11-4-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Kyle Bales
25* Boston Celtics -10
10* Miami Heat +3
10* New York Knicks -4

Free pick: 1* Memphis Grizzlies +6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Tony Salinas
Tony's World Series Highrollers
Wednesday, November 04, 2009

25*
Phillies {P.Martinez} (+190) over Ny Yankees {A.Pettitte}
7:57 PM -- Yankee Stadium

24*
Phillies {P.Martinez}/Ny Yankees {A.Pettitte} OVER 9 Runs
7:57 PM -- Yankee Stadium

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Wunderdog Horse Selections

AQUEDUCT Race #2 at 12:55 PM Eastern

Top pick: #7 (SOUTHERN HERO) - He finished a strong 3rd against weaker last out and did so despite "stumbling" at the start. Winner of that one "Frenchonionsoup" ran big here the other day in his first vs. winners. This son of "Northern Afleet" moves up in price but is improving. The top pick.

2nd pick: #8 (Magnificent Max) - Speedy son of "Distorted Humor" shortens-up in distance and goes turf to dirt for a top barn (Mike Maker). Dominguez takes the re-ride. Contender.

3rd pick: #9 (Bindle Stick) - Sharp effort last out going two-turns at the Meadowlands vs. cheaper. Draws a nice post for the distance and he can comptete with these at nice odds.

4th pick: #5 (Napkins) - Gelding returns from a 7 week layoff for trainer Mark Hennig. Stretch runner finished 2nd earlier this year at today's mile distance facing slightly tougher at Monmouth. He'd love a fast/contested pace.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Wunderdog

Game: Detroit at Toronto (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Detroit +9 (-110)

Hard to understand this line, with or without Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince for the Pistons. I think the oddsmakers have really padded this one beyond what is reasonable. The Pistons were able to knock down a powerful Orlando team without Hamilton and Prince because they have scorers, especially now that they have Gordon in the fold. There is also newly acquired Charlie Villanueva who scored 12 and had eight boards, so there is a lot of new pieces picking up the slack for the Pistons. Chris Bosh continues to get his points and boards as he went for 35/16 vs the Magic, but the result was a nine point loss. The Raptors don't defend and the Magic took advantage and connected on 17 from deep. The Pistons won all three last year, 14 of the last 17 from Toronto, and all they have to do here is stay within double-digits. I'm going with Detroit here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

From a friend of IWS

Wunderdog-Picks

Game: Philadelphia at New York Yankees (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Philadelphia +180 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 5.4)

The NY Yankees are a game away from their first World Series win since 2000. It won't come easy as the Phillies won't give up their reigning Championship easily. This is more about the line value than anything else as the oddsmakers have taken all the value out of playing the Yankees here. Andy Pettitte made four starts this season as a -200 or more chalk. Looking at the teams and matchups in those games will reveal how "chalky" this line truly is. Those four starts were vs all teams that were below .500 on the season (NY Mets,Balt twice and Oakland). Those teams were a combined 114-200 on the road and the starting pitchers he faced had a combined 15-25 record overall. He also pitched as a -180 or higher chalk vs Oak,Texas and Boston, teams with a combined road record of 113-130 and three starting pitchers with era's of 7.16,6.12, and 5.82. This is hardly anything to compare to those situations with the Phillies and Pedro Martinez. So, basically, the oddsmakers have listed the Phillies in this one in much the same way they did with those teams and pitchers, so the only value here, and there is obviously a lot of it, is on the Phillies, and they get the call here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Executive
200 Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Chris Jordan had 3 small pics for today..
Wednesday's winners ...
100? YANKEES RUN LINE (Pettitte over Martinez) - Going to have to side with the home team here, as the Yankees have always been destined to win this series, and since the All-Star Break it's been a clear-cut choice when pointing to the best team in baseball. As impressive as the three-game swing was to take command of this series, the one thing we've yet to see is an overall dominating performance from start to finish from the pinstripes, and that's what I am banking on tonight. I think from the first inning on, from batter 1 thru 9 and to the mound with Pettitte, this will be the best game we're going to see from the 2009 champs. Lay the run line as the Yanks win this one by a score similar to 7-2.

