5-11-10

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

The Shark


BASEBALL Tuesday

Well it's that day of the week!
Halladay time. But this one is real special.
The 1st time he gets to pitch at his home.
Still, the line being the usual high we have no fear and lay the 1 1/2 runs and -120.
The offense will come thru for their new star in his home debut!
Philadelphia -1.5 Runs

Seattle -135 and here the old Phils star will shine (Lee)

Tampa -124 whats with my Al team.
These one run losses have got to start going the other way.
I'm sticking with the team that will be fighting the yanks come playoff time

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

The Shark
NBA

Burning up the hoops


With Rondo coming off an historic 29-point, 18-rebound, 13-assist performance in Game 4, Cavaliers coach Mike Brown said Monday he plans to use an assortment of players to try to slow the seemingly unstoppable Celtics point guard and one of them could be James, the league's two-time MVP and a first-team all-defense selection.

Needless to say, it will be impossible for a repeat of that performance in Clevland.
Lay the 7 and take the Cav's

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Players NHL *8* Tuesday OVER in Vancouver on 11 May
Scott Rickenbach’s NHL 8* (Regular Play) OVER the total in Vancouver vs Chicago @ 9:35 PM ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

Vancouver was able to slow things down in Chicago on Sunday and they got the 4-1 win in a game that stayed under the total. We used the under in that game and we weren’t surprised by the success the Canucks had in that one as their focus was on slowing things down and they changed up their strategy plus got a huge game from goalie Roberto Luongo and that led to the win. We do not expect a repeat of that tonight. We’re not saying the Canucks won’t win but what we are saying is that we fully expect a return to the high-scoring ways that had been commonplace so far in this series. Look for the Blackhawks to make some adjustments to counterattack the new strategy that the Canucks employed in Game Five to slow down Chicago. Now, with the Hawks making the proper adjustments to free up their highly skilled forwards, and with the Canucks feeling the impact of the Sami Salo injury for a full game, look for things to return to “normal” for Vancouver in this one.

”Normal” for Canucks playoff games this post-season has been high-scoring! Vancouver’s under on Sunday was their first under since April 15th. The Canucks had gone 7-0-2 to the over prior to Game Five of this series. Also, the Blackhawks were on a 5-0-1 run to the over prior to Sunday’s loss where Chicago managed just one goal. Note that the Blackhawks are still 5-3 to the over the last three seasons when they are leading in a playoff series. Also, Chicago is 7-3 to the over in the second round of the playoffs over the last three seasons. As for the Canucks, they are 3-1 to the over the last three seasons when they are trailing in a playoff series. Also, Vancouver is 7-3 to the over in the second round of the playoffs the last three seasons. Overall, the Canucks enter this game on a 31-17 run to the over and we have seen goalie Roberto Luongo often follow up a stellar performance with a subpar one and we also know that the Blackhawks goaltending situation is far from solid. Chicago has allowed 4 goals or more in 6 of their last 11 games! Play OVER the total in Vancouver as an *8* Regular Play selection.







Players MLB *10* Tuesday OVER in Kansas City on 11 May
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER the total in Kansas City vs Cleveland @ 8:10 ET – action for pitchers – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

The reason we are not specifying pitchers here is because there is a minimal chance that Jake Westbrook may not get the start for the Indians. He’s been dealing with back spasms and very nearly did not make his last start. You might remember that one from a week ago. We had a big *10* Top Play on the over in Cleveland and Westbrook struggled and the over 8.5 ended up with 13 runs! A similar run tally in today’s game would not surprise us in the least! Westbrook has a 5.74 ERA on the season and he’s only completed six innings in two of his six starts this season. He’s still trying to come back from Tommy John surgery and his back problems aren’t helping matters. Westbrook walked five batters in less than five innings in his most recent outing. Also, the Indians bullpen, likely to be very involved here, has a BAA that has it ranked 24th in the majors. Even though the reliever’s combined ERA ranks them in the middle of the pack, the opponents batting average shows that they’ve been far from dominant. The Royals have been a solid hitting team at home in recent seasons and they should have no trouble with the offerings of Westbrook and the rest of the Indian hurlers in this one. The trouble for Kansas City is their own pitching.

