5-17-10

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Re: 5-17-10

TIM TRUSHEL

20* Toronto Blue Jays

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Re: 5-17-10

JSM SPORTS

MLB
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 17th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[903] New York Mets |5*|-170|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[904] NYM/Atl Under 8.5 |5*|-105|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[911] Washington |5*|-150|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|8:15 pm EST
[930] Oakland |5*|-140|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST

NBA
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 17th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[501] Phoenix |8*|+6.5|B+0|TNT|9:00 pm EST

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Re: 5-17-10

DAVE COKIN

Matchup: Seattle at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) ROWLAND-SMITH, R vs. (L) GONZALEZ, G

Play: Oakland (ML -135)

The Mariners and A's open a series in Oakland tonight, with both teams struggling to find the winner's circle right now. The A's would appear to have the edge tonight to get back some positive momentum. Neither of these teams is hitting much, so this contest boils down to the pitching, and in a battle of southpaws, I like Oakland. Gio Gonzalez can still get very wild at times, but there's not much question about his stuff. If he's on, it's a long night for the feeble Mariners attack. On the flip side, it has been a gigantic struggle for Ryan Rowland-Smith. He has just one quality start all season, and more alarming is his woeful 17/13 BB/K ratio in 36 innings of work. Rowland-Smith looks like the right antidote to the Oakland offensive ailments, so I'll hope that Gonzalez is throwing strikes tonight. If he is, this is a good opportunity for the A's to coast to a victory.
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Matchup: San Francisco at San Diego
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CAIN, M vs. (L) RICHARD, C

Play: San Diego (ML +115)

The Padres were completely shut down over the weekend by the Dodgers, and now they have to contend with another tough trio of pitchers as the Giants come to town. But it's not as though there's much to complain about on the San Diego side as far as their pitching is concerned, as one starter after another keeps turning in solid starts. Clayton Richard sure likes to pitch at Petco as the lefty has moved his numbers at this locale to 5-1, 2.30. Richard's opposite number tonight is Matt Cain, who is pitching good ball but isn't getting much support. Cain has had his difficulties with the Padres, especially in this park where he's won only one of five career decisions. Remarkably, when Cain starts against the Friars, San Diego almost always wins. The Giants are a miserable 3-12 against this opponent when Cain takes the mound. The negative here is that the Giants have won three in a row while the Padres just got swept. But with San Diego having won 10 of 12 at this site in the series, I believe trying to beat the streaks is worth a play tonight, and I'm backing the Padres.

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Re: 5-17-10

JAMES PATRICK
Matchup: Phoenix at L.A. Lakers
Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Mon)

Play: Phoenix (+6.5 -110)

Suns vs. Lakers 9:00 p.m. est. (Western Conference Finals Game #1)
Phoenix is (4-1) ATS in Monday action and a solid underdog with a (5-1) ATS mark. The "Lake Show" is just (2-8-1) ATS to start the week and (5-11) ATS their past (16) home contests. The Suns are (44-16) ATS when they score (105) points or more points in a contest and we expect them to get that here in the series opener.

5* Pot of Gold #501 Phoenix Suns

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Re: 5-17-10

GREG SHAKER

MLB Money Line Mon, 05/17/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 928 TEX (-138) BetUS vs 927 ANA
Analysis: MLB: Anaheim Angels at Texas Rangers - Rangers (Kazmir/Holland)(Best Bet) -138 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 5/17/2010
Note: Not to beat a Dead Horse but I know that many of you have heard me state many times that Texas is the 2nd Best Money Team at home in the Big League's over the last 12 years. Number 1 is Colorado. Why is that? Because they are Taylormade for this hitter's venue and that is one reason why they are already 13-7 here this year. After dropping 3 straight at Toronto they return here and they are certainly happy about that. LAA showed some promise in their recent homestand but the road has not been good for this team, losing their last 8 of 10 and both offensive skills and pitching skills on the highway have not been good. They certainly have not been for Kazmi€r with an ERA near 9 in 3 starts and current form is not as well. His success verses Texas has been very good but he is just not the thrower as in recent years with low K Numbers and High BB Numbers. Scot is simply not putting the ball where he wants it. Holland if off a 7k 1BB scoreless performance and this kid has found his control and is now living to his Star Status that was heaved upon him when he signed. His AAA Numbers were simply amazing this year and almost unhittable with an ERA Under 1 Run. Texas does have the better Pen and they are back in Arlington where they can score a lot of runs. It's that Taylormade thing I was saying earlier. I would expect this line to rise so I would not wait to play it, although I could be wrong about that. My MLB Model has a Ranger win 65.2% of the time and that is well beyond this betting number.

