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Re: 10-3-09
andy iskoe
70 auburn tigers
andy iskoe
70 auburn tigers
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Re: 10-3-09
Lenny Del Genio
Purdue -7 vs Northwestern
The Boilermakers covered for us and 1st year HC Danny Hope last week at home vs. Notre Dame. The Notre Dame game is obviously a big deal for a 1st year HC in West Lafayette, but so too is the homecoming game which comes this week vs. Northwestern and ensures no letdown. Purdue has won 9 of 12 in this Big 10 rivalry, but has actually dropped three of the last five. Last year was the worst of those losses with the Boilers trailing by as much as 30 at one point, but let's take a closer examination of those box scores. QB Painter was yanked following a dreadful effort, but then backup Elliot came in and seperated his shoulder, leaving Painter to come back into an awkward situation. It is Elliot's team this year. Purdue turned it over five times in the 48-26 defeat and it was an interesting game overall with seven of the 13 scoring drives were of 13 yards or less. The 48 points scored by Northwestern was a series record (76 games). A poor weather forecast works to the advantage of the home team, who has rediscovered its running game while Northwestern's pass first offense will be limited. Last time here in West Lafayette, the Wildcats lost 35-17 as 13-point underdogs. They don't even have QB Bacher anymore, who threw four TD passes last year. N'western has new faces and injuries in the front seven. Boilermakers will not lose a 3rd straight home game and get the cash here. Take Purdue.
Minnesota -3 vs Wisconsin
This is the longest active rivarly in FBS with this being the 119th all-time meeting. The Gophers have lost five straight (and 12 of 14) in this series and seven straight in Madison. Fortunately for them, this game will be played at the new TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, possibly the first time they can take advantage of playing outdoors in the bad weather. Meanwhile, this will be the first time Wisconsin has left Madison, meaning their 4-0 start is a bit phony. Further illustrating that point is the fact the Badgers defense has allowed 400+ yards total offense to both Fresno State and Michigan State (had a +6 TO margin in those two games). Last year, Minnesota led 21-7 at the half, despite playing without WR Decker, but wound up having to settle only for the cover in a 35-32 loss as 13-point underdogs. This year, they'll have Decker, who along with QB Adam Weber, form the best QB/WR combo in the Big 10. The Gophers impressed us in staying with Cal for three quarters in the home opener (lost 35-21 thanks to four turnovers) and then last week the running game was rejuvenated (166 yards) in a 35-24 win and cover on the road vs. Northwestern. Tim Brewster's team will certainly want to win its first game in its new digs. Wisconsin is just 1-4 ATS its last five as a road underdog and 1-6 ATS when coming off a conference win. Minnesota is our Conference Game of the Week.
Arkansas St. +21.5 vs Iowa
Obvious letdown spot for Iowa, who comes off a physical 21-10 upset of Penn State in Happy Valley and now is being asked to lay three touchdowns to an unfamiliar opponent the week before they host (possibly) unbeaten Michigan. The other key factor here is that the Hawkeyes do not have the explosiveness on offense to cover this kind of number. Through 274 snaps this year, Iowa's biggest offensive play has been 43 yards. HC Ferentz certainly won't be looking for many 50+ yard plays in this game, more likely being content to run the ball and grind out the clock, keeping his starters fresh for bigger games on the Big 10 slate. Arkansas State has several playmakers on offense, including QB Leonard and RB Arnold, both of whom are seniors, as well as a veteran WR corps. Having played at Nebraska, Tennessee, Auburn, Alabama and Texas over the course of the last three seasons means the Red Wolves are one underdog that won't be intimidated. Remember that they won outright at Texas A&M last year. With a 17-2 SU home mark vs. non-BCS schools (including 42-0 win over only other SBC opponent Florida Int'l), Iowa simply is not going to take this game seriously. Look no further than a 17-16 win over FCS Northern Iowa in Week One (needed TWO blocked FG's to preserve the win) for further proof of that. Take Arkansas State.Comment
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Re: 10-3-09
Stan Sharp | CFB Side Sat, 10/03/09 - 7:30 PM U5
triple-dime bet 149 Georgia Tech -5.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 150 Mississippi St
Analysis:
Stan is Betting GEORGIA TECH. Stan notes that when you don't see this kind of offense but once in awhile it is very hard to defend. Mississippi St played their guts out last week against LSU and came up short. That will leave them flat today and facing a team with a unusual offense will spell a long day for Mississippi St. Georgia Tech will be able to wear out the Mississippi St defense in the second half. Stan says Georgia Tech wins this by 14-17 Points. TAKE GEORGIA TECH as STAN'S TRIPLE DIME COLLEGE MISMATCH GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAYComment
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Re: 10-3-09
Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side Sat, 10/03/09 - 7:00 PM [
triple-dime bet 167 Oregon St. 5.5 (-110) Bodog vs 168 Arizona St.
