12-19-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Triple Threat Sports

2* Indiana State (-) over Toledo

Toledo' three wins have come against IU-Fort Wayne, Maryland-Baltimore County and D2 Rochester. Do not see any hyphens in Indiana State, and the Sycamores have by far the best defense Toledo has faced this season, and that is saying something since the Rockets are only scoring 61.7 ppg on the year. ISU has road wins (by more than this number) against teams ranked #202 and #146 in our ratings, and now takes on #301 in Toledo, so they should be up to the task. ISU has a big free throw edge (77% to 64%) and is 3-0 ATS as away chalk of this range, so lay the points here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Andre Gomes

2* UTAH Jazz +3.5
1* Utah Jazz (ML)
3* Chicago Bulls Under
2* Washington Wizards
1* Washington Wizards (ML)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Street Rosenthal

*200 Wyoming +10 (CFB)
*200 New Orleans Saints -7.5 (NFL)
*200 Charlotte Bobcats -3 (NBA)

*200 New Jersey Nets +12.5 (NBA)


Trey Scott
*200 Rutgers -2.5 (CFB)
*200 Penn State -24 (CBB)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Teddy Covers

Nba
Bucks

College
Temple
Butler
Portland

cfb
wyoming released early this week

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

SEBASTIAN/SEABASS

50* Wyoming
50* Central Florida
50* Dallas Under

HOOPS
100* CLIPPERS (STEAM)
100* TEXAS
50* NORTHWESTERN
50*MISSOURI ST
50* GEORGETOWN
50* NEW MEXICO
50* ORLANDO MAGIC UNDER
50* SAN ANTONIO SPURS UNDER
50* CHARLOTTE BOBCATS OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Heisman Trophy Club

UNC under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Christian Alexander

Rutgers vs UCF
Pick: Rutgers -3

In the bowl battle between the knights, I'll take the Jersey boys who rallied from a crushing loss to start the season to post eight wins. UCF leans heavily on RB Brynn Harvey but it will be tough to dent a Rutgers defense that’s No. 20 nationally against the run. Meanwhile, the Rutgers offense should be able to punch out enough points to cover this number - but it won't be easy.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Sports Bank

400% Rutgers under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Dave M@linksy

GAME: North Carolina @ Texas Dec 19, 2009 2:00PM SPORT: College Basketball Picks PICK: North Carolina Offered at: 7 WSEX REASON FOR PICK: 4* #729 NORTH CAROLINA over TEXAS

The oddsmakers are giving Rick Barnes and his Longhorns a significant home court advantage in Texas Stadium for a setting that may provide precious little of it. And that leaves excellent value here to take a talented North Carolina team that will be awfully hard to take out of a game, especially given the way that the early-seasons schedule has the Tar Heels far more toughened to this point than the favorite.

First the court. Yes it will be a partisan Longhorn crowd, but this is a three-hour trip to play a “home” game, and the players were not sleeping in their own beds on Friday night. They have never played a game on this court, and we also question the impact of the crowd in such a cavernous setting. Jerry Jones had originally been aiming to sell 75,000 tickets for this game, but after those delusions of grandeur went away they reduced the seating capacity to 46,753, and they expect a crowd of around 35,000. That will not have the impact of what an audience less than half that size would mean in Austin, and it should not bother a Tar Heel team that is accustomed to playing in hostile environments.

This will be the 225th North Carolina game with Roy Williams on the sidelines, and only eight times in that span have the Tar Heels lost by more than seven points in regulation. They have already competed against four teams (Michigan State, Syracuse, Ohio State and Kentucky) that are better than anyone Texas has faced, and while they do bring some issues with their half-court offense against this class of defense, they are going to compete hard for the full 40 minutes, with enough athleticism, size, depth and moxie to be scrambling after every rebound and every loose ball. That makes it difficult for Texas to ever build much of a margin, and even if the Longhorns can the back-door remains open throughout because of their awful 61.6 percent free throw shooting. Yes, they do get Jai Lucas eligible today, but that also brings along chemistry issues, and that is a particular problem today, as they face the culture shock of running into players just as big and as quick as they are for the first time this season.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

