5-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Bob Balfe

PHOENIX SUNS -4

Although the Spurs were incredibly impressive against Dallas in the first round and own the Suns historically in the postseason, their season is over. They have no shot to beat the Suns without home-court advantage. Nash and Parker will essentially cancel each other out but the key to this series will be Amare. Look for the Suns to run the Spurs out of the building tonight in a double digit victory. Take Phoenix.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Lenny Del Genio

ANAHEIM ANGELS +145

Two struggling club open a 4-game series tonight in Boston. Both clubs are under .500 on the season and both are riding 3-game losing streaks. The Red Sox were embarrassed by the lowly O’s, while the Angels were losing at Detroit. Saunders gets the nod tonight for the Angels and he’s been pitching so-so on the season. However, he’s had very good success against the Red Sox posting a 7-2 team start record with a very respectable 3.56 ERA in those 9 starts. Boston sends out Buchholz and he’s been Boston’s best pitcher on the season posting a 2.19 ERA. However, he’s struggled against the Angels with a 1-3 team start record and lofty 5.73 ERA. The Red Sox have been time money burners this season as mid ranged favorites posting a 5-12 record when favored by $125-175. Meanwhile, Saunders has been a great pitcher to play on when his team is off a loss posting a 27-12 team start record. The Angels are 17-8 here in Boston the last three seasons and we think they can steal this first game of the series. Play on LA Angels.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Evan Altemus

Cardinals/Phillies UNDER 9.5

These are two of the best hitting teams in the National League, but I feel that this game is a great chance to take advantage of an over inflated total. First, Joe Blanton will be making his first start since coming off of the disabled list. As a result, he’ll come out focused and well rested against a tough opponent. He has also pitched very well against Albert Pujols, who has only gone 1 for 8 against Blanton. Meanwhile, St. Louis sends lefty starter Jaime Garcia to the mound, who has been excellent since joining the rotation. Teams are not familiar with his stuff, and he has posted an excellent strikeout to walk ratio this season. It is also significant that this total is at 9.5 instead of 9, meaning that the game can end 5-4 and still cash. St. Louis, despite having a good offense, is 8-16-1 to the over/under this season. That is because they have excellent pitching, both starters and the bullpen. Philadelphia has a decent bullpen also. I like taking the under here in the first game of this series, especially with the game being played on Monday. Look for this game to fall under the total.

3 UNIT SELECTION UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Tony George

PHOENIX SUNS -4

Just a brutal series for the Spurs against hated rival Dallas, and a good scheduling spot for the Suns at home here they shoot better, play better defense, and have a strong homecourt. Getting Steve Nash well rested after sitting out practice with a sore hip the past 2 days is all good, and the frontcourt of the Suns will be more of an issue for Spurs than Dallas was, who never push it in the middle. The Suns won both games at home this year against the Spurs by double digits, and while I do not expect a blowout, I expect a 6-8 point win at home for the Suns tonight, who are determined to get over on the Spurs tis year, a team who has knocked them out f contention in the post season many times.

Play 1 Unit on the Suns.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Mike Lineback

Spurs/Suns OVER 203.5

Great line value IMO. Believe Phoenix will be able to control tempo at home, and both teams' can score in bunches. Teams' combined for 220, 223 & 213 points in three regular season meetings. Take the Over.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Savannah Sports




Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

Todays Selections

MLB Baseball

2 (**) Kansas City +130

1 (*) Detroit -110

1 (*) CWS +185

1 (*) Philadelphia +120

NBA Basketball

2 (**) LA Lakers Over 198

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Goodfella

NBA Spurs +4 2dime

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-3-10

Wunderdog

MLB | May 03
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Total
6½ un-115 at SIA > 6h.
Ubaldo Jimenez is fast becoming one of the top pitchers in baseball. Right now he is on top of his game, making him even more lethal. Jimenez is 5-0 with a microscopic 0.79 ERA. His five starts on the season has seen the opponent tally a total of 6 runs, so the Rockies are going to have to score 5+ here to push this one over. That looks like a very difficult task as they have topped the 5-run mark just once on the orad all season in 13 games, and going back to last season, make that one time in their last 19. I like this one to stay UNDER the total.

