9-20-09

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:52 AM

Re: 9-20-09

INDIAN COWBOY

6 Unit Play. Take Over 40.5 Baltimore @ San Diego (Sunday @ 4:15pm est). I think folks will be surprised at the amount of offense that will amount to in this game. With LT out, the Chargers are a better team. Sorry LT fans, they are. Sproles makes this team far more dynamic and LT makes this team much more predictable. With the Chargers playing their first home game of the year, Baltimore coming off a big win and looking to build off their great season last year, I expect both offenses to be in sync and ready to go. Remember, the Ravens gave up 20+ points to the Chiefs at home. They can certainly give up that many points to the Chargers on the road. Plus, with Flacco getting more comfortable with the offense, the Ravens are letting him throw the ball more. Heck, Joe threw 43 times and for three touchdowns. Tack that on with the fact that Sproles makes for a great running back out of the backfield for both the passing and the running game, this should be a relatively high scoring game. Plus, I'm sure the Ravens take exception to the fact they are Underdogs in this game and will likely be an active dog - with a solid shot at winning outright. The Over is 5-1-1 for the Ravens as Underdogs and the Over is 8-0 for the Chargers in the month of September of late.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:52 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Teddy Covers
> 9/20/09 NFL Houston +6.5 (207)
> 9/20/09 NFL 20* Big Ticket: Atlanta -6 (218)
> 9/20/09 NFL Chicago Over 37.5 -110 (232)
> 9/20/09 NFL New York Giants +3 (233)

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:53 AM

Re: 9-20-09

doc sports

Sports
5 Unit Play. #109 Take Cincinnati +9 over Green Bay (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Top Game of the Week. The Bengals lost a game in dramatic fashion last week against Denver and thus the line is high this week against the Packers. But this is the NFL and everybody is a professional and there is no carryover from week to week. The Bengals have the better quarterback in Carson Palmer and I expect him to be able to move the football and put points on the board against this Packer defense. Last week QB Cutler beat himself with four turnovers and they still only lost by six points. This is an important game for the Bengals, as they do not want to fall to 0-2 on the season. While I do not think they can pull the straight-up victory, I expect them to play hard for 60 minutes. Green Bay 27, Cincinnati 23.

4 Unit Play. #108 Take Detroit +10 over Minnesota (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Lions have yet to win a game since 2007, but they did put up some points in their blowout loss to New Orleans and that should bode well for their home opener against the Minnesota Vikings. This is just too many points to be laying for a road team facing a divisional opponent. The Lions took Minnesota to the wire last year in both games losing by a combined 6 points. This game reminds me a lot of the Oakland/San Diego game last week and while on paper it appeared to be a major mismatch, everyone starts the new season with a clean slate. Minnesota has to fight for sixty minutes to get the victory, but it will come much closer then what the experts believe. Minnesota 27, Detroit 23.

4 Unit Play. #118 Take Over 46 in New Orleans at Philadelphia (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Saints may have the most explosive offense in the league and it was evident last week when QB Drew Brees threw six touchdown passes against the Lions. The Eagles may be without QB McNabb but the offense philosophy should remain the same, throw, throw, throw. That sets up a perfect situation for the over, as this will likely be a four hour game with a ton of passing and clock stoppages. These two teams met in 2007 and the Eagles came away with the victory and 63 total points were scored. We expect this game to only reach the fifties in combined scoring, but nonetheless, we should easily collect with the over. New Orleans 30, Philadelphia 27.

4 Unit Play. #136 Take Miami +3 over Indianapolis (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Home dogs have been big money in the bank on Monday Night Football and we expect this pattern to hold true once again when two playoff teams from last year met up in Miami. The Dolphins looked bad last week in Atlanta and this is a much more important game for them since they do not want to fall to 0-2 on the season. WR Gonzalez got injured in the Colts opener against Jacksonville and will not play in this game and thus the Colts will be without their No. 2 receiver. In the NFL, when good teams play, usually the team that needs it more gets the victory and with a road trip to San Diego on deck for the Dolphins, the Fish definitely need this more. Miami kicks a late field goal and the underdog and us both earn the straight-up victory. Miami 23, Indianapolis 20.