[kar261]

Re: 5-17-10

Note: Budin is cooling off now, losing three straight games and lost 4 of his last 5 plays; still 7-5 for the month (+37.5 dimes)

Steven Budin-CEO
MONDAY'S PICKS
The New York Crew has a 25 Dime 2-Team Teaser on Los Angeles and Boston. Using the 4 points you get in a standard baskeoball tease, they advise reducing the points you're layiang with LA and adding to the points you're getting with Boston. Using the curent lines as of the release of this play at 11:30 AM Eastern, the teaser-adjuoted prices find the Lakers -2 1/2 tonight against Phoenix and the Celtics +11 1/2 tomorrow versus Orlando.

The Freehold, New Jersey Wise Guys have a play on the Detroit Tigers with Porcello over the Chicago White Sox and Garcia and they are specifying both pitchers. At this time, I see the Tigers are around a -140 to -145 favorite at most sportsbooks.

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Re: 5-17-10

JR ODonnell | NBA Total Mon, 05/17/10 - 9:00 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 501 PHO / 502 LAL Under 210.5 Sportbet
Analysis:
UNDER 210.5 GETS OUR CALL SUNS/LAKERS
We are going to play 2 fisted the Under 210.5 here tonight as the rest and preparation is a huge~ key in this NBA battle of the Big boys, We note that the sharps pounded the 212 opener down to 210.5 last week and we also know it wasn't public action, the public will not move on games one week away. The Lakers will slow down the pace against Phoenix. The Lakers have been an Under machine except for the non typical Utah Jazz series and Phil's boys have had a week to prepare for these high flying Suns. We note that the Lake show is 18-7 to the Under vs. a winning team of .600% and the extensive JR O power ratings have this game at a 202 to 203.6 range.
PLAY THE UNDER LAKERS/SUNS AS STRONG 2* WINNER

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Re: 5-17-10

The Shark
Baseball




Almost a clean sweep again yesterday
Lee pitched a beauty but his offense just could not get him any runs.

We made a profit and that's our bottom line.

So today I love so many games it's "scary".

But I will only Tell you a few

Cincinnati their pitcher was supposed to go in last night's game but instead,
he'll win today lay the -110



Phila -even without 1/2 dozen players they'll crush Pittsburgh (with kendrick) but the line is nuts so lay the 1 1/2 and - 105



Detroit is as I have been telling you is on fire so why stop now lay the -143



(other games if you are inclined to bet lots of games nyy, oak, tampa, florida) all look good to me



Now if they only had baseball pools like in football we'd be in business

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Re: 5-17-10

Joyce Sterling
10 STAR Play

LA Lakers -6 vs Phoenix

Two streaking teams meet in the Western Conference finals.
The Lakers are looking to repeat as NBA champions while the Suns haven’t been in the Finals since 1993. Both teams swept their last playoff series.

The series will be greatly impacted from long range.
The Suns are the best 3-point shooting team in the NBA.
The Lakers are the best at defending the 3-pointer.

These teams met four times in the regular season with the Lakers winning three of them.
The game they lost, Phoenix hit a dozen 3-pointers.

By the numbers, Phoenix finished 28-4 when they shoot at least 45 percent from 3-point range, while the Lakers went 12-0 when they limited opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

The Lakers have covered the spread five of their last six games.

In head-to-head matchups: the Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

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Re: 5-17-10

Boston Blackie

Kansas City +122 @ Baltimore

Arizona +136 @ Florida

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Re: 5-17-10

Tony George




NBA Totals Play of the Week


UNDER 210.5 LA / Phoenix

Lots of reasons for the under here. LA off a long layoff and Kobe not practicing. Look for Grant Hill to play some tough defense on Kobe and contain him somewhat. The Suns have went 7-1-1 ATS their last 9 road games, and are 6-1-1 as an underdog. While the Suns were lights out in scoring against Utah, that is why they are here, the Jazz played no defense, that is not the case with LA, and 2 out of the last 3 in this series have went under. I like a lower scoring game here with both teams tight, much like Sundays game. The rim will contested on bioth ends and easy short shots will not come easy.

Play 1 Unit on the Under..thanks and good luck.

