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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the visitors:
“We’re going to gear it up again,” the Spurs’ Tim Duncan said, “and I know people remember what went on in series past and all the battles we had. We’re looking forward to another great one.”
George Hill and Richard Jefferson have stepped up their game during the playoffs and I believe will be the difference in the outcome of this contest.
Of course the combination of Tony Parker, Manu Ginobli and Tim Duncan is as opposing as ever.
Keep in mind that San Antonio is 21-13 ATS this year after a win by 10 points or more; also 6-5 ATS as a road dog of 3 1/2 to 6 points.
On the other side of the court: As Steve Nash goes, so go the Suns; I believe that San Antonio will do an effective job of blanketing the aging super star though and disrupting the flow of this game.
Phoenix is in fact a poor 3-4 ATS when playing three or more days of rest.
Bottom line: I expect the Spurs to focus their attention on Nash and for their quicker guards to get out and run and push the ball; when that happens, expect Duncan and Ginobli to start getting better and better looks; look for SAN ANTONIO to improve to 4-2 ATS in the post-season and for the Suns to fall to 5-5 ATS off an upset win as an underdog!
Great line value IMO. Believe Phoenix will be able to control tempo at home, and both teams' can score in bunches. Teams' combined for 220, 223 & 213 points in three regular season meetings. Take the Over
Just a brutal series for the Spurs against hated rival Dallas, and a good scheduling spot for the Suns at home here they shoot better, play better defense, and have a strong homecourt. Getting Steve Nash well rested after sitting out practice with a sore hip the past 2 days is all good, and the frontcourt of the Suns will be more of an issue for Spurs than Dallas was, who never push it in the middle. The Suns won both games at home this year against the Spurs by double digits, and while I do not expect a blowout, I expect a 6-8 point win at home for the Suns tonight, who are determined to get over on the Spurs tis year, a team who has knocked them out f contention in the post season many times.
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