1-19-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

vegas-runner | NBA Sides Tue, 01/19/10 - 7:05 PM *†
double-dime bet 502 CLE -10.0 (-110) Sportbet vs 501 TOR
Analysis: 

** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

vr

double-dime bet 517 Purdue / 518 Illinois Over 136.0 Bodog
Analysis: 

** CBB on ESPN 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Tue, 01/19/10 - 7:00 PM *†
double-dime bet 510 Hofstra -3.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 509 George Mason
Analysis: ** CBB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Tue, 01/19/10 - 7:00 PM *†
triple-dime bet 508 Ohio St. -11.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 507 Northwestern
Analysis: 

*** CBB 3* GAME OF THE WEEK ***

Fellas, this BET is on every Outfit's List for Positions Tonight...So I highly recommend that you get down now...If they beat you to the move, then you may want to wait until closer to Tip-Off...Because as I've said countless times...they will almost always come back and try to work a "middle" if the adjustment is significant enough...And since this BET is definitely one that all of the Wiseguys I spoke to are looking to take a piece of...that opportunity should be there...I myself am willing to get down at -11.5, because there is still more than enough value to justify a 3u bet...VR

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

vegas-runner | NBA Total Tue, 01/19/10 - 7:35 PM *†
double-dime bet 503 IND / 504 MIA Over 205.0 Bodog
Analysis: ** NBA 2* LATE STEAM **

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Jeff Benton
Tuesday's 30 Dime winner ... 30 Dime: MIAMI, FLA. (minus the points over Boston College)

Miami (Fla.)

There’s not a more misleading final score in ACC play this season – and maybe all of college basketball – than Boston College 61, Miami 60 back on Dec. 6 in Massachusetts. In that game, Miami shot 47.2 percent from the field and 83.3 percent from the free-throw line and committed just six turnovers, while the Eagles shot 34.5 percent from the field, 72 percent from the foul stripe and had 11 turnovers. So how did the Hurricanes lose? Two reasons: They got outrebounded by a whopping 43-19 margin, and they got hosed by the officials. See, those aforementioned free-throw percentages are deceptive, as Miami went 5-for-6 from the charity stripe, and B.C. went 18-for-25. Yep, the home team shot 21 more free throws, and that proved to be the obvious difference in a one-point game.

Well, tonight’s contest is down in South Beach. You think that free-throw gap might narrow significantly this time around? Of course it will. Hell, even if the free throws are even, Miami not only wins this game, it covers it easily.

Yes, the Hurricanes have followed up a seven-game winning streak (which started after the loss at Boston College) with consecutive disastrous efforts on the road against ACC foes Virginia Tech (15-point defeat) and Virginia (18-point defeat). But Miami has proven to be a much stronger team at home, where it has won 11 in a row (9-0 this year), and that streak started last February with a 69-58 victory over Boston College as a 6½-point home favorite. This year at home, Miami has posted seven double-digit wins (and another was a five-point victory over a solid Minnesota squad), and the Hurricanes’ average margin of victory at home has been 20 points.

As for Boston College, it has lost three straight ACC games to Clemson (72-56 on the road), Duke (79-59 on the road) and Maryland (73-57 at home), failing to cover in all three contests. Not only were the Eagles not competitive in those contests, but they couldn’t score the ball, scoring 56, 59 and 57 points while shooting just 38.9 percent (their opponents shot a combined 46.8 percent and scored 72, 79 and 73 points!).

Back to this rivalry: Although Miami came up short in Boston back in December, it did cash as 4½-point road underdog. So the Hurricanes are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings (and as I have detailed, that one loss very easily could’ve been a Miami win).

Two final points to make: Since stealing that game from Miami, Boston College is just 4-6 SU – with losses to Harvard, Rhode Island and Maine, all at HOME! – and the Eagles are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight lined contests.

Guys, this is a total mismatch, and this line is an absolute joke and an overreaction to Miami’s last two performances, which came on the road in ACC play. The Hurricanes get back on track tonight in their building and they do so by handing mediocre-at-best Boston College yet another double-digit conference loss!

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

VIC MONTE SPORTS

500* TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS -2

Wayne Chism has got to be in his, what, eight year of college hoops now? Come on, its seemed like I have been bringing up his name the past decade in write-ups when I choose to back the Volunteers on the college hardwood. For those of you about to call the NCAA headquarters to report this Julio Franco age like dilemma, don't, I looked it up, he has only been here since the 2006 season and is a fourth year senior. Aside wearing his headband like Mike Reno in his days as lead singer for Loverboy, Chism is a moneymaker and a security asset for people backing Tennessee. He single handily changes game after game recording double doubles in the Vols blowout win at home to Auburn and Ole Miss. Against Kansas he got physical down nearly every possession and shut down the then rated #1 Jayhawks potent offensive attack. Tonight Chism leads the surging Tennessee Volunteers into Tuscaloosa to take on the slumping, and I say that as nicely as I can, Alabama Crimson Tide.

Coming off an embarrassing loss to USC on December 19Th the Volunteers sat at 8-2 on the season with 8 meaningless wins and 2 crushing losses to the only 2 quality programs on their schedule. Playing 5 of their next six games at home Bruce Pearl needed his team to make a statement. Two days before Christmas the Vols pounded North Carolina A&T by 21 points, then traveled to Memphis where they beat the Tigers and a hostile crowd 66-59. Then the four game home stand started with a blowout of Charlotte 88-71. The Vols then handed number one Kansas their first loss of the year 76-68 which was followed up by an absolute dismantling of Auburn 88-51 and a OT thriller of number 23 ranked Ole Miss 71-69. Chism, Pearl and company are thrilled and after cutting some "slack" after a New Years Day traffic incident the team chemistry has boomed and the Vols are playing some of the best basketball in the country. Tennessee sits 20Th in the nation offensively producing 80 points per game while allowing teams to score only 62.

Alabama on the other hand is in serious trouble. It appears the national championship celebration hangover is still in full effect. Besides the Tide beating up on the worst team in the SEC, the LSU Tigers, they have failed to win a game in conference this year. Losses to Vanderbilt and Arkansas added with Florida State, Purdue, Cornell and Kansas State lead the Tides signature victory a November 26Th win over Baylor. Alabama is just 1-5 against the number in their past 6 home games. They sit at 3-8 n the last 11 as a home underdog. Their sputtering offense is generating a 144Th ranked 70 points per game and a par for the course defense is holding teams to 65 a game.

You can not back this Alabama team because they do not win games, they maintain. They will play with teams until a mistake is made and even then struggle to close the gap. Alabama has been matched up against terrible teams all year and still have covered only 50% of games. They have been home underdogs 3 times this season, they have failed to win or cover any of those games. Tennessee is motivated, they are hungry, they have desire to win and they are here to make a statement. They have this game today and don't play until Saturday against Georgia who is bottom of the SEC east. They are focused to win this one because they know just as well as we do, its going to take a miracle for the game on the weekend to be competitive. The Vols get it done in a big way tonight in Tuscaloosa and will move into second place in the SEC just behind Kentucky. 500* Syndicate - Tennessee -2

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Bob Balfe

NBA

Raptors +10 over Cavs

NCAA Basketball

Alabama +2.5 over Tennessee

10-4 L14 plays

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

The Duke's Sports

Georgia Tech (-1') for 2.5 Units

Clemson has a nice 4-1 SU / 3-2 ATS mark on the road however, at a closer glance, early in the season the Tigers beat lightweights Liberty, NC Greensboro, and East Carolina, which all sport losing records. On the other hand, when the Tigers were pitted at Duke, they got hammered, and failed to cover Saturday at N.C. State. As a matter of fact, the Tigers are just 1-5 ATS on the road vs a home team above .600. And the Tigers won't have an easy time tonight after all, they'll most likely be without G Demontez Stitt (foot) who gives them floor direction, defense, points (11 ppg) and energy consequently, more pressure will be put on Tanner Smith with Noel Johnson and Andre Young - all not used to playing extended minutes nor controlling the floor or scoring consistently. Clemson likes to speed things up but should have trouble against an athletic Yellow jackets' team on a strong home floor. With turnover time just 2 days from the last time each team played, edge to the home team.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

SPORTS WAGERS

Indiana +6/+2.22 over MIAMI

I’m going to split this up and play one unit each on the money-line and point-spread. The problem with the Heat is that you just never know which team you’re going to get. You’re either going to get the team that is capable of competing with anyone or the team that doesn’t give a damn if they win, lose or draw. What should be concerning to Heat backers is that they’re coming home from a tough six-game trip that began on Jan 8 and ended on the 16th. This line suggests they won’t be too sharp tonight because if the books thought otherwise they’d be about a 7 or 7½-point favorite. After all, the Pacers instill fear in nobody and own a 4-16 road record. Having said that, the Pacers are quietly getting a whole lot more dangerous. Danny Granger is a marquee player and suddenly Roy Hibbert is making a huge impact. Throw in a healthy Mike Dunleavy and Troy Murphy and a very decent bench and the Pacers are a team that could be way undervalued now because of its slow start. This is a vulnerable situation for the Heat, as they return home and they take way too many nights off to trust them in this spot. Play: Indiana +6 (Risking 1.03 units to win 1) Play: Indiana +2.22 (Risking 1 unit).


Clemson/GEORGIA TECH under 143

It may seem off to recommend a wager on the under when Clemson and Georgia Tech both shoot over 50% from the field but a closer look at the statistics reveals why the under is the play. For starters, both these teams are going to make some noise in the tournament and the main reason why is because of their excellent defense. Clemson and Georgia Tech both rank in the top 20 nationally in defensive efficiency, a statistic I trust tremendously when researching defenses. Defensive efficiency accounts for pace and it’s a big reason why the points per game allowed never gets mentioned in this space, and for both these teams to rank in the top 20 shows just how dominant their defense’s are. Furthermore, neither Clemson nor Georgia Tech shoot over 35% from three and furthermore struggle mightily at the line, checking in at 65% and 68% respectively. Expect a grind it out game with hard fouls and lots of turnovers, and while that may allow for some early bonus time you can rest assured points are going to be hard to come by. Both these schools take tremendous pride in their defensive prowess and there is no reason to expect any different tonight. Play: Clemson/Georgia Tech under 143 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

A.REDD!!!!!!!!!

Tuesday's Card
15-Dime - Ohio State
15-Dime - Indiana State
15-Dime - Oklahoma

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Kb hoops
5* Wichita State -3 **POD**
4* Illinois +4.5
4* Georgia Tech -1.5
3* Ohio St. -11.5
3* Tennessee -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

TIM TRUSHEL

Alabama/20*

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Seabass

300 atl thrashers

100 Alabama

50 clemson

50 illinois

50 San Diego State

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Andrew Bucciarelli (St. Bernadine’s Sports):

3* Washington Caps
2* Chicago Blackhawks
2* Anaheim Ducks
2* NY Islanders
1* NY Rangers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-19-10

Vegas Killers


Alabama +2.5