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5 Dime Play Take San Francisco +3.5 (Buy the half if you can't get it) San Francisco coming off a bye and getting Frank Gore back is a situation I like as an underdog. Considering the 49ers were embarrassed at home by the Falcons, you got to think coach Mike Singletary has ingrained the thought of having too much confidence and the importance of tackling your opponent. Houston is coming off a big win against Cincinnati and a let down is in effect this week. Houston is 30th in rushing yards per game and 24th in rushing yards allowed per game. You can expect Schaub to pass the ball and score, but once San Francisco starts hitting him, you can expect him to fold. San Francisco is ranked 5th in covering the spread with a 4-1 record and Houston is ranked 15th in covering the spread with a 3-3 record. Houston is 1-3 ats with a spread of -6.5 or less. San Francisco is 2-0 ats as an underdog this season.
Betting System In Play: Any team - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. (30-7 ATS) Play = SAN FRANCISCO against the spread
Trends I like
* Gary kubiak is 0-8 ats versus good rushing defenses—allowing <=90 rushing yards/game as the coach of Houston. the average score was kubiak 17.9, oPPonent 34
* 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
* 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
* 49ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
* 49ers are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
3 DIME BONUS
Take Over 44 I expect this game to be pretty exciting with these two teams battling it out as Houston has power and San Francisco trys to regain their edge. SAN FRANCISCO: 10-0 OVER away after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992....15-3 OVER away versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992....32-14 OVER versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992....13-4 OVER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992....35-19 OVER after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* A F C "R o a d W a r r ior" of the Month on Indianapolis Colts -13(-103 at 5dimes)
The St. Louis Rams had a great chance to end their 15-game losing streak last week against the Jaguars, but they lost in overtime for 16 straight losses. The life has been sucked out of this team, and they won't be able to recover in time to compete with the Indianapolis Colts Sunday. The Rams are 0-6 this season alone, with 4 losses by more than 19 points. They loss to the Packers by 19, Seahawks by 28, 49ers by 35 and Vikings by 28 and the Colts are as good or better than any of those squads. Indy is also coming off a bye, so they are very hungry to get back on the field. Bob Sanders returns this week to the defense, only adding another playmakers to a unit that is allowing just 14.2 points/game. The Colts' offense is getting all the credit with their 27.4 points/game average, but this defense is as good as any in the league right now. St. Louis is losing by an average of 19.2 points/game this season. The Colts should honestly be a 20-plus point favorite in this one. Indy is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a road blowout win by 21points or more since 1992. The Colts are 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 or more points since 1992. What's great about this team is that they do not let up when they get on a roll. Take the Colts and lay the points.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Chargers/Chiefs OVER 44(-105 at 5dimes)
San Diego has one explosive offense, but their defense is non-existent any more ever since injuries crushed this unit. That's why they have already played in several high-scoring affairs, especially their last two games when they lost to Pittsburgh 28-38 and to Denver 23-34. The Chargers are scoring 26.0 points/game on the road and allowing 29.0 points/game away from home. The Chiefs are giving up 24.0 points/game this season so look for San Diego to put up 30-plus Sunday. Kansas City will put up their best offensive performance of the year against the worst defense they have faced this season. The Chargers are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. The Chiefs are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) in home games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Chargers are 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992. San Diego is giving up 7.1 yards/attempt to opposing quarterbacks, but Phillip Rivers is averaging 7.8 yards/attempt himself so look for both teams to be able to move the ball at will through the air. The OVER is 5-1 in the Chargers' last 6 games overall and the OVER is 4-1 in the Chiefs' last 5 home games. Take the OVER 44 points here.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Oakland Raiders +7(-115 at bodog)
Oakland's Richard Seymour guaranteed his team would make the playoffs following their 13-9 win over the Eagles last week, and he must see something in this team that most people do not see to make a bold statement like that. The Raiders are tired of being the joke of the week in pro football, and they stepped up to the plate last week to do something about it with a huge win over Philly. Oakland is finally getting healthy, and that is the biggest difference because when this offensive line is intact, it is as dominant as about any other team in the league. The New York Jets actually have more problems right now than the Raiders, losers of 3 straight including last week's 13-16 overtime loss to Buffalo. Jets' QB Mark Sanchez threw 5 interceptions in the loss, and he has certainly hit rock bottom right now. He is losing games for his team, which cannot be sitting well with Rex Ryan. He has a lot of pressure on his shoulders heading out West Sunday, and the rookie will fail to step up to the plate. Oakland was 1-4 last year when it upset the Brett Favre-led Jets 16-13 at home. Oakland still ranks last in the NFL in passing offense though at 125.3 YPG, but that weakness triggers an unusual but powerful fade trend on the Jets, as New York is 1-11 ATS in its L12 games vs. teams passing for less than 150 YPG. Oakland is also on a 4-1 SU & 3-0-2 ATS run when hosting NY, and the home team has gone 5-0-2 ATS in the L7 H2h meetings. The Jets are 1-4 SU & ATS in their last 5 road games, including 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games as a road favorite. Also note that Lito Sheppard, WR Jerricho Cotchery and DT Kris Jenkins will be out for this game due to injury. This is a great spot for the Raiders. Take Oakland and the points.