Strong Opinion Plays

#128 Take Pittsburgh -3 over ChicagoSports
5 Unit Play. #109 Take Cincinnati +9 over Green Bay (Sunday 1 pm CBS) Top Game of the Week. The Bengals lost a game in dramatic fashion last week against Denver and thus the line is high this week against the Packers. But this is the NFL and everybody is a professional and there is no carryover from week to week. The Bengals have the better quarterback in Carson Palmer and I expect him to be able to move the football and put points on the board against this Packer defense. Last week QB Cutler beat himself with four turnovers and they still only lost by six points. This is an important game for the Bengals, as they do not want to fall to 0-2 on the season. While I do not think they can pull the straight-up victory, I expect them to play hard for 60 minutes. Green Bay 27, Cincinnati 23.

4 Unit Play. #108 Take Detroit +10 over Minnesota (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Lions have yet to win a game since 2007, but they did put up some points in their blowout loss to New Orleans and that should bode well for their home opener against the Minnesota Vikings. This is just too many points to be laying for a road team facing a divisional opponent. The Lions took Minnesota to the wire last year in both games losing by a combined 6 points. This game reminds me a lot of the Oakland/San Diego game last week and while on paper it appeared to be a major mismatch, everyone starts the new season with a clean slate. Minnesota has to fight for sixty minutes to get the victory, but it will come much closer then what the experts believe. Minnesota 27, Detroit 23.

4 Unit Play. #118 Take Over 46 in New Orleans at Philadelphia (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Saints may have the most explosive offense in the league and it was evident last week when QB Drew Brees threw six touchdown passes against the Lions. The Eagles may be without QB McNabb but the offense philosophy should remain the same, throw, throw, throw. That sets up a perfect situation for the over, as this will likely be a four hour game with a ton of passing and clock stoppages. These two teams met in 2007 and the Eagles came away with the victory and 63 total points were scored. We expect this game to only reach the fifties in combined scoring, but nonetheless, we should easily collect with the over. New Orleans 30, Philadelphia 27.

4 Unit Play. #136 Take Miami +3 over Indianapolis (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Home dogs have been big money in the bank on Monday Night Football and we expect this pattern to hold true once again when two playoff teams from last year met up in Miami. The Dolphins looked bad last week in Atlanta and this is a much more important game for them since they do not want to fall to 0-2 on the season. WR Gonzalez got injured in the Colts opener against Jacksonville and will not play in this game and thus the Colts will be without their No. 2 receiver. In the NFL, when good teams play, usually the team that needs it more gets the victory and with a road trip to San Diego on deck for the Dolphins, the Fish definitely need this more. Miami kicks a late field goal and the underdog and us both earn the straight-up victory. Miami 23, Indianapolis 20.

Strong Opinion Plays

#128 Take Pittsburgh -3 over Chicago

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:53 AM

Re: 9-20-09

JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

5 UNIT PLAY (GOM)

Oakland +3 over KANSAS CITY: The Chiefs are a mess right now and were very lucky to lose by just 14 points last week to the ravens, after they were outgained 501-188 in the contest. Now their pitiful offense must take on a Raiders defense that looked pretty damn good vs San Diego on Monday night. LY Oakland travelled to KC after a monday nighter with the Chargers, outrushing them by 245 yards in the 23-8 win. 5 of the Chiefs last 6 games to end 2008 they allowed 135 yards rushing or more and they were out rushed by the Ravens in game 1 by 159 yards. That won't get it done in the NFL. Raiders by at least a TD here. POWER ANGLES FOR THIS PLAY-- Go against a true Rookie HC vs division foe in the 1st 2 weeks of the year. 19-4-2 since 2000 (2-0 TY). 2nd One. Go Against a Sept home fav of 4 or less that is off a loss and playing a division opponent. 29-12-1 the last 38.

4 UNIT PLAY
Total Of The Week (0-0)

Buffalo/ Tampa Bay Over 41.5: The Bills offense didn't look good in the preseason, but they looked good in the opener vs the Pats. Now this hurry-up offense will take aim at a Tampa defense that allowed the Cowboys 344 yards passing in week 1. The Tampa offense didn't look bad as they put 21 points on the board with 450 yards of total offense. Buffalo's defense looked good for some of the game vs the Pats, but they seemed to wear down a bit at the end and without Posluszny roaming the middle of the field they will be hard pressed to keep this Tampa offense down.

