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Re: 12-31-09
i have dave cokin game of year, do I post it here?
i have dave cokin game of year, do I post it here?
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Re: 12-31-09
game of year Dave Cokin
Take " (233) AIR FORCE "
I was hoping these two teams would match up in a bowl game, as I was looking for one more chance to fade Houston in the right spot and I believe this is it. The Cougars are an exciting team and there's no doubt they have an imposing aerial attack that can score on anyone. But Houston is still a badly flawed squad as they are absolutely porous defensively and their total inability to stop any decent running game has caused them big problems down the stretch this season. That sets Air Force and its option game up for a big day, and that also likely means less time on the field for the Houston offense as the Falcons should be able to put together time consuming and productive drives against Houston. That's just the fundamental setup for this game. There are several other variables worth mentioning. You'll rarely see a bowl team that allows in excess of 200 rushing yards per game as Houston does. Those teams make poor bowl favorites, and it gets even more lopsided when the opponent rushes for better than 200 ypg as Air Force does. It's a revenge game for the Falcons as they lost a close decision to Houston in a 2008 bowl game. Plus, Houston is now favored in a bowl after losing their conference title game as chalk, and teams in that scenario have definitely been worth fading. I see this as a great spot for the underdog, and I'm eagerly grabbing the points with Air Force for my Bowl Game of the Year!
eComment
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Re: 12-31-09
MREAST NCAAB THURSDAY BLAST
Golden Panthers have just 4 wins to show for 15 games on the season, but have played 11 on the road, including the last 7. The win column remains thin, but closer look shows they are playing better than the oddsmakers expect, as theyhave covered each of their last 5. They finally get a team at home they can matchup with. Jags off of impressive road win at Florida, likely to be flat as a pancake for this one, and despite of it, are just 3-8 ATS on the season, and have not worn the favorite hat well, at just 6-20 ATS, and also 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs a tam with a losing record. I'll go with Florida International here.
#513 SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS @ #514 FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS 12PM EST
PLAY ON #514 FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS +4 -110 FOR 3 UNITSComment
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Re: 12-31-09
TONY GEORGE
Mizzou -6.5
Big number but Missouri after early season setbacks, came on strong and have not lost since QB Gabberts ankle healed. Not sold on Navy or a weak Schedule or season ending wins against Notre Dame and or Army. Navy is one dimensional with running the ball and Mizzou a…nd LB Witherspoon adept at stopping the run allowing less than 3 yards per carry in the tough Big 12. Mizzou gets up early with quick strike offense, and a decent running game with a well oiled spread attack unlike any Navy has seen all year, and Navy cannot play from behind with just 75 yards passing through the air. Mizzou better than their record shows, and QB Gabbert 23 TDs against 7 picks through the air…Mizzou pulls away late, 10-13 point winner. Mizzou is up for this game.
Play 1 Unit on Mizzou
Houston -4.5
Have to go with a… team who averages 14 ppg more than Air Force. QB Keenum is the real deal with 5400 yds passing , 43 TDs and only p picks all year. Resp[ect Air Force attack but Houston playing in Ft. Worth in this game, lots of fans there, and Air Force has not seen an offense resembling this all year. Neither defense very good so you look at the offenses and the QB and see which one is better, and that is all Houston, who is not happy losing to East Carolina in the Conf. USA Championship and want to make a showing here. They are 7-10 points better..line under a TD, I am taking it.
Play 1 Unit on Houston
UNDER 48.5 Iowa State / Minnesota
Both teams in their last 5 games allowed just 16 ppg on defense. Minnys deep threat WR Decker out with injury, a huge blow for them stretching the field vertically. ISU can play defense and both teams will eat clock with their controlled and balances offense’s. I do not see a shootou…t here at all. 20-16 type ballgame. Neither team allows much on the ground and Minny cannot run it so expect ISU to tee off on the QB..lots of 3 and outs on both sides of the ball.
Play 1 Unit on the UNDERComment
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Re: 12-31-09
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
NAVY +6.5
The nation’s fourth-best rushing offense has guided Navy to its most victories in three seasons.
Navy averages 272.5 yards on the ground via an option offense led by talented junior quarterback Ricky Dobbs; Dobbs, who’s rushed for 1,037 yards, set an NCAA single-season record for rushing TD's by a quarterback with 24 after scoring once in a 17-3 win over rival Army on Dec. 12.
The Midshipmen are 8-2 SU their last ten overall.
On the other side of the field: Trying for a third consecutive bowl victory, the Tigers hoped to be headed to a more prestigious postseason destination after starting 4-0. Three straight defeats to ranked teams Nebraska, Oklahoma State and Texas during a stretch of four losses in five games, however, ended their chances of a Big 12 North Division title and BCS bowl bid.
With the nation’s 13th-ranked passing offense (285.0 yards per game), Missouri averaged 36.2 points while winning four of five after being held to 36 total points during its three-game losing streak.
Remember though, Missouri is a poor 2-6 ATS its last eight overall.
Bottom line: Despite his individual record-breaking season, Dobbs is more concerned with the success of the Midshipman, who haven’t had a 10-win season since 2004.
“Team success is the most important record,” said Dobbs, who’s averaging 110.5 rushing yards in his last four games. “This record belongs to the offensive line and the fullbacks that block.”
With a "mind set" like that, and behind a big running game, look for NAVY to improve to 4-1 ATS this season when playing the roll of underdog and for Missouri to fall to 3-5 ATS when playing the roll of favorite!
*8* NAVY.Comment
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Re: 12-31-09
Evan Altemus
IOWA STATE +2.5
Minnesota will be without star wide receiver Eric Decker for this game, which is a huge blow to the Gophers offense. They struggled late in the season without him in the line-up, as they don’t have many weapons on offense. The motivational edge in this game is clearly on the side of Iowa State in this game. They haven’t been to a bowl game in several years, so they will be very fired up to play against Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Gophers have been to a few bowls recently, so they won’t be as motivated to play in this game. Iowa State had to deal with injuries throughout the season, including to their starting quarterback, which effected how well the offense could have performed. Therefore, I feel that the Cyclones are slightly undervalued here. Minnesota’s offense has been fairly anemic at times this season, but their defensive statistics have been fairly decent. However, those good statistics came against some very weak offenses in the Big 10 Conference. Iowa State’s poor defensive statistics are slightly misleading because of the potent offenses they have had to face this season. Iowa State will win this game comfortably with their edges in motivation and match-ups.
5 UNIT SELECTION IOWA STATE.Comment
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Re: 12-31-09
Bob Balfe
IOWA STATE +2.5
The Gophers got a new stadium this year and things look promising for this offense. Senior QB Adam Weber has not had a good year and ever since they lost Decker the offense has done nothing. This team almost lost to South Dakota State at home in their new multi million dollar stadium just weeks ago. I cant say great things about Iowa State either and these teams are evenly matched. The edge has to go to the dog who is better in the turnover department and actually had a big win due to that winning in Lincoln against a very good Nebraska team. Take Iowa State.Comment
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