11-21-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

From a friend of IWS

Wunderdog College Football Upset Alert

Past Winners
Central Michigan +500 over Michigan State (week 2)
Houston +500 over Oklahoma State (week 2)
Washington +800 over USC (week 3)
Idaho +550 over N. Illinois (week 4)
Virginia +390 over N. Carolina (week 5)
Duke +450 over NC State (week 6)
Arkansas +120 over Auburn (week 6)
Iowa +120 over Wisconsin (week 7)
Kentucky +390 over Auburn (week 7)
Florida State +130 over N. Carolina (week 8)
N. Carolina +590 over Virginia Tech (week 9)
Oregon State +245 over California (week 10)
UL Lafayette +420 over Arkansas State (week 10)
Stanford +340 over USC (week 11)



This Week's Picks (4)
E. Michigan +660 over Toledo
Maryland +760 over Florida State
Vanderbilt +600 over Tennessee
UAB +440 over E. Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Maddux

#316 - NCAA - 3 units on Michigan +12
#346 - NCAA - 3 units on Wyoming +31.5
#348 - NCAA - 3 units on Arkansas -11
#349 - NCAA - 3 units on Connecticut +6
#356 - NCAA - 3 units on UCLA -4.5
#360 - NCAA - 3 units on Mississippi -4
#380 - NCAA - 3 units on Arizona +6
#381 - NCAA - 3 units on SMU +4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Greg Roberts

5* Stanford

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Doc Sports FootBall Week of November 19th


4 Unit Play. #14 Take Utah State +23 ½ over Boise State (Friday 9:30 pm ESPN 2) The Broncos show no mercy for anyone, but one has to believe this is a flat spot as they play Nevada next. Throw in the fact that the Aggies will be playing their last home game of the season, and they have performed well at home. They took Nevada to the wire and lost, 25-32, and they did beat Louisiana Tech, 23-21. They have not been really blown out all season and look for them to hang around in this affair as well. Boise State 37, Utah State 21.

“The Magnificent 7” Saturday, November 21st, 2009

6 Unit Play. #36 Take Northwestern +7 over Wisconsin (Saturday 3:30 pm Big Ten Network) Top Play of the Weekend. I thought that this line would come in around 4 points, but it came in at 6 and now the public has drove it up to around a touchdown. No question that the Badgers have been playing inspired since they suffered back-to-back losses to Ohio State and Iowa. That being said, those were the only two good teams that they have played this season and they caught Purdue at the right time and struggled to put away Indiana on the road. In fact, Indiana passed for 300 yards and look for QB Kafka to have similar success against a Badgers secondary that is still unproven.

Wisconsin has had success on the ground. However, the Cats run defense will key on them and make QB Tolzien beat them through the air. This is the last home game of the season for Northwestern and they have won this type of game the last five years. Traditionally the Badgers have had trouble playing in Northwestern and to me this line is inflated. Have to side with the Wildcats getting a touchdown in the final game of their season. Coach Fitzgerald does a great job with this program and I will call the upset. Northwestern 31, Wisconsin 28.

5 Unit Play. #28 Take Michigan +12 over Ohio State (Saturday 12 pm ABC) Top Big 10 Play. Always have to throw out the record when these two match up and this will be the second straight year Ohio State enters as a double digit favorite. So what is different about the 2009 meeting? The Buckeyes are not the team of 2008. Granted, they will win the Big Ten and go to the Rose Bowl but this is a perfect spot for a letdown. Coach Rodriguez is on the hot seat and Michigan must win this game to avoid being bowless for a second straight year. Coach Carr was very successful at Michigan but struggled beating Ohio State once John Cooper left Columbus. Coach Rodriquez was brought in to win this game and this is his first chance to beat them in Ann Arbor.

In 2008, Michigan lost 42-7 to Ohio State and now many wonder if this was the right coaching hire. Because of this, the game means at lot more to Michigan, especially the seniors and the coaching staff. Michigan certainly does not have the talent of the Buckeyes. However, this is a big flat spot. The homer gets the call, as Michigan puts a major scare into the Buckeyes. Ohio State 24, Michigan 17.