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Re: 5-17-10

TheProSource




Phoenix + 6 ** TOP Play **
Not seeing why the Suns can't put a scare in the Lakers
in Gm 1. First, home playoff teams in the Conf Finals that
are coming off back-to-back SU wins are a soft 25-38 ATS.
Next, The Suns stud low post man Stoudamire has wised
up when playing the Lakers. Amare's first look will still be
to get to the rim rolling off the screens etc. Amare has also
adapted to pulling up and taking those short jumpers when
thats what LA is offering. If he hits a few of those, that will
force the Laker big men to come out from the paint, which
opens things up for savvy PG Nash to drive and dish off to
the right option. Also, Phx has a lot of depth this season.
& get their 7 footer Lopez back for this series, just in time
to battle the Lakers big inside guys. The Suns have many
solid scoring options, and a nice mix of veterans like Nash
Richardson & Grant Hill, infused with the youthful enthuSIAm
of guys like Dragic, Amundson, Frye - and a guy we like
and feel is underrated, 6-7 F Jared Dudley. HC Alvin Gentry
did something this season that the Suns have not done in
the past 5 yrs. Gentry used and developed his bench players,
and we think Phx hangs tough im Gm 1.
and
Conference Final Game 1 Host
Versus a foe off back-to-back straight up wins
= 8-13-1 ATS since 1995.
If host was a dog or a favorite of -3.5 or less last
= 7-11-1 ATS.
Priced as an underdog or a favorite of -7 or less
= 9-18-1 ATS
Also, hosts in division play are a soft 33-49 ATS, and
Play Against any team with the Lakers WL% that won on
the road as an away dog and scored 110 or more points
29-12-1 ATS, 70% L10Ys
The linemaker is predicting that Phx will score 100 pts, and
Since 1998, away teams scoring 100 or more in a Playoff
game are 175- 55-2 .
PHX 11-3 after a win by 6 or less

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Re: 5-17-10

The Shark
NBA


Here we go again.
New day-new series.
WE give you a two for one special.
The game and series for the same low price!

Bryant has been cagey about his interest in revenge on the Suns for ending the Lakers' season in the 2006 and 2007 playoffs, alternately embracing and downplaying it.
Three years can be an eternity in the here-today, gone-later-today world of pro sports, but Bryant, Lamar Odom and a few other Lakers from those teams have mentioned a passing interest in payback.

I believe the Lakers will start this one out strong and take a 1-0 lead lay the 6 1/2

and Take the Lakers in the series

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Re: 5-17-10

Tony George

MLB Monday Best Bet


Baltimore -130



Neither team good, but Davies on the road as a starter for KC is not good. 18 Earned runs on the road, a 7.15 ERA on the road, opponents batting nearly .400 against him as a starter. More of a play with KC than a play for Baltimore who has struggled in their last 10 games as well, but not near as bad as KC, who is in transition with a new manager making some bad pitching decisions late in games right now, there is some dissention on the Royals team and management as well. Bergesen, the Os starter, has went 3-0 in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.33.



Play 1 Unit on Baltimore

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Re: 5-17-10

Players MLB *10* Monday OVER in Texas on 17 May
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER the total in Texas vs Los Angeles Angels @ 8:05 PM ET – Holland vs Kazmir – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

After getting swept at Toronto, the Rangers are certainly happy to be back home in Texas where their .282 batting average in home games this season ranks 2nd among all American League teams. The Rangers are known for hitting the ball very well at the Ballpark in Arlington and they certainly should have no problem with the offerings of Scott Kazmir of the Angels. The Los Angeles southpaw has great career numbers against the Rangers but he’s simply not the same pitcher he once was. Kazmir has been unable to get on track this season and that’s why he enters this game with a 2-3 record and a 6.82 ERA on the year. The road has been particularly unkind to Kazmir so far this season as he’s compiled an 8.79 ERA with 12 walks in 14.1 innings of work. Until he gets on track he simply must be faced. Also, another concern here for the Angels is that their bullpen ERA ranks them dead last among American League teams and Kazmir is only averaging 5 innings per start so far this season!

As for the Rangers, their pitching situation looks better. However, looks can be deceiving. Even though Derek Holland gave Texas a great outing in his first start of the season, the southpaw faced an Oakland team that ranks second to last in the majors for slugging percentage. This time, in just his second start this season, Holland is facing an Angels team that is starting to turn things around. Los Angeles is coming off of a 3-game sweep of Oakland and they got their sticks going in the process as they averaged nearly 7 runs per game in the sweep! Holland is 2-2 in his career against the Angels but note the 5.26 ERA against the Halos. Also, the Rangers southpaw has a 6.58 ERA and a .313 BAA in his career outings at home – in hitter-friendly Rangers Ballpark. In his two career outings at home against the Angels, Holland has given up 11 earned runs in 8.1 innings of work. Look for more of the same here and, also note that the Rangers pitching staff got battered in Toronto over the weekend. Texas is 9-4 to the over this season when they are at home and the posted total is 9 or 9.5 runs. Also, the Rangers are 22-12 to the over on Mondays the last three seasons. Keep in mind, some teams hit better after having played an afternoon game the day before and, of course, Sunday games are nearly always day games so don’t shrug off the fact that the Rangers have a history of playing higher scoring games on Mondays. There is some substance there. Look for these two southpaws to struggle tonight! Play OVER the total in Texas as a *10* Top Play selection Monday!.....Players NBA *10* Top Play MONDAY on 17 May
Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 10* (TOP PLAY) