford at 13-5 against the spread the last 18 series meetings!
The Cardinal have looked very strong in blasting both Boise State, and Wichita State by double-digits to get to this round, while the Beavers have had to go deep to the well to beat back both Houston, and Vermont in their first 2 rounds of this tourney.
Stanford will rout this team tonight by 10 points minimum!

10 DIMER - ST. MARY'S GAELS

G-Man getting all caught up in the Patty Mills story these days, as the Gaels feel that they should have been Big Dancin' instead of playing in the NIT. Either way, it has been fun to watch this St. Mary's team compete, and I have a feeling that they are not done with their "mission" just yet.
The Aztecs have had the few extra days to prep, and they are at home, but they have lost to this Gaels' team 4 of the last 5 times they have met, and they are just 1-3-1 against the spread in those 5. The most recent tilt came in December at San Diego State, and the Gaels did win outright by 3 as the 3-point fave.
Tonight we are getting a few points!?!?!? Take the Gaels!

10 DIMER - NEW JERSEY NETS

Definitely feel this price is inflated on the current #1 seeded Cavaliers, as the Nets are a decent 20-15 against the spread this season on the road.
New Jersey has lost badly the last 3 season series meetings, but overall, the Nets are 18-8 against the spread the last 26 series meetings, and they do catch the Cavaliers riding a 9-game winning streak, and as we all know in the NBA that the longer a winning streak mounts, the harder it gets for the winning team to cover the inlfated prices the linesmakers place on them.
Tonight is just such a case. New Jersey will not win outright, but they will cover this roomy impost.

Take the Nets and the points

Today's Complimentary Selection
NBA comp play winner from the G-Man last night on the Lakers minus the points.
Tonight the G-Man takes the points with the Timberwolves, as Minnesota may be riding a 5-game losing streak, but they are hitting the Sixers at the right time.
Philly is fresh back from a 5-game west coast road swing that saw them go to overtime on Monday in their outright win at Portland.
This is just too many points for Phiadelphia to be laying, as the 76ers are only 15-17-2 against the spread at home this year, while the T-Wolves come into this one on a 15-6-1 road spread run their last 22 games.Minnesota has also won the last pair of series meetings, and 4 of the last 5 outright.
The road team in the series is also on a 6-2-1 spread run the last 9 showdows, making the points the play.
Take Minnesota here.

4? MINNESOTA

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:20 PM

Re: 3-25-09

M@LINSKY

4* #670 CLEVELAND/NEW JERSEY Under

Although our last two forays with this concept have not worked, with
one of them that bitter (for us) Portland/Cleveland overtime affair
last Thursday, we will not back off of one of the strongest
late-season concepts out there ? the way that Mike Brown gears his
Cavaliers up for the playoffs by slowing the pace, and cranking up
the defensive intensity. To recap, Brown went 14-3 to the Under as a
home favorite after the All Star break LY, an indication of how he
would manage games when his team had the ability to control the flow,
and the run is 7-1 in the same category this season (remember that we
only chart regulation scores), making for a lights-out 21-4 in
tonight?s role the past two campaigns. And note that the more control
he has the more he shuts things down ? when favored by -9 or more in
that span it has been an 8-1 push to the Under in which the nine
games finished a collective 125 points below the oddsmakers
projections, or a substantial 13.9 per game.

New Jersey can not do anything to change that flow without Devin
Harris in the lineup. These two just played to a 184 on the Nets home
floor on Sunday, but note how misleading that count was ? the game
was only sitting on 126 after three quarters, before Brown eased off
on the throttle and New Jersey scored 33 in the final period. Backing
off then actually made a little bit of sense, with no particular
reason to crush a team on the road with a rematch ahead. But tonight
that intensity can be there for the full 48 minutes, as a special
atmosphere is created for a Cleveland team out to set the franchise
record for wins, and with only a Friday home game vs. Minnesota on
deck the full focus can be unleashed.

4* #678 ORLANDO/BOSTON Under

This is playoff basketball. There is only one game separating these
teams in the battle for the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference, and
the crucial home court advantage in their almost inevitable
second-round hookup, and that means that in reality the playoffs
start right now. It also means that we should not be seeing a Total
in the low 90?s for the teams that are currently #1 (Celtics) and #2
(Magic) in the NBA on our best set of defensive ratings. With these
teams having played to a 165 and a 170 in their head-to-head
encounters over the past two months, we have excellent value for an
Under here.