5 Unit Play. #30 Take Michigan State +3 over Penn State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Underdog Play. In a weak conference we will side with another team getting points playing their final home game of the season. Thought that MSU would have a chance to win the Big Ten. However, as in past years, they found a way to lose some close games. Looking at Penn State, they are very similar to other teams in the Big Ten. They just are not as strong in 2009 and getting crushed by Ohio State two weeks ago shot down any chance for a BCS Bowl. The last three years the Lions have lost their last road game of the season. In 2007, they played Michigan State and lost that game, 35-31, as a slight favorite.

As for the Spartans, they are 8-1 ATS in the last home game of the season the last nine years. Look for this year’s meeting to be very similar. Michigan State, like Michigan, has a lot more to play for, as a win here will give them a better bowl. Yet another homer gets the call in the Big Ten, as we call the upset. MSU 31, PSU 28.

4 Unit Play. #61 Take Kentucky +8 over Georgia (Saturday 7:45 pm ESPN 2) The Wildcats and the Bulldogs usually play each other in November and this year Kentucky finally has the depth to stay with them. Kentucky has survived this season and is now playing their best football. The rushing attack is solid and QB Hartline has been playing well completing close to 60% of his passes. Their defense has also improved over the course of the 2009 season and they should be able to keep this a low scoring affair. The last three years the final score has been close between these two clubs and I see this one going down to the wire as well. The Wildcats need this victory to ensure they go bowling this season and I will call the upset. Kentucky 24, Georgia 21.

4 Unit Play. #80 Take Clemson -21 over Virginia (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) What a turnaround for the 2009 Clemson Tigers! After their first five games, they sported a 2-3 record. Now they have reeled off five straight victories and scored 38 or more points in each of those games. RB Spiller has been outstanding since his return and a win in this game will give them a spot in the ACC Championship Game. They will accomplish this since Virginia enters having lost four straight games and I see no way that they will be able to hang with the Tigers in Death Valley. This will be another blowout loss for Virginia. Clemson 42, Virginia 10.

4 Unit Play. #86 Take Middleton Tennessee State -10 over Arkansas State (Saturday 4:30 pm ESPN 360) This one features two teams going in opposite directions. The Red Wolves looked real good against Iowa early in the season but will enter this game having lost three straight. They lost last week at Florida Atlantic, 35-18. The Blue Raiders are hot, as the play of QB Dasher has been outstanding. He can beat you through the air or on the ground, as he is the leading rusher with over 800 yards. Not only has the offense looked good, but the defense has also been outstanding. Revenge will be big here, as MTS lost last year, 31-14, denying them a bowl bid. Blue Raiders success continues in a big way. MTS 41, Ark St 17.

4 Unit Play. #100 Take Arizona +6 over Oregon (Saturday 8 pm ABC) The Oregon Ducks are one of the surprise clubs in college football this season. Returning only nine starters and a new coach, they have done a great job of reloading. As for the Wildcats, their season has been successful but the loss to California last week stung. I do see them rebounding here and if they can win it, there is a possibility they could go to the Rose Bowl for the first time in their history.

Certainly have to side with the homer getting points. The talent is equal and I believe that the Cats have the edge on defense. I have always been successful late in the season with home dogs in this type of situation. Yet another underdog wins their last home game of the season. U of A 27, Oregon 23.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Spartan GOY

triple-dime bet 379 Oregon -5.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 380 Arizona

Analysis: Last time the Oregon Ducks ventured into Tucson was not a good
outcome to say the least. It was 2007 and high hopes were dashed as
quarterback Dennis Dixon went down, Brady Leaf came in and the rest is
history. The Ducks will have some redemption on their minds and I'm betting
they get it. Some might look for an Arizona rebound from last weeks loss at
Cal but I just like the way this Ducks team is playing right now a lot more.
Mike Stoops has built a sound defense and DE Ricky Elmore is the real deal
but the Ducks can score a ton of points and in a hurry. I'd be real
surprised if the Wildcats can keep pace. I know Stoops has his kids eyeing a
Pac 10 title but the fact is Oregon is one of the hottest teams in the
country right now. The Ducks offense, which is very fake heavy, is one of
the most difficult in college football for teams to defend. This Oregon
squad is a salty bunch that has played in more big games than Arizona and
been battle tested. I suspect they will deal with the ESPN Gameday drama and
hype better that the home guys. I've looked at this game from every angle,
talked with a few different sources I trust a great deal. I'm ready to
declare it, my one and only college game of the year is the Oregon Ducks,
see them taking this thing by a couple of touchdowns.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Norm Hitzges
Double Plays