3 UNIT PLAYS

(POWER ANGLE PLAYS)

Minnesota -10 over DETROIT: Matt Stafford did throw for 205 yards last week , but also had 3 INT's. He only hit 43% of his passes and 64 of his yards came on one play. Minnesota held Cleveland to 179 yards passing and 70 of those yards came when the game was already settled. Look for Minnesota's stout run defense to keep Detroit in 3rd and longs and make Stafford make plays, which he won't be able to. The Vikings run game is top notch and will move easily vs this Detroit defense. Minnesota wins by 14+ here.
POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY-- Go against any team in week 2 that rushed for 50 yards or less in week 1. 25-7-1 S/ 95.

Indy/ Miami UNDER 42: The Dolphin offense was not that good in the preseason, putting up just 14.8 ppg and it didn't get better in the ist game of the regular season as they put up just 7 points vs the Falcons. Miami's defense was very good in the preseason (9.8 ppg) and it has carried over as they allowed just 279 yards and 19 points to the Falcons in the opener. The Colt defense played very well last week allowing just 228 yards and 12 points to the Jags, while thier offense remains stuck in the mud for now as they put up just 14 points, after averaging just 12.8 ppg in the preseason. I see a tough defensive battle in Miami.

Teaser Of The Week (0-0)

3 Team 6 Point Teaser--- Tennessee -.5, New Orleans +7 & San Diego/ Baltimore Over 33.5

2 UNIT PLAYS

Washington/ St Louis Under 37

Pittsburgh/ Chicago Over 37.5

Giants +3 over Dallas: No happy stadium opener for the Boys.

1 UNIT PLAYS

INDY -3 Over MIAMI: Colts are 5-0 ATS as MNF favs of 2 or more.

NEW ENGLAND -3.5 over NY JETS

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:53 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Mark Lawrence

Cincinnati @ GREEN BAY
Play: 3* Cincinnati

Carolina @ ATLANTA
Play: 3* Carolina

Pittsburgh @ CHICAGO
Play: 3* CHICAGO

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:53 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Randall the Handle

NY Giants +1.33 over DALLAS PINNACLE

If one game means anything at all than the Boys are in some serious trouble. Yes, they won last week against the turbulent Bucs but they were the second best team on the field and it wasn’t close. The Bucs offense, which is supposed to be a complete disaster, pushed around Dallas’ D-line and gained 175 years on the ground and produced a total of 450 yards. That’s incredible, it really is when you consider the lack of weapons the Bucs have. Furthermore, and although he passed for a career high 353 yards, Tony Romo completed just 16 of 27 passes with three of those being of the bomb variety. No way does Romo go deep on the Giants three times for scores. The Bucs outplayed the Cowboys from start to finish and perhaps Dallas was looking ahead to this one but the Giants come here already battle tested and off a solid game against the Skins in which they won 23-17 and looked good against a decent team and a great defense. Incidentally, the Giants were up 23-10 and the Skins scored a TD with a 90 seconds left in the game to make it look a bit closer. Anyway, Dallas looks like they can be pushed around and exploited and if they don’t improve by 100% here they’re going to get their *** handed to them. Keep the points. Play: NY Giants +1.33 (Risking 2 units).

NY JETS +4 over New England Sports Interaction

Some might view the Pats miracle win over Buffalo last week a wake-up call and a game in which Tom Brady was able to get some rust out and perhaps all that is true. However, what was more apparent was that the Patriots defense looked slow and weak and the offense, while they moved the ball, still attempted 53 passes because they couldn’t move on the ground. In fact, the Pats found themselves in a ton of third and 5’s or 6’s. Now they’ll travel on a short week after a huge scare and they’ll be playing a team that looked absolutely terrific in week 1. The Jets went into Houston last week and whacked the Texans 24-7. The held the high-powered Texan offense to under 200 yards and that’s a huge accomplishment. It was easy to see Rex Ryan’s stamp on this defense in his first game as Jets head coach after leading the Ravens’ stingy unit for the past several years. Houston’s offense got past midfield just once in the first three quarters. The Texans were outgained 462-183, Steve Slaton was held to 17 yards rushing and Andre Johnson had 35 yards receiving. Mark Sanchez sparkled in his debut in the NFL, throwing for 272 yards and a touchdown and looked poised as a seasoned vet in the process. The Patriots were the supposed to be juiced up last week to open up on Monday Night Football and with the return of Brady but instead they looked awful on defense and should’ve gone down to the Bills. The Pats will get a ton more pressure from the Jets defense; that you can take to the bank. The Jets looked too good all the way around to be thought of as a one-week wonder and it says here they win outright but these points are just a little insurance and makes the play stronger. Play: NY Jets +4 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Tampa Bay +5 over BUFFALO PINNACLE