Although Kevin Garnett has only played 14:39, 17:07 and 17:51 in this
first three games back, his return has brought Boston back to what we
are accustomed to seeing in terms of pace and defense ? the Celtics
held the Spurs to 77 points, the Grizzlies to 87 and the Clippers to
77 in that span. Now with Tuesday off to prepare for this one, and
tomorrow off as well, Garnett?s minutes can become an even bigger
part of the equation, creating more of a wall around the basket for
Dwight Howard to deal with.

Orlando is starting to bring the kind of late-season focus that we
like to see from a team that believes that a strong playoff run can
be made ? there have only been three home games in the last two
weeks, and they played 3-0 to the Under, by a collective 30.5 points.
The Magic absolutely understand the pace they are going to have to
play at in the ?second season?, with a 10-4 run to the Under in their
last 14 games against teams that would currently qualify for the
playoffs, and this becomes an intense defensive battle from the
start, with fast break opportunities few and far between.

4* #686 SAN DIEGO STATE/SAINT MARY?S Over

When Madison Square Garden and a trip to New York are firmly within
view, the intensity in the NIT picks up. And we know what intensity
means at this time of year in a close game ? a lot of scrambling down
the stretch, with neither side going down without a fight, since
there literally is no tomorrow for the loser. And that helps to set
up an easy Over in this short price range.

The oddsmakers have trouble with teams like Saint Mary?s, because of
the long absence of catalyst Patty Mills. Both the pace and the
offensive efficiency numbers slowed without him, and those statistics
clog up data bases. But it has been a 3-0 run to the Over with Mills
in the lineup since the West Coast tourney, and in two NIT games he
has exploded for 50 points. On Monday he only knocked down 1-10
triples in that win over Davidson, but still scored 23 points and
dished out 10 assists, a sign that his energy is where it needs to
be. Now we can also look for a few of those triples to fall, and
there are a pair of pendulums at hand ? not only the bounce-back from
Monday?s poor shooting, but also a reversal from his 6-19 from the
field, including 1-8 from 3-point range, in the earlier 67-64 win
over these Aztecs in Anaheim back in December.

Note that the first meeting got to 131 with more than an off-day from
Mills as a factor ? leading San Diego State scorer Lorenzo Wade only
had eight points in 19 minutes coming off of a seven-game suspension,
and the two teams only made 11-34 3-point attempts and 12-23 at the
free throw line. And it was in an antiseptic afternoon environment at
a neutral site that also created little added spark on the court.
That all changes tonight, and it brings us not only a high energy
game early, but one in which the energy never does subside, as
perhaps the two teams with the best cases for having been snubbed by
the Big Dance go all out to prove their point.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:20 PM

Re: 3-25-09

DOC

3-Unit Play #661 Take Minnesota/Philadelphia UNDER 201 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Writeup Coming Soon

6-Unit NBA Game of the Month #669 Take New Jersey/Cleveland UNDER 190 (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Writeup Coming Soon

3-Unit Play #671 Take Charlotte -6 ½ Over Washington (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Writeup Coming Soon

4-Unit Pick #677 Take Boston/Orlando UNDER 189 (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Writeup Coming Soon

Anyone got his college basketball GOY (for tomorrow but pick released today) ?

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:20 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Scott Rickenbach’s

