Tweet
WUNDERDOG TOTAL PICK FOR NBA PLAYOFF GAME
Game: Orlando at Los Angeles Lakers (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 202 -110
I really like the UNDER again. We played that as a 5-unit play in game one noting that both teams are averaging less than 200 points in the playoffs yet we saw a total of 206. That was the easiest bet of the playoffs thus far as the teams went UNDER the total by 31 points. Now the oddsmakers are in a real quandary. They realize their total for game one was way off but how far can they adjust it? They've shaved four points off that total but just two baskets isn't enough! The total in this game should be under 200 again and yet it's over 200. The Magic and Lakers have both been playing to totals well under their season average. The 20 Magic playoff games have averaged just 190 points, while the Lakers have averaged 198 in their 19 games. The average of the two is 194. The Lakers have played eight of their last nine playoff games at home UNDER the total and 28 of their last 37 as a favorite UNDER the total. The last six times these two teams have met in Los Angeles, the total has gone UNDER in all but one. Orlando is 12-3 UNDER this season vs. teams that average 103+ ppg while the Lakers are 13-5 UNDER at home vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ ppg. I like the UNDER here.
Game: Orlando at Los Angeles Lakers (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 202 -110
I really like the UNDER again. We played that as a 5-unit play in game one noting that both teams are averaging less than 200 points in the playoffs yet we saw a total of 206. That was the easiest bet of the playoffs thus far as the teams went UNDER the total by 31 points. Now the oddsmakers are in a real quandary. They realize their total for game one was way off but how far can they adjust it? They've shaved four points off that total but just two baskets isn't enough! The total in this game should be under 200 again and yet it's over 200. The Magic and Lakers have both been playing to totals well under their season average. The 20 Magic playoff games have averaged just 190 points, while the Lakers have averaged 198 in their 19 games. The average of the two is 194. The Lakers have played eight of their last nine playoff games at home UNDER the total and 28 of their last 37 as a favorite UNDER the total. The last six times these two teams have met in Los Angeles, the total has gone UNDER in all but one. Orlando is 12-3 UNDER this season vs. teams that average 103+ ppg while the Lakers are 13-5 UNDER at home vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ ppg. I like the UNDER here.
Comment