The Bills strong performance on Monday night has provided us with a great opportunity here. You see, the whole football world watched as the Bills had the upset of the week in its hands only to blow it in the final two minutes. That showing has prompted an inflated line, as bettors see the Bills as a decent squad that just got robbed in the end. Maybe they are a much-improved team but I’m not buying it just yet. Laying points with bad teams is bad strategy and these Bills will play off a devastating loss and they’ll also be playing on a short week. All of a sudden they’ll be playing with some pressure on them after they were pretty much “free-rolling” last week, expected to lose by a wide margin. What I do know is that the Bucs controlled the running game last week against Dallas. They held the ball for over 33 minutes and the score was in no way indicative of how they played. They amassed 450 yards on offense and aside from three bombs that went for scores, the defense held Tony Romo to just 16 completions on 27 attempts. Buffalo also has to overcome some psychological deficiencies, as they’ve lost five straight at home and they failed to score a single TD in the last three home losses. Buffalo at home laying points to anyone is about as risky as it gets. Play: Tampa Bay +5 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:54 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Vegas Sports Informer

4 Unit Play. Take Atlanta -6 over Carolina
Who has the better QB here? Matt Ryan who took the Falcons to the playoffs as a rookie or Jake Delhomme who has 11 turnovers in two games! I’m taking the Falcons with Matt Ryan and their tough at home. Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. Carolina is 1-5 ATS as an underdog.

2 Unit Play. Take San Francisco -1½ over Seattle
Head coach Mike Singletary has these 49ers playing some great football and this started from the end of last season. Sorry Seattle your not playing the St. Louis Rams again this week. San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in Week 2

5 Unit Play. Take Over 37½ Pittsburgh at Chicago
(Game of the Week) Both teams have lost star players on defense last week so we could see some TD’s in this game. If Aaron Rogers can pick apart the secondary of the Bears what is Roethisberger going to do. The Steelers are 5-1 O/U in their last 6 games as a road favorite. The Bears will need a better game from QB Jay Cutler and I can see the Bears offense scoring some points against this Steelers defense. The Bears are 20-8 O/U in their last 28 home games.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:54 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Strike Point Sports

3-Unit Play. Take Jacksonville -3 over Arizona
Fading the Cards on their first east coast trip, as they were so poor last season away from the left coast. Kurt Warner looked flat out awful against the 49ers to open the season, and so we'll back the Jags here in their attempt to not fall two games back of the Colts in the division. Home favorite in this one.

3-Unit Play. Take Cleveland +3 over Denver
This play continues to go the opposite of the Broncos. Had it been anyone besides the sorry Bungals, and they would have made the Broncos pay for their poor play last Sunday. A fluke catch made them 1-0, but I think Cleveland can continue to exploit them, even if the Browns, too, aren't exactly lights out. We take a flyer on them with the points.

3-Unit Play. Take Indianapolis -3 over Miami
The Dolphins looked quite horrible to begin the year, so no reason to think they are all of a sudden going to be fine against Peyton Manning and company. Indy's defense is tops by any stretch of the imagination, but I think their unit is stronger than Atlanta's and we saw what the Falcons did to Miami. John Abraham had success getting to Chad Pennington, so I think Dwight Freeney can replicate that pressure and keep him out of sync and hopefully that means more turnovers. Indy minus the number on Monday Night

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:54 AM

Re: 9-20-09

The Nevada Boys

10* Carolina Panthers +6
3* Carolina Panthers +220 Ml

10* La Sparks +1

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:55 AM

Re: 9-20-09

CKO

11* Redskins

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:56 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
CALI-CARTEL

25 DIME RELEASE

Tennessee Titans

Note from Steve Budin:

As I release this selection from the Cali-Cartel, I see the line on this game is a solid -7 on Tennessee.