100? CELTICS - If you read my free pick analysis yesterday, you know I loved the Celtics in a rout of Philly. Tonight will be easier for the Celtics, who are 5-0 and came into this road trip after a three-game homestand in which they annihilated the Bobcats, Bulls and Hornets by an average of almost 25 points. And that, of course, came after the statement-making, season-opening thumping of the Cavaliers. I will continue to side with the healthy C's who boast the Big Three of Paul Pierce, Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett, not to mention the crafty Rajon Rondo. This team has looked good offensively, shooting 51.4 percent for the floor and averaging 101.4 points, while the defense is No. 1 in the league, limiting foes to just 79.8 points per game. All Celtics tonight as they continue this impressive start to the campaign.

100? RAPTORS - I know what you're thinking ... what?!?!?! A 1-2 Toronto team against a Detroit team that just beat Orlando?!!???!?! Yes, remember when Cleveland went into Toronto last week? The Raptors found a way to knock off the Cavaliers and now another Central Division team is in town. And since the Motown boys are dinged up pretty good, they cannot play Pistons basketball effectively without Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince healthy. Detroit shot 37.5 percent - including 0 for 6 from 3-point range - last night and will struggle once again without a pair of key performers. And if even if they do end up in the game, having to travel won't be the best thing when you're nursing injuries. I think this is a big line, but the trap is in taking the underdog. Play Toronto.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

doc nba 11/4
3U pistons +8.5
4U suns game over 219.5
3U celts game under 186

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Andre Gomes NBA

513 LAL -2.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 514 HOU Analysis:

I understand that the Lakers are in a tough spot tonight, as they will play the second game of a back to back series and last night theyƒ battled with the Thunder in a tough game that went to overtime. Kobe Bryant played 46 minutes, Bynum 49 minutes, Artest 47 minutes, Odom 43 minutes and so, the Lakers are primed for a letdown and will be blown out by the Rockets, right?! Not so fast… Actually this is a spot that the Lakers battled pretty well in the past, as for example last season they were 8-2 ATS & SU when playing back to back games on the road and we have in my opinion a pretty underrated Lakers team in this contest.

The Rockets are a nice surprise in this beginning of the season, as they are 3-1 and they are coming for this contest with three consecutive quality wins against the Warriors, the Blazers and the Jazz (on the road) and they have the taste of revenge in their minds tonight, as they were eliminated from the Lakers in last season's postseason. However, despite playing well, there are some edges that points for a huge mismatch favoring the Lakers in tonight's contest.

First of all, the success of the Rockets in their last games is due to their unbelievable hot shooting behind the arc. Do you know that they shot 12-26 from the 3pts line against the Warriors – a torrid 46.2% clip! Then against the Blazers at home, they connected 12-24 behind the arc – an amazing 50% clip and finally in their last game in Utah against the Jazz they shot 10-19 – an even better mark of 52.6%! Wow! The pertinent question in here is: can they repeat similar numbers tonight? In normal conditions, I would say that is tough to have such awesome numbers in every game, but when one team faces the Lakers, then obviously I can’t expect these kinds of numbers to happen. I remember that the Lakers have Kobe Bryant and Ron Artest and we are talking about two terrific perimeter defenders! After all, it isn’t a big surprise for me that the Lakers are already ranked as the third best team in the league in defending 3pts shots with a 28% clip allowed, so in my opinion the Rockets won’t have such outrageous numbers in this department tonight.

If the perimeter game doesn’t work, then the Rockets are done because without Yao Ming, the Rockets don’t have any reliable option down the paint. Chuck Hayes, Luis Scola and Carl Landry form a pretty undersized Rockets frontcourt unit and despite offering hustle and hard work, they won’t be able to match the size of the Lakers frontcourt. Andrew Bynum is playing well lately and he will have a huge size advantage in this contest.