RAS
Vir Com over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

spartan | CBB Sides Sat, 12/19/09 - 2:00 PM

triple-dime bet 734 Northwestern -5.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 733 Stanford
Analysis: Well this is only my second Triple Star in basketball to date this fall. We won our first one a few weeks back and I am ready to roll with Northwestern here as they host Stanford. We won a nice game earlier this week with the Wildcats and I am confident they will get the job done here. They are looking to move to 9-1 on the season which would mark their best start since the 93-94 team. Stanford, 5-4 is off a loss at home to Oklahoma State and frankly I thought the Cowboys should have won that game more handily. We all know by now the Wildcats can fill the nets with 3 poŠinters all game long but what also caught my eye is the fact that they do defend well and stay after it. Bill Carmody has himself a very, very talented club and I feel laying 5 points at home is a steal guys. I see the Wildcats winning this thing by a dozen or more. Triple Star Release on Northwestern -5.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

VR NFL steam OVER KC/CLE

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Wunderdog Premium NHL 12/19/2009

Game: Nashville at Calgary (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)
The Flames have been fanning on offense of late and will have to rely on solid "D" and net-minding here. The Flames are struggling to just 15 goals in the last eight, or fewer than two per contest, which means that they must turn up the "D" here at home. That is something which has been a given of late after a win as the Flames are going UNDER to an 11-1-1 after a win, and 18-7-1 on the low side overall in their last 26 games. Historic value is found on the UNDER as well, as the last 11 times these teams collided on the ice the UNDER scores the money in eight of them. I like this one to follow suit, so I will play UNDER the total.

Game: Florida at Carolina (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Carolina -140 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 3.6)
It would have been unthinkable to back this Hurricanes team through the worst period of games in franchise history. They still don't look like a solid team, coming out on the wrong side in eight of their past 11, but a quick look shows that eight of those were played on the road. What they have been able to do is re-establish premier play at home as they have been in the money in five of their last seven. Florida drubbed them last night by a 6-3 count, so they have extra incentive at home where they have been tough of late. The Panthers are a money-burning 20-47 with no days of rest while the Hurricanes are now 72-34 in their last 106 on home ice vs. a team with a losing road mark. The Hurricanes get revenge here.

Game: Minnesota at Ottawa (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Minnesota +100 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 5 -140 (risk 3 to win 2.1)
The Minnesota Wild is a completely different team since the first part of the season. After coming out on the wrong end of 14 of their first 21 games, the Wild has come together and have now come out on the right side of 10 of their last 13 games. The offense has led the way to the improvements as the Wild scored four goals or more just three times in those first 21 games. In their last 13 they have touched five goals on four separate occasions and are now averaging three per game over that same period. The Senators’ fortunes have reversed themselves as they have come out on the right side of just four of their last 11, allowing 38 goals in the process, or 3.5 per game. I like the hot Wild scoring in bunches to win this one, and play OVER as well.

Game: New Jersey at Atlanta (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New Jersey -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Thrashers have been a mediocre team all season, and the Devils bring their "A" game on the road, currently at 11-2-1 through 14 roadies. Aside from a three-game winless stretch, the Devils are showing 21 of 24 turning up on the right side of things. Getting them here at what amounts to be even money is a bargain for sure. They have been even more effective without rest as they have turned in a perfect score - eight straight without a loss! The Thrashers are having trouble skating with the big boys, turning in a 26-58-4 mark in their last 88 on the ice with teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. I’m on the Devils all the way here.

