11-8-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-8-09

Score Executive Club
400% Green Bay
300% Seattle
300% Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-8-09

SMOOTH TALK SPORTS
SMOOTH44

1:00PM EST
411 Green Bay Packers
412 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TOP PLAY – NFL GAME OF THE WEEK: TAMPA BAY +10
TOP PLAY: TAMPA BAY MONEYLINE +410
TOP PLAY: UNDER 44 -120
I expect the Packers to have a difficult time getting fired up for this one especially on the heals of their home loss to Favre and the Vikings, a game with a ton of hype surrounding it, and a loss that not only crushed their division title hopes but also crushes their chances of getting into the playoffs!! Tampa continues to be desperate for their first win and will continue to play hard. With an additional to prepare they become a very dangerous opponent today!! And we have several strong systems supporting us today. Certain dogs cash nearly 70% of the time when coming off 7 or more consecutive losses. Additionally, certain home dogs are an impressive 33-11 ATS since 1999 after failing to cover 3 of their L4!! Lastly, it is worth noting that Tampa is 10-2 ATS L12 home games against opponents with turnover margins of +1 or better!!
PREDICTION: TAMPA BAY 20 GREEN BAY 17

1:00PM EST
405 Baltimore Ravens
406 Cincinnati Bengals
TOP PLAY: CINCINNATI +3
The Ravens will be seeking revenge for that heart breaking loss to the Bengals last time out. I typically like to back quality teams in a revenge spot but not today!! The Ravens enter this game fresh off their dominating performance over the-then undefeated Denver Broncos. This is a huge letdown spot for the Ravens as they must now try to go on the road and match that huge and emotional performance!! Not an easy task for any team at any level!! The Bengals are coming off a bye week and HOME teams have dominated in Cincy’s post-bye weeks going 9-2-1 SU and 10-2 ATS. The Bengals are also an impressive 6-0 ATS L6 overall as a dog including 5-0 ATS as a dog of 3 or less and 9-1 ATS in their L10 before playing Pittsburgh!! Meanwhile, the Ravens are just 2-8 ATS in their L10 as a fave and 3-7 ATS L10 meetings!!
PREDICTION: CINCINNATI 27 BALTIMORE 17

1:00PM EST
413 Arizona Cardinals
414 Chicago Bears
TOP PLAY: CHICAGO -3
Every service and every person continues to hammer the Cards given all of Arizona’s success at covering on the road. However, what is very interesting is how Vegas refuses to move the number telling me they are content with the public continuing to feed the Cards because they expect a Bears cover. I have always said that when certain trends become highly publicized you run as fast as you can the other way!! (see fadingthepublic.com). It is worth noting the Bears are 7-3-1 ATS during week 9 L11 seasons!!
PREDICTION: CHICAGO 23 ARIZONA 16

4:05PM EST
417 Carolina Panthers
418 New Orleans Saints
TOP PLAY: UNDER 52
PREDICTION: TOTAL RANGE 44-47

4:15PM EST
423 San Diego Chargers
424 New York Giants
TOP PLAY: NY-GIANTS -4 -120
As many of you know I played against my Giants successfully the past 3 weeks, calling all 3 outright losses!! However, today I will gladly back them knowing the Giants have a bye week next week and certain home teams in this spot cash in almost 80% of the time. What I cited during the past 3 weeks were issues with the Giants personel, specifically injuries to Eli and key members of the defense. However, what those 3 opponents had during that stretch that San Diego doesn’t was the ability to expose the weaknesses through a solid ground game and balance. San Diego, a team that is supposed to have a great ground game, all of a sudden has none!! This has put all pressure on Rivers and he has failed so far. The Chargers inept ground game removes the pressure on the front 7 allowing for the secondary to control the tempo of the game. Look for the Giants to play with a sense of urgency and to go into a much needed bye week with a win!!
PREDICTION: NY-GIANTS 27 SAN DIEGO 13


NBA EARLY PLAYS
ALL ARE TOP-RATED
WASHINGTON +2

[iavila]

Re: 11-8-09

Would you be getting Steve Dueming 40 dime selection? Thanks