9-27-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

STU FEINER
Waive the Rating Pro Game of the Year!
Must win or all my football and MLB plays through October are absolutely FREE!!

Sunday Selection:
TENNESSEE TITANS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

Pure Lock

Packers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

Dr. Big Daddy 12*
NFL Sunday
12* New England -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

Craig Davis Sunday's Lineup
100 Dime --- ASTROS (With Rodriguez as listed pitcher)

20 Dime --- ARIZONA CARDINALS

10 Dime --- TITANS MONEYLINE

5 Dime --- LIONS

HOUSTON ASTROS (with Wandy Rodriguez) --- I've been very good with my baseball selections this year, and I'm stepping it up today on a day dominated by the NFL. Why? Because when I like a play as much as I like the Astros, I can't help but let you know about it. The Houston Astros will win this game because, if nothing else, they simply can't lose a 10th straight time to Cincinnati... it just won't happen. They can't let it happen... they have too much pride and have had success in the past against these very same Reds.

And you have to like our chances with Wandy Rodriguez taking the hill for the Astros this afternoon. This guy, for the most part, is absolute money at home. Yes, I realize he was shellacked in his last home outing vs. St. Louis, allowing 6 earned runs in five innings of work. But that's the exception, not the rule. In his previous 43 innings of work, Rodriguez had allowed just two earned runs and four wins. For the season at home, Rodriguez is 8-3 with a 2.03 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP, not to mention his .218 opponents' batting average. Look, you can point fingers all you want to that game vs. St. Louis, but like I said, that was the exception and there's absolutely no chance he lays another egg at home. He's a gamer and would love nothing more than for his last home start of the season to be a win for his team.

As for the Reds, they have cruised to two easy 10-4 wins in the first two games of this series and I can tell you right now this offense isn't that good... they're just not. I'll give them credit for scoring double digits in four of their last five games, but you simply can't convince me that this team's offense should be feared. They simply aren't that good. The pitchers they've faced in those four games include Felipe Paulino, Brian Moehler, Kevin Hart and Zach Duke. That's hardly a frightening pitching staff, and what they're going to face today is much, much better than they have seen recently.

Johnny Cueto gets the start for the Reds, posting a 10-10 record and a 4.39 ERA on the season. This will be his fourth consecutive road start and despite the fact that he's pitched a little better on the road than at home, you have to think he'd love to get back home. Four in a row is a lot to ask of a young pitcher and today is the day he implodes. His career vs. Houston is definitely forgettable, with an 0-3 record and a 5.57 ERA in six starts. That's right, he's never beaten the Astros and I see no reason why it should begin today.

The Reds have struggled vs. lefties recently, winning just one time in their last seven tries. Houston, meanwhile, is 13-3 in Wandy's last 16 home starts, 7-1 in their last 8 when Rodriguez starts and the total is set between 7 and 8.5, and 6-1 when he starts in Game 3 of a series. Folks, this one will be decided early, as the Astros get a much-needed 6-3 victory.


ARIZONA CARDINALS --- Obviously it'd be nice to get this number at -3 or less, but I'm not going to ask you to buy the half point here because I believe this is a Cardinals win by 4 points or more. Indy has a lot going against them in this game, including the fact that they traveled from Indy to Miami, back to Indy, and now out to the desert... and all this was done in a matter of about four or five days. That's a lot to ask, even for NFL athletes. What's more, they really haven't had much time to prepare/game plan for the Cardinals attack because they spent so much time getting ready for the Dolphins. Arizona, as you well know, is tough to prepare for to begin with, but having just a few days to get ready after a long travel is simply too much to overcome.

Also take into account that both Steve Breaston and Anquan Boldin are expected to play for Arizona tonight, giving Kurt Warner a full arsenal of receivers to throw to. Remember in Week 1 he didn't have Breaston and it messed up the plan of attack. Last week, with Breaston, Warner completed his first 15 passes and 24 of the 26 he attempted for the afternoon against Jacksonville. Meanwhile, S Bob Sanders is still out and although Melvin Bullitt and Antoine Bethea are serviceable safeties, they'll surely miss Sanders' services this week.

