12-31-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Rocketman

IDAHO STATE +2

Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5. Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Idaho State is 3-2 SU and ATS overall vs Montana the past 3 years. Montana is 12-22 SU on the road the past 3 years while Idaho State is 21-10 SU at home the past 3 seasons. We'll play Idaho State for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Lenny Del Genio

NAVY +6.5

The Midshipmen are always a safe bet in the underdog role, going 71-44 ATS when taking points dating all the way back to 1992. If you remember back, we played the Middies in the season opener, a near upset of Ohio State as 22-point pups. They were unable to cover an eight-point spread at Pittsburgh two weeks later, the best opponent they faced all year, but the next two times they were taking points, they won outright both times, taking out Wake Forest and Notre Dame. Navy has been very competitive in bowl games of late, going 4-1 ATS. This will be their sixth straight bowl appearance overall and as we always note many of the service academies are comprised of players from the Lone Star State, making this setting ideal. In fact, 29 players on the Navy roster hail from Texas. QB Ricky Dobbs and the Navy offense should be able to gain yards here, almost at will, against a Mizzou defense that is nothing special and did not see anything even remotely approaching the triple option during the regular season. Dobbs, who ran for 1,037 yards during the regular season, set the NCAA record for rushing TD's by a QB during the regular season with 24. As mentioned before, the Tigers defense is nothing special having allowed 40 points to Baylor and 39 points to Kansas. The team covered only four games all season (underdog or favorite of -3 or less in three of those games) and were absolutely waxed by the big boys of the Big 12 this season, losing by a combined 65 points to Texas, Nebraska and Oklahoma State. Remember that the Big 12 was in a down year. This line does not properly reflect the minimal talent disparity between these schools. Navy is our CFB Afternoon **UNDERDOG** Winner.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Lenny Del Genio

NAVY +6.5

The Midshipmen are always a safe bet in the underdog role, going 71-44 ATS when taking points dating all the way back to 1992. If you remember back, we played the Middies in the season opener, a near upset of Ohio State as 22-point pups. They were unable to cover an eight-point spread at Pittsburgh two weeks later, the best opponent they faced all year, but the next two times they were taking points, they won outright both times, taking out Wake Forest and Notre Dame. Navy has been very competitive in bowl games of late, going 4-1 ATS. This will be their sixth straight bowl appearance overall and as we always note many of the service academies are comprised of players from the Lone Star State, making this setting ideal. In fact, 29 players on the Navy roster hail from Texas. QB Ricky Dobbs and the Navy offense should be able to gain yards here, almost at will, against a Mizzou defense that is nothing special and did not see anything even remotely approaching the triple option during the regular season. Dobbs, who ran for 1,037 yards during the regular season, set the NCAA record for rushing TD's by a QB during the regular season with 24. As mentioned before, the Tigers defense is nothing special having allowed 40 points to Baylor and 39 points to Kansas. The team covered only four games all season (underdog or favorite of -3 or less in three of those games) and were absolutely waxed by the big boys of the Big 12 this season, losing by a combined 65 points to Texas, Nebraska and Oklahoma State. Remember that the Big 12 was in a down year. This line does not properly reflect the minimal talent disparity between these schools. Navy is our CFB Afternoon **UNDERDOG** Winner.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Andre Gomes

Bulls/Pistons OVER 184

The Public perception for this game will put them certainly pounding the Over, however they are right on this one and so, I expect the line to go up. Therefore I want to take the opening line in here and I advice you to bet on it as soon as possible.

In this contest, we have a line of 184 total points and if we take in account what both offenses are doing the whole season, I tend to agree that this is the right number. However in my opinion both teams are improving on the offensive end and we can expect this to be reflected on the court today.

We all know that the Bulls offense has been terrible this season, as they are scoring only 91.5 points per game – good for the second worst mark in the league and shooting just 43.1 % from the field – 4th worst NBA mark. However with the return of Tyrus Thomas, the Bulls are playing better and they have especially changed their style. With Thomas on court, the Bulls are now quicker and more explosive in their offensive transitions. Note that against the Hornets and the Pacers, the Bulls shot 46.2% and 52.8% from the field – numbers above their season average, but they have also scored 54 points in the paint against the Hornets, when their season average is 38.1 and scored 26 fast break points in both contests, while also they connecting 6-10 behind the arc against the Pacers, when they are just averaging 31.3% from behind the arc. It might look strange, but their 104 points scored on their last game was a season high for them and so, this is a clear prove that the Bulls offense are gradually being more effective.

