11-1-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 24-17 +15.90%

3% INDIANAPOLIS -12.5
3% TENNESSEE -3
3% NY GIANTS -1
3% NEW ORLEANS -10.5
3% NY GIANTS/PHILADLEPHIA OVER 44
3% ATLANTA/NEW ORLEANS OVER 54

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

Doc Sports

NFL Plays

5 Ravens -3

4 Packers -3

4 Under 40.5 Dolphins / Jets

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

ACE-ACE

$600.00 Take #211 Houston (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
Houston is playing really good football right now and they have just beaten two good teams in San Francisco and Cincinnati. The Texans have been a strong road team. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven away from home. I didn’t think that Buffalo looked that good in Carolina last week in their win. And the Bills have lost their home field edge in recent years. They are just 6-19 ATS at home against teams above .500.

$2200.00 Take #213 Minnesota (+3) over Green Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
This is my Game of the Week and it is part of the “99 System”. Right now everyone thinks that Green Bay is going to get revenge on Minnesota and Brett Favre. But I don’t think that’s the case and the 99 System doesn’t think that’s the case either! The stats in this matchup all favor the Vikings. Minnesota is coming off a loss but they actually out-stated Pittsburgh last week. Green Bay beat cream puff Cleveland and before that beat a bad Detroit team. So those two wins are a bit misleading. I like the Vikings to sweep the series.

$500.00 Take #217 Miami (+3.5) over New York Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
The Dolphins are probably the best 2-4 team in the NFL. They nearly beat New Orleans last week. They also lost a close game to Indianapolis early this year. Those are two of the best teams in football and the Dolphins lost both games late. I like the number here in a game that I think should be close and should be back-and-forth, just like the first meeting. I am not fooled by the Jets win in Oakland. The Raiders are terrible.

$800.00 Take #225 Jacksonville (+3) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
Jacksonville blew the Titans off the field in the first meeting and I think that they will do the same thing here. Tennessee went from having the best secondary in the NFL to having the worst because of injuries. The Titans can’t stop people. And now they have a quarterback controversy. Right now I don’t think that the Titans should be laying points to anyone. They have lost five straight ATS and I think their terrible season continues this week.

$2000.00 Take #229 New York Giants (‘Pick’) at Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)
This is one of my “99 System” picks. I really like the Giants to get revenge in this game after losing at home in the playoffs to the Eagles last year. Some of the Giants players didn’t like a lot of the things that were said after that game. The spread in this game has dropped from 2.5 and even 3.0 at some books to the current ‘pick ‘em’. That is very telling to this veteran capper. Brian Westbrook likely isn’t going to play for the Eagles this weekend. We have seen Philly be a different team over the last few years when he doesn’t play.


each one of those picks are also my Hilton Plays


cant see this going down!!

Sweethheart Teaser 13 point move

mia +16.5
Min+16
jax +16
nyg +13..................................... $500 to win $350


Best to All

Ace-Ace

ak Allen eastman

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

Indian Cowboy

6 Unit Play. Take the Atlanta Falcons +10 over the New Orleans Saints (Monday Night Football @ 8pm est). These two teams are division rivals. You think Atlanta will not be fired up coming off the tough loss to Dallas? You better believe it. The Falcons struggled in the atmosphere at Dallas, but this is their chance to redeem themselves a bit against a rival in New Orleans and on top of that, if the Falcons can defeat this team, they will not be that far out for the division crown. Heck, the Falcons will be 5-2 and the Saints would be 6-1 pending a Falcons win. The Falcons know this and the Saints did show some weaknesses against the Dolphins. I like the Falcons to be an active dog here as I see this game likely going over. But, more importantly, I like the Falcons here, as a dog, coming off a loss, against a division rival and looking to shock the football world so to speak by winning this game outright. I think folks will be surprised at how well this team will be prepared for this game. Do not underestimate this Falcons team and of course, the Saints get to show off their stuff in front of the league on MNF, but in the same token, this does have plenty of holes on defense and the Falcons can run the heck out of the ball. The Falcons are 8-1 ATS coming off a straight up loss.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

Bob Valentino

Sunday's NFL winner ...
25 DIME: COWBOYS (minus the points vs. Seahawks)



NOTE: Make sure to get Dallas at -9 1/2. DO NOT wait to place your wager, as this number is already at 10 in some spots, and there's no reason you should law that key number when there are plenty of places to get 9 1/2.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

1ST HALF OF THE SEASON
BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR
Al DeMarco


Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

5DimeSports.com
3.5 DIME PLAY

Houston @ Buffalo

1:00p.m. Sunday

3.5 Dime Play Take Houston -3 (buy the half) First off if you can't get -3, this is a good play at -4, but for the records I am at -3. Andre Johnson, man he is a beast, 16.7 ypc average and 634 yards with 4 TDs. I can't see the Bills not letting him breakout in this one. Plus Slaton has picked it up the past couple of games and that is what they have been missing. With both of them on the field and doing well, we can expect Schaub to add to his 16 passing TDs that he already has. Not to mention Owen Daniels, man this guy is good. Between Johnson and Daniels they account for 9 of Schaub's 16 TDs. This team is becoming more versitle every week. I am definetly not convinced that Ryan Fitzpatrick is a solid QB in the NFL. He definetly has received a good amount of playing time in the past season, since he played for Carson Palmer when he was out last year. But still, its Ryan Fitzpatrick and right now he's sitting on a 44.7 completion percentage. T.O. did not practice this week and his injury is not listed, but it's not like he has been a factor this season anyways. The Bills have only one rushing TD this season from all of their running backs and that's not going to cut it with Houston's powerfull offense coming to town. Buy the half but not thinking it will really matter.

