8-20-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Damon Roberts
10,000 Dime Best Bet #4

10,000 DIME - New York Mets w/Santana over Atlanta

1000 DIME - Cincinnati Bengals +6.5 over New England

1000 DIME - Philadelphia -3 over Indianapolis

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Eddie Roman
$15,000 NFL Preseason Vegas' Worst Nightmare Lock


(Home team in Caps)

$15,000 NFL Preseason Vegas' Worst Nightmare Lock

Philadelphia Eagles -3 over INDIANAPOLIS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Jack Burnet
5000 DIME PRESEASON TWO TEAMER

NEW ENGLAND -6.5 over Cincinnati

PHILADELPHIA -3.5 over Indianapolis

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Bobby Esposito
1000 Dime Thursday Winner

1000 Dime - New England Patriots -6.5 over Cincinnati

1000 Dime - Florida Marlins w/Johnson -120 over Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Rob Rosenhaus
2009 Preseason GOY

Cincinnati +6.5 over New England

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

UNLOCKED SPORTS

1) Florida Marlins vs Houston Astros

Pick: Florida (4 units)

The Marlins are 4 games behind the Rockies in the race for the NL Wildcard. This is a game they absolutely cannot afford to lose. This one is definitely going to be an elite pitching affair featuring Josh Johnson (12-2, 2.85) and Wandy Rodriguez (11-7, 3.05). The Marlins have the advantage in this pitching matchup because Johnson appears to be on top of his game going 2-0 in his last 2 starts allowing only 5 hits and 2 earned runs and striking out 17, against the Phillies and the Rockies, two of the hottest teams in baseball. The Marlins are an impressive 22-4 in Johnson’s last 26 starts following a Quality appearance. Rodriguez on the other hand has struggled as of late with an ERA of 6.60 in his last 3 starts. The Marlins are hot going 8-3 in their last overall. The Astros have not won back to back games in the same series since July 21.

Lay 4 units on the Marlins.

2) Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers

Pick: Texas -1.5 (3 units)

The combination of yesterday’s loss and Boston’s win puts the Rangers 1 game behind the Red Sox in the AL wildcard race. That means that Texas must absolutely win the series closer at home tonight versus Minnesota. After winning the first game of this 4 game series, the Rangers have dropped the last two. Fortunately for them the Twins have not won 3 consecutive games on the road versus the same opponent this season. Additionally, the Rangers have a substantial pitching advantage. Derek Holland (6-7, 4.88) faces Anthony Swarzak (3-6, 5.87). Swarzak has pitched a total of 8 innings in his last 3 starts where he surrendered 25 hits and 16 runs. Playing the runline is a wise investment since the Rangers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home wins as a favorite.

Lay 3 units on Texas runline.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Wunderdog NFL :


Game: Cincinnati at New England (Thursday 8/20 7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Cincinnati +7 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

It is rare to see an NFL preseason pointspread in this range except for week three, when you see starters getting a lot of time on the field. It certainly makes you look hard at the abundance of points. History shows it is a good idea to take the points when the situation arises. Since 1995 when a team is getting six or more points in an NFLX game, they have delivered the money on 59.1% of the occasions for their backers, covering 122 occurrences, with an overall record of 72-50 ATS. Those numbers get even larger when you look at the AFC. When an AFC team has been afforded the luxury of six or more points, the win rate increases to an astounding 68%! That number rises even further to 71.4% when the line reaches a full seven points or more! I'm going with the Bengals here as this number is simply too high.

Game: Philadelphia at Indianapolis (Thursday 8/20 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Indianapolis +3.5 (-115) (risk 3 to win 2.6)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 36.5 -110

Eagles Coach Andy Reid has shown disdain for these games and has never taken winning them seriously. Reid has a bad record int he preseason with a combined 15-26 mark in these games as coach of the Eagles and just 7-13 ATS as a favorite. Jim Caldwell lost his opener, and hopefully he is anxious to get a win under his belt at home tonight. Just like Monday Night Football was in its first 15 years or so, the NFL preseason has been characterized by dominating home underdogs as they have turned the points at home into 61% winners over the last decade. This is a excellent spot for Indy at home getting points, under a first year coach playing against a coach that has always puts out good teams - just not in the preseason. Indy gets the call here. I also like this game to go UNDER the total. Andy Reid over the past three years has seen his teams score an average of 13.3 points per game on the road during the preseason. That average if attained, would mean the Colts would have to reach 24 points, something they have done just three times at home in the last six years of preseason play. I also like the UNDER here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

MasterLockLine
Selection:
Here is your locked and loaded menu for Thursday, August 20, 2009
An attorney/law professor/pro bettor turned pro bettor/professional handicapper out of Tri Cities, TN is best known for being the greatest SEC handicapper of all-time. However, he is also the top NFLX totals handicapper, based on all-time units won. Supreme Selections are his highest rated plays. He is 4-0 in NFLX already: Sunday Aug. 13 it was Buffalo over, Thursday, Aug 13 it was New England over, Friday the Rams, Saturday the Bears over. Bengals/Patriots total ************The premium play is: New England under

Staff Purchase Play, this is when we pay a major sports service to release a major play before the sports service itself does. A radio tout is advertising on 200 plus radio stations and radio networks their Preseason Stone Cold Lock of the Year on Cincinnati/New England ************The premium play is: Cincinnati

