1-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Doc's College Basketball

5 Unit Play. #712 Take Wisconsin -4 ½ over Penn State (2 pm Big 10 Network) This was going to be our Big 10 GOY if the line was three or less but Penn State has been playing poorly of late and Wisconsin’s victory over Ohio State really impressed the odds makers for today’s game. The Badgers have beaten the Lions 10 consecutive times with the average margin of victory averaging 20.2 points per game. This includes winning five straight games at Bryce Jordan Center.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Bengals/Jets UNDER 35.5

For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the "under" in this matchup:

Cincinnati wrapped up its first division title since 2005 after struggling past Kansas City 17-10 last Sunday, capping what was an emotionally draining week following the Dec. 17 death of wide receiver Chris Henry.

The Bengals need a victory and have New England to lose to Houston to claim the No. 3 seed, but a loss to the Jets would create a rematch between the teams in Cincinnati next week.

Cincinnati has totaled 305 points - the fewest among the seven teams to clinch division titles. The Bengals have failed to score more than 24 in any of their last eight games.

Despite having to go with a patchwork defense over the past couple weeks, defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer is expecting better of his unit, especially with the stakes becoming bigger.

"We can't play like that and win anything in the playoffs," Zimmer said of last week's game. "We made too many mistakes all over. We're better than that. We had guys playing pass and it was run and run when it was pass."

When defensive end Antwan Odom went down, Jonathan Fanene stepped in and has six sacks. Strong safety Chinedum Ndukwe reclaimed his starting spot after Roy Williams was injured and is third on the team in tackles, including an interception last week.

Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of Cincinnati's last five overall and in five of their last seven vs. New York.

On the other side of the field: If the Jets win; they're in; simple as that.

Last week New York scored 19 unanswered points after the Colts - assured of the AFC’s No. 1 seed heading into the game - pulled their starters late in the third quarter.

The Jets are 4-2 when Mark Sanchez does not throw an INT, and since he is backed by the league’s best rushing offense at 166.6 yards per game, offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer likely will devise a gameplan similar to the one employed last Sunday; running backs Thomas Jones and Shonn Greene gashed the Colts for 200 yards on the ground.

New York’s defense, which leads the NFL in scoring defense at 15.7 points per game, has conceded just 47 in winning four of five.

Remember, the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of New York's last five overall and in four of their last five when playing at home vs. Cincinnati.

Bottom line: Heading into the playoffs Zimmer would like to see an improved pass rush; the Bengals have three sacks in the last two games, but all of those were on blitzes. Zimmer has liked the matchups the last couple weeks, but the Bengals have not done a good job of manufacturing sacks; expect a concerted effort on the defensive side of the ball from the Bengals in this one, especially when the offensive starters (almost certainly), sit in the second half.

Here is another powerful "under" trend that both teams have exhibited over the last three seasons; both have seen the total go "under" the posted number in nine of eleven games in the last four weeks of their respective regular seasons.

So, keeping those powerful trends in mind, and when taking into account these other strong O/U trends and these other factors, the sharp money in this one is on the UNDER!

*10* UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Lenny Del Genio

Cincinnati +9.5

Yes, we are aware that by the time kickoff roles around, the Bengals may have nothing to play for. And, yes, we are also aware that the Jets have everything to play for being that they are in a "win and in" playoff situation. However, New York doesn't deserve to be favored by this many points against anybody, let alone a quality team like Cincinnati. At home, the Flyboys are just 3-4 SU/ATS, including losses to Buffalo and Atlanta when it mattered most, while turning the ball over 19 times in those seven games. QB Mark Sanchez has a TD-INT ratio of 12-20 and with a top-flight defense, HC Rex Ryan isn't going to let Sanchez go out there and try to win the game, or even worse, lose the game for his team. Having played his college ball at USC, Sanchez isn't used to playing in cold conditions. The Jets have lost outright four times as a favorite this season, once laying nine and once laying 6.5. Even with potential reserves in the game, Cincinnati won't deviate from the script. This is a team that runs the ball and plays defense, mirroring the style that brought so much success to fellow AFC North teams Pittsburgh and Baltimore. We've already seen backup RB Larry Johnson have a big game or two since coming over from KC. Even more important is that we've really had our finger on the pulse of this team all season. They are 7-1 ATS as an underdog, winning six of those games outright. We've cashed them going against Pittsburgh and Baltimore early in the season. They are 0-7 ATS when laying points and we've gone against them in non-covers vs. Houston (outright loss), Oakland (outright loss), Cleveland and last week vs. Kansas City. They have only lost two games by more than five points this season and with a defense that allows just 16.9 PPG, they are the play here plus the points. Cincinnati is our 20* Sunday Night Game of the Month.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Evan Altemus

