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Re: 4-24-09
Scoot Rockinbock
1* 76'ers
Scoot Rockinbock
1* 76'ers
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Re: 4-24-09
Trace Adams
1500* - Portland Trail Blazers, 500*s - Milwaukee w/Gallardo over Paulino, Detroit w/Porcello over G
I think Game One's 108-81 romp by the Rockets has skewed the thinking in this series just a little. Portland battled hard in Game Two, and scratched out the 4-point win but no cover as the 6-point favorite.
I expect a similar style game tonight in Houston, as I see Portland staying close to Houston all the way in this one, with the game being decided late by a basket or two tops.
The Blazers have covered 7 of their last 9 on the road this year, and while, and they have been able to split the last 4 against the spread on Houston's hardwood.
I don't doubt for a minute that this is a bad matchup long haul for the upstart Blazers, but Houston does have a history of not making it out of the 1st round, so look for the points to work in this one tonight.
Take Portland in what should be a closely played, hotly-contested affair.
1500? - Portland Trail Blazers
On the diamond I like the way Milwaukee is pitching and hitting right now, and I expect their good fortune to continue tonight in Houston.
The Astros were cooled down in yesterday's 2-0 loss to the Dodgers, and now they face a Milwaukee team that took the last pair in Philly, and have won 3 of their last 4 overall.
Yovani Gallardo has been tough on the road early this year, going 1-0 in his 2 roadies, allowing 2 runs in 13 innings of work. Gallardo also went 2-0 back in 2007 against Houston, without allowing an earned run in 15 frames of work!
Felipe Paulino is coming off 6 shutout frames in his debut 5 days ago, but can he duplicate that effort?
I don't think so!
Milwaukee is 21-12 versus Houston the last 2 seasons, and they get them again tonight.
Take the Brewers.
500? - Milwaukee w/Gallardo over Paulino
??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??
American League, and Zach Greinke has to give up a run(s) sometime, doesn't he?
Greinke has been lights-out this April, but he is matched against an up-n-comer in Rick Porcello who notched his 1st big league win in his last start at Seattle.
Detroit is 11-7 the last 2 seasons at Kauffman Stadium, and the price on this game is absolutely perfect for a play on the "live" dog.
Geinke has been great, but tonight's line is inflated, and the Tigers do have some sticks in that lineup that are capable of putting up a few runs.
Take Detroit in the underdog role.
500? - Detroit w/Porcell over Greinke
??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??Comment
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Re: 4-24-09
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
906 FLA (-135) SportBet vs 905 PHI
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSO*NAL PLAY **
JOHNSON over Myers...SPORTBET.com Using -130 !!
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
913 SFG (-120) SportBet vs 914 ARI
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
922 BOS (-135) SportBet vs 921 NYY
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
LESTER over Chamberlain
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
929 SEA (-120) SportBet vs 930 ANA
Analysis:
** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
BEDARD over Loux...SPORTBET.com Using -115 !!
vegas-runner
triple-dime bet
514 DET 5.5 (-110) Bodog vs 513 CLE
Analysis:
*** NBA PLAYO?FFS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
PLEASE...Wait on this Bet...CRIS, BETUS ,BODOG, ect...have all gone to 5.5, and the Majority of Public Bettors still haven't pulled the trigger on the Cavs...Which they certainly will...That may force the books to adjust this Line to 6...Which is by far the Biggest "KEY" Number in the NBA...
My line shows that this number is already 3pts too high...considering it's a Playoff Game...And the Cleveland bandwagon continues to grow, which the books are well aware of...That's the reason that they are forcing bettors to pay such a premium to back them...And their plan is working, as bettors can't seem to get enough of the Cavs, regardless the number...
We'll go ahead and grab the Points...in a game we may very well see a ML Winner for Detroit...But with that said, we always look to get the best of it...and if we can get this bet down at +6, then we are getting even more the best of it...than at +5.5...VRComment
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Re: 4-24-09
Jake Timlin
Friday's Action
1000? Cleveland Cavaliers
Take Cleveland minus the points tonight in Detroit.
In what is the easiest call of the night I love the Cavaliers as they bury the Pistons tonight in game three of this series. After all given the pair of double digit wins for Cleveland to start this series it is very clear that Detroit just does not match up to the Cavaliers. In fact once you factor in that Cleveland has won the last 5 series meeting, while covering 4 of those 5 games is very clear that Cleveland is just better then Detroit. Well given the plethora of losing number Detroit currently has of 5 straight loses, 0-6 ATS in their last six games and a losing 2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall games I just don’t see any miracle win tonight for the Pistons. Not when Cleveland is playing very well right now by winning and covering 7 of their last 8 games, including winning both games in this series by an average of 15 points per game. Bottom line I see nothing short of a Cleveland blowout tonight as the Cavaliers lay the foundation for a series sweep tonight. Take Cleveland minus the road chalk as they win by double digits once again.
All Cleveland!
200? Florida Marlins
Go with the Marlins tonight over the Phillies for a few reasons. First is I like the Marlins returning home where they are a solid 5-1 so far this season. Reason number two throwing tonight for Florida is Johnson who 2-0 with a 2.91 ERA in three starts has been close perfect this season. Meanwhile, for the Phillies it’s hard seeing them winning given their losing 6-8 record and the fact they are going with Myers who carries in a 5 plus ERA into tonight. Even better it’s the Phillies who 5-16 in the last 21 games Myers has against Florida. So sticking with the numbers I say take the Marlins at home tonight as they bounce back with an easy home win after being swept in Pittsburgh last series out.
All Florida!Comment
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Re: 4-24-09
vegas-runner
double-dime bet
517 POR 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 518 HOU
Analysis:
** NBA 2* PLAYOFF PERSONAL PLAY **
BODOG Using +6.5 ...Very KEY Number in NBA !!
vegas-runner
triple-dime bet
517 POR / 518 HOU Under 184.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** NBA PLAYOFFS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
BODOG Using 185 !!
PLEASE...Once again, let's go ahead and wait this one out as well...Because every point counts and with the money that will ultimately be bet on the OVER by the betting public as the game gets near...the books may be forced to adjust and move this number even higher...
The results of the first 2 games of this series, offers us HUGE Value in the UNDER...Let's not forget, the 1st game Total was 182...So we are already getting 2.5 Pts the best of it...and according to my Line...it's closer to 4.5 the best of it...
So we will once again wait it out...since this is the late TNT Match-Up...aka The Bailout Game...and every book will get pounded with even more Over money than they've seen so far...VRComment
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