12-20-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

VEGAS RUNNER

triple-dime bet 319 CLE / 320 KAN Over 37.0 Bodog
Analysis:

*** NFL 3* "TRUE STEAM" GAME OF THE WEEK ***



These are the kind of "Steam" Bets that I've always loved betting the most...even back when I was just a runner, because they were the ones that were concealed so well...And you really had to have some solid sources to uncover...

And that's the case again with this bet...because the line move looks so insignificant...But I can tell you that nothing could be further from the truth...

This line first went up at 36.5, and within 5 minutes...the books were willing to ta~ke it up to the "Key Number" of 37...

But what we saw as a few days past...was that the books, in anticipation of the public really liking the Under...went ahead and dropped it back to 36.5...And this time, the Wiseguys decided to work the market some...by leaving it alone...

This gave the books plenty of confidence that they would now only have to deal with the Betting Public...So in an effort to give them the "worst of it"...we saw a handful drop their lines even lower...And that's when the Wiseguys decided, it was once again time to Unload...

And with so many more "Outs" offering lines for this weekend's games...the Outfits really went to work and bet the OVER everywhere they could...

In fact, they bet it enough...that even with so much Under money expected by the public come game-day...the books were still willing to take it back to that "Key Total" of 37...Higher than their opener...

Again, these are the "moves" that very few pick up on, without having a solid source...

Fortunately for us, we have plenty of sources who are actually behind a lot of these moves...Which is why we can be sure that the Outfits love the Over...

Finally, I made sure to check the forcast...because we all know that the mention of snow will force a huge adjustment downwards...But it appears that won't be a problem on Sunday...

Don't fear seeing this line drop some on game-day, because we all know that public money outweighs wiseguy money, especially in the NFL...And since it appears that the Outfits got down as much as they wanted on this Under...the books may feel confident enough that they won't look to take another position...and therefore lower the Total, in an attempt to give the public the worst of it...

But rest assured, you and I both...are on the same side that the Betting Syndicates will be rooting for come Sunday...And with enough public money on the Under...we just may have the Books rooting in that Over for us as well...VR

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

DOC SPORTS

4* Southern Miss (cfb)

4 Unit Play. #2 Take Oregon State -2 ½ over BYU

4 Unit Play. #2 Take Jacksonville +3 over Indianapolis

4 Unit Play. #26 Take Tennessee -3 over Miami

4 Unit Play. #34 Take Carolina +9 over Minnesota

4 Unit Play. #38 Take Washington +3 over New York

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

DOC SPORTS

Matchup: M. Tennessee at So. Miss.
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: So. Miss. (-3.5 -110)
Line Source: SPORTSBOOK
Posted on: December 17, 2009 @ 11:51:52 AM EST
7 Unit Play. #36 Take Southern Miss over Middle Tennessee State (New Orleans Bowl Sunday 8:30 pm ESPN) This is almost like a home game for the Golden Eagles, as this will be their second straight trip to the Superdome and their fourth visit in the last six years. This was a team that had high expectations for the season with 19 starters back from 2008. They were competitive this year but did suffer five road losses.

As for the Blue Raiders, they will enter this game hot on a six game winning streak. As you look further into this you will see that they played weak conference teams. QB Dasher is a big time playmaker but I question the talent behind him. The Eagles have experience on defense and look for them to contain QB Dasher. The Eagles have the offense to light-up the scoreboard and I just do not believe that the Blue Raiders will be able to keep pace. Southern Miss 42, MTS 28.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Teddy Covers:

NFL 20* Big Ticket: Kansas City -2 (320)*

NFL San Francisco +8.5 (313)*
NFL Baltimore -11 (318)*
NFL Houston -11 (321)
ANALYSIS: This play is good up to -13.*

NFL Cincinnati +7 (323)

CFB Southern Miss Over 57.5 -110 (206)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Sixth Sense
BEST BETS


3% TENNESSEE -3
3% KANSAS CITY -2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Bob Valentino
Sunday's 25 Dime NFL winner ...
25 DIME: ARIZONA CARDINALS

NOTE: Be sure to jump on this game now, as the pointspread is 13 1/2 in many places but is going up to 14 and will probably close above 14. If your man has 14 1/2, buy the half-point with Arizona and lay no more than 14!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Tim Trushel