Arizona runs the ball better this year than they did last year and will show Indy a fair mix of run and pass. Against a tired defense off a short week, that's not the recipe the Colts want to see. I'll give them credit... they did more with less than 15 minutes of possession than I ever thought they could, but that did put a toll on the defense. Arizona has covered 6 of their last 7 overall, 9 of 12 as a favorite, 7 of 10 in September and 4 straight vs. winning teams. Cardinals make home field advantage count tonight, as they win this thing 31-21.


TENNESSEE TITANS MONEYLINE --- I did tell you at the beginning of the year that I thought Tennessee would be a good team again this year but that I didn't believe they were going to match their 13-3 record from a year ago. That being said, the run defense has still in the top 5 and it's going to be ultra tough for Thomas Jones and/or Leon Washington to get anything going in the running department. And if the Jets fall behind early, they don't have the type of QB who is capable of driving a team down the field for a game winning score.

Look, the Jets have all the momentum in the world, riding high off two upset wins (one at home, one on the road) while the Titans are in desperation mode because if the fail to win today, they fall to 0-3 and it's going to be a long, uphill climb to get back to where they need to do. The thing about HC Jeff Fisher is that he's a gamer... he goes with the flow, he's not stubborn. I think that's why he's been so successful in the NFL... he goes with the flow and makes adjustments on the fly. The Jets can blitz all they want (they average blitzing on 70% of all offensive plays)... the other two teams they've done that to haven't had the dynamic tandem in the backfield to make them pay for it. Chris Johnson broke off three long TDs last week because Houston took chances on the blitz. I think Tennessee is begging New York to blitz because they have the game plan and weapons to exploit it.

Remember last year in November when the Titans were the hottest team in the NFL, undefeated, dominating everyone? A balmy afternoon in Nashville, Tennessee turned into a frigid evening for the Titans as the Jets did everything right and were the first team in the league to beat the mighty Titans, 34-13. So on top of everything else, the Titans also have revenge on their minds as none of these players can forget the beating the Jets gave them. Bottom line: whether you think he's over the hill or not, would you rather have Kerry Collins leading your team down the field on a game-winning drive or rookie Mark Sanchez?



LIONS (if your line is +6 1/2 or +7, be sure to buy the half point up to +7 or +7 1/2) --- Folks, there's really not much to say here. Truth be told, this selection is much more about my negative feelings for the Redskins and their lack of offense than about the Lions being good. I'm playing AGAINST Washington and will likely do it several more times this year. Washington might be in the bottom five of total offense and it starts and ends with QB Jason Campbell. Although his completion percentage is pretty good, he's just not throwing for many yards and he's definitely not putting it into the end zone. The Redskins failed to score a touchdown in four quarters vs. lowly St. Louis last week and preceded that with a miserable performance in New York in which they scored on a fake field goal and followed that up with a short-yardage TD in the closing moments. So, in two games this offense has just one touchdown against the Giants (who allowed 31 points to Dallas) and St. Louis (who allowed 28 points to Seattle). Bottom line: I don't care what Detroit looks like or how poorly they've played, it can't be as bad as what we've seen from Washington and I have little doubt Detroit takes this right down to the wire. I'd like to say I think they'll win this game SU... but we are talking about the Lions.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 between the Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals (Sunday @ 1:35pm). Indeed, the Atlanta Braves have an outside shot at the playoffs. With the Cardinals coming off back to back wins in Colorado, the Braves have inched closer to the wild card spot just 2.5 games back. One can only imagine if Tulowitski doesn't hit that walk off home run earlier this week, my Braves would be just one game back. Nevertheless, the Braves are right there amazingly given the injuries this season. With Lowe on the mound, the Braves are really looking at him to help sweep the Nats this afternoon. I like the fact that Hernandez is on the mound as well as he comes off getting rocked against the Dodgers at home and that was a bit predicted. Hernandez gave up eight runs in that game but after two quality starts he has been having a let down start. I look to him have another quality start (and his next start to likely be quality as well). With the Braves eyeing the playoffs and needing a good start from Lowe here and Hernandez helping prevent the sweep for his team and coming off a bounce-back, I like this game to stay in the single digits. The Under is 7-1 for the Braves when the total is set at this range and the Under is 4-1-1 for the Nationals when they face a pitcher with a WHIP of greater than 1.30.

Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

Charlie

nfl. rams+6,
tampab bay+6' &
san francisco @ minnesota under 40. (500* triple play)


nfl. seattle+2 (30*)
nfl. buffalo+6 (20*)
nfl. jacksonville+3' (20*)
nfl. cincinnati+3' (10*)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

1-Unit Play. Take #973 Detroit (-135) over Chicago White Sox (2 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 27)


1-Unit Play. Take #952 Florida (-1.5, -125) over N.Y. Mets (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 27)


1-Unit Play. Take #980 L.A. Angels (-1.5, -115) over Oakland (3:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 27)


1-Unit Play. Take #953 Atlanta (-1.5, -110) over Washington (1:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 27)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #963 Chicago Cubs (+135) over San Fran (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 27)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #958 Milwaukee (+125) over Philadelphia (2 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 27)


Ferringo

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

Stan Sharp

Pitt Steelers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

heisman trophy- st. louis- 10, kc under-10, pitt- 20

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

Doc's Sports

Baseball

4-Unit Play Take #963 Chicago Cubs +125 over San Francisco Giants (4:05p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #965 San Diego Padres +110 over Arizona Diamondbacks (4:10p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

ALATEX MLB for TODAY
MLB Superplay: Minnesota +165

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

EZ Winners

2 titans
2 seahawks
2 raiders

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

John ryan 15* dog

the jags + pts
for his big 15* play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

ASA

4* TN
3* Oak
3* AZ

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-27-09

ANDRE GOMES

TENNESSEE at NEW YORK

First of all let me say that of all the teams that are 0-2 going for this week, the Titans are clearly the best of this hapless group. Being 0-2 is dramatic for a team that has the aspiration to be in the superbowl, but a potential 0-3 hole will practically kill all their chances to go through the postseason, so we can expect the Titans to make a huge effort in this game against a good Jets team.

The Jets are 2-0 with two upset wins against the Texans and the Patriots. The aggressive style of their defense was problematic for Schaub and Brady, but the Titans have different weapons that will hurt the Jets defense. I remember that both the Texans and the Patriots are pass happy offensive teams that couldn't handle the Jets' blitzes. Meanwhile the Titans are a run oriented team with one of the best RB in this league. Running back Chris Johnson was unreal against the Texans last week by racking up 284 total yards, including touchdown runs of 57 and 91 yards, and a 69-yard touchdown catch. The Jets simply can't put all the pressure in knocking down Kerry Collins because the Titans will hurt them with Chris Johnson. This different approach from the Titans will cause some unseen problems for the Jets.

I like also of the fact that the Titans are coming from an unbelievable awful defensive performance against the Texans. We are talking about one of the best defensive teams in the last years and we have to expect them to be focused in the defensive end.

"Let me set the record straight here: When you are a good football team and you start off the season (0-2) there is going to be frustration, OK? And the only way you get out of it is you avoid pointing fingers at anybody,'' Fisher said. "We corrected a lot of things, we have a good secondary. They are giving up too many big plays, but this is a team loss, it is not a secondary loss.''

The Jets are playing with a conservative playbook in an attempt to take off the pressure of Mark Sanchez. Last week they ran 31 rushing plays for just 22 passing plays while Sanchez completed just 14 passes. In another words, the Jets are a run oriented team that badly need their running game to work otherwise Sanchez will have to take risk passes and the Jets will have some tough problems. These are good news for the Titans because they are a great run defensive team and they can focus in stopping the Jets rushing game. In the first two games of the season, the Titans held RB's Steve Slaton and Willie Parker to less than 50 yards each.

I expect a huge effort from the Titans in an attempt to grab their fist win of the season against a good Jets' team but that are a good matchup for the Titans and that's why I'm taking the Titans in here.

Single Dime Play on Tennessee Titans +2