1-25-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Jim Feist's 15-4, 79% 20* NBA Hi-Roller Total -Monday

NBA (707) ORLANDO MAGIC at (708) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

Take: over (20* NBA Hi Roller Total)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Malinsky
________________________________________


4* #710 SAN ANTONIO/CHICAGO Under

We lost a play on the Spurs Under on Friday night in what has been an excellent long-term situation for Gregg Popovich, and even with that failure the numbers in this category are significant – his Spurs have played to a 51-24-2 Under count the last six seasons the game after allowing at least 100 points in regulation. Now it has been back-to-back home games in which the defense has allowed the opposition to reach the century mark, and while the markets are adjusting the Totals higher because of those results, we believe that the focus and intensity level for San Antonio becomes even tighter, especially with two full days to prepare for this game. So we put the long-term pattern back into play again.Popovich knows as well as any coach what it takes to still be playing in June, and that is why the focus has always been to quickly clean up defensive lapses in the past. And his comments this weekend follow along that path - “Persistence. That's your only choice. You keep on pushing. You keep trying to improve. You understand what you have to improve, and you work at it.” The fact that the last two defensive failures also led to SU defeats creates an even greater sense of urgency, and with Saturday and Sunday off, and nothing up tomorrow, this game is treated like a playoff affair.Note that despite the recent problems it is not as though this has been an awful defense – they still check in at #9 in the NBA, which is a solid level, but not up to their expectations. Right above them at #8 just happens to be Chicago, which shows a marked improvement on that end of the court when Tyrus Thomas is in the rotation. With reports this morning that a couple of days of rest will put Joakim Noah back on the court it helps to tighten things up even more, and that gives us the matchups that we need to get in play here.

4* #714 UTAH/PHOENIX Under

Suddenly the Jazz look like a Jerry Sloan team again. In eight home games since Christmas they have allowed an average of 91.1 points per game, and there has been a direct correlation between the return of Andrei Kirilenko to the starting lineup and the regaining of their defensive chemistry. The markets are far behind on appreciating those changes, and that gives us excellent value for this setting.Kirilenko adds a toughness that is needed by the Utah front-court, and that is fully acknowledged by Sloan ("No question [his size] makes a big difference. He's able to block shots and play defense. I probably should have had him [starting] all along, if I'd been smart enough.") and floor leader Deron Williams ("A.K.'s length bothers people defensively. He gives us an added shot-blocker out there to start the game, which helps."). And the fact that the defense is bringing rewards, like in the current 6-1 run, means that they remain focused on those improvements, especially in only their second game in five days, which means ample time to put a game plan together for this opponent. And Sloan already knows that the best way to beat Phoenix is to slow the game down – they played to counts of 206 and 180 in regulation on this court LY.The Suns love to run but are not adept at forcing pace vs. superior opponents, especially without Leandro Barbosa – note that they are 11-5 to the Under when he does not play. And while they are certainly nothing special defensively, the one tool that Alvin Gentry has used is a zone that can be effective here, since Utah’s offense needs penetration in order to make up for the lack of spot-up shooters on the wings. That further helps to reduce the pace tonight, and brings us something much less than the track meet that the oddsmakers are projecting.

4* #716 DENVER/CHARLOTTE Under

The markets have some key adjustments to make here, and we believe they came up far short. To lose either Carmelo Anthony or J. R. Smith is significant to the Nuggets in terms of the pace that they play at. But to lose both requires multiplication, and not addition, in factoring the numbers properly. Now the offensive efficiency and pace both all off in a major way, with heavy minutes having to go to Joey Graham and Anthony Carter, who do not bring anywhere near the same level of offensive talent (and the fact that neither played a single minute in Saturday’s O.T. win over New Orleans shows where they really belong in the rotation). Instead of the second unit bringing energy and pace off of the bench, it becomes a stodgy group that will have to rely more on defense and moving the basketball than racing up and down the court. That is further magnified by tonight’s opponent.Charlotte has now moved all the way up to #1 on our best set of defensive ratings, and the fact that the defense is directly correlating into scoreboard wins makes it easier for the Bobcats to buy into Larry Brown’s tactics. The more you rely on defense, the more you also play deliberately on offense to increase the impact of that defense on the game – Charlotte is 27th in the league in pace. With two of the most explosive Nugget scorers sidelined they will put extra emphasis on making this a half-court affair, turning this into a grinder without much tempo at all, and with a lot of long possessions that end up with low percentage shots

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Rocketman Sports 3* CBB BLOWOUT Monday!

Western Carolina -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

Monday NHL Plays

NHL Hockey

50* Play Calgary (-160) over St. Louis

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

David Banks

NBA
7:00 Indiana Pacers +4.5 Pts
7:30 Miami Heat +1.5 Pts
8:00 Memphis Grizzlies -1 Pts
8:30 Houston Rockets -1.5 Pts

NCAAB
7:00 Syracuse -5.5 Pts
9:00 Missouri +12 Pts

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Tim Trushel

20* houston

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

DOC SPORTS NBA

3-Unit Play #701 Take Indiana +5 ½ Over Philadelphia
3-Unit Play #711 Take Atlanta/Houston Over 197
3-Unit Play #705 Take LA Clippers +11 ½ Over Boston Celtics

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

ROBERT FERRINGO NCAAB

2-Unit Play. Take #728 Idaho over Boise State
0.5-Unit Play. Take #720 Syracuse over Georgetown
0.5-Unit Play. Take #724 Southern Illinois over Western Kentucky
0.5-Unit Play. Take #732 Western Carolina over Charleston
0.5-Unit Play. Take #733 Samford over Furman

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Teddy Covers

Georgetown

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Wunderdog

Game: St. Joesph's at Penn (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 142.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

MARC LAWRENCE
NBA, CBB Sides

4* 710 SAN -8.0 vs 709 CHI

3* 727 Boise St. 5.5 vs 728 Idaho

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

CBB

1000* on Syracuse -6 over Georgetown (BIG EAST GOY)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Erin Rynning

1/25/10 NBA Playmaker: Boston Under 190 -110 (706)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 1-25-10

Special K

5* Clippers under 190.5
5* St Josephs -5