7-26-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Wunderdog MLN 2009/07/26

Game: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Toronto +1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 4 to win 2.4)

Game: Oakland at New York Yankees (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New York Yankees -170 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.8)

Game: Oakland at New York Yankees (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New York Yankees -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)

Game: Baltimore at Boston (1:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -170 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.8)

Game: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Boston -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 5 to win 6)

Game: Minnesota at Los Angeles Angels (3:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 runs +150 (runline) (risk 3 to win 4.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

GATOR / CAJUN SPORTS

MLB SYSTEM:
Play ON any MLB home team whose opponent is off a road underdog loss in which they scored 5 or more runs and left 5 or more runners on base. This system is 510-313 for +8,325 Units since 2004 and 59-32 +1670 Units this season.

The Play ON teams for Sunday are the LA Angels and the Philadelphia Phillies.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Dominic Fazzini
Sunday's play
15 Dime -- PHILLIES (Blanton) -1 1/2 runs over Cardinals (Wellemeyer)
*
PHILLIES
NOTE: List only Blanton as Philadelphia's starting pitcher
*
Right-hander Todd Wellemeyer (7-8, 5.68 ERA) has been the weak link in the Cardinals’ rotation this season.
*
He is 2-4 with a 6.51 ERA in his last nine starts, and has one quality start in his last 10 outings. He gave up five runs and seven hits in 4 1/3 innings Tuesday against Houston, which was the third time in four starts he failed to go at least five innings.
*
Wellemeyer has been brutal on the road, too, going 3-3 with a 6.14 ERA in nine games (eight starts).
*
Phillies starter Joe Blanton (6-4, 4.24), on the other hand, has been smoking hot. The right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA over his last 10 outings, and has allowed two runs and 13 hits in 21 2/3 innings in three starts this month.
*
Blanton has won two career starts against St. Louis, giving up two runs and eight hits over 13 innings.
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Wellemeyer hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year, but he went 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA in two games against the world champs in 2008.
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With Philadelphia having won 16 of its last 19 games, it’s hard to bet against the NL East leader. With Blanton opposing Wellemeyer on the mound, it’s almost impossible. Take the Phillies on the run line in this one.
*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

seabass

400 cleve
100 tex
100 angels rl

Steam Play Tampa Bay Under The Total

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Speculating Sports

St. Louis at Philadelphia 1:35pm EST
Selection: PHILADELPHIA -1.5 +134
Profile: Huge pitching advantage with Blanton over Wellemeyer. Phillies bats are also red hot now, so it's worth the risk to take them on the run line. Philadelphia hammered St. Louis yesterday, and I look for a repeat performance today.
2 UNIT SELECTION

NY Mets at Houston 2:05pm EST
Selection: HOUSTON -148
Profile: Houston lost last night because of a huge offensive performance from the Mets. However, Gary Sheffield is now on the DL as well, so I don't expect a repeat performance from New York today. Brian Mohler has pitched well lately, much better than the Mets starter Livan Hernandez. Look for Houston to get the win at home, despite the injuries to Berkman and Erstad.
2 UNIT SELECTION

Texas at Kansas City 2:10pm EST
Selection: TEXAS -142
Profile: There is a huge pitching match-up today for Texas, with Kevin Millwood going against Sidney Ponson. Ponson was horrible in his last start, and I expect him to have problems against one of the best line-ups in baseball. Millwood is able to go deep into games, and he dominated the Royals in a 9 inning shutout performance earlier this year. Look for Texas to get the road win over a struggling Royals line-up.
2 UNIT SELECTION

Pittsburgh at Arizona 4:10pm EST
Selection: ARIZONA -1.5 +120
Profile: This match-up is mostly based on hitting. The Diamondbacks have been red hot with their bats recently, especially at home. Arizona also has a substantial pitching advantage with Max Scherzer going against Pittsburgh's Virgil Vasquez. Scherzer has been inconsistent this season, but he has always bounced back strongly from a rough outing. In addition, Pittsburgh's line-up has really been struggling as the season has progressed, especially as more and more players have been traded away. Look for Arizona's bats to hit well again today.
2 UNIT SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Robert Ferringo

Take #925 Texas (-150) over Kansas City (2 p.m., Sunday, July 26)
Take #912 Colorado (-1.5, -110) over San Francisco (3 p.m., Sunday, July 26)
Take #924 Boston (-1.5, +110) over Baltimore (1:30 p.m., Sunday, July 2
Take N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, +120) over Oakland (1 p.m., Sunday, July 26)
Take #916 L.A. Dodgers (-130) over Florida (4 p.m., Sunday, July 26)
Take #907 Atlanta (-115) over Milwaukee (2 p.m., Sunday, July 26)