CLEVELAND BROWNS -1.5

The motivational edge in this game is completely on the side of Cleveland in this game. Every player is likely playing for their job for the last time, as newly hired General Manager Mike Holmgren is deciding who to keep heading into next year. Meanwhile, Jacksonville suffered a bad loss last week to New England when their playoff hopes were on the line. As a result, they have nothing to play for in this game. To make matters worse, this southern, warm weather, team has to travel to Cleveland where the temperatures are expected to be very cold. Derek Anderson will get the start for the Browns, but it won’t matter because they will pound the ball on the ground against a Jaguars rush defense that has become very porous recently. Look for the Browns to continue their recent momentum and completely dominate the Jaguars.

4 UNIT SELECTION BROWNS.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Bob Balfe

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +6

Seattle is a great home team while the Titans have struggled on the road. Tennessee did awesome by making a comeback starting the season 0-6. Seattle is a tough place to play and the 12th man really is a factor as teams have so much trouble just even getting a snap off there due to the noise. Look for the Seahawks to close the year out with a big home win. Take Seattle.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Ron Raymond

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +9

When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a Road team - During Week 16 to 20 - Coming off vs American Conference opponent - Coming off a Home win; The Patriots are 9-2-0 ATS in this situation.

Many of the coaches will rest their players, but other coaches like Bill Belichick play to win. The Patriots are 10-2 SU during Week 17 and 9-3-0 ATS during the last game of the season. Take New England +9.0 this week.

When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS Played as a Underdog - With SU Record of 3 Win 0 Lost in L3G; the Patriots are 12-4-2 ATS in this spot since 1983.

Take New England.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

VR bookie bet
318 NYJ -9.5 (-110) BetUS vs 317 CIN
Analysis: Ã*** NFL SNF 3* "BOOKIE BET" *** (Confirmed "BIG SLICK" Bet...from Bookie Bill)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

GameTime SportsAdvisors/Sean Higgs

These guys are HOT
7-1 yesterday , 12-1 last 2 days
i'm riding the wave!!

Last 7 Days' Results
• All Leagues 29-5-1 (86% for +$2379)
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• NFL 2009 6-0 (100% for +$604)




Play Title 10* MIAMI
Play Selected Point Spread: 3/-105
10* Miami - Have you heard the Steelers talking all week no one wants to play them if they get in and teams are going to lay down so they don't get in? But don't they have to win the game first? Miami hasn't beat Pitt in Over 10 years. While Miami still has hope of making the playoffs, its a long shot. Hopefully Ricky Williams can be effective. Miami started 0-3 and can finish strong. Miami can officially send the Steelers packing before those teams play at 4, and will. Steelers are also banged up and the Miami front 7 should be able to pressure big Ben.



Play Title 5* GIANTS
Play Selected Point Spread: 9/-115
5* Giants - Did you ever see a team look so bad last week, especially since their playoff hopes were hanging on a thread. Well now they can do some damage and redeem themselves, by beating Minny there is a chance they will lose their first round bye. If the Giants don't play well again their character will come into question. So we see them showing, and Minny has a little turmoil they are trying to deal with right now. Grab the points.



Play Title 4* Houston Cougars
Play Selected Point Spread: 6.5/-106
Taking the Cougars on the road. Normally I side with the better defensive club. But this Iowa State club just plods along, and I don't think they have enough offensive weapons to win this game, forget the cover. Houston has a two guard tandem of Aubrey Coleman (25ppg) and Kelvin Lewis (18ppg) who can single handedly outscore this Cyclones bunch. 4* HOUSTON COUGARS


Play Title 10* UTEP MINERS
Play Selected Point Spread: 1/-116
Taking the Miners here. I like this UTEP team. They are a balanced bunch. They play real solid D, force turnovers and rebound like champs. Plenty of scoring options with clear edges of the Red Raiders. 10* UTEP MINERS
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos (NFL) - 4:15 PM EST Kansas City


Play Title 4* KC CHIEFS
Play Selected Point Spread: 10/-110
4* K.C. - Nothing like having internal conflict heading into week 17 after starting 6-0 and now sitting at 8-6. Well the Broncos need this game and a little help to get in. K.C. hasn't forgotten the 44-13 beating they just took 4 weeks ago at the hands of Denver. K.C. will go all out.


