7-29-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Chris Jordan

200? BALTIMORE ORIOLES (LIST Tillman) -

200? TEXAS RANGERS (Action) -

200? MINNESOTA TWINS (Action) -

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Jack Jones

15* on Oakland A's +167

The A's are worth a small play against the struggling Red Sox right now. Boston has lost 2 of their last 3 and 4 of 7. Over the last week they are scoring just 4.4 runs per game, more than half a run less than they have all season. Meanwhile, Oakland has been on a tear offensively, hitting .312 as a team and averaging 6.4 runs over the last 7 days. Oakland Starter, Brett Anderson is winless in his last 3 starts, but has a 1.93 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 18 2/3 innings pitch over that span. The Red Sox throw Brad Penny, who has been consistent, but who has a 4.71 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 19 starts this season, where the Red Sox are just 10-9 in his 19 starts. The Sox have been very beatable lately, making the A's a quality bet tonight.

15* on Texas Rangers +105

The Tigers have the pitcher with the better stuff on the mound tonight, but Rangers' starter, Scott Feldman, may be the best pitcher you never hear of this season. Feldman is 9-3 in 17 starts for Texas with a 3.04 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. He's been dominating in his last 3 starts, earning a 2.18 ERA and 0.97 WHIP and going 2-1 over that stretch. The Rangers continue to be on of best home teams in the American League with a 34-19 record, while the Tigers have struggled at 21-31 on the road. Neither team is hitting especially well, but the Tigers have been the worse of the two lineups, averaging just 2.9 runs per game while batting .231 as a team over the last 7 games. I expect the Rangers complete a 3-game sweep of the Tigers Wednesday.

20* No-Brainer on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 8.5

This total doesn't make much sense with these two pitchers on the mound. You have Justin Verlander for the Tigers, who has a 3.12 ERA on the season, not to mention a 0.78 ERA over his last three starts. Then you have Scott Feldman for Texas, who has a 3.04 ERA this season and a 2.18 ERA over his last 3 starts. We also have a Detroit team hitting .231 and scoring 2.9 runs per game as a team over their last 7 games, while the Rangers are hitting only slightly better at 4.4 runs per game on a team batting average of .247 over the last week. We got caught with the under in this series last night as it went over by a half of a run. Tonight it shouldn't even be close. The under is a no-brainer here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Premier Capper

Dodgers and Cards Under 8 –115 for 4 units

Looking at this pitching matchup I just don’t know of a better under bet this season I have made the way Pineiro and Kershaw have been pitching. Pineiro (9-9 2.95 ERA) and Kershaw (9-9 2.95 ERA) have been lights out this season for each team. Kershaw last 10 games he has only given up 3 runs two times and in the other 8 games have held opponents to 2 runs or less. Pineiro last 6 games 5 of them of gone under the total with him giving up 7 ER in that span. The Under is 8-1 in the Cardinals last 9 games as a favorite and 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. Runs will be hard to come by in this game and I think both teams need this win with the Dodgers losing 4 of their last 5 games and Cardinals having a half game lead in the NL Central. This is a big game for both teams and with two hot pitchers on the mound I just can’t see many runs here. The Cardinals have struggled against left handed pitching this season while the Dodgers are not hitting the ball as well and that is a good combo for an under in this game.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Evan Altemus
I couldn't decide on what to do with today's baseball card because every play I liked had large favorites. Instead of releasing all these plays, I decided to narrow them down and wait to see what lines changed. I like these two selections as premium plays, but because they are being released later in the day, I am giving them out for free and going to focus on tomorrow's MLB.