· Texas -27.5 vs Kansas

· Rice +6.5 vs UTEP

· South Florida -11.5 vs Louisville

· UCLA – 4.5 vs Arizona State

· UConn +6 vs Notre Dame

· Arkansas -11 vs Mississippi State

· Mississippi -4 vs

· Middle Tennessee -10 vs Arkansas State

Single Plays

· Wisconsin -7 vs Northwestern

· Rutgers -8.5 vs Syracuse

· Clemson -21 vs Virginia

· Indiana +3 vs Purdue

· Florida State -19 vs Maryland

· Temple -13 vs Kent State

· Oregon State -31 vs Washington State

· Missouri -14.5 vs Iowa State

· Houston -23.5 vs Memphis

· Louisiana Tech +9 vs Fresno

· Arizona +6 vs Oregon

· Southern Mississippi -8 vs Tulsa

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Teddy Covers
> 11/21/09 CFB Rutgers -8 (327)**
> 11/21/09 CFB 20* Big Ticket: Kentucky +10 (341)**
> 11/21/09 CFB UCLA -4.5 (356)**
> 11/21/09 CFB Texas Tech +6.5 (368)**
> 11/21/09 CFB Arizona Over 60 -110 (380)**
> 11/21/09 CFB Hawaii -3 (395)**

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Strike Point Sports

Saturday's College Football Plays

3-Unit Play. #353 Take Penn State -3 over Michigan State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 19)

Penn State has only played three games on the road this year but all three have been three score wins. JoPa's team can get their tenth win of the season and that happens against a Spartans team that has been inconsistent all year. We back the beter defense and feel good about the offense coming to play as well.

3-Unit Play. Take LSU/Mississippi 'Under' 42.5 (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 19)

We know the LSU defense is a mainstay for Les Miles and they will do their part to keep Ole Miss in check offensively. Without Charles Scott at tailback and a struggling quarterback in it seems whoever they throw in there, the Tigers offense also is going to be off their game. Jordan Jefferson will start but we don't expect a ton from him. Five of the last six games this year for LSU have gone under the posted total, while the Rebels defense has also done their part by holding opponents to 20 or less in five straight games. The winner will get over 21 but not the team that gets the 'L'. We say a game with the line of 21-17.

3-Unit Play. #365 Take Kansas State (+16.5) over Nebraska (7:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 19)

Nebraska hasn't beaten anyone in conference play by 17 points points, so why should this game be any different. Kansas State is better than every Big 12 team the Cornhuskers have played except for Oklahoma, and this number is inflated because the Wildcats had one bad loss last week. Prior to that they had covered four straight and were hitting their peak. Take the dog in this match-up, as K-State covers the number in a close game in Lincoln.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

FerRringo

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take #337 Iowa State (+14) over Missouri (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
I have to say that I still don’t trust Missouri as a heavy favorite. They have a big rivalry game with Kansas next week where this is Iowa State’s last game of the season. The Cyclones are fighting for a winning record (they are 6-5 right now) and I feel like they will have some fire in this game. If Iowa State is good enough to go into Lincoln and beat Nebraska then I think that they are capable of going to Columbia and hanging around with the Tigers. Iowa State has revenge from a butt-kicking that they took last year, but other than that this has been a decent series. Two of the last five games have gone to OT, the dog have covered five of seven, five of eight have been decided by less than a touchdown, and other than last year’s blowout the last seven games in the series have been decided by an average of about 11 points per game. ISU has covered three of four road games and I like the experience of this team to come out and give one more strong effort.

5-Unit Play. Take #341 Kentucky (+9.5) over Georgia (7:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Note: This is our SEC Game of the Year. I could have just tacked on the extra two Units and "went for it", but that's not my style. So while I hate to not go with a bigger GOTY but I'm not going to put your money at risk for my own ego or "just because". But I like the play and I think it's a strong spot for us.