Brian Bannister is expected to get the start for the Royals here and he’s 1-2 with a 5.03 ERA so far this season. He’s also been hit at a .306 clip in his two home starts this season. His most recent outing, on the road, saw him allow seven earned runs in just three innings of work. Also, Bannister has as many walks as strikeouts in his last four starts. So far this season, Bannister has looked more like the 2008 version than the 2009 version as the home run ball has also been an issue for the right-hander. Bannister is supported by a Royals bullpen that ranks among the worst in the league so that is bad news as well. The Indians full season batting stats may not impress you but they have been swinging the bats better recently after a cold start to the season. The Indians suffered a two-hit effort on May 3rd but, other than that, their other 9 games in their last ten saw them average 10.6 hits per game. In fact, Cleveland enters this game having gone over the total in four straight games. Kansas City has only stayed under the total in two of their last six games. Also, the Royals are 11-3 to the over in divisional games this season and they come into this game having averaged 10.3 hits per game in their last six games. Both teams hitting well and neither team’s pitching situation looks good at all. Play OVER the total in Kansas City as a *10* Top Play selection.

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Tue, 05/11/10 - 7:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 901 CIN (-122) Bodog vs 902 PIT

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

DAVID MALINSKY

4* NY YANKEES/DETROIT UNDER

A cool, perhaps even cold, night in Detroit with the wind blowing in from left rarely brings this kind of Total into play. But that is what happens with the starting pitchers show tags of 1-3/9.78 and 2-3/7.50. But neither Javier Vazquez nor Rick Porcello are going to remain anywhere near those production levels, and that gives us excellent value to step in here.

Vazquez is coming off 10 straight seasons in which he has made at least 30 starts, with half of them resulting in an ERA of less than 4.00, and his 2.87 ERA and 9.8 K’s per 9 were career bests LY. So it is not as though he is going to fall off the table. We can anticipate an ERA climb as he goes from a favorable park for a flyball pitcher in Atlanta to Yankee Stadium, and some tougher A.L. ballparks for his style, but we will also see that same pop from his arm, and note that even in the disastrous bottom line so far he has recorded 20 K’s in 23 IP. Now he has been skipped for a start to get his head back in order, and the combination of tonight’s weather, and a Detroit offense that is tied for 24th in the Majors in home runs, bodes well for his correction to begin. And with no fatigue issues for any key bullpen arms the latter stages are in good hands.

Then there is Rick Porcello. To go from the 14-9/3.96 of his rookie to season to the current 2-3/7.50 looks like a precipitous drop, but take a closer look. In 2009 he had 2.74 W’s per 9, that has only gone to 3.0. In 2009 he had 4.69 K’s per 9, that is actually up to 5.70. In 2009 he allowed 1.21 HR’s per 9, that is down to 0.9. And once again he is keeping the ball down in the strike zone, with 2.42 ground ball outs for every fly-out. So what has gone wrong? A little bit of baseball geometry. There are 123 pitchers that have worked at least 30 innings, and his BABIP sits at #3, a .398 rate that will play back in his favor in the innings ahead. Behind him is a bullpen that has been the best in the Major Leagues so far in 2010, and with only Joel Zumaya carrying a fatigue rating there are plenty of good options for Jim Leyland in the end-game.

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Scott Pritchard

Astros +220

Report to moderator Logged

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Bob Balfe

Boston Celtics +7.5

Boston hung tough winning Game 4. Their momentum will carry over into this critical Game 5. The Celtics have too much experience to be getting this many points in the playoffs, especially against a poor foul-shooting team such as the Cavs. This game should go down to the wire. Take Boston.


New York Mets -134

The Mets lost a tough one last night as they stranded 12 guys on base. New York is too good of a home team to start slumping in their own park against a below-average baseball team. Look for the Mets' bats to get back on track tonight. Take New York.

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

INSIDER ANGLES
The Boston Celtics showed that they will not simply hand this series to the Cleveland Cavaliers, as they bounced back well from an embarrassing 29-point home loss in Game 3 to beat the Cavs 97-87 in Game 4 to even this series at 2-2.

So what we basically have now is a best-of-three series, and the Celtics are one of the few teams that have not been intimidating by playing at Quicken Loans Arena. Remember hat besides their surprising 18-point win in Cleveland in Game 2, Boston also handed the Cavaliers one of their six regular season home losses, and they also came within a half-point of covering here in an eight-point loss in Game 1.

Now the Cavaliers have been able to elevate their level of play on the road in the playoffs, such as Game 3 of this series and Game 4 of their first round series at Chicago, where they all but wrapped up that series with an emphatic 23-point win. However, for whatever reason, they have been unable to reach that same level here at home, perhaps due to the confidence of knowing that they rarely lose in front of the home folks.

