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The Hammer Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, January 26, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed: THE BIG MAN is on a 32-14 run in COLLEGE BASKETBALL and tonight he is stepping out in a VERY BIG WAY! The HAMMER is LOCKED & LOADED as he has one of his STRONGEST COLLEGE SELECTIONS OF THE SEASON! This play is so STRONG it can only be rated as his PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB #1 COLLEGE HOOPS TOTALS WINNER and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER NOW for only $20 and you will pay ONLY after you WIN! 1/26/2010
PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB #1 COLLEGE HOOPS TOTALS WINNER
OVER 138.5 Rutgers and Marquette 9:00 EST
100* Play Baylor (-2) over Kansas State (TUESDAY PARLAY)
Baylor has covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games vs. Kansas State at home. Baylor is averaging over 83 points a game on offense at home this season and they are only allowing an average of 57 points a game on defense in those same games. Kansas State has lost 5 of the last 6 road games against the spread when the total posted is between 145 and 149.5 points and they have also lost 4 consecutive games against the spread coming off a home loss.
100* Play NC State (+2) over North Carolina (TUESDAY PARLAY)
North Carolina has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread and they have also lost 16 of the last 22 games against the spread vs. ACC Conference Opponents. North Carolina has lost 8 of the last 11 games against the spread when the total posted is between 150 and 159.5 points and they are allowing an average of 82 points a game on the road this season. NC State has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games as an underdog and they are only allowing an average of 64 points a game on defense at home this year.
50* Play Charlotte (+5.5) over Phoenix (BONUS NBA PLAY)
Phoenix has lost 6 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 19 of the last 26 games against the spread when playing in the month of January. Phoenix has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread when revenging a same season loss and they are allowing an average of 107 points a game on defense this season.
For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on Minnesota in this situation:
Jeremy Nash scored 22 points, John Shurna added 19 and Northwestern went on a run late in the second half to beat Illinois 73-68 Saturday night after dropping 11 straight to the Illini; I expect a "letdown" this evening.
Drew Crawford scored 15, and the Wildcats (14-5, 3-4 Big Ten) got a measure of revenge for an overtime loss last month that spoiled their first AP poll appearance in nearly 41 years. They went on a 15-2 run that turned a six-point deficit into a 61-54 lead and hung on from there, sending Illinois to its third straight loss.
The achilles heel of this team is to find consistency on the road though; dating back to last season; 7-18 SU its last 25 away from friendly confines. Northwestern also always has a difficult time against Minnesota; 2-5 ATS its last seven vs. the Golden Gophers.
On the other side of the court: I was "on" Minnesota in its home loss to Michigan State on Saturday; the Golden Gophers had this game in the bag but fell apart in the final minute; this won't happen again.
Minnesota scored only six points in the final seven minutes in losing its third straight, with an overtime loss to Indiana sandwiched between two losses to Michigan St. The Gophers led by as many as 13 in the second half.
It's true that Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS its last five overall, but it always plays strong in front of the hometown crowd; 6-2 ATS its last eight at William Arena.
Bottom line: I expect a similar big start from the Golden Gophers in this one, but expect them to clamp down on the defensive end down the stretch this time around.
Minnesota gave Michigan State matchup problems, and Northwestern will have the same issues tonight; look for MINNESOTA to improve to 10-6 ATS this season when playing the roll of favorite and for Northwestern to fall to 1-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest after 15 games into the season!
Kent State is scoring only 62.4 points per game on the road this year. Toledo is allowing only 62.4 points per game at home this year. Golden Flashes are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. Golden Flashes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Golden Flashes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This game should be low scoring and a lot closer than most people think. We'll play Toledo for 3 units tonight!
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