Trends I Like

BUF are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
BUF are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
HOU are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
HOU are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
HOU are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

The boss

500% "untouchable play" arizona
300% "bookie buster blowout parlay" arizona, indy, houston
200% "dog pound" denver
100% "silent assassins" jacksonville, minny, san diego

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

BRYAN LEONARD

NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH

( I guess he doesn't like any other NFC East games for the rest of the month in November) ( Hello today is Nov 1)

New York at Philadelphia

You can surely make a case that the Giants are the most overrated team in the NFL. Their five victories were against Washington, Dallas, Tampa Bay, Kansas City and Oakland. The only winning team in the bunch were the Cowboys and the Giants needed a plus four turnover advantage to win that game by just two points. The last two weeks New York lost badly to the Saints and Cardinals, two teams that can put points on the board. In fact, Drew Brees lit up this Giants secondary for 12.0 yards per passing attempt. Considering that the Eagles are averaging 27.2 points per game this season the New York defense could be in for another long night.

Brian Westbrook has been ruled out so this line has moved three points. Really? Isn't Westbrook out every other week or so the past few seasons. Sure he's a good player but the drop-off to McCoy is slight if any at all. Therefore we're getting three additional points based on false perception. Defensively Philadelphia has allowed more than 17 points just once all season. Only one of their last five opponents they faced at home tallied more than 14 points. This is a team with the better players on both sides of the ball yet they are a slight home underdog here. The Eagles lost to the Giants at home each of the past four seasons but this year Philadelphia is the better team.

PLAY PHILADELPHIA

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

Stephen Nover

Sunday's Plays

50 Dime Packers

20 Dime Ravens

5 Dime Texans

5 Dime Jets

5 Dime Under Seattle/Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

nover sunday 11-1
Sunday's Plays 50 Dime Packers - Maybe the Vikings are better than the Packers. But they won't win this game. Home field usually is worth three or four points. In this matchup it's worth a touchdown.

This is one of the biggest regular-season games in Packer history thanks to Brett Favre returning to Lambeau Field. Many Green Bay fans believe Favre is the biggest traitor since Benedict Arnold for joining the Packers' biggest rival.

There's more to the setting than just a huge vocal, bloodthirsty following, though. The Vikings beat the Packers, 30-23, on carpet in their dome stadium in Week 4. This matchup is on grass.

It's Minnesota's fifth road game already. The Vikings have not had their bye yet. They just got through playing two physical AFC North teams to the wire, Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Teams who just played the Steelers usually are extremely beat up. This is reflected in the pointspread mark the following week. Teams are 1-5 against the spread the next week after facing the Steelers.

The Packers had their bye three weeks ago. They followed that up with easy blowout wins against the Lions and Browns last week in which Aaron Rodgers got to rest for much of the fourth quarter.

The time off and easy opponents have allowed the Packers to shore up their offensive line. Mark Tauscher will be available to play if needed. He was last year's starting right tackle until suffering an injury.

Rodgers will negate Jared Allen and the other Vikings pass rushers with quick, short passes. He'll be able to take advantage of the Vkings missing their best secondary player, cornerback Antoine Winfield. There's a huge gap between Winfield and his backup replacements.

As well as Favre is playing this season, the Packers made the right choice in choosing Rodgers. Rodgers is on pace to throw for 30 touchdowns and 4,539 yards.

20 Dime Ravens - The Ravens are the better team, have more urgency and home-field advantage. All of this adds up to being worth more than a field goal.

The Ravens would be a lot higher favorite if this game were played four weeks ago when the Ravens were unbeaten and no one was believing in the Broncos.

Since then, though, the Broncos have stayed unbeaten while the Ravens have lost three in a row. Look at these losses, though. The Ravens were homered in a road loss to the Patriots. They lost to the Bengals on a touchdown pass by Carson Palmer with 27 seconds left and then lost two weeks ago to the Vikings after a valiant fourth-quarter comeback failed because of a missed field goal at the gun that should have been made in a dome stadium.

The Ravens could be 6-0, too, just like the Broncos. Then what would the line be? I guarantee it would be far higher than it is now.

Now the Ravens are coming off a bye. They are 6-1 against the spread following an off week. They desperately need this home game in the ultra-competitive AFC North where they are two games behind in the win column trailing both Pittsburgh and vastly improved Cincinnati. Denver has a commanding three-game lead in the weak AFC West Division. So this matchup is far more important to Baltimore.

Joe Flacco is having a Pro Bowl season. He's already accounted for six fourth-quarter touchdowns. The Broncos are much improved. But they are not an elite team. They beat Cincinnati on a fluke tipped pass. Their other big challenges - Dallas and New England - both came at home.

The Ravens have covered 19 of their last 27 games. They are well-balanced on offense and are tough on defense. They can be intimidating at home. Their major weakness is pass defense, which can't be exploited enough by Kyle Orton, who is a game manager rather than a vertical attack passer.

5 Dime Texans - I have no problem laying a short road number with Houston against Buffalo, a beat-up, dreg of a team with a journeyman, backup caliber quarterback as their starter.

This is the Texans' best team ever. I say that not only because their offense is explosive, but they have playmakers on defense now and their rush defense has greatly improved. Houston has held its last four opponents to an average of 2.6 yards per rush.

The Bills have no vertical passing attack with Ryan Fitzpatrick as their quarterback. He ranks with Josh Johnson, JaMarcus Russell and Derek Anderson as the worst starting quarterback in the NFL. Unlike the other three, Fitzpatrick doesn't even have the potential to make big plays.

The Bills need to run the ball. But their offensive line has a cluster injury problem. They are already on their fourth right tackle.

The Texans have a big-play offense. Matt Schuab is having a huge year. Andre Johnson is arguably the best wide receiver in football. He's been cleared to play after suffering a bruised lung last week.

Owen Daniels has emerged as arguably the best receiving tight end in the NFL and Steve Slaton is a dangerous runner out of the backfield and catching swing passes. The Bills rank last in run defense and will be without two of their better run defenders, injured tackle Kyle Williams and safety Donte Whitner.

Buffalo's other safety, Bryan Scott, is doubtful. Don't forget the Bills already have lost cornerback and return man Leodis McKelvin for the season.

5 Dime Jets - This is one of those rare times where I do put stock in NFL revenge. The Dolphins edged the Jets, 31-27, just three weeks ago on Monday night. The Dolphins won when Ronnie Brown ran for a touchdown with 10 seconds left.

The Dolphins embarrassed and befuddled the Jets with their wildcat formation, picking up 110 yards from it. The experience left Jets coach and defensive guru Rex Ryan fuming.

I fully expect the Jets to be much better prepared and highly motivated to stop the Dolphins this time. Calvin Pace was just coming off a four-game suspension then. He's now fully indoctrinated into Ryan's defense and had three sacks last week.

This will be Miami quarterback Chad Henne's first road start. He could be dealing with rain and swirling winds, something Jets rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez already has experienced.

Jerricho Cotchery is expected to play after missing the last couple of games. He's been Sanchez's No. 1 target. His return will strengthen New York's passing attack, especially since deep threat Braylon Edwards has been added.

Miami has a youthful secondary that is banged-up. Linebacker Channing Crowder most likely won't play either because of a shoulder injury. Sanchez can take advantage with his full complement of receivers.

The Dolphins suffered a tough home loss to New Orleans last week blowing a 24-3 lead because they got gassed at the end. They still might not be physically and mentally right, where the Jets go their confidence back on the West Coast with an easy romp against the Raiders.

5 Dime Under Seattle/Dallas - Dallas' defense has gotten better. In their last four games, the Cowboys have allowed an average of 16.2 points. Demarcus Ware has recorded four sacks during the past two weeks.

The Seahawks' battered offensive line, down to their fourth-string left tackle, is going to have problems protecting immobile beat-up quarterback Matt Hasselbeck. The Seahawks lack a ground game to keep the Cowboys' defense honest ranking 28th in rushing.

Seattle only has broken the 19-point barrier once in its last five games.

Damon McIntosh, a 32-year-old street free agent, is the latest being called on to protect Hasselbeck's blind side.

On defense, though, the Seahawks are getting healthier. Jim Mora Jr. is a solid defensive coach and has had two weeks to game plan for the Cowboys. The Seahawks can rush the passer, too, ranking eighth in sacks.

The Seahawks get back on defense their best pass rusher, Patrick Kerney, and their top cover cornerback, Marcus Trufant. Both are scheduled to play after being out with injuries.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

Teddy Covers

4* Best Philadelphia Eagles (-110) vs New York Giants
5* Top New York Jets (-3.0 / -110) vs Miami Dolphins
3* Action San Francisco 49ers vs Indianapolis Colts OVER 44.5 (-110)
3* Action Jacksonville Jaguars (3.0 / -110) vs Tennessee Titans

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

David Banks

NFL
1:00 Texans -Pts
1:00 49ers +Pts
1:00 Dolphins +Pts

4:05 Jaguars +Pts
4:15 Packers -Pts


NCAAF
8:15 Central Florida -Pts
Over


MLB
8:20 Phillies


NBA
6:00 Miami Heat
9:30 LA Lakers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-1-09

Pointwise Phone Service

4* NY GIANTS
3* INDIANAPOLIS
3* NEW ORLEANS
3* DALLAS
3* CAROLINA
2* HOUSTON
2* CHICAGO