Kentucky got awful healthy awful quickly. They welcomed back a lot of playmakers last week including Randall Cobb, giving their offense a big boost. This team likes to grind it out on the ground and the plays right into the weakness of the Georgia defense. I think that they will be able to move the ball and turn this game into a bit of a grinder. Georgia really played inspired ball last weekend and they are trying to get themselves bowl eligible (to a respectable bowl). And while I do think that they will win this game I think that Kentucky deserves more respect from the oddsmakers. The last three years this game has been decided by four points, 11 points and four points, so these teams are a bit closer together than it appears. Kentucky went on the road this year and almost knocked off South Carolina and did beat an Auburn team that compares pretty favorably to this Georgia squad. Outside of losses to Alabama and Florida, UK has just a seven-point loss and a two-point loss on their resume, while Georgia, apart from a blowout at Vandy and against Tennessee Tech, has only won by an average of about six points per game. I’ll take the dog here and look for another competitive SEC game with UGA winning, but getting caught looking forward to a huge game with Georgia Tech next week.

2-Unit Play. Take #349 Connecticut (+6) over Notre Dame (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Notre Dame sucks. They shouldn’t have covered last week and I really like the Big East underdog in this one. Outside of a blowout of Washington State, Notre Dame has barely managed to win against a bunch of teams that aren’t very good. The average margin of their last four wins is about four points per game, and, win or lose, outside of two blowouts (Wazzou and Nevada) the average margin in all Notre Dame games this year has been just over four points per game in eight games. This should be a low scoring game and I like Connecticut to make the points stand up.

2-Unit Play. Take #358 Stanford (-7) over California (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Stanford just got done wrecking Oregon and USC, the two titans of the Pac-10. Now they get their rival, at home, without their best player. That means that Cal’s offense is in the hands of Kevin Riley. Well, I’ve seen enough of that to know that means the Bears are in trouble. John Harbaugh has his team clicking on all cylinders and they still have an outside shot at winning the conference title. Stanford has covered 11 straight at home and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They have revenge from last year and the home team has won three straight games in this series. This will be a continuation bet, because even if Stanford doesn’t cover we will go right back to them against Notre Dame in a couple weeks.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #362 BYU (-10) over Air Force (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
Big home game for BYU and I expect a strong effort out of them after they laid down in New Mexico last week. Their last home game was that blowout loss to TCU. I think they need to erase some of those memories. They do have the Holy War on deck, which worries me some. But they have owned Air Force lately, and that was against much better Air Force teams. BYU has won five straight with the average margin of victory at 19 points per game, with none of the wins by less than 14 points. Air Force has won three straight against very weak competition. This is the best team they have faced since taking on TCU and I don’t think that they are up to the task.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #363 UAB (+12) over East Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
This is a big game between two Conference USA teams that are battling for the East Division lead. Last year a seemingly much better ECU team needed a late drive to earn a come-from-behind win over the Blazers. I think this one will be just as competitive. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and UAB is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference games. ECU is in somewhat of a letdown spot after a blowout win at Tulsa last week and UAB has played the top teams in the league tough this year. They beat Southern Miss and UTEP and only lost to SMU by two points. I think this one is played close and that the points hold up.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #371 UTEP (-6) over Rice (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
There is triple revenge on the board for UTEP, which has lost three straight in this series by an average of just six points per game. Also, UTEP has to be frustrated after losing three straight games by four points, by seven in
OT, and by five points. They are just that close to being 6-4 and in the mix for the conference title. Rice is coming off a nice win over a terrible Tulane team. But they simply are not a strong team and I don’t know if they can hold up against a potent UTEP attack. Miners have averaged 10 more points than Rice per game and have allowed six less. UTEP had the goods to beat a very talented Houston team. I think they have enough to beat a weaker Rice squad.

