11-18-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

John Ryan

CFB 10* Titan Play of the Week

5 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Under 50 (-110) (CMU@Ball St.)

5* Ball St. +pts

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

Kevin Rogers

Thunder at Magic
Pick: Over 189.5

The Magic were thoroughly embarrassed by the Thunder the last time these two teams met in Oklahoma City on November 8th, as Orlando lost by 28. To cut the Magic some slack, Vince Carter, Rashard Lewis, and Ryan Anderson all were out for Orlando in that debacle. All three of those players are back for the Magic tonight, but the team is without point guard Jameer Nelson, who is out with a torn meniscus in his left knee. The Thunder, meanwhile, are coming off a 100-83 victory at Miami last night, as OKC fits into a nice OVER play tonight. Oklahoma City is 13-4 to the OVER since the start of last season playing on the road with no rest, and with this being a fourth game in five nights, don't expect much defense from the Thunder. The Magic will have plenty of rage tonight after the horrific loss at the Ford Center, and while the side may be a bit much, I'll take the OVER tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

ats hoops

no unit ratings

NBA- Ind

college

ST louis +2
Butler-4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

executive

250 cal irvine

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

Sea Bass

50* Ball State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

5DimeSports.com
5 Dime IS Their Top Play

5 DIME PLAY

Spurs @ Mavericks

9:30pm Tonight

5 Dime Play Take Dallas -1 ( buy the hook if you have to, don't think you will need it, but you never know, or you could just take the ML depending on the dif.) The situational play here is the basic revenge factor. The Spurs beat the Mavericks in San Antonio this year and now Dallas gets to play them at their court. Since Dampier has been out for the Mavs, Drew Gooden has stepped in nicely averaging 14 points in the past three games. Dallas has played well this season at home as they are 3-1 ATS at home so far, while the Spurs are 0-3 ats and su on the road. The Spurs are only averaging 89.3 points on the road, while the Mavericks are averaging 109.2 points at home. I also like that Dallas is giving Beaubois more playing time and is showing people why. Look for the Mavs to give a little payback.

Trends I Like

Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Spurs are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
Spurs are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

Street Rosenthal
*200 Atlanta Hawks -7.5
*200 Orlando Magic -12
*200 Charlotte Bobcats+3
*200 New York Knicks +6.5
*200 Los Angeles Kings +115
*200 Dallas Stars -170

Trey Scott
*200 Brown +8
*200 Cornell -2
*200 Manhatten +4
*200 UC Irvine +6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

The Booooj

5 units on Central Michigan (-15.5) over Ball State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

Young Gun

5* GOM Memphis
3* Atlanta
3* Portland

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

vegas runner 3*magic
2* late steam: western mich ( cbb

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

Helmut

Butler under 124

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

MTI:
New York +7 over INDIANA - One way to make money betting NBA games is to simply find spots in which the linesmakers have over-reacted to recent results. The Pacers have won and covered five straight while the Knicks have started the season 1-9 - the worst over the first ten games in franchise history. The Pacers' five game winning streak started when they beat the Knicks 101-89 getting five points in New York. The Knicks were up 56-50 at the half, but fell apart thereafter.
This is quite a line change. It is rare that a team is a five-point road dog and then a seven point home favorite to the same team over a two-week span. We'll grab the line value.
The Knicks are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+10.3 ppg) on the road when seeking revenge for a same-season loss as a favorite in which they led at the half.
In their last game, New York lost 121-107 at home to the Warriors. Golden St shot a sizzling 58.3% from the field. The Knicks have had four days off two regroup after this embarrassing performance. We expect they'll perform better here. New York is 9-0 ATS (+10.8 ppg) as a dog after a double-digit loss in which they allowed a shooting percentage at least 10 percentage points higher than their season-to-date average. There has been one active date this season and it is the Knicks' only win - a 117-111 win over the Hornets getting 3 points.
The Pacers won their fifth straight last night in New Jersey. Indiana shot only 39.2% from the field, but the Nets kept sending them to the line, where they made 25-of-31. The Pacers are 0-7 ATS when they are off a win by more than five points in which they scored at least 25% of their points from the free throw line. Also, Indiana is 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) as a favorite after a road win in which their DPS was negative (scored fewer points than projected).
The player-based trends reveal that the Knicks are 10-0 ATS (+10.9 ppg) after losing the previous matchup at home in which Jared Jeffries scored fewer than 10 points and 9-0 ATS (+7.7 ppg) after losing the previous matchup at home in which David Lee had a double-double.
The Pacers are a good team, but this is the most points they have been laying all season. The Knicks are not as bad as their 1-9 record indicates and the 4-0 rest combination is exactly what the Knicks need. Grab the points.
MTi's FORECAST: INDIANA 98 New York 96

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-18-09

ras Over 139.5 UNLV