Game: Boston at Toronto (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Bruins have been sluggish over their last three games and hope to get nasty tonight in Toronto. The Leaf's have played crummy hockey all season at home, so this is a good spot for the Bruins to rebound here. With their stellar domination over the Northeast, they now stand at 26-6 in their last 32. The Leafs’ poor performance without rest now stands at 17-35 in their last 52 and that doesn't bode well here vs. a excellent team that is needing a win. The Bruins have completely dominated this Leafs team winning the last seven which includes a perfect march to Toronto where they are 4-0. I'll go with Boston here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Chris Jordan Saturday winner ...
Special Point Spread Note Below

2000? NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - I loved this game when the line came out, and though I’ve seen the heavy money come in on the Saints, I think it’s all justified. There are several contributing factors to this blowout, but what sprung to mind last Sunday night after watching the Cowboys fall to San Diego was the following:

The Saints dismantled and embarrassed the New England Patriots in the Superdome, and I believe the Pats are better than the Pokes. The Cowboys couldn’t do a thing right against the Chargers, and I think the Saints are better than the Bolts. So with the Cowboys having to prepare on a short week, and Saints coach Sean Payton – formerly with the Cowboys – getting to defend a quarterback he helped mold, I think anything less than double digits is a steal tonight.

Look, I know the Saints have barely gotten by lately, squeaking out wins at lowly Washington and in Atlanta, against an always-tough division rival. But look at the Saints’ schedule since mid-November, at which point they were outscoring opponents by an average final of 37.8-21.7, a margin of 16 points.

But since Nov. 15, admittedly, the margin has dropped. Against St. Louis, Tampa, New England, Washington and Atlanta, the average final is 32.6-20, a margin of 12 points per win. Yes, New Orleans’ scoring has been scaled back, as has the margin per win, but now take in consideration the following: over the past 35 days – exactly five weeks – the Saints have played four of those games on the road.

Figure the team has been on the road 12 of those days, arriving two days before each game, and spending the third day playing in St. Louis, Tampa Bay, Washington and Atlanta. So it wasn’t as dominating as you may have expected, but sandwiched between that quartet was the 38-17 shellacking of the Patriots.

That game was at home. Like today’s.

And in case you haven’t been reading the headlines, they’re starting to call Who Dat the new America’s Team. If that’s the case, the Saints need to knock off the age-old America’s Team, and I say they need to do it handedly.

Let’s be real, no matter the season and no matter how good the Cowboys are, it’s always satisfying for an opposing team to annihilate the Pokes. That goes back to when Tex Schramm owned the team – it’s not a Jerry Jones thing. That goes back to when Tom Landry coach; it’s not a Wade Phillips thing, just as it wasn’t a Jimmy Johnson, Barry Switzer, Chan Gailey, Dave Campo or Bill Parcells thing ... you get the point.

So while everyone is making too much out of the Saints’ secondary, and wondering if the mettle of this team has been tested, I’m here to tell you this team is playing to the level of competition and has simply been tired. Defensive coordinator Gregg Williams knows what he’s doing, he knows when to dial up 1-800-B-L-I-T-Z-Q-B, and when not to so he has enough defenders dropping back into coverage. He also knows how to effectively utilize blitzing packages to neutralize the rushing game, something the Cowboys will depend on.

Williams’ unit is going to be fired up, in looking to send a message over to the other undefeated team in the league, making a statement that the Saints are good on both sides of the ball and that Indianapolis better come stronger than Peyton Manning’s heroics.

Start fast and finish strong, that’s been the Saints’ battle cry most of the season, and it should be the tune they sing tonight against a hapless Cowboys team that will finally be put out of its misery.

Who Dat 2,000? winner … the Saints! Enjoy the game.

NOTE: The line has been all over the place the past 24 hours, and for the most part I am seeing the line at 7-1/2 at this point. My suggestion is that you buy the 1/2-point down to 7 points when laying the favorite tonight.

Do I believe the Saints roll in this one? Absolutely! But the fact is that this is such a vulnerable number - the 7-point spread - that the Saints could be up by double digits late, with the game in hand, when coach Sean Payton decides to avoid injury and pulls his starters. Far be it for me to become victim of the backdoor-cover with some garbage-time points and see this game fall right on seven.

Thus, when playing the Saints, my advice to you is bet the best possible line, which at this time happens to be 7 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

YK- Sports *2nd EVER 1000 DIME PICK*


2nd EVER 1000 DIME PRIVATE PLAYER :: New Orleans Saints -8 -110

500 DIME :: Fresno St BullDogs -6.5 (1H PLAY) -110
500 DIME :: UCF Knights +3 -110