12-17-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Nick Parsons

PICK: Jacksonville Jaguars Your pick will be graded at: 3
TITLE: *10* #1 NFL SHOCKER OF SEASON! 22-10/69% REASON FOR PICK: With their collective "backs-against-the-wall" I look for the Jaguars to do just enough to come away with the ATS victory or outright win in this one:

The Colts have clinched home field advantage and a first round bye throughout the Playoffs and have impressive SU and ATS stats this year; one team they've always had difficulty with though is the Jaguars; Indianapolis is 3-7 ATS its last ten vs. Jacksonville.

Although Colts coach Jim Caldwell insists that finishing the regular season undefeated isn’t a top priority, he plans to play his starters tonight.

On the other side of the field: Unlike the Colts, the Jaguars (7-6) have plenty riding on their three remaining games.

With a 6-3 conference record, Jacksonville would earn a playoff spot by winning all three contests. A loss would result in the Jaguars needing help to avoid missing the postseason for the eighth time in 10 years.

Jacksonville may be 2-7 ATS its last nine, but its 4-2 SU its last six and 5-1 SU its last six in front of the hometown faithful.

Bottom line: Despite desperately needing this victory to keep its post-season drive alive, and the added motivation of wanting to be the first team to hand the Colt's a loss, the Jaguars will also be playing with "revenge" after their 14-12 season opening loss against the Colts.

Manning looked shaky against Denver; he threw three early TD's, then three INT's, before leading the Colts on a late TD drive to preserve the win; and that was in front of the hometown crowd.

With an offense that revolves around the run, the Jaguars typically need Maurice Jones-Drew to play well to be successful; they are 6-2 when Jones-Drew rushes for at least 76 yards, although one of those losses came Sept. 13, when he ran for 97 yards and a TD.

However, in this big game at home, Jones-Drew has a huge opportunity to become a big part of this contest; Indianapolis has been vulnerable against the run lately, yielding an average of 119.7 yards in the last three games.

It certainly won't be a blowout, but there are simply too many significant factors working in favor of the Jaguars on Thursday night.

No matter what they say to the media/public, the Colts have to have a small amount of complacency buried in their sub-conscience somewhere that if they are hit hard early in Thursday's game, they will be more likely to take one on the chin and roll over; look for JACKSONVILLE to improve to 5-1 ATS vs. division opponents this season and for Indianapolis to fall to 3-3 ATS vs. division opponents!

*10*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Fargo 10*---Jags

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

RAS:

All for 1 Unit

707 Auburn +10'

714 Fresno -13'

718 E'ville -10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w Wi seg uy Colts/Jags A FC So uth Sh owdo wn on Jacksonville +3(+110 at sportsinteraction)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

charlie

nfl & nba. nfl jaguars+3'. nfl colts @ jaguars over 43& nba miami+4. (500* Triple Play 2 of 3 must win or week is free is free)
nba. portland-2' (30*)
cbb. florida international+16 (20*)
cbb. troy-13 (20*)
cbb. auburn+10 (10*)
nba. chicago-2 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

DOC

4-Unit Play #703 Take Orlando/Miami OVER 200 (8 p.m. EST, Thursday)
These teams played a few weeks ago and both teams shot well under their season average and this game still wound up at 197. Orlando only shot 60 percent from the free-throw line in that game as well so that shaved some points off the score. Miami has been terrible defensively lately and six of their last seven opponents have scored more than 100 points. That looks good for the over when Orlando has scored 100 or more in eight of nine games. They have allowed 98 or more points in eight of the last nine. We expect the pace here to be quick and last time these teams played they took a combined 51 three-point attempts. If we get a repeat of that here we should have no problem getting over the number. Four straight meetings in this series have gone over the posted number.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Stan Sharp | NBA Sides Thu, 12/17/09 - 10:35 PM ¦‰

double-dime bet 706 POR -1.5 (-110) BetUS vs 705 PHO

Analysis: Stan is Betting PORTLAND. Stan notes that Portland finished a 4 game East Coast road trip on the 12th and returned home to play a 2 game home stand on the 15th before ending back out on theΠroad for another 4 game road trip. Having won and pushed on Tuesday against Sacramento Stan expects a better effort tonight in Portland's second game back at home. Portland will want to secure a win here as their next 4 games are all tough ones on the road. They go to Orlando, Miami, Dallas & San Antonio. Portland wins by 8-10 points here. TAKE PORTLAND as STAN'S TNT WISE GUY GAME OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Wunderdog NHL
Handicapper: Wunderdog Sports
Sport: NHL Hockey
Game: Phoenix Coyotes @ Columbus Blue Jackets - Thursday December 17, 2009 7:05 pm
Pick: 5 units TOTAL: Under 5.5 (-125)

The Phoenix Coyotes have been getting a great job from behind the net of late, and have limited opponents to just 19 goals, under two per contest over their last 10. The Blue Jackets have produced just 19 goals in their last eight games and an even worse five in their last three. The Coyotes are playing way under the total vs. an opponent who scored two or less in their last outing as they have turned in a 19-6-1 mark to the UNDER in that situation. They have also played UNDER to the tune of a 37-16-2 mark overall in their last 55 games. The Blue Jackets are on the short side of the total when posted as a home favorite, turning in a 15-7 mark in their last 22 to the UNDER. These teams make the script complete as they have played UNDER in the last four meetings. The UNDER gets the nod in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Marc Lawrence 12/17

Analysis: Play On: Jacksonville Jaguars (Game 302)
Note: With their record-setting 22nd straight regular-season win, the Colts take to the division road attempting a series sweep of the Jaguars, a situation of which they are 0-6 ATS in their last six attempts. They have also not fared well in the month of December as favorites of a double-digit win versus .500 or greater opposition, checking in with a 1-7 ATS record. More importantlyˆ, our database reminds us that since 1980: undefeated NFL favorites are 2-13 ATS form Game Thirteen out when going into revenge, including 0-5 ATS when taking on a division opponent. With that we turn to Jack Del Rio and his 20-7 ATS mark as a dog with revenge. The Colts edged Jacksonville, 14-12, at home in the season opener and with the Jaguars still in the playoff picture, look for the points to become the play here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Jacksonville.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

MREAST NCAAB THURSDAY 62-40 ATS SYSTEM SIZZLER
The Troy Trojans getting a bump in the line, mostly due to a win vs Auburn, but Auburn may be an SEC team, they don't have SEC caliber talent. The Trojans have 3 wins vs teams not even playing at the div-1 level so getting too much respect here. Privateers getting dissed by the books of a loss as a favorite by 18 to FAU, which opens the flood gates here for a big play on situation for them. Teams posted as a 10+ dog, off a 15+ point loss as a favorite, have blitzed the books for an 82-40 ATS mark, good for 67.2% covers. It shows the reaction to the last game, and how seriously it inflates the line. New Orleans gets this one.

#709 NEW ORLEANS PRIVATEERS @ #710 TROY TROJANS 8PM EST

PLAY ON #709 NEW ORLEANS PRIVATEERS +13 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

ATS FINANCIAL

3 Unit--Under 43.5 Jax/Indy

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Erin Rynning

playmaker - Over 199.5 Magic

playmaker - Jaguars +3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Teddy Covers

CBB
Weber State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-17-09

Scott Delaney
Thursday ...
100-Dime INDIANAPOLIS COLTS ... Don't buy into Indy coach Jim Caldwell's coy ways. He's not fooling anyone, in saying this will be like Game 3 of the preseason. He's not fooling anyone when saying he's not sure how long his starters will play. Plain and simple - he's not fooling anyone.

For this game, tonight, it's full speed ahead with the pedal to the metal! At some point this week, more times than not, I've heard or read into quotes by Caldwell that tell me how clear it is he plans on treating tonight's game like Weeks 1 through 14 - and not the preseason.

I'm not too worried about Jacksonville's traditionally rugged defense, not when its pass D is ranked 26th. Not when Peyton Manning is my quarterback and not when Reggie Wayne has tallied at least 100 receiving yards in five of his last six games against the Jaguars.

There's the steadily improving rushing game, which will tie up Jacksonville's defensive line for a while, not to mention make it extremely tired. You can expect Jags running back Mike Hart to continue turning heads with his power running, giving Joseph Addai breathers here and there. He's become a key component to help provide the Colts with a productive running game, and when you see a back showing signs of life like that, you know he is going to get more work. That means both sets of legs will remain fresh, and the Colts can opt to the running game when necessary.

And when Manning does decide to go up top, you're going to hear the name Pierre Garcon called upon more often. Wayne will get his, but teams are frustrating him with double-coverage, and that means Manning needs to look for a deep-ball threat. Enter Garcon. I expect him to go deep tonight, and haul in a few big passes.

Look, Indianapolis might not have anything to play for, in terms of seeding and homefield, but there's still some sense of pride out there. There's still the matter of competing against the Saints for being the only undefeated team in the league.

Caldwell or Manning might not say it. Sean Payton or Drew Brees might not say it, but you better believe there's underlying theme for both of these teams. That is 'not' to be the first team to lose this season. And since New Orleans doesn't play until Saturday, I'm thinking we're going to see the Colts send a message to the Saints ... don't think that little mental game doesn't go on. Anyone who disagrees with that theory doesn't understand competition and probably never played sports.

Lay the road chalk, which happens to be a field goal right now, with a rising moneyline attached to it. If in fact the game goes to 3-1/2, then, yes, you'll want to buy that half point down. I don't believe the oddsmakers would make a bold move and open themselves up to be sided in this game, but in the event they do, buy the half point down.