Meanwhile, the Pistons are still adjusting to the return of some key players. I confess that I had a lean on them in their last game against the Knicks, but I couldn’t pull the trigger because I predicted that Prince, Rip or Gordon would be rusty. That happened mainly with Hamilton, as he shot 5-21 from the field, however note that the Pistons have scored 19 fast break points in a clear attempt to push up the pace. Today’s game will be the third game for them after the return of their key players and in my opinion, there are good reasons to believe that they will perform better offensively today.

These two teams have already faced each other this season, with the Bulls winning at home by 92-85, however in that game Richard Hamilton, Tayshaun Prince, Charlie Villanueva, Tyrus Thomas and Kirk Hinrich did not play that game and it wasn’t surprising that the game turned out to be a low scoring game. I don’t expect the same to happen today and that’s why I’m taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Over 184

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

ATS Totals

4 AF over 63
3 Minn under 48.5

Hoops
6 USC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

PREFERRED PICKS
4 NAVY
3 air force
3 stanford
3 tennessee

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Fairway Jay
20* Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Teddy Covers
Stanford +10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Trushel
Stanford +10
Tennessee +6

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

charlie
ncaaf. navy+6', ncaaf. iowa st vs minnesota over 48' & tennessee vs va tech under 49. (500* triple play 2 of 3 must win or next day is free).
ncaaf. stanford+10 (30*)
ncaaf. va tech-5' (20*)
ncaaf. air force+5 (20*)
ncaaf. minnesot-2' (10*)
ncaaf. dallas-1 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

RAS..Fla Int+4..Troy-3

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Tony Weston THURSDAY'S PLAYS 25 Dime Stanford
5 Dime Minnesota


Stanford vs. Oklahoma
STANFORD - One of the big surprises out of the Pac 10 the Stanford Cardinal looked good in their biggest games, destroying USC 55-21 as a 10 1/2 point underdog, beating up Pac 10 champion Oregon 51-42 as a 6 1/2 point underdog, then closing the season with a 45-38 victory over Notre Dame.

Now, playing in the Sun Bowl the Cardinal will flirt with the outright victory and definitely cover as about a10-point underdog against Oklahoma.

Coming into this game Stanford has gone 4-1 SU its last 5 games, going 3-2 ATS in that stretch.

Now the Cardinal battle an Oklahoma team that’s covered in just 3 of its last 9 games overall and has gone 1-5 ATS away from home this year.

Also, coming into this game the Sooners have been horrible in the postseason, going just 1-5 ATS their last 6 bowl games and covering in just 1 of their last 6 bowl games in which they were installed as a favorite.

They’ll fail to cover again in this one as the Cardinal flirt with the outright victory.



Iowa State vs. Minnesota
MINNESOTA - Coming into tonight’s Insight.com Bowl, Minnesota has covered in 3 of its last 4 games and is on a 4-1 ATS run when installed as a favorite of between 1/2 and 3 points.

The Gophers have also covered in 4 of their last 5 games when coming off a SU loss.

Iowa State, on the other hand, has covered in just 1 of its last 5 games on Thursday and has failed to cover in 4 straight games when catching between 1/2 and 3 points.

It’ll be another tough one for the Cyclones as Minnesota gets over and covers in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Ethan Law

3% OK
2% Navy OVER
1% Tenn

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Marco's early play.
Analysis:
PLAY: AIR FORCE
RATING: SINGLE DIME PLAY

No question Houston can score but can they stop anyone? Houston lost their Conference Championship Game or they would have been playing in the Liberty Bowl. My feeling is Houston really isn't that happy to be here so I must back what I feel is a very live dog in the Air Force. I look for Air Force to be able to run the ball against this Houston offense. Houston can't score ižf the offense is on the sidelines watching the Air Force rushing attack chew up yards and clock. Mild Upset here. TAKE AIR FORCE as MARCO'S EARLY BOWL BEST BET.

Marco Rated this Play a 3* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-31-09

Steve merril

4* air force
4* tennessee
3* navy
3* iowa state over