Play Title 4* COWBOYS
Play Selected Point Spread: -3/102
4* Dallas - We are going Dallas here. We think this is the most confident this bunch has been in in years. The running game is really clicking, Romo has kept the turnovers down this Dec, and Dallas showed no signs of letting down after beating N.O. Its going to be a typical NFC battle. We'll take Dallas as they won't have a repeat performance of last year in week 17.


Play Title 4* RAIDERS
Play Selected Point Spread: 10.5/-108
4* Raiders - Can the Raiders do it again? Knock off another playoff team? We don't see it, but there is a chance and we think they will play well. The Raiders play their worst off a win, so 2 weeks ago they won then lost to Clev last week, so we expect the better team to show. Balt is good, but may press a little with the pressure on, and Flacco is only in his second year. Look for a tight game.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

ASA NFL GOY

Under 47 Phil/Dal.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Game Day:

NFL
2* Philadelphia
2* Chicago
2* Pittsburgh

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

vr 4* cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

RAS

El Paso was released at +1'.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Chris Jordan

3-0 Sunday Sweep ...




300? WISCONSIN BADGERS - The

Badgers have made it part of the norm, when it comes to defeating the Nittany Lions. The 23rd-ranked Badgers have won five straight road games against the Nittany Lions by double digits, and should have no trouble extending their overall win streak in the series to 11 this afternoon. I have been thoroughly impressed with how well this defense has been playing, and that's going to spell trouble for a Penn State team that traditionally struggles against that tenacious unit.



Wisconsin has held the Nittany Lions to an average of 50.8 points in winning 10 straight in the series, and has won five in a row on the road by an average of a staggering 18.8 points. Currently, Wisconsin ranks among the nation's top 15 defensively, allowing a mere 57.2 points per game, and is en route to a fourth straight season allowing fewer than 60.0. Though the Lions are on an impressive 4-1 run against ranked opponents, Wisconsin has won its last five conference road openers.



300? SAN DIEGO CHARGERS - He's not going to play the entire game, I know this, but for the time Philip Rivers is in the game, it's going to be showtime! Over the last five games, Rivers has shown why he belongs in the same conversation as all the other top-rated quarterbacks, as he's thrown for more than 300 yards three times and never less than 264 yards. In that span he has completed at least 72 percent of his passes three times and thrown for 10 touchdowns.



Wasn't too long ago the Redskins were once the top-ranked pass defense in the league, but they've been picked apart by NFC East quarterbacks the last two weeks, and by the looks of their body language, I don't believe they're going to be up for a trip to the West coast. If anything, they're enjoying warmer weather - but they don't want to play football.



And since a major reason for San Diego's success has been effective pass protection - the Chargers have allowed just 25 sacks, sixth best in the NFL - I don't care if it is Rivers or Billy Volek. Plus, Washington's secondary is vulnerable without its top safeties ... this is going to be a nasty blowout no matter who plays for the Bolts.



300? WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS - There were hundreds of basketball players who suited up for the late Skip Prosser during his 35-year coaching career. But only four remain, and they'll be on the court today when Wake Forest hosts Xavier at Joel Coliseum. L.D. Williams, Ish Smith, David Weaver and Chas McFarland - all seniors for Wake Forest - will do everything to honor Prosser in the inaugural game of a 10-game series entitled the Skip Prosser Classic.



After all, next season, when these two teams play again in Cincinnati, no longer will there be any Prosser disciples remaining. For those unaware, Prosser was head coach at Xavier from the 1994-95 season through the 2000-01 season, and head coach at Wake Forest from the 2001-02 season until his death on July 26, 2007. So this will always be a special game.



And right now, I like the way Wake is playing much more than how Xavier has performed. This is cheap chalk guys, and with heavy hearts, the Deacons prevail!!!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

VR
3* Miami +3.5
2* GB U 44
2*Houston -6.5
4* Dallas -2.5
3* Jets -9.5 Slick Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-3-10

Teddy Covers

cbb
Bradley

Nba
Mavs/Lakes under