The bad spot for the Lakers in this contest doesn’t justify such a short spread in here. Last night they had a rough game against the Thunder in which they committed 26 turnovers, but I expect them to be more focused tonight, as the Rockets demand other kind of attention. My fair line for this contest is the Lakers to be favored by 2 full possessions and that’s why I’m taking the Lakers tonight.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 513 Los Angeles Lakers (-2.5)


502 TOR -8.5 (-110) BetUS vs 501 DET Analysis:

The Pistons defeated last night the Magic at home in a huge upset win and now they will play a back to back game at Toronto against the Raptors. I was curious about the line for this game because in my opinion the Pistons will receive some love due to the public perception because after such amazing win last night, where they defeated the undefeated Magic, even without Richard Hamilton and Tayshaun Prince.

However I don’t think that the Pistons have enough fuel on their tanks for this contest. Note that since Hamilton is out, the Pistons are showing a terrible ball movement. In fact in their last three games, they were able to have 37 assists and… 45 turnovers! In their last game, they dished only 8 assists in 48 minutes of action in a clear sign of lack of a good offensive game. To make things even worse, the Pistons don’t have any real threat in the frontcourt as Ben Wallace, Villanueva or Kwame Brown aren’t surely known for their post up abilities, so the Pistons will be too dependent on their perimeter game for tonight.

Last night Rodney Stuckey, Ben Gordon and Will Bynum combined 63 of the team's 85 points - we are talking about of almost 75% of the Pistons points in just 3 backcourt players! There isn’t any balance on this team offensively and they really need these three players to perform very well, i‚n order to be competitive. The problem is that last night’s game was a brutal physical contest, as the Pistons went 38 times to the charity stripe and both Gordon and Stuckey played more than 40 minutes each, so this is a huge letdown spot for them.

The Raptors had a nice season debut by defeating the Cavaliers at home, but since then they have lost consecutive games against the Grizzlies and the Magic by showing a horrible defense in both contests. In both contests they displayed a nice rhythm offensively, but their defense was non existent. Against the Grizzlies, they allowed 52 points in the paint and last Sunday, the Magic shot 17-32 behind the arc and I expect a focused team on the defensive end tonight. Like I said, the Pistons are a pretty one dimensional team and it won’t be hard for the Raptors to shut them down tonight.

We are dealing with a healthy and hungry team who will face a physically challenged team who is playing terrible on the offense without Hamilton and Prince. My fair line for this contest is the Raptors to receive a complete blowout line and having the chance to get single digits numbers in this contest is great for us, so take Toronto in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 502 Toronto Raptors (-8,5)


19 MEM / 520 GSW Over 224.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: NBA - 519 Memphis Grizzlies @ 520 Golden State Warri‚ors

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 519/520 Over 224

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Denver Money's NHL Wednesday **I think I am losing it*

Well we finished yesterday on the losing side going 1-2. Once again Toronto killed us by losing in OT again this season. The Leafs just can't seem to win a close game or a game for that sake. Tonight I am once again going with heavy juice and that is why I feel like I am losing my mind. I normally shy away from the juice, but tonight is a great spot to lay it and I almost played this game bigger than what I already am. Best of luck if you fade or follow:

3* Buffalo -190

1* Buffalo -1.5 +155

1* Washington +120

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

MLB Over/Under Grand Slam!
Steve Merril is a perfect 5-0 in the World Series and has another powerful Over/Under winner for Wednesday - Phillies/Yankees (Game 6) - 7:55 pm ET (FOX) - Guaranteed to WIN AGAIN!
OVER 9

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Stephen Nover
15 Dime PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES RUN LINE (+1-1/2 Runs)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Doc's Sports

Baseball

3-Unit Play Take Phila. Phils (+1.5RL -110) over NY Yankees (7:55p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take UNDER 9 Runs NY Yankees Philadelphia Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-4-09

Savannah Sports

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
NBA Basketball
2 (**) Sacramento +5.5
1 (*) Denver -9