3/25/2009
8:05:00 PM BRADLEY BRAVES(-5)
over Pacific Tigers
Scott Rickenbach’s March Madness 2* (Top Play) Bradley Braves (-) vs Pacific @ 8:05 PM ET – The scheduling situation here favors the Braves in a huge way. Both teams were in action on Monday and both teams were at home. Bradley defeated Oakland on an amazing last second 75-foot bank-shot while Pacific defeated Idaho by a ten point margin. A big key here with regards to scheduling is that, yesterday, the Braves were able to stay at home and prepare for this game. As for the Tigers, it was an entirely different story! Pacific left Stockton, California for the airport in San Jose at 4:30 in the morning. They then caught a plane trip that included a stop in Denver before arriving in Chicago. Finally, after a bus ride from Chicago to Peoria, Illinois, the Tigers arrived at about 8 in the evening yesterday for tonight’s game. Of course, Pacific coach Bob Thomason was less than thrilled with the travel arrangements. He was quoted as saying that he couldn’t recall the last time his team had not been able to work out the day before a game! Of course, this puts the Tigers at a big disadvantage here. Pacific also played a weaker regular season schedule than did the Braves. The Tigers also rely heavily on three pointers. The concern there is that they haven’t shot them well so far in this CollegeInsider Tournament and, also, they’re now on the road. Bradley is known to knock down their shots with solid regularity when they’re at home in the Carver Arena. The Braves also got a boost with the return of Dodie Dunson to his usual playing time (and usual production!) against Oakland on Monday. While it did take a “miracle” for the Braves to get that win against Oakland don’t let that scare you. That just gives Bradley even more momentum for this game. They have the luxury of staying at home, the whole campus is still buzzing about the huge game-winning shot, and the Braves will have more edges against Pacific than they had against Oakland. The Tigers are not as big inside as Oakland was in terms of height as well as bulk. This will allow the Braves to do a much better job on the glass and you can bet this is also being preached to them after they allowed the Golden Grizzlies way too many opportunities on the offensive glass. Without having to worry so much about second-chance points, the key here is going to be the perimeter play and that’s where the Braves talented backcourt is capable of taking over in a match-up like this. Dunson, Sam Maniscalco, and Chris Roberts combined to hit 8 of 14 three pointers for the Braves back-court in their thrilling win over Oakland. As noted above, the Braves are capable of “lighting it up” from the perimeter and the Tigers guards will struggle to keep up with the Braves here. We also expect a good crowd for this one and, as other Missouri Valley teams can attest to, the Braves have proven very tough to beat on their home floor. Keep in mind, that’s under normal travel circumstances. As for the Tigers and coming from the West Coast, there is nothing normal about the travel and tight scheduling situation entering this game! We take advantage by laying the short number here! Play Bradley minus the points as a Top Play selection

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:21 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#663 - NBA - 3 units on Milwaukee +4
#674 - NBA - 3 units on New York -6
#686 - NCAA - 3 units on San Diego State -3.5

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:21 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Dr. Canada

Flames/Penguins over 6

Hurricanes -150

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:21 PM

Re: 3-25-09

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL BEST BET + 2 BONUS PICKS!

Pick # 1 Minnesota Wild /New York Islanders Over 5 -130

Pick # 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (-140)

Pick # 3 San Jose Sharks (105)

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:22 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Robert FeRrringo

1-Unit Play.Take Bradley (-5) over Pacific

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:22 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Doc

NHL

3 Unit Play. Take Over 5 ½ in Minnesota @ New York

The Wild stay in New York to face the Islanders after losing 2-1 to the Rangers last night in a game which saw them only put up nineteen shots on net (Just ten through the first two periods) after putting thirty six on net at home vs. Edmonton on Sunday. For a team that is trying to make a playoff push that is terrible, but in realty this team just isn't good enough. The Wild are young with a small mix of veterans and they're missing two important veterans in Brent Burns and Mikko Koivu. Koivu loss looms large as the Wild lost 64% of the face-offs last night against the Rangers, a huge stat. The only good news for the Wild in his second game back high power scorer Marion Gaborik scored his first goal since Christmas after returning back the lineup Sunday from the inactive list. The Islanders youth movement continues after a six game road trip that saw them go 2-4, but in all this team hasn't quit and plays tough night in and out. These two teams meet back in December in a 4-1 Minnesota win that stayed under the total of 5.5. While I don't usually lay high, juice in this spot it makes sense, basically adding fifteen cents to get over what I believe to be a soft number at five goals I think holds great value. Both teams aren't known for they're offense but when you put two teams that are seen that way the odds maker adjusted and sometimes too much which I think has happen here. I believe they had the total right in the first matchup at 5.5 and that 1/2 goal is a big adjustment. I think this will be a fast paced played North/South game with a lot of scoring chances and I think we get the money here tonight.

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:22 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Teddy Covers

NBA Big Ticket - Milwaukee +4

**Mr. IWS** · 03-25-2009, 02:22 PM

Re: 3-25-09

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Wizards +7
3* Warriors +9.5
6* Clippers/Knicks over 216

NCAA:

3* San Diego St. -3

3-25-09

3-25-09

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