11-5-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Kyle Bales

15* Cleveland Cavaliers -11
10* East Carolina +12.5

Free: 1* Utah +2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Karl Garrett 30 DIMER - VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES....10 DIMER - TEMPLE OWLS 30 DIMER - VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES

2 straight losses, and the Hokies are certainly not where they thought they would be coming into this Thursday night tussle, but after laying an egg at home under the light last week against North Carolina, look for V-Tech to get their season back on track tonight against East Carolina.

First off, North Carolina's defense is as tough as they come, so Tech should be all set to take advantage of ECU's less-stingy stop-unit. For another thing, East Carolina's QB Pinkney has thrown 8 TD passes this season against 9 interceptions, so chances the Tech defense has a feast this week are pretty strong.

Also consider this is a big revenge spot for the Hokies who were stunned on opening day last season 27-22 at home against the Pirates as the 9-point favorite.
Frank Beamer owns a 7-1 spread mark the last 8 times his Hokies have been in revenge.

Believe me, there is a reason the Pirates who are 20-7 against the spread their last 27 when dressed as the dog are catching this many points at home under the prime time lights. Granted, the points are tempting, but the linesmakers are telling you the play in this game is Virginia Tech. Have to side with the revenging visitors to get the job done tonight.

10 DIMER - TEMPLE OWLS

There is a threat of some nasty weather in Philadelphia for this game, but I think that will only aid the Owls in their quest for win # 7 in a row.

Temple relies on the ground attack, and RB Bernard Pierce is already over 1,000 yards on the ground this season, as he rumbled for well over 200 yards against Navy last week!

Miami-Ohio is off their 1st straight up win of the year, but are only 1-6 against the spread their last 7 away from home.

Lesser Temple teams have beaten the Redhawks both straight up, and against the spread the last 2 season's. Expect this year's Temple team to do the same.

Lay the wood with the Owls!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Marc Lawrence

MIAMI-OHIO +17

The Miami Ohio RedHawks invade Philadelphia when they take on Temple in a key MAC showdown game at Temple. Aside from this being the first time ever in this series that the owls find themselves favored, we note that college conference favorites off back-to-back SU underdog wins who won 5 or fewer games last season are just 2-17 ATS when off a conference game in which they scored more than 24 points if they are facing a losing opponent since 1980. With Temple just 2-6 ATS as favorite of 8 or more versus an opponent with at least one win on the season, we'll grab the points here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Miami Ohio.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Black Widow

6* W id ow W is egu y ESPN Thursday Night G AM E OF THE Y EA R on East Carolina +13.5(-110 at SIA)

East Carolina is getting no respect from the odds makers tonight, and they really should be. The Pirates have won 4 of their last 5 games, and they always play Virginia Tech tough. They upset the Hokies 27-22 last year as an 8.5-point dog, and lost 7-17 in 2007 as a 28-point dog. They have a lot of core guys back from last year's team with 16 returning starters in all, so there is plenty of talent left on this year's team to pull off the upset. ECU has been off since 10/27 which has given them a couple extra days to prepare for the Hokies, which should be an advantage. VA Tech is just 1-2 in road games this season, giving up 29.2 points/game. This Hokies' defense is human this year, and that's why they have struggled. ECU is 3-0 at home this year, scoring 32.3 points/game and allowing just 17.0 points/game, outscoring their foes by more than 15 points/game. The Hokies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. The Pirates are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Pirates are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Take East Carolina and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

anthony redd



Thursday's Card
10 Dime Temple (1st Half)

10 Dime Temple

10 Dime Eastern Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

malinsky



Top of the Ticket - Virginia Tech/EC
UNDER 51,EAST CAROLINA PIRATES -vs-Virginia Tech Hokies

4* #307 VIRGINIA TECH/EAST CAROLINA Under

We can?t win a track meet. We?re going to have to win a baseball-score type game?. That is the way that East Carolina coach Skip Holtz previews this game. And that is how Frank Beamer looks at just about every Virginia tech matchup. So with these two teams playing to an average of 36.5 the past two years, which includes TD?s on a fumble return, an interception return, and also a blocked punt, why are we seeing a number in the low-50?s? Some false perceptions are in play. East Carolina enters this game having scored 49 and 38 in the last two outings, but those were against the awful defenses of Rice and Memphis, and we would attach little merit to those results. The reality is that the Pirates are bereft of a game-breaker on offense, having had 555 snaps this year without a single play of 50 yards. QB Patrick Pinkney has more INT?s than TD passes; two of the top three receivers are averaging 9.5 or less per catch; and leading rusher Dominique Lindsay is producing just 71.3 yards per game. As such the national charts show them at #80 in Total Offense, and that is against a less-than-inspiring schedule. This will be by far their biggest challenge, and in their two toughest games outside of Conference USA they managed just 13 first downs and 238 yards vs. West Virginia, and 13 and 247 vs. North Carolina. Now they face the best defense they will see the season, and the comments by Holtz above show us his awareness of the issues. The focus will be on trying to make first downs instead of big plays, and also trying to avoid long-distance situations that can be disastrous, with his offense #84 in the nation in sacks allowed. Virginia Tech will bring plenty of defensive fire, with the Hokies remembering well LY?s upset loss on a neutral field in Charlotte. But while the defense can be counted on to shackle a limited attack, the offense has struggled for consistency all season, and will find the going difficult vs. a Pirate defense that brings plenty of speed (over the last five games they have not allowed a run of more than 22 yards). The Hokies rate just 73rd in the nation in Total Offense, and only twice in eight games have they generated more than 17 first downs (and doing that vs. Marshall and Duke means little). Like East Carolina, sacks have been an issue, with an ugly #97 on that table. That means that Beamer is also looking for ball control to avoid tough down-and-distance situations, and it has both coaches looking for the tempo that we would like to see. It also tells us that this Total has been set far too high.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