2-Unit Play. Take #382 Marshall (-3.5) over SMU (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 21)
This is a very tricky spot for SMU and I think that the fact that they aren’t favored says a lot about how this one is going to go. This is Marshall’s final home and they are a stellar 11-2 in their last home game. There is a lot of experience on this team (this is Albert McClellan’s last game) and after almost knocking off Tulsa in their final game last year I think they are ready to spring an “upset” over the CUSA West leaders. Other than a 17-point loss at West Virginia, Marshall has lost by 7, 1 and 4 to the best teams in Conference USA (Southern Miss, UCF and ECU). They have covered six of eight games overall and I think that they win this one solidly.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Tim Trushel

Arizona/20*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

CKO

CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS

* -Denotes Home Team

11 TENNESSEE over *Houston
Late Score Forecast:
TENNESSEE 31 - *Houston 23
(Monday, November 23)

10 *TENNESSEE over Vanderbilt
Late Score Forecast:
*TENNESSEE 34 - Vanderbilt 7

10 *TEMPLE over Kent State
Late Score Forecast:
*TEMPLE 37 - Kent State 14

10 PENN STATE over *Michigan State
Late Score Forecast:
PENN STATE 31 - *Michigan State 16


10 *HOUSTON over Memphis
Late Score Forecast:
*HOUSTON 52 - Memphis 17

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Kelso Sports

100-Unit College Blowout Game Of The Week

UCF

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Lawrence plays from the PLAYBOOK
UPSET GOW-Minnesota
3*BEST BET-Michigan+
4*BEST BET-Indiana+
5*BEST BET-UCLA-

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-21-09

Randall the Handle 11/21

North Carolina St. +21 over Virginia Tech PINNACLE
For North Carolina State to be three touchdown underdogs in conference play this late in the season shows how far they have sunk from the days of Phillip Rivers and Co. The win over Pittsburgh seems like it happened years ago and the prospects of a bowl game have disappeared for the Wolfpack, as it’s up to head coach Tom O’Brien to motivate his players to compete in these last two games. O’Brien isn’t on the hot seat and similarly to last week’s Syracuse-Louisville game, the players who are coming back next season will have to play hard, decreasing the chances of a no-show. Virginia Tech can’t win the ACC and are going to settle for a mid-level bowl, which has to be considered a disappointment for the preseason favorite and dark horse National Title contender. With both teams going up against each other with very little but pride at stake, the statistics compiled thus far mean a lot more than games with extra motivators. The saving grace for North Carolina State has been the play of QB Russell Wilson, who has thrown for 26 touchdowns, tops in the ACC, and 2534 yards with a 58% completion percentage. Wilson and RB Toney Baker have led North Carolina State to the ACC’s fourth best points per game mark at 32.6. Having an offense that can produce when getting 21 points is extremely important, as it leaves the door open for backdoor covers and shootouts where touchdowns are simply traded all game long. Virginia Tech will move the ball against the atrocious North Carolina State defense that gives up 31 points a game. Nevertheless, Va Tech is laying too many points to a potent offense. “Beamer Ball” calls for defense and special teams to score and if that’s how Virginia Tech is going to put points on the scoreboard this Saturday, one would have to feel confident in having a three touchdown cushion. Play: #335 North Carolina State +21 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

California +7½ over STANFORD PINNACLE
You have to give all the respect to the Stanford Cardinal for what they have accomplished this season. After going 5-7 last season, Stanford is 7-3 thus far and is in great position to play in this years Rose Bowl. Jim Harbaugh has put his name among the elite in College Football and has his team playing at a level that hasn’t been seen in years. Perhaps the most impressive feat of all was humiliating USC 55-21 on the road, a result so shocking that many observers dubbed an error upon first glance. Stanford’s victory was by far the biggest this decade and without a doubt the biggest win this season. California meanwhile is having a respectable season that had potential to be special if not for the loss of Javhid Best, who at the time of his injury was considered the leading Heisman Trophy candidate. California is coming off a big win over 18th ranked Arizona, completing a fourth quarter comeback to win 24-16. California quarterback Kevin Reilly has thrown 15 touchdowns with only 5 interceptions and RB Shane Vereen has filled in admirably for Best, averaging 5.2 yards per carry to keep California’s running game effective. There are really only two angles to play this game at; if you believe Stanford is for real and can play with giant targets on their backs, lay the points. Stanford hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2001 and their players are competing in completely different conditions than they have ever played in. The number of teams who have had gigantic wins one week and then crashed the next are seemingly endless and I think Stanford will lay a giant egg playing as the hunted. I’ll play that angle and call the outright upset but will gladly take the points with a strong, trustworthy California team. Play: #357 California +7½ (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).