20* cincy

Reg plays:

Pitt
over balt
k.city
carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

RANDALL THE HANDLE'S NFL SELECTIONS

THE BEST:


Patriots @ Bills

Line: New England by 7

No more excuses. No more lofty expectations. This Patriots team is nothing more than mediocre these days.. Still, that won’t prevent other teams from gunning for them, especially these Bills after Buffalo let one slip away in season opener. New England has failed miserably on the road this season with just one victory in six tries, that one occurring in Tampa. The Patriots pass defence is weak and even non-passing teams have taken advantage. Buffalo can mix the pass and run enough to keep this one interesting and well within the touchdown being offered.
TAKING: Buffalo +7
RISKING: 2.14 units to win 2 PINNACLE

Buccaneers @ Seahawks

Line: Seattle by 6½

Nothing really changes with the Seahawks. For years, they’ve been solid at home, brutal on the road. This season is no different. Seattle is 4-2 at home, outscoring its opponents 143-89. Outside the state of Washington, the ‘Hawks are a paltry 1-6 and have been outscored by an alarming 212-107. The Buccaneers don’t win anywhere with just one victory in 17 games, dating back to November of last year. There is no reason to anticipate a change here. Seattle does what it usually does by punching out a weakling.

TAKING: Seattle –6½

RISKING: 2.02 units to win 2 PINNACLE



Cardinals @ Lions
Line: Arizona by 12

Call us irresponsible. After all, upon watching the Cardinals dismal performance on Monday night and then asking them to travel and spot prohibitive points, we have to be considered careless. In reality, it’s just the opposite. Had Arizona manhandled the ordinary 49ers like many had assumed, this line may have been in the 14 range. Really, we’re getting a bargain. The Lions are dreadful. Their defence ranks dead last in the league while Detroit’s pass defence also ranks at the very bottom. After Arizona’s embarrassing effort, this is the perfect opponent to right the ship.

TAKING: Arizona –12

RISKING: 2.2 units to win 2 PINNACLE



THE REST:



Cowboys @ Saints

Line: New Orleans by 7

Saints home for only the second time in six weeks and in a Saturday prime time slot, expect another showcase of their vast talent. Dallas has defeated only one winning team thus far and with its suspect secondary, this visit will not aid that total.

TAKING: New Orleans –7



Bears @ Ravens

Line: Baltimore by 10

The Bears are playing like what they are alleged to do in the woods. That said, not willing to trust this Baltimore offence to clobber an opponent for the second straight week. Ravens still have several key guys on sidelines.

TAKING: Chicago +10



Falcons @ Jets

Line: Jets by 3½

Yes, Atlanta has taken a step back this season. Still, prefer battling Falcons to a Jets squad that can handle the pushover teams but has failed against most contenders. Mark Sanchez expected to return to pivot New York, another plus for our choice.

TAKING: Jets -3½



49ers @ Eagles
Line: Philadelphia by 8½

Eagles glad to be home after having just one home game the past five weeks. Philly has climbed atop the NFC East and with Denver and Dallas on deck, this one becomes essential. San Fran’s offence will have difficult time keeping up.

TAKING: Philadelphia –8 ½


Packers @ Steelers

Line: Pittsburgh by 2

With good reason, Steelers supporters are bailing quicker than Tigers Woods’ sponsors. However, this might be an overreaction as Pittsburgh’s season depends on this one and they’ve had 10 days to prepare.

TAKING: Pittsburgh –2



Dolphins @ Titans

Line: Tennessee by 3

Have to take any points being offered in what figures to be a playoff type atmosphere as both need this one desperately. Miami run defence is a stellar unit that can slow down phenom RB Chris Johnson.

TAKING: Miami +3


Browns @ Chiefs

Line: Kansas City by 2

Many will be high on Browns after they knocked off the Steelers but let’s not forget that the Chiefs managed to do the same. Dwayne Bowe returns to lineup for Kansas City and with Jamaal Charles running well, KC offers more than this visitor.

TAKING: Kansas City –2



Texans @ Rams

Line: Houston by 11 ½

Not fond of giving away abundance of points with erratic Texans but facing an already weak Rams squad that keeps losing starters, Houston becomes the prudent choice. Rams have yet to win at home.

TAKING: Houston –11 ½



Bengals @ Chargers

Line: San Diego by 7

Bengals were pounded by Vikings last week but Cincinnati’s defence is a formidable unit that is unlikely to get clobbered again. Cincy’s corners capable of slowing down Chargers potent passing game.

TAKING: Cincinnati +7



Raiders @ Broncos

Line: Denver by 14

Looks like Charlie Frye will take the reins for the Raiders this week and while Frye is a career journeyman, he is a better alternative than JaMarcus Russell. Two touchdown spot is a bit steep in what figures to be low-scoring affair.

TAKING: Oakland +14



Vikings @ Panthers

Line: Minnesota by 9

Panthers have covered five of past seven despite limited production from quarterback position. Minnesota is much more intimidating on its own turf and this will be only its second road game in past seven weeks.

TAKING: Carolina +9



Giants @ Redskins
Line: NY Giants by 3

Redskins could be weary from heavy travel while the Giants have remained in the neighbourhood. G-men have struggled on special teams and pass defence recently but this foe does not provide much adversity in either area.

TAKING: NY Giants –3



Last week's record: 7- 9
Season: 108-99-1

While there is much speculation on whether the Colts will play starters for the majority of their remaining games, we are still comfortable endorsing Indianapolis in this one. Jacksonville has not be particularly good against the pass and even if Peyton Manning is sat down in second half, it will be done with a lead. Colts dominated stats in first meeting but just edged out a 14-12 win. A Manning interception in Jacksonville's end zone and RB Joseph Addai fumbling deep in Jags territory prevented a much larger disparity on the scoreboard. Jacksonville has just three home covers in past 15 as host.

TAKING: Indianapolis –3 (No bets)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Erin Rynning

12/20/09 NFL Detroit +13.5 (312)

12/20/09 NFL Kansas City -2 (320)

12/20/09 NFL Playmaker: Carolina +9 (330)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Chuck O'Brien

SUNDAY'S WINNERS ...

20 DIME - CARDINALS (minus the points vs. Lions)

20 DIME - 49ERS (plus the points vs. Eagles)

20 DIME - SEAHAWKS (minus the points vs. Buccaneers)



Cardinals

BREAKDOWN: How pissed off do you think Kurt Warner and the Cardinals are after that disastrous seven-turnover performance at San Francisco on Monday night? Arizona was held to a season-low nine points, suffered its second-worst loss (24-9) of the season and blew a chance to clinch the NFC West title. Because of all that, you can expect the Cardinals to come out on a mission today at Detroit and put it on the pathetic Lions, who have lost three straight games by scores of 34-12, 23-13 and 48-3 to the Packers, Bengals and Ravens, respectively. Last week’s loss in Baltimore as a two-touchdown underdog was as ugly as it gets, as Detroit got outgained 548-229, giving up 308 rushing yards. Daunte Culpepper played quarterback for the injured Matthew Stafford and was predictably a disaster (16-for-34, 135 yards, two INTs). Good news for the Cardinals’ defense – which is just two weeks removed from picking off Brett Favre twice and holding Adrian Peterson to 19 rushing yards – is Culpepper is getting the starting nod again today. And he won’t have his best RB, as Kevin Smith is out (also, Pro Bowl WR Calvin Johnson continues to nurse an injury). … Last week’s turnover-fest aside, the Cardinals boast one of the most explosive, productive offenses in the league. Conversely, the Lions are dead last in the NFL in scoring defense (31.2 ppg allowed) and total defense (400.5 ypg allowed). And with or without Stafford, Detroit’s offense is awful, averaging barely 16 points and just 297 total yards per game, and they have the second-worst turnover margin (minus-11). … Despite the loss in San Francisco, Arizona is still 13-5 ATS in its last 18 overall and 5-2 SU and ATS on the road this year (6-2 SU and ATS on the road going back to last year’s playoffs), and it has cashed in four straight games after a SU loss and four straight after a non-cover (Arizona hasn’t had back-to-back non-covers all year). Meanwhile, Detroit is 3-9-1 ATS overall, 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight, 3-12 ATS in its last 15 at home and 1-4-1 ATS in its last six as a double-digit underdog



