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Re: 12-10-09
BlacK WidoW / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W iseg uy C B B on E SP N G am e of the Night on D ep au l +12(-107 at 5dimes)
Mississippi State is overrated in the early going this season. Both the Bulldogs and Depaul enter this game with identical 5-2 records, with Mississippi State having lost to Rider and Richmond already this year, two teams they were heavily favored against. Depaul's losses have come against Tennessee by 4 as a 19.5-point underdog and to Vanderbilt by 13 as a 15.5-point underdog. Those teams are two of the best in the country. So now Depaul has been battle-tested, and they'll give Mississippi State all they can handle tonight with a great shot to pull off the upset. Depaul is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in r oa d g am es after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take Depaul and the points.
6* W id ow W iseg uy St eel ers/Bro wn s AFC North G AME OF THE M ONTH on Cl evela nd +10.5(-110 at bookm)
The Cleveland Browns have been playing better than their 1-11 record. The Browns have a chance to spoil the Steelers' season tonight, and that would make their year to ruin the playoff hopes of a bitter division rival. Cleveland has covered 3 straight, and they are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall. In their last 3 games, they lost by 1 to Detroit, by 9 at Cincinnati, and by 7 at home against San Diego. So in their last two games, they have played two of the best teams in the AFC and have given them all they could handle. The weather conditions tonight, which calls for snow and swirling wind of over 25 MPH, will level the playing field. In perfect conditions, Pittsburgh would have a big advantage with their passing game. But tonight, they won't be able to rely on Big Ben and their passing game. This is going to be a ground game, and with SS Troy Polamalu still out for Pittsburgh, they are missing their best run stuffer. Brady Quinn is giving his team a chance to win every week, not making critical mistakes. The Browns have only 1 turnover in their last 3 games offensively, so they are taking care of the football. That will be key tonight in an upset bid. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. The Browns are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The Browns are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Pittsburgh is getting way too much respect from the odds makers here, as they are still treating the Steelers like they are Super Bowl-caliber team when they really aren't any more. They have too many key injuries, and they aren't getting the job done late in games this year. Take the Browns and the points.
BlacK WidoW / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W iseg uy C B B on E SP N G am e of the Night on D ep au l +12(-107 at 5dimes)
Mississippi State is overrated in the early going this season. Both the Bulldogs and Depaul enter this game with identical 5-2 records, with Mississippi State having lost to Rider and Richmond already this year, two teams they were heavily favored against. Depaul's losses have come against Tennessee by 4 as a 19.5-point underdog and to Vanderbilt by 13 as a 15.5-point underdog. Those teams are two of the best in the country. So now Depaul has been battle-tested, and they'll give Mississippi State all they can handle tonight with a great shot to pull off the upset. Depaul is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in r oa d g am es after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take Depaul and the points.
6* W id ow W iseg uy St eel ers/Bro wn s AFC North G AME OF THE M ONTH on Cl evela nd +10.5(-110 at bookm)
The Cleveland Browns have been playing better than their 1-11 record. The Browns have a chance to spoil the Steelers' season tonight, and that would make their year to ruin the playoff hopes of a bitter division rival. Cleveland has covered 3 straight, and they are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall. In their last 3 games, they lost by 1 to Detroit, by 9 at Cincinnati, and by 7 at home against San Diego. So in their last two games, they have played two of the best teams in the AFC and have given them all they could handle. The weather conditions tonight, which calls for snow and swirling wind of over 25 MPH, will level the playing field. In perfect conditions, Pittsburgh would have a big advantage with their passing game. But tonight, they won't be able to rely on Big Ben and their passing game. This is going to be a ground game, and with SS Troy Polamalu still out for Pittsburgh, they are missing their best run stuffer. Brady Quinn is giving his team a chance to win every week, not making critical mistakes. The Browns have only 1 turnover in their last 3 games offensively, so they are taking care of the football. That will be key tonight in an upset bid. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite. The Browns are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The Browns are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Pittsburgh is getting way too much respect from the odds makers here, as they are still treating the Steelers like they are Super Bowl-caliber team when they really aren't any more. They have too many key injuries, and they aren't getting the job done late in games this year. Take the Browns and the points.
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