Well, that attitude resulted in two non-covering home wins vs. the Bulls and in an outright loss to these Celtics after barely covering the series opener. In fact, Cleveland is now a lackluster 18-28 against the spread at home for the entire year, including 3-8 on the last 11 home games.

We are looking for a tightly-contested battle in Game 5, and while it is debatable whether or not Boston will win in Cleveland for the second time in this series, we do not think it is impossible and we do see the Celtics staying inside this generous spread in any event.

NBA Tuesday Pick: Celtics +7.5

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

VEGAS EXPERTS
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels
Tuesday, May 11th, 10:05 ET

We’ll back Tampa Bay behind Neimann tonight, as the Rays are looking to end their three-game losing streak. Offense has been the issue of late for Tampa Bay, who were no-hit on Sunday and have scored just six runs in their last three games. But we don’t see that being a problem tonight against Scott Kazmir, who is coming off an awful performance of 7 ER’s in 4 1/3 innings and has a 7.11 ERA on the season.
Rays break their losing streak!

Play on: Tampa Bay Rays

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Golden Contender

Tuesday MLB Totals play-GC
On Tuesday the free play is on the under in the Nationals at Mets game. Rotation numbers 903/904 at 7:10 eastern. In this series 14 of the past 21 have played under the total. Tonight we note that the Nationals are hitting a paltry .212 on the road while the Mets are hitting just .215 vs lefthanders this season. In the pitching match up the Nationals have improving lefty S.Olsen. In his previous 2 starts here in New York he has been solid allowing just 4 runs in 12 innings. Over his last 3 starts he has a sterling 0.44 era with all 3 games going under. The Mets counter with J.Niese. In his home starts he has been exceptional with a 2.12 era. Over his last 3 starts he has had some tough road assignments. However he has been real good with a 2.95 era. The Mets in fact have a solid home bullpen era at 2.24. Look for this game to play under the 8 runs. On Tuesday I have a Double Perfect NBA System play + Double 100% power angle AL. Blowout game of the week. In MLB Action. On Monday we cashed 2 of 3 hitting the Big dog play in Bases and splitting the NBA. Tonight jump on these 2 solid plays. For the free play take the Under tonight Nationals at Mets. BOL GC

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Sports Rumble Computer Picks


MLB - Major League Baseball

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010 (Eastern Time)

Time Game Best Bets *** Selection

8:10 p.m. Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins

(R) Freddy Garcia (1-2) vs. (R) Kevin Slowey (4-2)

Minnesota Twins -165

8:15 p.m. Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals

(R) Brett Myers (1-2) vs. (R) Brad Penny (3-2)

St. Louis Cardinals -240 *** Best Bet

10:15 p.m. San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants

(L) Wade LeBlanc (2-0) vs. (L) Barry Zito (5-0)

San Francisco Giants -160

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

the backdoorcover

pod- Tigers +140
lean- Royals

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Comp Plays

Craig Trapp

NBA | May 11
Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics
+7½-110 at BETUS > 5h.
Not in love with today's NBA game but many have emailed asking me to pick it anyway. so here you go

BOS +7.5: Really think this is going to be the best game of the series. If BOS wants any chance of winning the series then they must win today. With all the confidence from game 2 and 4 they should shoot the ball well today. Also Rondo is such a problem for CLE as they have to really quick guard to keep him out of the paint. Lebron just does not look 100% healthy right now that elbow still looks to bother him when he shoots. Way too many points to give up in the pivotal game 5 take BOS in a 3 star play for me!



MLB | May 11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays
-110 at 5DIMES > 7h.
Another great day for Craig as his premium plays go 1-0-1! Craig's MLB plays are 5-2 the last week and tonight Craig's TOP TOTAL OF MONTH looks to win for the 2nd month in a row. Going back to last year Craig's Totals of the month in MLB are an amazing 6-2! Get in as this one is not close!

TB -108: What value on the best team in baseball! TB lost in game of this series last night in extra innings. Tonight they will turn the tables with much better pitching and consistent hitting. Best lineup in MLB has TB out to this great start but its easy to forget their startering pitching have been amazing! Nieman is 2-0 with a 2.33 ERA and is coming off a great road win at SEA where he went 7 innings and 0 runs allowed. LAA turns to former star pitcher for TB Scott Kazmir. Kazmir has been horrible lately allowing at least 4 walks in his last 4 starts. If he has same struggles tonight watch out TB could score double digits against him. This one is a total mismatch and TB rolls here.