If you have -7, buy down the 1/2 point to Tennessee -6 1/2 so you get a win should the Titans only win by a touchdown.

If you have -7 1/2, buy down the 1/2 point to Tennessee -7 so you get the push should the Titans only win by seven points.

Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry: we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in these cases.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:57 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Trushel
sdiego/reg
over bears/reg.
carolina/20*

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:57 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Black Widow

6* Widow Wiseguy NFC Non-Divisional GAME OF THE YEAR on New Orleans Saints +1

No Donovan McNabb Sunday for the Eagles gives them no shot of winning. McNabb is listed as doubtful for Sunday, and even if he were to play he won't be effective. A broken rib can heel itself, but that first week after the injury is excruciating. The Saints won 45-27 over Detroit last Sunday behind six touchdown passes from Drew Brees. Giving up 27 points to Detroit is reason for caution, but there is also reason for hope after the following news. The NFL has decided against enforcing four-game suspensions of Charles Grant and Will Smith at this time, opening the way for the New Orleans Saints' starting defensive ends to play this week and possibly the whole 2009 season. Philly may have won 38-10 last week, but Carolina honestly handed them the game by committing 7 turnovers. The Eagles only put up 267 total yards, 82 passing, not numbers you would expect from a team that put up 38 points. The Saints are the real deal with season, and without McNabb in the lineup the Eagles aren't going to be able to score enough points to keep up with Drew Brees and this high-powered offense. The Saints are now 6-1-1 ATS (86%) in their last 8 games overall. The underdog is 5-1 (83%) ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take New Orleans and the points.

4* NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Bengals +9.5

Cincinnati should not be catching nearly double-digit points Sunday. Yes, the Bengals lost to the Broncos last week, but they had that game in the bag before a miracle TD pass with 11 seconds remaining had Cincinnati losing 12-7. That was Carson Palmer's first action since the Bengals' preseason opener, where he suffered an ankle injury that kept him out of the final three games of the preseason. So Palmer was rusty last week, throwing 2 interceptions. Another week of practice and a game under his belt will have Palmer coming out much sharper Sunday against the Packers. Plus, the motivational edge is there because the Bengals cannot afford to start 0-2 with Pittsburgh coming to town next week. Cincinnati is 3-1 SU in their last 4 regular season games, giving up just 7.75 points per contest dating back to the final three games of last year. This defense is better than they get credit for. Green Bay wasn't sharp, either, in their opener but they made a huge play on a 3rd-and-1 with less than 2 minutes remaining to beat the Bears 21-15 at home. Green Bay was actually outgained by Chicago 226-307, and they only scored 21 points despite four interceptions by Jay Cutler. This is not a team that should be laying a ton of points in the early going, because if you remember the Packers posted just a 6-10 record last year. The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Cincinnati will want this one more Sunday and they'll keep it close because of it, likely pulling off the upset. Take the Bengals and the points.

4* AFC GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Ravens +3

At this point in the season, the Baltimore Ravens are much better off than the San Diego Chargers. The Chargers needed a late touchdown with 18 second remaining to beat the Oakland Raiders 24-20 on Monday, and LaDanian Tomlinson was forced out of action with an ankle injury. Tomlinson remains questionable for Sunday's game, and that means Darren Sproles will likely see the bulk of the carries. He cannot handle the load against this big, physical Ravens' defense. Baltimore is a complete team both offensively and defensively. The Ravens now have a reliable passing game, as Joe Flacco threw for 307 yards and three touchdowns in last week's 38-24 win over Kansas City. The Chiefs may have put up 24 points on the Ravens, but that number is MISLEADING. Kansas City finished with just 188 yards of total offense, 29 rushing and 159 passing. In fact, the Chiefs were outgained 188-501 where Baltimore also rushed for 198 yards in the victory. The Ravens are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 points. Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC. The Chargers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0. Take the Ravens and the points

**Mr. IWS** · 09-20-2009, 08:57 AM

Re: 9-20-09

Anthony Redd

25 Dime Bengals

9-20-09

9-20-09

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