doc's nba for today:

2U Spurs to win.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Stephen Nover
Wednesday's Plays
50-Dime EAST CAROLINA

NOTE - Congratulations to the New York Yankees who proved they are indeed the best team in baseball. I thought the Yankees were way overpriced in Game 6 and had the Phillies on the run line for a 15-dime loser.

I finished the baseball playoffs up 20 dimes. During the regular-season I finished up 141.5 units.

I did win my lone Wednesday NBA play on a free selection with Golden State covering against Memphis. It was my seventh free pick winner in a row.

I've won on my last six NBA selections and today offer a free selection on San Antonio to cover against Utah.

50-Dime EAST CAROLINA - This non-conference matchup finds Virginia Tech on the skids following two straight ACC losses, while East Carolina is playing well and considering this matchup as its game of the year.

The Pirates have made a name knocking off big name programs. They've beaten three of the last four ranked teams they've faced, including Virginia Tech last year when the Hokies were then 17th-ranked and better than they are this season. It wasn't a fluke either. East Carolina outgained the Hokies, 369-243.

Virginia Tech is off disheartening losses to Georgia Tech and North Carolina. The Hokies haven't covered a road game all season, going 0-3 against the spread away from home. The Hokies are surrendering 417.3 yards per game on the road, including 205 yards rushing.

East Carolina is getting healthier. The Pirates have won four of their last five games, holding foes to less than 100 yards rushing in four of those matchups. They have held their last three foes to an average of 20 points and 344 yards per game.

I'm not fond of either team's quarterback, but East Carolina has a big, experienced offensive line and two excellent skill position players in running back Dominique Lindsay (521 yards rushing and a 5.8 yards per carry) and wide receiver Dwayne Harris.

The Pirates have been tremendous in a role of a big 'dog, covering eight of the last nine times they've been an underdog of 10 1/2 points or more. They are 7-3 against the number in their last 10 home contests.

Virginia Tech, on the other hand, is 2-5 against the spread in its last seven road games and has failed to cover in 10 of its last 13 non-conference matchups. The Hokies also are 1-4 against the spread the past five times they've been favored.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

ATS lock club 4 units ECU +13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Bob Balfe 11/5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA Basketball
Spurs -1 over Jazz

College Football
Miami Ohio +17 over Temple
Its crazy to see the Owls being such a big favorite. They are good, but I do not think they are ready to be such big favorites no matter who they are playing. One major factor will be the playing surface tonight. Lincoln Financial Field will have a brand new fielding tonight. I can see it being very slick and in need of some serious breaking in. All of the factors lead me to believe Miami will hold on to keep this game close. Again, Temple is going to a bowl game this year and really have turned the corner, but should no way be favorites by this much for a while. Take Miami Ohio.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Randall the Handle 11/5

ANAHEIM -½ +1.01 over Nashville (REG) Pinnacle
The Ducks are this year’s biggest underachievers thus far with just 10 points in 13 games and that puts them dead last in the West. That’s just sick for a team of this caliber and they have to know they’re digging themselves a hole that if it gets much deeper will be very difficult to climb out of. These Ducks are not even close to being one of the worst teams in the NHL and in fact, they just might be one of the top 10 in terms of talent. They just can’t afford to lose at home to teams like the Preds and I just can’t imagine them not giving it their all after losing its sixth game in seven contests on Tuesday. With this home game and another one on Saturday against the Coyotes, the Ducks find themselves in as close to a must-win position as a team can be in early November because after Saturday they head out on a demanding four-game road swing that winds its way through New Jersey, Columbus, Detroit and Pittsburgh. Anaheim put forth a tremendous effort against Pittsburgh on Tuesday and deserved a better fate and if they play anything close to the way they did that night, they’ll win and they’ll win going away. The Preds are pesky and determined but they’re just not in the same class as the Ducks. Play: Anaheim -½ +1.01 (Risking 2 units).

BOSTON -½ +1.04 over Montreal (REG) Pinnacle
You know for sure the Bruins are going to extra jacked up here because they and its fans get more pleasure out of beating the Habs than they do against anyone else. The B’s are in an offensive funk right now and that would normally be a concern but this isn’t the Red Wings, Flyers, Rangers or Devils they’re playing. No, this is one of the most beatable teams on ice that is just a game under .500 but by the end of the year they’ll be far below that. Montreal has lost three of four with only win over that stretch coming against the Leafs in OT in a game they had no business winning. They have three good players and the rest, especially the defense, would have trouble cracking the line-up of most teams. Dating back to last year the Canadiens have won just seven of its last 30 road games and there’s very little chance that a hungry Bruins team is going to change that. Boston is a very good team and a great defensive team and it’s only a matter of time before they start stringing some wins together and it all starts here. Play: Boston -½ +1.04 (Risking 2 units).

Columbus +1.19 over ATLANTA Pinnacle
The Thrashers have not performed well at home with just one win in four games and that could be because of what ails so many other teams this season. Watching NHL games on the tube you see a ton of empty seats in the house and the seats that are empty are the best in the arena. New Jersey is playing to small crowds, as is the Islanders, Nashville, Florida, Tampa, Phoenix, to a lesser extent Colorado and these Thrashers. It’s sad to watch but it just proves how ridiculous it is that Florida has two NHL teams while Winnipeg has none. Anyway, the point is that it’s uninspiring for these teams to come home and play to a half empty arena. They get pumped up to play in places like Toronto, Montreal New York, Detroit, Boston, Chicago or any other Canadian city. Playing at home is anti-climatic and it explains why these teams are playing better on the road. These guys come to the arena in a good state of mind and in the Pre-Game skate or warm-up, about an hour before game time, the place is absolutely empty. It’s completely uninspiring and it’s disheartening before the game even starts. In Toronto, Montreal, New York, Detroit, Philly and a few more places the rink is filling up in the pre-game warm-ups, the fans are pumped and it in turn gets the players pumped as well. Hell, the WNBA is attracting more fans in some places and it 100% makes a difference and most definitely takes away home ice advantage. Hockey is hockey and players love playing this game but in some cases they need a boost from the crowd and teams like Atlanta just can’t get it. The Thrashers are 5-1-0-1 on the road but were badly outplayed in its last two, especially in Ottawa where they were outshot 51-21. They’ll likely get outplayed again tonight in front of another half-empty, uninspiring joint. Play: Columbus +1.19 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

proLocks 11/5

yourprolocks is on:

15 Dime: VT (-13)
5 Dime Spurs (-1)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Yankee Capper

Northern Illinois -21
Miami-OH +17.5

Pittsburgh Penguins +110

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-5-09

Wunderdog NHL (41-40)(-22.6*) YTD They claim to be 21-15 L/two weeks which is true but in that period they are -0.1 unit.

Game: San Jose at Detroit (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Detroit -140 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 3.6)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 +100 (risk 3 to win 3)

The Detroit Red Wings have yet to lose a true home game this season. They are off a 2008-09 season where they lost just nine times at home, so they are definitely a good team that is very difficult to take down on home ice. The Sharks are streaking as they haven't in their past six games, so this one will get the Red Wings’ full attention. Both of these teams have been getting superb goaltending, and a low-scoring Detroit win would follow suit with what has been happening in Detroit between these clubs. The Red Wings have owned the Sharks here as they are now 18-4-1 in the last 23 meetings in Detroit. Also, the UNDER has prevailed to a 13-5-1 mark over the last 19 games. The Sharks are also 16-5-1 when playing in the second of consecutive nights. The Wings are perfect as a favorite of -110 to -150 recording seven straight wins and five straight UNDERS in the same moneyline range. I'll go with Detroit and the UNDER here.

Game: Chicago at Phoenix (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Chicago -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

The Chicago Blackhawks are off to a good start and have played .500 on the road, but losing to Detroit isn't a surprise as they have lost nine games there since last season. The Blackhawks’ goalie combo of Niemi and Huet have come up big night after night, and have not allowed more than two goals in each of the past four games and on the road, they have surrendered just six in their four road contests. That will present a Coyotes team with a lot of problems as they have pushed just nine through the net in their last four games, at just 2.25 per contest. The Blackhawks are cashing lots of tickets as a favorite, collecting the money in 53 of their last 79 and are 7-1 in their last eight vs. the Pacific. Phoenix is struggling in the second of back-to-back nights at just 7-19, and Blackhawks are a perfect 6-0 in their last six vs. the Coyotes. I will back Chicago in this one.

Game: New York Rangers at Edmonton (9:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New York Rangers -120 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)

Edmonton was off to a surprisingly fast start, but has fallen hard and fast as they have recorded just one win in their last six games. The Rangers have not been playing well either, and have dropped their last four on the road. When you have two struggling teams, the better team is the way to go and that is the Rangers. The Rangers have been a money team all year rewarding bettors to the No. 1 team in the NHL with the highest plus. The Rangers have done well killing off penalties at 86.7% and rank No. 4 in the NHL while they are tied for the No. 7 most power play goals in the league with 14. That will be the difference maker here and I'll go with the Rangers who are also 6-2 playing an opponent that is scoring two or fewer goals in their last game.