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Glenn McGrew - Glenn's COLLEGE FOOTBALL DOG OF THE YEAR!!!
161) NOTRE DAME (+6.5, ov59.0)
(162) PITTSBURGH (-6.5, un59.0)
Saturday, Nov 14 2009, 05:00 PM PST
Take " (161) NOTRE DAME "
COLLEGE FOOTBALL DOG OF THE YEAR -- Notre Dame...... The Pittsburgh Panthers (8-1, 5-0) take time out from the Big East wars to play host to the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame (6-3) in a nationally-televised Saturday evening contest at Heinz Field. The Panthers own the better defensive stats (21st in nation defensively vs 79th) while the Irish are stronger on the attack (6th nationally vs 38th). But those numbers are skewered by the fact Notre Dame has played the much tougher schedule. Still concerned about the discrepancy on defense between these two clubs? Then check this list out.....Zach Maynard, Ricky Dobbs, Adam Froman, Cody Endres, Tom Savage, BJ Daniels and Greg Paulus. That's a list of quarterbacks this Panther defense has has the luxury of facing this year. In the one instance where they were challenged by a solid signal caller, vs North Carolina St.'s Russell Wilson, the Pittsburgh secondary was shredded for 322 yards and four scores with no interceptions! Despite numbers that suggest differently, the underdog here owns the vastly superior secondary and that means Notre Dame's Heisman hopeful Jimmy Clausen has a much easier task than Pittsburgh's Bill Stull. Also helping the Irish is the fact super receiver Michael Floyd, who suffered a broken collarbone on Sept. 19 and was thought to be out for the rest of the regular season, is back. The 6' 3" sophomore, opened the 2009 campaign by gathering in 11 passes for 320 yards and four scores the first two games before getting sidelined, returned last week and had 10 catches for 141 yards and a score against Navy. Last, but not least, it's important to note this is a much more important contest for the independent Irish who have UConn and Stanford remaining on their schedule while the Panthers, still battling Cincinnati and West Virginia in the tight Big East race, play the Bearcats and Mountaineers in the next few weeks. Look for the Irish to enjoy some major payback for last season's 36-33 OT loss to Pittsburgh. Play Notre Dame
College Football
Ohio State -16.5 over Iowa
Iowa showed us last week how weak they are with out Stanzi at QB also Ohio State proved just how good they are as they thumped Penn State last weekend. Iowa is not a top tier 9-1 team and will have no answer for the OSU defense today. Look for the Buckeyes to play solid defense and solid offense. Take OSU.
Idaho +31.5 over Boise State
Idaho is probably one of the most improved teams in the nation and I would say this would be a good line for last year, but this year Idaho has a good offense and can really throw the ball. I would wait to bet this game right up until game time due to the status of QB Enderle who probably will play, but just wait because if not the line will go up in our favor (3:30 PM EST) and the backup is capable of covering this game. This game might turn into a shootout. Take Idaho.
USC -10.5 over Stanford
USC has lost only once in the last 48 games at home. That one loss was to this Stanford team and there are a lot of players on the Trojans that still remember that. Both teams have young QB's who play well above their age and experience. I really do like what Stanford has done, but I do not think they are ready to take control of the PAC 10 especially in the Trojans' back yard. USC should get out to an early lead and pull away by halftime. Look for the Cardinals to be brought back down to reality tonight. Take USC.
Kansas State +1 over Missouri
Missouri looked good early in the season, but it was because of a soft schedule. Last week they blew the game to Baylor at home up by 11 at the half. This team has no heart and I wouldnt be shocked for KState to blow them out by running the ball. KState has been playing well and will look to get a big win as Missouri has crushed them the last few years. Take Kansas State at home.
NBA Basketball
Hawks -9 over Hornets
College Basketball
St. Louis -18 over SE Missouri State
Oddsmakers have overvalued California all season, and the betting public hasn’t caught on yet. The Bears got totally outplayed last week against Oregon State, even before Jahvid Best went out of the game. Their defense let Sean Canfield and the Beavers offense do whatever they wanted in moving the ball up and down the field. I don’t like saying if Team A beats Team B and Team B beats Team C then Team A will automatically beat Team C. However, Arizona proved to be the better team when they faced Oregon State a few weeks ago. They moved the ball up and down the field and did a decent job containing the Beavers offense, despite giving up points late in the game. Arizona has quietly improved throughout the season. In addition, they are in a great spot in this game. The Wildcats faced lowly Washington State last week and had a bye week before that game. Meanwhile, California has to be demoralized entering this game. They probably have lost their All-American tailback Jahvid Best for the season because of his freakish injury last week. It was clear that the offense wasn’t the same after he left the line-up. Best is the centerpiece of everything they do, so I look for the offense to struggle again. The Bears are 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 games. They have been dominated by the best teams in the PAC-10 and have struggled to beat the weakest teams in the conference. California doesn’t have a strong home field advantage either this season. Look for Arizona to come in and get an easy road win.