Analysis: PLAY: OREGON ST
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
Arizona St comes off a hard fought road game in which they played their guts out against Georgia last week only to come up short as a Big Dog. Now they return home looking to bounce€ back as a marginal favorite. This is one of my best situations to take the road dog. I have this game going to the wire with Oregon St winning outright 31-27. Grab the points. TAKE OREGON ST
Marco Rated this Play a 7* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone ServiceComment
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Re: 10-3-09
4 Unit Play. Take the Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 over the Florida Marlins (Saturday @ 4:10pm est). The last time Sanchez faced the Phillies he dominated them winning 3-0 at home. He went eight innings and did not yield a run as he gave up just two hits in the outing. Granted, he now has to face the Phillies on the road who will look to get some revenge from that beating they took at his hands. In the same token, Cole Hamels looks to fine tune himeslf prior to the playoffs as his last start was a bit shaky as he gave up six runs in less than seven innings of work as Houston went on to win the game 2-8 in Philadelphia. In fact, the last two starts for Hamels has been a bit shaky including his no decision at Florida recently when the Marlins ended up winning that game 6-7. I like the Phillies and Hamels to do well here at home as they tune up for the playoffs.
Good luck,
ICComment
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Re: 10-3-09
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Houston at N.Y. Mets (1 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 3)
Both pitchers suck, we have a tight ump, and the wind is blowing out. It is a little wet in that neck of the woods and that's the only thing keeping this play down. But two weak bullpens and the fact that the Astros kill lefties (especially someone as weak as Misch) should help keep this one on pace.
FerringoComment
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Re: 10-3-09
Al DeMarco Saturday's Play 5 Dime Release - Tulsa
This is Tulsa's fourth road game in five weeks to open the season. The Golden Hurricane easily covered the first two, beating Tulane 37-13 laying 14 1/2 points, and rolling over New Mexico 44-10 as a 16 1/2-point chalk. The third game resulted in a blowout 45-0 loss in Norman against Oklahoma. But rather than dwell on that setback, Tulsa kicked off the home portion of its schedule last Saturday with a 56-3 pasting of Division 1-AA member Sam Houston State.
Last year the Golden Hurricane stopped Rice 63-28 at home in a contest where they were ahead by just seven points at halftime. But this year's edition of the Owls is much weaker and inexperienced than the 2008 crew. They're coming off a 36-17 home loss to Vanderbilt in which the Commodores amassed nearly 500 yards of total offense, including 216 on the ground. Rice is dead last in the country when it comes to total yards allowed per game with an average yield of 447 yards, and ranked 120th in the nation with an average yield of 44 points an outing. One of the team's biggest deficiencies is its non-existent pass rush, which has accounted for just five sacks in four games.
Rice enters this game with injury problems on offense. Quarterback Nick Fanuzzi missed the Vandy game with a sprained shoulder and might not play versus Tulsa. Neither senior J.T. Shepherd (6-for-14, 58 yards) or redshirt freshman Ryan Lewis (6-for-18, 64 yards) proved to be an adequate back-up against the Commodores last Saturday. And with one starting offensive lineman out and another whose availability is in doubt, the Owls might struggle moving the ball against a Hurricane defense that's held each opponent - with the exception of Oklahoma - to 13-or-less points a game.
Tulsa is on a 9-3 ATS run as a double-digit favorite, including a 2-0 mark this year with both victories coming on the road. Finishing first in Conference USA play is the team's goal this season, and with a bye coming up next before its big game with Boise State on October 14, the Golden Hurricane should be focused at the task at handComment
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Re: 10-3-09
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
10* Bookiekiller
USC vs. California
Play: USC -4.5
Although it suffered a melt-down two weeks ago against Washington, and one of the "spiritual leaders" of its team experienced a freak accident this past week, I believe that USC will outlast Cal in this one as I expect the Golden Bears to suffer a let-down after they had their worst defeat in eight years of coach Jeff Tedford's coaching regime at California last week. It's safe to say that USC's running back Stafon Johnson won't be playing in this one as he had emergency surgery to his throat after a weightlifting accident on Monday. Last week USC held the Cougars scoreless until giving up a touchdown with 22 seconds remaining in the game. The Trojans finished with 403 yards of total offense as freshman QB Matt Barkley, who’d missed the previous game with a bruised shoulder, went 13 of 22 for 247 yards and two TD's. The key for USC in this game will obviously be to contain Jahvid Best; the Trojans, who are holding opponents below 60 rushing yards per game in 2009, limited Best to 30 yards in a 17-3 victory over Cal last season. Southern Cal may only be 2-4 ATS its last six overall, but its 13-1 SU its last 14, 5-1 SU its last six on the road and 4-2 ATS its last six on the road vs. California. On the other side of the field: The Golden Bears had their six-game winning streak snapped last week with an embarrassing 42-3 rout at Oregon. After averaging 48.7 points in their first three games, they failed to score after Vince D’Amato’s 47-yard field goal gave them a 3-0 lead. The Bears managed just 207 yards of total offense - 77 rushing. Best was held to 55 yards on 16 carries after averaging more than 137 yards in the first three games; starting QB Kevin Riley was replaced in the fourth quarter after going 12 of 31 for 123 yards. I Look for Cal to fall to 0-6 SU vs. USC, to 3-7 ATS over the last three seasons off a loss against a conference rival and to 2-4 ATS the last two seasons when playing the roll of underdog. Bottom line: I feel there is tremendous value on USC as it rallies together on the field from its "off field" issues, and look for it build off last weeks convincing performance and to take advantage of the Golden Bears shaken psyche from last week's beatdown; expect USC to move to 4-1 ATS over the last two seasons as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points, to 10-6 ATS over the last three seasons off a win against a conference rival and to 8-4 ATS over the last two seasons when playing against a team with a winning record!Comment
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