Tweet
Re: 4-3-09
Cajun Sports NBA 2* Complimentary Selection- Friday
Date/Time: Friday April 3 / 7:35PM EST
Game: Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics
Graded Selection: 2* Atlanta Hawks +6
Analysis:
TD Banknorth Garden will be the site between Eastern Conference rivals the Atlanta Hawks and the host Boston Celtics. The Hawks come into this contest having just lost at Philadelphia back on March 31st 98 to 85 as a 2-point road underdog. Atlanta was riding a seven game win streak during the middle part of March with wins over Detroit, New Orleans, Utah, Portland and Dallas but has since lost four of their last six overall. Although one of their two recent wins came against the West leading LA Lakers at home. Even with their recent losing skid it appears that the Hawks will get home-court advantage during the first round of the playoffs and will likely face either Philly or Miami. Atlanta is 43-32 SU and 42-32 ATS overall this season including 14-23 SU and 19-17 ATS on the road averaging 97.0 points per game while allowing 99.7 points per game. The Hawks have done well ATS when facing teams with a winning record going 22-13 ATS this season in that situation and they are 15-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points during the 2008-09 campaign. The defending champs enter tonight’s contest off a double overtime win at home versus Charlotte on Wednesday night winning 111 to 109 as a 7.5 point home favorite. Their ATS results in that contest, failing to cover, have become commonplace of late with them posting a record of only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games at home. The win over Charlotte on Wednesday night triggers a few technical situations that are bad news for Celtics backers in tonight’s contest. First we see that Boston is 17-42 ATS in home games after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more, 59-86 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or more and 30-56 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less since 1996. These teams have met three times this season with the last two being played in Atlanta with final scores of 99 to 93 and 88 to 85 all in favor of the Celtics while splitting against the spread. The first meeting this season took place here with Boston winning 103 to 102 as an 11 point home favorite. The Hawks are 0-3 SU against the Celtics this season but 2-1 ATS and we expect another close one tonight. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects the Celtics with a 2.97 point advantage over the Hawks and our Math Model Ratings Index also signals a Boston win but not a cover with an edge of only 3.4 points over Atlanta. Take the points as the boys from ATL take the Celtics right down to the wire and cash the winning ticket for us on Friday night.
Graded Selection: 2* Atlanta Hawks 87 Boston Celtics 90
Cajun Sports NBA 2* Complimentary Selection- Friday
Date/Time: Friday April 3 / 7:35PM EST
Game: Atlanta Hawks @ Boston Celtics
Graded Selection: 2* Atlanta Hawks +6
Analysis:
TD Banknorth Garden will be the site between Eastern Conference rivals the Atlanta Hawks and the host Boston Celtics. The Hawks come into this contest having just lost at Philadelphia back on March 31st 98 to 85 as a 2-point road underdog. Atlanta was riding a seven game win streak during the middle part of March with wins over Detroit, New Orleans, Utah, Portland and Dallas but has since lost four of their last six overall. Although one of their two recent wins came against the West leading LA Lakers at home. Even with their recent losing skid it appears that the Hawks will get home-court advantage during the first round of the playoffs and will likely face either Philly or Miami. Atlanta is 43-32 SU and 42-32 ATS overall this season including 14-23 SU and 19-17 ATS on the road averaging 97.0 points per game while allowing 99.7 points per game. The Hawks have done well ATS when facing teams with a winning record going 22-13 ATS this season in that situation and they are 15-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points during the 2008-09 campaign. The defending champs enter tonight’s contest off a double overtime win at home versus Charlotte on Wednesday night winning 111 to 109 as a 7.5 point home favorite. Their ATS results in that contest, failing to cover, have become commonplace of late with them posting a record of only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games at home. The win over Charlotte on Wednesday night triggers a few technical situations that are bad news for Celtics backers in tonight’s contest. First we see that Boston is 17-42 ATS in home games after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more, 59-86 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or more and 30-56 ATS after a close win by 3 points or less since 1996. These teams have met three times this season with the last two being played in Atlanta with final scores of 99 to 93 and 88 to 85 all in favor of the Celtics while splitting against the spread. The first meeting this season took place here with Boston winning 103 to 102 as an 11 point home favorite. The Hawks are 0-3 SU against the Celtics this season but 2-1 ATS and we expect another close one tonight. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects the Celtics with a 2.97 point advantage over the Hawks and our Math Model Ratings Index also signals a Boston win but not a cover with an edge of only 3.4 points over Atlanta. Take the points as the boys from ATL take the Celtics right down to the wire and cash the winning ticket for us on Friday night.
Graded Selection: 2* Atlanta Hawks 87 Boston Celtics 90
Comment