1-9-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Andrew Bucciarelli
Friday 2-2 (+0.68 units)
Current RUN 50-27 (+35.52 Units)

Florida Panthers (+134) at Ottawa Senators (-145) – (2**)
This is the second of four meetings as the road team has won four of the last five matchups. After their fifth loss in seven games, Panthers coach Peter DeBoer was in a sour mood on Wednesday morning when he put his team through a physical workout. Ottawa is still without Spezza (right knee, out until early March) and Alfredsson. The Panthers have scored 120 goals entering Saturday's clash with the Senators -- 14th in the League.
Take FLORIDA.

Tampa Bay Lightning (+191) at Philadelphia Flyers (-209) – (2**)
This is the third meeting between the teams. The Flyers won the first two games. The Flyers could move into eighth place in the Eastern Conference if they win and the Devils win in Montreal Saturday night. Flyers rookie left wing James van Riemsdyk has three goals in two games and six points in three games. Leighton is 6-0-1 with a 2.22 goals-against average as the Flyers' starter. Richards has scored in three straight games. Carter has seven points in five games. … Lightning center Vincent Lecavalier has 13 points in 10 games. St. Louis has 11 points in the past eight games. With five power-play goals in two games, the Flyers moved back into second place with a 23.4 percent success rate. Great night for the rookie watch: Van Riemsdyk is tied for second among NHL rookies with 16 assists and tied for fourth with 10 goals. Look for a big from the rookie of the Flyers.
Take PHILADELPHIA.

New York Rangers (+125) at Boston Bruins (-135) – (2**)
This is the third of four meetings between the teams, but the first visit for the Rangers to TD Garden. While the Rangers have earned at least one point in 10 of their last 11 games, the Bruins will be out for revenge after a tough 3-2 loss in New York on Monday. For New York, Lundqvist has allowed two goals or fewer in 13 of his past 16 games. Pesky winger Sean Avery tied a career-high with four points on Wednesday against Dallas. Newcomer Erik Christensen has five points in his past five games while forward Ales Kotalik has 2 goals in the past three games. One thing is certain for the surging Rangers, Henrik Lundqvist will be rested.
Take NEW YORK.

New Jersey Devils (-125) at Montreal Canadiens (+115) – (1*)
Second of four meetings this season. Patrik Elias scored with 2:36 left in the third period and New Jersey claimed a 2-1 win on home ice Dec. 16. Martin Brodeur returns to play in Montreal for the first time since he dramatically tied Patrick Roy's all-time wins record last March. Devils captain Jamie Langenbrunner has five goals and eight points during a five-game points streak, while Patrik Elias has seven goals and nine assists in his last 14 games. New Jersey plays for the second time in as many nights, although the Devils probably did more sitting around and waiting Friday than they did skating and shooting.
Take NEW JERSEY.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

NORTHCOAST

3'* Cinn

Top Opinion Dallas Over

Regular Opinion Dallas, Cinn Over

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Ferringo NCAAB

more plays soon.

0.5-Unit Play. Take #518 Georgetown (-4.5) over Connecticut (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 9)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #526 Vanderbilt (-6) over Florida (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 9)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #519 Northeastern (-6) over Georgia State (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 9)

1-Unit Play. Take #523 St. John’s (+12.5) over Louisville (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 9)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Any ATS Lock Club Hoops around? They have their Grand Slam Weekend in BB, Thanks...

ATS Hoops

8 Louisville
8 W.Mich
8 James Madison
8 South Alabama
6 Vandy
6 La Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Chris Jordan Saturday night winner ...


ODDSMAKERS DILEMMA
500? CINCINNATI BENGALS



Sorry all of you out there singing J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets ... I cannot rightfully back the Jets in this spot, with a rookie quarterback playing his first playoff game on the road against a team looking to prove it was third-rate last week.

In last Sunday’s night game, the Bengals held back a lot of the bread-and-butter in their arsenal, like the Double A-gap blitzes, like inside power runs by Ced Benson and active-motion by the receivers.