B l a c k W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* N F C TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Falcons/Cowboys UNDER 47.5(-105 at 5dimes)
The books are way off the mark with this one folks. They are expecting a high-scoring game, but what they fail to realize is that both of these defenses are actually carrying their teams this year, not the offense. Dallas has lost firepower now that T.O. is gone, and Atlanta isn't as spectacular offensively as most thought they'd be entering the season. Both teams are allowing less than 20 points on average this year, with the Falcons giving up 15.4 points/game and the Cowboys 19.6. Atlanta is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The Falcons are 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992. The UNDER is 12-2-2 in Cowboys last 16 games following a bye week. The UNDER is 38-16-1 in Falcons last 55 road games overall. Take the UNDER 47.5 points here.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W id ow W ise guy NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Giants -6.5(-110 at betus)
Off their first loss of the season, an embarrassing one to say the least, the New York Giants bounce back at home on NBC's Sunday Night Football this weekend. They let New Orleans put up 34 points in the first half and the rest was history in a 48-27 road loss last Sunday. The Giants failed to even show up, but there's no question New York will be extremely pissed off over the loss and come back against the Cardinals playing with an attitude and a chip on their shoulder. Arizona is coming off back-to-back wins, so they are riding high right now. But the Cardinals are about to get knocked off their pedestal by a better, more physical Giants' team Sunday. New York will hit 'em in the mouth early and often with the running game, and Eli Manning will be on top of his game with precision play-action passes. New York beat Arizona 37-29 on the road last year, doing whatever they wanted to offensively against this Cardinals' defense. New York is 2-0 at home this season, winning by 21.5 points/game. The Giants are 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992. The Giants are 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game since 1992. Arizona is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. The Giants are 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons, covering 88% of the time in this spot. This Giants' defense will force Kurt Warner into a couple interceptions Sunday as they get constant pressure on Arizona's immobile QB, not allowing him to survey the field. New York is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. They have the motivational edge in this one after their brutal loss to the Saints last week, and New York will respond like champions Sunday. Take the Giants and lay the points.
B l a c k W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* N F C TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Falcons/Cowboys UNDER 47.5(-105 at 5dimes)
The books are way off the mark with this one folks. They are expecting a high-scoring game, but what they fail to realize is that both of these defenses are actually carrying their teams this year, not the offense. Dallas has lost firepower now that T.O. is gone, and Atlanta isn't as spectacular offensively as most thought they'd be entering the season. Both teams are allowing less than 20 points on average this year, with the Falcons giving up 15.4 points/game and the Cowboys 19.6. Atlanta is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons. The Falcons are 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1992. The UNDER is 12-2-2 in Cowboys last 16 games following a bye week. The UNDER is 38-16-1 in Falcons last 55 road games overall. Take the UNDER 47.5 points here.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W id ow W ise guy NBC Sunday Night GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Giants -6.5(-110 at betus)
Off their first loss of the season, an embarrassing one to say the least, the New York Giants bounce back at home on NBC's Sunday Night Football this weekend. They let New Orleans put up 34 points in the first half and the rest was history in a 48-27 road loss last Sunday. The Giants failed to even show up, but there's no question New York will be extremely pissed off over the loss and come back against the Cardinals playing with an attitude and a chip on their shoulder. Arizona is coming off back-to-back wins, so they are riding high right now. But the Cardinals are about to get knocked off their pedestal by a better, more physical Giants' team Sunday. New York will hit 'em in the mouth early and often with the running game, and Eli Manning will be on top of his game with precision play-action passes. New York beat Arizona 37-29 on the road last year, doing whatever they wanted to offensively against this Cardinals' defense. New York is 2-0 at home this season, winning by 21.5 points/game. The Giants are 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992. The Giants are 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game since 1992. Arizona is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992. The Giants are 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons, covering 88% of the time in this spot. This Giants' defense will force Kurt Warner into a couple interceptions Sunday as they get constant pressure on Arizona's immobile QB, not allowing him to survey the field. New York is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. They have the motivational edge in this one after their brutal loss to the Saints last week, and New York will respond like champions Sunday. Take the Giants and lay the points.
do you know if todays post is the lock club or the financial package--really appreciate
the effort involved with posting all these services. knock 'em dead.
do you know if todays post is the lock club or the financial package--really appreciate
the effort involved with posting all these services. knock 'em dead.
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