#207 W. KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS @ #208 UL MONROE INDIANS 4:00PM EST
PLAY ON #208 UL MONROE INDIANS -21 -110 FOR 5 UNITS
QB Trey Revell returned from injury last week, and LA Monroe will be ready to dominate a Western Kentucky team that is 0-9, and allowing 53ppg over their last 3. The Hilltoppers have found some offense in their last 6 games, as they have gone for 20 or more in each one, but the defense is the worst in football, and the offense simply can't keep up. Warhawks offense struggled without Revell as they scored just 16.7ppg in the 3 he missed, but have piled up 33.3ppg in the 6 he has played, and those numbers are held down by the fact they played Texas, and Arizona St. I expect another 50 points served up by the Hilltopper defense, and for UL Monroe to easily cover the big number here.
charlie
ncaaf. ul monroe-21, fresno st @ nevada over 69 & north texas @ florida international over 64'. (500* 3 TEAM TRIPLE PLAY)
ncaaf. purdue+3 (30*)
ncaaf. tennessee+6 (20*)
ncaaf. oklahoma-20 (20*)
ncaaf. idaho+31' (10*)
ncaaf. notre dame+6' (10*) free play
Sammy Jankus Reverse Barometer
I rate my plays 3, 4 and 5 stars. Always play the OTHER SIDE of my game writeups.
Michigan at Wisconsin 12:00 PM ET
3* (125) MICHIGAN (+9.5)
Wolverines head coach Rich Rodriguez is in BIG TROUBLE. After choking away a 4-0 start to check in at 5-5 today, Michigan MUST WIN here or – because they don’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of beating Ohio State next week in their season-ender – they’ll miss out on a bowl bid for the second straight year! The UM athletic director is pleading for patience from Maize-and-Blue fans but to blow a shot at a bowl game after reaching postseason play for 33 consecutive years… well, it’s time to say, “enough is enough” and DEMAND an immediate change. Wisconsin will physically overpower the fading visitors today and force Rich Rod to slink out of Madison in a desperate attempt to avoid the resulting media firestorm. I’m ALL OVER the Badgers to whip the Wolverines by 3 TD’s – so your play (and I want to apologize for doing this to you) is on MICHIGAN.
100 units on Texas (-23.5) over Baylor
25 units on Arkansas (-13.5) over Troy
25 units on USC (-10) over Stanford
25 units on Middle Tennessee State (-13.5) over UL-Lafayette
10 units on Kansas (+4) over Nebraska
Chris Jordan Saturday's winners ...
500? KENTUCKY - One win.
That's what stands in the way of the oft-absent-minded Wildcats from becoming bowl eligible. And something tells me this team is going to be far from abset-minded today, with so much at stake.
All week I've read accounts of how everyone in Lexington assumes the clash with Vandy has always been an automatic win. Coach Rich Brooks says that's false, and he's done everything to keep his troops focused on the importance of this game.
I believe him.
After all, the Cats have won 39 times in this series; Vanderbilt has won 38 and there have been four ties. How do you look past something like that?
Kentucky is going to pose problems for Vanderbilt this week, using a duo-quarterback threat, as Mike Hartline, who started the Cats' first four games before he was sidelined by a knee injury at South Carolina, returns after a four-game absence. He and Morgan Newton - his replacement in the starting lineup - will play against the Commodores. The starter is a game-day decision, and I haven't seen who is getting the nod.
But it shouldn't matter against the 54th-ranked defense. It's scrappy, I'll admit. But because the rushing D ranks 101st in the country, it tells me the front line is easily worn down, which means this is a second-half pullaway for us.
Vandy split its first four games and is 0-6 since, losing by an average margin of 14.3 points per loss. That, understandably, is in part because the Commodores have played the likes of Georgia, Georgia Tech and Florida in three of the last four weeks. But it's also because this team can't do anything on offense.
Vandy is ranked 111th with its passing game, 111th in scoring and 102nd overall. That should make things much easier for a Kentucky team that is respectable on defense.
Must win ... it's the mantra for many teams over the next few weeks. For Kentucky, it's the theme for the day.
NOTE - I've noticed the line in this game is anywhere from 2-1/2 to 3-1/2 points. It's very sporadic. My suggestion is most definitely to buy the half-point down from either -3 or -3-1/2. It's worth the value, in the event this game comes down to the wire. Your value is to play Kentucky at -2-1/2 if possible, which right now I see is VERY POSSIBLE at about 80 percent of the books online, which are sitting at -3. If there's an extra hook, you are to buy it down to -3 and lay only the field goal
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