Today's Totals
Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at Milwaukee (2 p.m., Sunday, July 26)
Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Baltimore at Boston (1:30 p.m., Sunday, July 26)
Take 'Under' 9.5 Texas at Kansas City (2 p.m., Sunday, July 26)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

alatex

Florida +120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

KEVIN ROGERS

Pittsburgh at Arizona
Pick: Pittsburgh +165
a great fade this season off a huge outburst offensively, as the Pirates go for the series split this afternoon. Arizona is 6-15 this season when scoring at least seven runs in its last game, and 3-13 if they won that contest, off last night's 7-0 shutout. The D-Backs send out fireballer Max Scherzer to the mound, who has struggled at Chase Field. Scherzer owns a home ERA of 5.01, but has been bailed out by 22 runs of support his last three starts at home. Virgil Vasquez has been the opposite. The Pirates right-hander is coming off a solid start against the Brewers, allowing nine hits and 2 ER in 6.2 IP, but was on the short end of a 2-0 loss. Vasquez hasn't pitched poorly, despite a 1-4 record. His run support has been a problem, with the Bucs averaging 1.8 runs/game in his five starts. Arizona has failed to stay consistent all season long, and unless Dan Haren is pitching, there is absolutely no reason to lay this kind of chalk with the D-Backs. I'll side with the underdog Pirates to beat the D-Backs.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Lou Panelli

20* MLB Dodgers -135(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
10* MLB Detroit under 9.5
10* MLB Arizona under 9
10* MLB Cubs over 9.5
10* MLB Milwaukee +115
10* MLB Texas over 9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Tom Stryker's MLB Roundtripper Roast of the Week
Don't make a move on Sunday's card without this diamond dandy. Coming off a win on the Brew Crew on Saturday, Stryker has isolated a tremendous pitching mismatch along with four supportive team situations that will key this primetime payday. Grab Tom's MLB Roundtripper Roast of the Week for $20.

ATLANTA BRAVES

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

The Cowboy

4 Unit Play.

Take Over 151 between the Sacramento Monarchs @ Washington Mystics (Sunday @ 4pm est).

We are 5-1 this week in the WNBA. Let's roll with the Over to finish out the week strong. The "Tide" is changing in Sacramento as we would say as Bama faithful. Sacramento has slowly been turning their season around and yes, they are 4-14, but that is irrelevant to us. This team went into Conn and pushed as an 8 point dog and then won Outright at New York by 15 as a 5.5 dog. Just the 5.5 line alone in NY indicated that this team's calibre of play was changing as the public was buried in that game. In that same token, a similar 4.5 line is set here and once again it seems like the public might be buried. In that NY contest, the game went over the posted total as this team was an active dog and the final score was 88-74 (158) - the total was set at 142. Tack on the fact that Washington comes off a nice win over Chicago, they will likely get blindsided by Sacramento today who will push this game over the posted total as they take the Mystics to the limit - and possibly win outright (today's comp pick). The Over is 5-1 for the Monarchs after a SU Win and the Over is 4-0 for Washington when facing a team with a SU losing record.

4 Unit Play.

Take Under 9 between the Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Dbacks (Sunday @ 4:10pm est).

Pitt comes off getting spanked 0-7 yesterday and one has to believe they will have a better effort today. At least when it comes to their starter they should get a quality start out of Virgil Vasquez as he has pitched in 6 straight unders and looks to pitch in his seventh straight under today. The young man used to pitch in the Tigers organization and the NL does not have a good gauge on his stuff yet. I look for him to pitch well as he still seeks his first win on the year despite pitching extremely well in Milwaukee giving up juts two runs in 6 innings. Scherzer is on a bounce-back today and he should also have a strong outing. Bear in mind four runs in 4 innings in his last start and prior to that he had put together four of five quality starts. The last time he was rocked like that was in March when the Braves hit him for 8 runs in 3 innings and he came back the next start to yield 0 runs in 5 innings at San Diego. The Under is 5-0-1 in Vasquez's last 6 starts as an Underdog and the Under is 5-2 for the Dbacks when they face a right-hander.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take #901 St. Louis Cardinals +140 over Philadelphia Phils (1:35p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #906 Houston Astros -140 over New York Mets (2:05p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #925 Texas Rangers -150 over Kansas City Royals (2:10p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

Stan Sharp | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/26/09 - 2:05 PM B|

triple-dime bet 908 MIL (+105) BetUS vs 907 ATL
Analysis: Stan is Betting MILWAUKE?E today. Stan has been right on the Money in this series going 2-0 so far taking Atlanta on Friday and Milwaukee on Saturday. Today Stan is coming right back with Milwaukee and Braden Looper who is coming off of his best outing of the year a 2-0 shutout in which he went 7 strong allowing only 4 hits. Stan notes that Atlanta is only 6-14 this year following a loss of 4 runs or more. TAKE MILWAUKEE as STAN SHARP'S TRIPLE DIME NL WISE GUY GAME OF THE MONTH and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-26-09

VR

3 Twins
2 Atl
2 Pit