I know this is defensive wizard Rex Ryan's blitzing scheme, but all due respect, this unit hasn't seen a legitimate, first-rate offense since Nov. 22, when it went to New England and lost 31-14. To wit:



Nov. 29 vs. Carolina - 27-9 win over the Panthers' 19th-ranked offense
Dec. 3 vs. Buffalo - 19-13 win over the Bills' 30th-ranked offense
Dec. 10 vs. Tampa Bay - 26-3 win over the Bucs'
Dec. 20 vs. Atlanta - a 10-7 setback against
Dec. 27 vs. Indianapolis - a 29-15 win over the second strung Colts.
Jan. 3 vs. Cincinnati - a 37-0 win over the toothless-less Bengals



Now, don't get me wrong, the Bungles aren't exactly the most explosive bunch with the 24th-ranked offense. But they do rank ninth in rushing, and I am a firm believer there is no passing game that can succeed without an effective rushing game.

After all, it sets up your play action, it can force a member of the secondary toward the line of scrimmage to help fill those A-Gaps, leaving room for the receiving corps to roam and it ultimately causes confusion on those 3rd-and-short plays if the defense believes it's coming up the gut.

And for all intent purposes, let's assume the Jets defend well; what about Sanchez? I know there are many marveling at how he's managed to stay turnover-free the last two games, but the Colts and Bengals barely brought any fuel to the fire.

And, Brian Schottenheimer protected Sanchez by running the ball four times in seven third-and-long situations or using the Wildcat-formation in some of those situations. You don't think a full-strength Bengals defense will be better prepared this time around? No doubt about it, Schottenheimer is going to limit Sanchez’s throwing to first and second down, while hoping for third-and-manageable. But if the fourth-ranked defense gets to Sanchez early and often, he'll be gun shy the entire game.

Cause for rookie mistakes if you ask me.

I am going to play the home team in this one, as the Bengals are a solid 7-2 ATS when playing teams with a winning record - they play to the level of competition, as evidenced by them not exerting anything extra and/or worrying about inflated-line losses to Chiefs, Browns and Lions late in the season.

But I am advising you to BE SURE you're laying the 2-1/2 point spread that has been available all week. Do not get caught laying a field goal, in the event your book decides to move this line. If you see a -3, you're to purchase a half point down and lay only 2-1/2 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Doc's goy old miss

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

great lakes 5* notre dame

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Executive

250% Cincy -2
250% Dallas -4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

charlie

nfl. bengals-2', jets @ bengals over 34 & eagle @ cowboys over 45. (500* triple play 2 of 3 must win or next day is free).

nfl. eagles+3' (30*)
nba. atlanta+4 (20*)
ncaab. uconn+4' (20*)
ncaab. wichita st-7' (10*)
nba. minnesota+8' (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

anthony redd:

10-Dime - Bengals

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

st bernadine sports advisors
NFL:
2* Cincinnati -2.5 over NY jets(4:30 pm) - Everyone keeps saying how the Jets are lucky to be in the playoffs and yes they are. What is also true is that there isn't much of a talent difference between the 10th seed in the AFC(Pittsburgh) and the 3 seed(Cincy). So that is why we have a line of around 3 pts here, the home field advantage. Where I think that Cincy has the Edge here is that they can stop the run and that will force Sanchez to throw the ball more than 15 times. Sanchez despite having faced teams playing backups for the most part only threw for 170 yds in 2 weeks. Also look for Palmer to bounce back from from his 0.0 passer rating(0-11 passing). Teams coming in off a shutout have not fared well the next week. The last 11 teams to pitch shutouts have gone 2-9 ATS the next week.

NBA:
2* Charlotte Bobcats -5 over Memphis(7pm) - Charlotte has many things going for them here. They are a much better team at home, they are rested and they play a style that I believe matches up well with Memphis. Charlotte has that in your face defensive style that can frustrate you into taking bad shots. Memphis has an all offensive team. Defense is a foreign concept to this team. You can win the occasional game by out shooting a team, but vs a defensively tough minded team on the road, that is a tall task. Memphis is also on the 4th game in 5 night stretch so working hard for shots on the offensive end may be an issue for them. Look for the Bobcats to lay the wood to Memphis tonight.

