Re: 12-23-09
GoodFella
FRESNO STATE +6.5
This is really quite a bit of points for this Oregon St. ballclub to be laying here IMO....Fresno St. will be out for a little revenge from last years loss to the Beavs- as Oregon St. won 62-54. Fresno St. has some excellent 3 pt shooters and they knock down 3-balls at 36% opposed to Oregon St. 29%...Fresno St. also has a +4 rebounding margin over the favored Beavs tonight...Fresno St . also does a better job of taking care of the ball, as they commit less turnovers per game then the Beavs do. I really think if Fresno St. can knock down their open 3 pointers tonight (like they have been recently) this game is flat out a coin flip- and I see great value with the +6.5 pts here. Here are a couple trends as well; Fresno St. is 5-1 ATS L/6 road games vs a team with a winning home record...Oregon St. is 2-8 ATS L/10 games as a home favorite. Bottomline for me here- I really see some strong value on Fresno St. the pts in this spot tonight- & I think Fresno St. could get this game outright. Take the pts with Fresno St. tonight guys.
GoodFella
FRESNO STATE +6.5
This is really quite a bit of points for this Oregon St. ballclub to be laying here IMO....Fresno St. will be out for a little revenge from last years loss to the Beavs- as Oregon St. won 62-54. Fresno St. has some excellent 3 pt shooters and they knock down 3-balls at 36% opposed to Oregon St. 29%...Fresno St. also has a +4 rebounding margin over the favored Beavs tonight...Fresno St . also does a better job of taking care of the ball, as they commit less turnovers per game then the Beavs do. I really think if Fresno St. can knock down their open 3 pointers tonight (like they have been recently) this game is flat out a coin flip- and I see great value with the +6.5 pts here. Here are a couple trends as well; Fresno St. is 5-1 ATS L/6 road games vs a team with a winning home record...Oregon St. is 2-8 ATS L/10 games as a home favorite. Bottomline for me here- I really see some strong value on Fresno St. the pts in this spot tonight- & I think Fresno St. could get this game outright. Take the pts with Fresno St. tonight guys.
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