A satellite radio driven Las Vegas based website offers the top pick of each of their top handicappers for $89 for the day. Frankly only four of the handicappers are worth tracking. The rest are horrific. We have the top play from each of the top four: Eagles/Colts side and total and two MLB ************The premium play is: (NFL) Philadelphia, Philadelphia over (MLB) Minnesota, Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Wunderdog

Game: Colorado at Washington (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington +125 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)

The Washington Nationals have played very well in the second half of the season, and they have put together a season best 17-11 run, especially since they were 26-66 before that. That is 65% of their season win total from that 26-66 start in just 29% of the games. They are certainly playing at a much different level. That mark is an even better 10-4 when they are playing at home. They have outscored their opponents by 25 runs during their recent 28 game stretch. The Rockies have not fared well with Hammels on the mound, and playing on the road where they are just 1-5 in his last six road starts. The Nats are suddenly big-time at home, going 10-2 in their last 12 games, and have won each of the last four game 3's in their series sets. I'll go with Washington in this one.

Game: Colorado at Washington (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Washington +1.5 runs -135 (runline) (risk 5 to win 3.7)

The Nats have played to a 17-11 mark in their last 28, including 10-2 in their last 12 at home. Those numbers are great, but get even better when you consider the would-be +1.5 runline. The Nats would be 12-0 in their last 12 home games getting the plus side of the runline, and I'll back them on the runline.

Game: Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Chicago Cubs +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)

The Dodgers have a deceptive record right now as they had the best record in baseball for a longtime, but have fallen rapidly as the season has moved along, and are just 9-15 over their last 24 games. They are just a .500 team at home after a tremendous 13-0 start and recently, they have been downright terrible at home. The Dodgers have dropped each of their last four series at home, combining for a 4-8 mark. The Cubs are going to come in here very thirsty for a win in game one, off the memory of being swept out of the playoffs by the Dodgers in three straight last season. They are catching the Dodgers at the right time, as they are really struggling, and have scored ony three runs or less in over half of their last 23 games. This is a good spot with a good dog and with a big revenge motive against a struggling team. The Cubs get the call here.

Game: Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Chicago Cubs +1.5 runs -180 (runline) (risk 4 to win 2.2)

There are lots of reasons to play on the Cubs here. First, they will be breathing fire setting foot in here as the memory of the three-game sweep at the hands of the Dodgers last year in the playoffs will be in mind. The Dodgers are also in the midst of a bad stretch, dropping each of their last four home series, finishing 4-8 in the 12 games. Two of the four wins came by a single run resulting in just 2-10 mark to a would-be -1.5 runline they face here. The Dodgers are just 1-5 in their last six at home against a winning team. I like the revenge-seeking Cubs on the runline here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

KELSO STURGEON's HIGHROLLER MLB PICK for TODAY

Highrollers Baseball

Thursday, August 20, 2009
15 UnitsMarlins {J.Johnson} (-120) over Astros {W.Rodriguez}
8:05 PM -- Minute Maid Park
Florida Marlins (64-56) -115 over HOUSTON ASTROS (58-62) Pitching for Florida: RH Josh Johnson (12-2, 2.85) Pitching for Houston: LH Wandy Rodriguez (11-7, 3.05) Marlins Trend Profile: Last 10: 7-3, Streak: Lost 1, Road Record: 31-30, Against LHP: 25-16. Astros Trend Profile: Last 10: 4-6, Streak: Won 1, Home Record: 32-29, Against RHP: 46-47. Starting Time: 8:05 TV: Fox Sports Florida, Fox Sports Houston Comments: The numbers say this will be a real pitchers’ duel but the hidden figures say Florida starter Josh Johnson has all the edges. Johnson comes into this game off an outstanding performance in a 6-5 win over Colorado. In that game he had a no-hitter going for six innings, struck out 11 before going to the showers after 7 ½ innings and picked up his fifth straight win. This means Johnson is 19-3 since coming back from elbow surgery in 2008. The figures say he is yet to pitch his best game. As for Houston starter Wandy Rodriguez, this left-hander has had an outstanding season and I have certainly won plenty of money with him for this, but he has started on the downside of his form and is quite vulnerable tonight. After pitching lights out the entire season, in his last start Rodriguez gave up 10 earned runs in four innings as the Astros lost to Milwaukee, 11-2. Trees do not grow to the sky and Rodriguez figures to be in his down cycle for one or two more games before heading up again.
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to left field at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 90.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units ST Louis over San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take # 958 New York Mets-125 over Atlanta Braves (7:10p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
NFL Preseason
3 (***) Indianapolis Under 36.5

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) Atlanta +110
3 (***) Florida -126

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Super Sports Group (SSG)

NFLX added

Benglas v. Patriots 7:30pmPICK: Pats -3 1H (2*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 8-20-09

Charlie

nfl. bengals+6', indy+3 & bengals @ patriots under 36 (500* 3 team rd robin).
mlb. st. louis-155 (30*)
mlb. florida-130 (20*)
mlb. mets-115 (20*)
mlb. angels-150 (10*)

mlb. colorado-135 (10*) free play