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Re: 5-11-09
Anthony Redd
Monday's Card
10 Dime Mavericks (1st Half)
5 Dime Mavericks
Anthony Redd
Monday's Card
10 Dime Mavericks (1st Half)
5 Dime Mavericks
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Re: 5-11-09
Indian Cowboy
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between Washington Nationals @ San Franscisco Giants (Monday @ 10:15pm est). Long story short here, Cabrera is on a bounce-back after a non-quality start in his last go around, both of these offenses are not the most impressive in the league to say the least and Johnson too is on a bounce-back after getting shelled in his last game. I also liked the Under in the Atl/NYM game but the line of 7 is a little too rich for me so I will take the 8.5 with these two offenses rather than that under. Look for both pitchers to be on the bounce-back today in a likely pitcher's duel. Let's get the week started off to a positive start.Comment
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Re: 5-11-09
Nite Owl Sports
Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks
Pick: 3 units Dallas Mavericks -120
It's hard handicapping a game 4 like this, where one of the teams is up 3-0, and it's also hard to back the team that just went down 0-3 with a devastating, controversial last second loss, like Mavs did. But in game 3 we saw a denver team that did not even 'show up" until midway through the 2Q, missing 16 of their first 19 shots and looking awful on offense (of course, it does not speak well of Mavs that they could not takle advantage of Denver's poor 1Q play, having to settle for a 20-20 tie after one quarter of the ugliest ball we have seen in NBA TY since the last time we suffered thru a Clippers game, with "comped" tickets).
And Denver has shown TY, with a number of losses as road faves to teams they should have handled easily, that when they are not "ready to play," they can be pretty bad. So we don't expect a high energy, focused effort at all by Denver, which we expect/hope the Mavs can take advantage of this time.
The Mavs' "mind set" coming into this game is a bit harder to figure. Yes, they just lost a heart-breaker which would have gotten them back into the series, and yes, they realize that now, being down 0-3, they have virtually no chance to win this series. But we don't expect them to just roll over, and we expect that their HC, Rick carlisle, who has considerable playoff experience and success in his days coaching at Indy and Detroit, will have them ready for the type of high energy, focused effort that we don't expect from Denver. And despite Denver's good 9-2-1 ATS record in second half of season and playoffs as road dogs and road "even" against B+ teams like dallas and NO (who they beat in first round), Nuggets were just 6-6 SU in those 12 roadies. And we are taking Mavs here on the ML, so all they have to do to get us the money is win SU.
Mavs have come very close to beating denver last two in Big D (a two point reg season loss and game 3 last second loss by just one point), and we expect them to play hard for pride and the home fans, and to avoid the humiliation of being swept 4-0 and eliminated on their home court. And with ML at -120 and ATS price -110 having to give 1.5 points, we suggest taking Mavs on ML so that we will win even with a one point Mavs' victory, although we believe they will win by more than that.
Game update -- there is a chance that Mavs forward Josh Howard will get a one game suspension for this game due to his demonstrative actions in the post-game "scene" on the court after Mavs' last second loss in game 3, but we doubt it, as NBA front office is likely reluctant to "screw" Mavs any more than refs did at end of game 3, having already admitted that the officials "blew it" by not calling a foul when Dallas defender Antoine Wright intentionally grabbed carmelo anthony twice (to send him to the FT line) rather than take the risk that CA would make a game victorious 3 pointer, which he did. But even if he does not play, Howard has not been his total self in this series due to a gimpy ankle which caused him to miss virtually all of game two, although he did put up 14 points and 7 boards in game 3.Comment
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Re: 5-11-09
Matt FarRgo
7* WESTERN CONFERENCE GOW **26-10 RUN**
Denver at Dallas
Pick: Dallas -1.5
Dallas had its season taken away in Game Three by the officials with a no call foul that possibly could have changed the outcome of the game. Instead, no foul was called, Carmelo Anthony drained a three-pointer for the victory and basically ended any hope of a Mavericks series win. No team has ever come back from a 3-0 series disadvantage but Dallas remains upbeat and confident a will be heading back to Denver on Wednesday for another elimination game. Pride is on the line tonight and the Mavericks will try to avoid two things. First, they are 0-7 against the Nuggets this season and will be looking to avoid the season sweep. Second, they will be looking to avoid a playoff series sweep for the first time in franchise history. The Mavericks talked Sunday about making sure the Nuggets don’t get to celebrate the series win on the Mavericks’ home floor. Dallas is 34-10 at home this season with three of those losses coming against the Nuggets. The last two have been by a combined three points so it is no doubt getting closer to that sought after victory. The referees took the game away last time out and it was unfortunate as Dallas played exceptionally well as it attacked the basket, resulting in 49 free throws while committing just 10 turnovers and limiting Denver to 42 percent shooting. It doesn’t matter now as Dallas won’t be given a do over but something says it comes out with a greater sense of urgency. The Mavericks were great in close games all season, going 18-5 in games decided by five points or less so another close game does not necessarily mean a Denver victory. The Mavericks also fall into a solid revenge situation. Play on favorites that are revenging four or more losses against the opponent in last two years in a game involving two teams that have won between 60 and 75 percent. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) since 1996 with the average point differential being +9.4 ppg. 7* Dallas Mavericks.Comment
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Re: 5-11-09
Mark Franco
Cleveland at Atlanta
Play: Under 183.0
The Hawks know they have little chance of winning this game. At this point, they'd be satisfied with a 48-minute effort which I don’t think they can give. The Cavs will bring a great defensive effort tonight while the Hawks may show so defense. the Under is the play here in game four.Comment
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Re: 5-11-09
Paul Bovi
NBA Playoffs Game Of The Year
Denver at Dallas
Play: Dallas -2
Under normal circumstances I would not opt in on a team down 0-3. But I'll make the exception here as you have a very angry Mavericks team, a possibly sympathetic group of officials who will likely favor a few calls to the side of Dallas, and a Nuggets team that may be feeling a wee bit satisfied in knowing that they will still have two home games to wrap up the series even if they were to go down to defeat here. Under normal circumstances, you would have Maverick suspensions for their failure to leave the court in a timely and orderly manner. The Mavericks were stalwarts at home this year in having lost only twice in AA Arena since February 12th, which was a 99- 92 setback to the Celtics. Those two losses were yesterdays's debacle and a 103 -101 nailbiter in which the Mavs shot 56% from the field versus the Mavericks 35% but Denver still managed to prevail due to a 37 to 18 free throw attempt disparity in favor of Dallas. Josh Howard did not play for the Mavs which hurt as Antoine Wright picked up some slack at SF and managed to brick all 7 of his shots in 30 minutes of play.I don't suspect a blow out here but the Mavs will get the victory by 6 points in my NBA Playoffs Game Of The Year!!Comment
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