NCAABB:
1* Ga st. /northeastern over 115.5(noon) - play this one up to 118 - Part of UGLY game system and it could get UGLY here as Ga st can slow things down when they feel they need to. Northeastern hasn't seen a total set anywhere near this low all year. They are an average paced team that should be able to get the score into the mid 60's here in this game. That would leave Ga st to get only 50. Considering Ga st has only had 1 game below 55 I like our chances there .

1* N.Iowa +1 over Illinois st.(4 pm) - Pretty much the same scenario as on Thursday. N Iowa has covered 5 of the last 6 meetings in this matchup. All of the top teams have been playing each other this week and so you have a pretty good idea how the oddsmakers view these teams. In looking at the spreads for all the common opponents, N Iowa getting points seems a little strange. Based on other games that have been rated, N.Iowa should be a 3 or 4 point fave. As such I will take the point and call it real value.

1* Richmond/saint Louis over 115(5 pm) - part of the ugly game system. Richmond creates a tempo that will have both teams having too many possessions for this not to go over. This will be the lowest total set for either team this year. Much like the Northeastern game, Richmond should get to at least the mid 60's here and that leaves St Louis to put up only 50.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Great Lakes Sports


NFL

4* Cincinnati
3* Philadelphia

College Hoops

5* GOM NOTRE DAME (GOM)

4* Ohio
4* Houston
3* Seton Hall
3* Southern Illinois

NBA

4* Orlando
3* Detroit
3* Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

alatex
superplay Philly +4
superplay bakets UTEP over 146

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Al DeMarco Saturday's Play15 Dime - Dallas Cowboys

Two things you've heard all week leading into this game, both myths that I want to debunk right now. First, it's not that hard for a team to beat another three times in one season. The possibility has arisen 19 times since 1970, and there have been 12 sweeps, including the Steelers of the Ravens last year.

The other myth-buster: Don't buy into the fact that the Eagles didn't give their all last week at Dallas with one of the reasons being they didn't want to "tip their hand" because of an eventual rematch with the Cowboys in the postseason. Are you kidding me? I'm based out of Philly and trust me, this wasn't like Cincinnati rolling over and playing dead at New York, or Indianapolis throwing in the towel in its final two games. The Birds had plenty to play for last week, mainly the No. 2 seed in the NFC and a first-round bye. Instead, by losing 24-0 in a game in which they were outplayed from start to finish, they got the absolute toughest road to reach the Super Bowl as it down will potentially take them through not only Dallas but Minnesota, too.

As for the games on the field, the Cowboys defense dominated in a 20-16 upset at Philadelphia and last Sunday's 24-0 shutout at home, sacking Donovan McNabb eight times and completely shutting down the Eagles' ground game. Do you know Philly had 21 offensive series in those two games but McNabb's attack managed just one touchdown? Not surprising when you consider receivers DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Macklin were held to a combined 11 catches in those contests.

On offense, Dallas had its way against Philadelphia's defense. Tony Romo passed for over 300 yards in both contests and the Eagles' pass rush rarely put significant pressure on him. Philly's secondary has had problems covering tight ends the past three years; nothing changed this season against Jay Witten. And they had no answer for Miles Austin, either. On the ground, the 1-2 punch of Miles Barber and Felix Jones, alternating liberally, churned out 179 of the Pokes' 474 total yards last week.

Will this be a closer game than last week's shutout? Absolutely. The Eagles will give their all, but it won't be enough as Dallas rolls 31-24.


Strategy Note:

You've heard me discuss this many times on TV and radio; I only believe in buying half points when the number is around 3, 4 or 7. This price is floating between 3 1/2 and 4, so go ahead and buy down the half-point in either case on Dallas.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-9-10

Jeff Benton Saturday's Winners ... 25 Dime: COWBOYS (minus the points vs. Eagles) ...





NOTE: If this number is at 3 1/2, buy the half-point and grab Dallas at -3. Do NOT get beat by the hook in this contest!