49ers

BREAKDOWN: The 49ers have just one win in six road games – on opening day at Arizona – but they’ve been very competitive in their five road losses, none of which have been by more than six points. In fact, those five losses were by a total of 19 points, including a three-point last-second defeat at Minnesota as a seven-point underdog; a four-point loss at Indianapolis as a 13-point ‘dog; and that six-point setback at Green Bay as a six-point pup. Obviously, the Vikings, Colts and Packers are all playoff teams, as are the Cardinals, whom San Francisco beat twice (including Monday’s 24-9 home rout in which the defense forced seven turnovers) … The 49ers are 8-3-2 ATS on the season, 3-1-2 ATS on the road (only non-cover was a three-point loss at Seattle as a one-point favorite) and 4-0-2 ATS as an underdog. Since last year, the Niners are on an 8-1-2 ATS roll when catching points. … Philadelphia is riding a four-game winning streak (3-1 ATS), but it has failed to cover in its last two home games (four-point loss to Dallas; three-point win over Washington as a 9½-point favorite). … The 49ers’ defense has been stout of late (13.6 ppg last five games), but Philadelphia has given up 31, 20, 24 and 38 points in four of its last five games, including 38 points and 500-plus yards in last week’s game at the Giants. Lastly, the Eagles have just one win of more than seven points in their last six contests, and that was against the Matt Ryan-less Falcons, while six of the 49ers’ last eight games were decided by a TD or less (and the only two that weren’t, San Francisco won outright).


Seahawks

BREAKDOWN: The last time a team from Florida traveled all the way to Seattle, it lost 41-0. That team was the Jacksonville Jaguars, who are a billion times better than the woeful, one-win Buccaneers. In fact, four of Seattle’s five wins this season have come at home, and the Seahawks cashed in all four of those games. One was against the 49ers two weeks ago (20-17 as a one-point underdog), and San Francisco showed on Monday against Arizona that it is a quality team. Seattle’s other three home victories were double-digit routs of the aforementioned Jaguars, plus NFL bottom-feeders Detroit (32-20) and St. Louis (28-0). Well, Tampa Bay certainly qualifies as a bottom-feeder. Not only are the Bucs 1-12 on the season, they’re 1-16 SU (and just 5-12 ATS) going back to last December. Since upsetting Green Bay 38-28 at home after their bye week, the Bucs have lost five in a row, including three double-digit setbacks to New Orleans (38-7 at home), Carolina (16-6 on the road) and the Jets last week (26-3) … Tampa’s offense is a joke, ranking 29th out of 32 teams in points scored (14.6 per game) and 28th in total yards (278.2 ypg). It has scored 17 points or less in eight of its last 11 contests, failing to crack double digits in three of the last four. And the Bucs’ defense isn’t any better, giving up 27.4 ppg (only the Lions and Rams give up more). … With blowout wins over the Rams (twice) and Lions, Seattle has proven that, while it is no longer an elite team, it can dominate inferior competition. It will do so again here with an easy victory as the Seahawks improve on impressive ATS runs of 6-2-1 at home, 5-1 as a favorite, 10-3 as a home favorite and 5-1 against losing teams.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Brett Atkins

Sunday
20 Dime NFL Sunday Night Sure Thing - MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Minnesota has a high-scoring offense and a defense that is throttling the opposition, both bad news items for the Panthers. The Vikings average 29.9 points a game and allow just 18.7. Carolina has scored 17 points or less in each of its last four games and manage just 17.3 points a game. Lay the chalk and play the Vikings tonight as they win thsi one by 17.




10 Dime NFL Power Play - SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

The Chargers are the hottest team in the NFL, winning eight straight and pushing their way to the No. 2 spot in the AFC playoffs. They are getting great play from QB Philip Rivers and they've won 16 straight (11-5 ATS) December games. Cincinnati has too much on its mind to get this one. They got drilled by the Vikings a week ago, had a WR die on Thursday and now have to travel cross-country for this one. Look for San Diego to win this one by 14 at least.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Joel Tyson

SUNDAY'S SELECTIONS
600? - Arizona Cardinals minus the points

Detroit should just throw in the towel, as last week's 48-3 debacle in Baltimore puts them at 2-7 against the spread this season when getting double-digits!

2-7 WITH DOUBLE-DIGITS!!!!