Colorado at NY Mets 7:10pm EST
Selection: NY METS -136
Profile: New York has now won four games in a row and has temporarily overcome their injuries for a small winning streak. Meanwhile, Colorado has cooled down recently since their extended hot streak. The Rockies have lost the first two games of this series and now have to face the Mets ace, Johan Santana. Santana has pitched very well this season, and is coming off of a slightly less than stellar performance. Therefore, I look for him to be focused in this outing. In addition, the Rockies have yet to face him since he has come to the National League, so I look for them to struggle against his stuff. Meanwhile, Jason Hammel has been hit slightly harder recently than earlier in the season. Washington, Atlanta, and San Francisco combined for twenty six hits in those recent three starts. In addition, Colorado's bullpen has been struggling recently as well, which could have an impact late in the game. Look for the Mets to get their fifth win in a row.
2 UNIT SELECTION
Philadelphia at Arizona 9:40pm EST
Selection: PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -105
Profile: Philadelphia should be very motivated for this game because of the addition of pitcher Cliff Lee from Cleveland. The Phillies also have a huge starting pitching advantage in this game with J.A. Happ going against Yusmeiro Petit. Happ was a little shaky in his last start mainly because of the on-going trade talks that had him involved in. However, Happ can now relax because he is secure in Philadelphia. I look for him to be focused tonight against a weak hitting Diamondbacks line-up. The Phillies hitters have been much better in this series, so I expect them to use superior advantages in hitting line-ups and starting pitching to get another dominant win tonight.
2 UNIT SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

igz1 sports

Wednesday Card
Tuesday Recap: 3-1 MLB

MLB
3* Under 8.5 (-120) Detroit (Verlander) vs Texas (Feldman)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Teddy Covers

Cardinals Big Ticket

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Wunderdog 2009/07/29

Game: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Baltimore +1.5 runs -130 (runline) (risk 5 to win 3.9)

Game: Colorado at New York Mets (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Colorado +1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 3 to win 1.8)

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on St. Louis -1.5 runs +180 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.4)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Stan Lisowski

5 MLB GOY NY Mets

3 Fla
3 Tex

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Dr Guru 24* --- TOR ML

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Northcoast

4*TEX under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

ASA

Rockies at Mets

Pick: Mets -136

The Mets have gone through a rough season but Johan Santana is still pitching like an elite pitcher. He has eight losses but many can not be attributed as his fault and he owns a 2.86 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 3.12 ERA. Santana gave up five runs in his last start in a high-scoring Houston ballpark but he had allowed two runs in his previous 21 innings before that game. At home this season Santana is 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA and he has always been a better late season pitcher. Look for Santana to rebound after a tough outing as he typically bounces back strong after his rare bad starts.

Since the Mets have been so terrible lately this will be a modest price on Santana and New York has had wild success against Colorado at home. New York is 23-5 in the last 28 games against Colorado in New York. The Mets should also start to play better after a very long road trip in mid-July took some life out of the team. New York has scored 25 runs in the past three games to take three straight wins into Tuesday night and New York still owns a significantly higher team average for the season than Colorado despite the inherent ballpark advantage that the Rockies have on offense.

Jason Hammel has been a capable starter for the Rockies but he has allowed 13 runs in his last four starts, allowing 31 hits in his last 20 innings. In night games Hammel owns a 5.37 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP and this could be a tough match-up going against a two-time Cy Young winner. The Colorado bullpen has soared to 5.66 in the last ten games, continuing a season long problem for the Rockies. The Mets pen has been the one bright spot for the team so with Santana on the mound it is hard to envision Colorado getting on the scoreboard more than a few times.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Thank you for you purchase

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends

3-0 last Night

FREE PICK


*200 Florida Marlins -147

I taking the Marlins for Win #2 against the Braves tonight. I have the Marlins as 30-7 SU since 2004 as 140+ favorite when they are off a win in which the came back from a deficit to win. I also have Josh Johnson as 7-0 SU since 2006 at Home and he threw less than 135 pitches in his last game. Johnson should be rested and ready to pitch a great game tonight. I also have the Braves starter tonight as 3-8 SU since this year when he starts and he left more than 14 men on base in his last start. Take the Marlins for the Win.

Good Luck!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 7-29-09

Seabass

50* STL
100* Bos -1.5
200* Minn/Chw over