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Re: 11-14-09
Doc's
6 Kansas St
5 Ohio St, Notre Dame
4 Wisconsin,Mississippi St, Baylor, TCU
Doc's
6 Kansas St
5 Ohio St, Notre Dame
4 Wisconsin,Mississippi St, Baylor, TCU
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Re: 11-14-09
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149 Nebraska -4 3:30 ESTComment
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Re: 11-14-09
The Experts Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, November 14, 2009
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LATE STEAM WAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
176 Nevada -7 4:00 ESTComment
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Re: 11-14-09
Dominic Fazzini
Saturday's plays
25 Dime -- Kentucky (minus points vs. VANDERBILT)
10 Dime -- NORTH CAROLINA STATE
KENTUCKY
While the Wildcats and the Commodores are similiar defensively, Kentucky's offense is clearly better than Vanderbilt's. The Wildcats put up 27.1 yards per game, while the Commodores are averaging just 16.7, including a paltry six points per game in SEC play.
And now Vanderbilt is trotting out its second-string QB for the second straight week. Senior Mackenzi Adams made his first start of the season last week against Florida after Larry Smith was injured, and he completed just 13 of 29 passes for 100 yards with no TDs and one interception.
And while Kentucky's defense is nowhere near as strong as the Gators', the Wildcats do possess the conference's fourth-ranked pass defense, giving up just 169.9 yards per game.
Kentucky coach Rich Brooks isn't expected to name his starting QB until game time, with starter Mike Hartline on the mend after missing four games with a knee injury, but I think the Wildcats can get the job done with either Hartline or freshman Morgan Newton in the lineup.
Plus, leading rusher Derrick Locke (knee) and leading receiver Randall Cobb (thumb) are both supposed to return to the Wildcats' lineup after sitting out last week's 37-12 victory over Eastern Kentucky with injuries.
Kentucky needs just one more win this season to become bowl eligible for the fourth straight year, which would be the first time in school history that happened, so the Wildcats are going to be up for this one.
Vanderbilt, on the other hand, is going nowhere at 2-8 and is hasn't had a bye all season, so I'm not expecting the Commodores' best effort, especially coming off its 27-3 loss at Florida and with a season-ending game at Tennessee next week.
Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog, and 0-4 ATS in its last four home games. Even more damning, the Commodores are 1-13 straight up and 2-12 ATS as home 'dogs of less than 4 points.
Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a road favorite, and 4-1 ATS in its last five road games. Take the Wildcats to cover the points today.
10 Dime -- NORTH CAROLINA STATE (plus points vs. Clemson)
NORTH CAROLINA STATE
The Wolfpack is a little shaky on defense, but it can definitely light up the scoreboard, averaging 33.7 points per game, which ranks second in the ACC and 20th in the nation.
QB Russell Wilson heads a strong passing attack for N.C. State, completing 60.4 percent of his passes for 2,351 yards and 24 touchdowns. The Wolfpack ranks third in the ACC and 19th in the country with 294.2 passing yards per game.
Running back C.J. Spiller is the leader of Clemson's offense, and he has rushed for 329 yards and has five touchdowns in three career games against the Wolfpack. But N.C. State is third in the ACC in rushing defense this year, giving up just 117.3 yards per game, so things could be a lot tougher for Spiller today than they have in the past.
Clemson is just 1-2 on the road this season, compared to 5-1 at home, and it is just 1-4 ATS in its five games as a road favorite. North Carolina State is 11-4-2 ATS in its last 17 games overall, 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 home games and 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as a home 'dog. The Tigers probably still gain the win today, but the Wolfpack should stay within spitting distance. Take N.C. State to cover the points.Comment
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