That is almost impossible to believe an NFL team in 2009 can be installed as a double-digit underdog 9 times in 13 games.Arizona is off that horrid Monday night 7 turnover effort at San Francisco, and still hasn't clinched the West Division title yet. Today the Cardinals shred the porous Detroit defense, and come up with the double-digit road win, and cover.




200? - San Francisco 49ers plus the points

Saturday's snow storm has forced this game to be moved back to a 4pm eastern kick-off, and I just get the feeling the Niners will be game today against the Eagles.Philly may get their win, but their downfield burner Desean Jackson will be neutralized by the weather, and it should be noted that San Francisco is on an 8-0-1 against the spread run when getting points under Mike Singletary.This team prefers being the underdog, they seem to thrive with the chip on their shoulder, and nothing to lose.Philly knows that Dallas was a winner last night in New Orleans, so the pressure will be on the Eagles to close this one out, but Philadelphia has failed their last pair of home games against the spread, and they will fail here.


Take the Niners.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

vegas runner

triple-dime bet 319 CLE / 320 KAN Over 37.0 Bodog
Analysis:

*** NFL 3* "TRUE STEAM" GAME OF THE WEEK ***



These are the kind of "Steam" Bets that I've always loved betting the most...even back when I was just a runner, because they were the ones that were concealed so well...And you really had to have some solid sources to uncover...

And that's the case again with this bet...because the line move looks so insignificant...But I can tell you that nothing could be further from the truth...

This line first went up at 36.5, and within 5 minutes...the books were willing to ta~ke it up to the "Key Number" of 37...

But what we saw as a few days past...was that the books, in anticipation of the public really liking the Under...went ahead and dropped it back to 36.5...And this time, the Wiseguys decided to work the market some...by leaving it alone...

This gave the books plenty of confidence that they would now only have to deal with the Betting Public...So in an effort to give them the "worst of it"...we saw a handful drop their lines even lower...And that's when the Wiseguys decided, it was once again time to Unload...

And with so many more "Outs" offering lines for this weekend's games...the Outfits really went to work and bet the OVER everywhere they could...

In fact, they bet it enough...that even with so much Under money expected by the public come game-day...the books were still willing to take it back to that "Key Total" of 37...Higher than their opener...

Again, these are the "moves" that very few pick up on, without having a solid source...

Fortunately for us, we have plenty of sources who are actually behind a lot of these moves...Which is why we can be sure that the Outfits love the Over...

Finally, I made sure to check the forcast...because we all know that the mention of snow will force a huge adjustment downwards...But it appears that won't be a problem on Sunday...

Don't fear seeing this line drop some on game-day, because we all know that public money outweighs wiseguy money, especially in the NFL...And since it appears that the Outfits got down as much as they wanted on this Under...the books may feel confident enough that they won't look to take another position...and therefore lower the Total, in an attempt to give the public the worst of it...

But rest assured, you and I both...are on the same side that the Betting Syndicates will be rooting for come Sunday...And with enough public money on the Under...we just may have the Books rooting in that Over for us as well...VR

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-20-09

Pete Angelo

Sunday's Winner ...
600? N.Y. JETS -

Have you seen the snowstorm back East? Crazy white everywhere, and I haven't said that since attending a Playboy party at the Palms Hotel during Super Bowl weekend last season - and I'm not talking about snow! You're telling me a dome-based football team is going to head Northeast to play in brutal weather with a makshift lineup? I'll lay the chalk with pleasure. Look for the Jets' defense and its ground game to be called upon heavily in this one.I've been impressed by Jets cornerback Darrelle Revis the entire season, as he's made life miserable for the likes of Randy Moss, Terrell Owens, the Saints' receiving corps and Andre Johnson. He's a neutralizer, and if Chris Redman starts at quarterback for Atlanta, Revis' task gets easier. The weather is in the home team's favor in the trenches as well, so look for blitz-happy Rex Ryan to haunt whomever is under center.
The weather will play an even bigger impact on whether or not Michael Turner, the Falcons' running back, will start, as he is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. If Turner or quarterback Matt Ryan misses this game, the Jets have no excuse for missing out on an easy blowout.The playoffs are a stretch to think about, but as long as you're still in it, you play like it. And I expect to see one of the Jets' better games today