[spook]

Re: 5-3-10

Roman 5/3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

15,000 dime Suns -4

5000 dime NY Yanks -1.5rl(-150)

5000 dime Rangers ML(+120)

[spook]

Re: 5-3-10

King Creole | NBA Total Mon, 05/03/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 705 BOS / 706 CLE Over 192.0 Bodog
Analysis:
8:00pm ET / Round 2 - Game 2 / #705 / BOSTON CELTICS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
3** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL


The 'worm is turning' in terms of the TOTALS in the Cavaliers / Celtics series. After a period of significant "UNDER" results... it's gone the OTHER way as of late. These two teams have played each other 5 time sos far in the 2009/2010 season. And ALL FIVE games have gone "OVER the Total" (5-0 O/U). Average OU line in this series: 190.5 points... Average combined points scored: 200.2. That's an average OU 'margin' of almost DOUBLE DIGITS per game (+9.7 points). Both of these teams have also put up tremendous HIGH-scoring tendencies in ALL Playoff Game Two's. The CELTICS are a PERFECT 5-0 O/U in Playoff GAME TWO's in the last 3 seasons... while the CAVALIERS are 6-1 O/U at home in Playoff GAME TWO's.

When querying the '2/2' game (Round 2 / Game 2), this OU result immediately jumped out at me. And it's all we really need to know for this game:
20-4 O/U since 1991 for All NBA Playoff '2.2' HOME teams playing off a SU and ATS win in Game One (CAVALIERS). In fact, since the 2005 season... thee games have gone a PERFECT 9-0 O/U... with an average OU margin of +13.2 points power ga~me.

Game One's result was an 8-point win for the hots CAVS. They covered the pointspread (amazing since they were losing pretty big in the first half) by ONE slim point.
5-0 O/U since 1994: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO teams who covered the spread by 2 or less points in their last game... and it went 'OVER the TOTAL' (CAVS)... when the OU line is 188 > points.

10-0 O/U since 1991: All NBA Playoff home favorites (any round / any game) of -3 to -13 points playing off a SU home Playoff win and an ATS win of only 1 point EXACT (CAVS).

Let's take a look at the SEEDS for tonight's Game Two. Cleveland comes in as the Eastern Conference's #1 Seed... while Boston is seeded #4.

20-8 O/U since 2004: All NBA Playoff #1 SEEDS in any Game TWO (CAVS)... when the OU Line is 179 > points. Teams in the Eastern Conference are 10-1 O/U when favored by -15 or less points (CAVS).

9-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff #4 SEEDS in any Game TWO (CELTICS)... when the OU Line is 184 > points.

Put em BOTH together, and you get:
6-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff #1 Seeds (CAVS) versus a #4 Seed (CELTICS)... when the OU line falls in the range of 184 to 214 points.

Game One was on Saturday... so both teams come in on only 1 day of rest...
32-11 O/U last 5 years: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO home teams playing with 1 day of REST (CAVS). Teams in the Eastern Conference have gone 18-3 O/U (CAVS).... and a PERFECT 11-0 O/U when the OU line is 186 > points.

What is it about MONDAYS that results in such HIGH-scoring results?
10-0 O/U since 2006: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO home favorites of -2 > points playing on a MONDAY (CAVS)...
17-4 O/U: All NBA Playoff ROUND TWO home teams (ANY game #) on a MONDAY when the OU line is > 190 points (CAVS). Home favs of -4 > points have gone 8-1 O/U.

After long period of low-scoring results when these two division hoop up against each other, the results have gone the OTHER way as of late.
9-1 O/U last 2 seasons: All NBA Playoff games when the CENTRAL Division (CAVS) has taken on an ATLANTIC Division opponent (CELTICS).

[spook]

Re: 5-3-10

The Hoops Guru Guaranteed Selections

Date: Monday, May 03, 2010

NBA TRIPLE PLAY PLAYOFF WINNER
705 Boston +6 8:05 EST

[spook]

Re: 5-3-10

JSM Sports 5/3
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[904] Ari/Hou Under 9.5 |8*|+100|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[910] New York |5*|-300|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[904] Cincinnati |5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[916] Kan/Chi Under 9.5 |5*|-105|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST

[920] Oakland |5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST


note: SYSTEM PLAYS




HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[704] Phoenix |5*|-3.5|B+0|TNT|10:30 pm EST

[spook]

Re: 5-3-10

BIGFELLA SPORTS

25*Fat Pockets NBA Phx Suns -4

10* Shoebox NHL Vancouver +145

4* Kiss MLB KC Royals +163

My MLB$$$ATM System Plays

Hou -105
NYY -1.5 -145

[spook]

Re: 5-3-10

ppp 4%--celtics

[spook]

Re: 5-3-10

ATS Lock Club

3 Units Celtics +6.5

4 Units Cardinals

3 Units Blue Jays