Tom Freese

MLB | May 11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays
-127 at 5DIMES > 7h.
Tampa Bay is 19-7 overall and they are 14-4 their last 18 road games. The Rays are 15-5 in the last 20 starts made by Niemann vs. a team with a losing record. The Rays are 40-15 in Game 2 of series. Tampa Bay is 7-3 their last 10 games vs. AL West teams. Los Angeles starter Scott Kazmir hasn't pitched past the sixth inning this year. Kazmir is 2-3 this year. The Angels are 3-8 their last 11 games and they are 2-5 off a win. The Halos are 1-4 with Kazmir as an underdog. PLAY ON TAMPA BAY - (Niemann vs. Kazmir)




Rob Vinciletti

MLB | May 11
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Total
8½ un-122 at 5DIMES > 4h.
Tuesday DOUBLE PERFECT XXX-LARGE NBA PLAY + MLB American League Blowout Game of the week. Monday Cashes 2 of 3 $$


On Tuesday the free play is on the under in the Nationals at Mets game. Rotation numbers 903/904 at 7:10 eastern. In this series 14 of the past 21 have played under the total. Tonight we note that the Nationals are hitting a paltry .212 on the road while the Mets are hitting just .215 vs lefthanders this season. In the pitching match up the Nationals have improving lefty S.Olsen. In his previous 2 starts here in New York he has been solid allowing just 4 runs in 12 innings. Over his last 3 starts he has a sterling 0.44 era with all 3 games going under. The Mets counter with J.Niese. In his home starts he has been exceptional with a 2.12 era. Over his last 3 starts he ha had some tough road assignments. However he has been real good with a 2.95 era. The Mets in fact have a solid home bullpen era at 2.24. Look for this game to play under the 8.5 runs. On Tuesday I have a Double Perfect NBA System play + Double 100% power angle AL. Blowout game of the week. In MLB Action. On Monday we cashed 2 of 3 hitting the Big dog play in Bases and splitting the NBA. Tonight jump on these 2 solid plays. For the free play take the Under tonight Nationals at Mets. RV



Jimmy Boyd

MLB | May 11
Florida Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
-109 at SPBOOK > 5h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -109
Wells is coming off his worst outing of the season, and I expect him to bounce back strong tonight against the Marlins. Here's what he had to say about his last performance. "It's terrible, unacceptable," Wells said. "I came in too cocky, too confident ... When we needed a win the most to stop the bleeding, I got lackadaisical, wasn't on top of my game." This guy is a competitor, not the type that will take this start for granted. Plus, Florida will be at a disadvantage having never seen Wells before. The Cubs are 9-3 in Wells' last 12 starts as a home favorite and a perfect 4-0 in his last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. The Marlins may have won the first game of this series, but on the season they are only scoring 3.8 runs per game on the road while hitting just .243. Meanwhile, the Cubs are scoring 5.4 runs per game at home while hitting .295. Look for Chicago to get back in the win column behind a gem by Wells.

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Tue, 05/11/10 - 7:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 901 CIN (-122) Bodog vs 902 PIT

write-up....Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Tue, 05/11/10 - 7:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 901 CIN (-122) Bodog vs 902 PIT
Analysis: One good start for Charlie Morton and now all of a sudden we want to give him respectable numbers?? I don't think so guys. Morton is still a guy that has a lot of kinks to work out, and he's still a guy that goes nowhere near pitching deep into games. Obviously that Pittsburgh bullpen is a bit of an enigma. On the one hand they've got one of the biggest ERA's in the game, but on the other hand, they're also 6-1. If they have a lead, they hold it down. So the real question is, who is going to have the lead before we get to the pens...

I€'ve gotta answer that with Johnny Cueto. It's been a rough year for him so far, but no one is doubting the guys stuff. He has amazing break on his pitches, and can be literally unhittable at times. On top of that he comes in with a 6-1 record against Pittsburgh lifetime, and a 3-1 record at PNC park. Great success against the Pirates in his career, and on top of it he's got a team that is rolling along right now having won 4 of their last 5.

We've got the team with the hotter bats, the pitcher with the best pure stuff between the two, and the pitcher with the best success against today's opponent. Look for the Reds to continue to hit, especially Joey Votto, and expect Cueto to actually pitch to his potential today. I expect 6 or 7 strong from this guy. 1.5 units on Cincinnati

[spook]

Re: 5-11-10

Nick Parsons May 11


Nick Parsons has his 8* TOTAL PUNI$HER on the UNDER 10.5 Blue Jays/Red Sox