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Re: 5-21-09
Drew Gordan 200*....
La Laker
Drew Gordan 200*....
La Laker
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Re: 5-21-09
Vegas Sports Informer
5 Unit Play. Take St. Louis -140 over Chicago Cubs (Game of the Week)
The offense of Chicago must be still in Chicago because it’s nowhere to be found in St. Louis. The Cubs managed just three hits in Tuesday's 3-0 loss and in Wednesday' 2-1 defeat, they didn't score until pinch-hitter Micah Hoffpauir's two-out RBI single in the ninth. With the struggles on offense from Chicago we look from the broom in St. Louis tonight. Chicago is 1-7 in their last 8 games as an underdog. St. Louis is 6-1 at home against a left-handed starter.Comment
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Re: 5-21-09
Tom Freese
20* No Brainer
Denver at LA Lakers
Play: Denver +5.5
The Lakers are in a 52-20 ATS Play Against System that says to Go Against teams after a win by 6 points or less against an opponent that scored 100 or more points 4 straight games. Denver is 22-6 ATS their last 28 games vs. winning teams and they are 10-0 ATS in their Playoffs games this year. The Nuggets are 121-10 ATS with revenge and they are 10-1 ATS after allowing 100 or more points in 4 straight games. 20* "NO BRAINER" PLAY ON DENVER +Comment
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Re: 5-21-09
DOC
4-Unit Play Take LA Lakers -5½ Over Denver
Liked the Lakers last time out but a number of factors at the end of the game contributed to them not covering but that game really could have gone either way but we think that this team will play much better early tonight – they got way behind to start off the game and had to work their way back to win it by a slim margin in the end. We think Denver is the public play tonight and that is rare when THE public team, the Lakers, is not getting the majority of bets but we think the bookies set this line in order to attract more Denver money and we would rather be on the side of the bookies than the public, as always. LA has won six of eight home playoff games by double digits and they have beat Denver at Staples by double digits in five of the last six games. We think the home teams will be strong all throughout this series and that will be where the value lies here.
2-Unit Play Take Denver/LA Lakers UNDER 211
Denver shot above its season average from the field and the Lakers made almost half their threes and this one still didn’t make it above this number, much less the Game 1 number that was even higher. The Lakers have been outstanding defensively in the playoffs and we think that will continue tonight. Denver was the first opponent to score more than 100 on them in their last 11 games. If this was the regular season we think these two teams might light up the scoreboard but teams tend to play stronger defense in the playoffs and we just think that this adjusted number is still too high.Comment
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Re: 5-21-09
Al DeMarco
Al DeMarco Thursday's Play 5 Dime - Los Angeles Lakers
As I mentioned two days ago in my Blog here on the site, I thought the underdogs were the way to go in Game One of both Conference Final series. Denver should have won outright and Orlando did. But, as I noted, although I liked both pups, I preferred to sit on the sideline for both contests, evaluating the teams before making any investment decisions.
What did Game of the Denver-Los Angeles series reveal? First, the Nuggets outplayed LA on the road for nearly the entire contest, and still lost. Second, Carmelo Anthony had perhaps the finest game of his career with 39 points, and Denver still lost. Third, the Nuggets held Pau Gasol in check offensively, limiting him to just 13 points, and they still lost.
But it was the nature of the loss that was the most biting. Trevor Ariza stole more than Anthony Carter's ill-advised inbounds pass in the closing seconds; he stole Denver's heart and confidence. Don't believe the big talk after the game from the Nuggets about how they would bounce back and overcome such a devastating loss. Teams usually don't, especially on the road.
The Lakers know they escaped. Kobe was unstoppable as usual against Denver with 40 points, 18 of them in the fourth quarter. But LA also dominated the boards, as expected, enjoying a 46-37 advantage on the glass, outrebounding the Nuggets 17-7 on the offensive end. And although Gasol's scoring was down in Game One, he grabbed a team-high 14 boards.
The Nuggets have received outstanding play from their bench throughout the postseason, but Game One was an exception as it contributed just 16 points. One key reserve, J.R. Smith, hit only 2-of-7 shots and finished with eight points. Making matters worse, he suffered a strained calf late in the opener and the injury left him limping on Wednesday as he did not run in practice.
Smith says he will play tonight. The same goes for Kenyon Martin, who broken his left ring finer in the opener. Combined with Renaldo Balkman, who is doubtful after missing the opener with a sprained ankle, the Nuggets suddenly have some injury concerns at an inopportune time.
You're getting line value with LA because of its shocking loss in Game 6 at Houston, it's underwhelming Game 7 performance at home versus the Rockets, and its near loss Tuesday in Game 1. And the Lakers saw what happened to the Cavaliers last night. After being extended by the Rockets to seven games, watching Cleveland sit and rest through the first two rounds of the playoffs, they now see an opportunity to clamp down on the Nuggets and take a commanding edge in the series while hoping the Cavaliers have a battle royal on their hands with the Magic.Comment
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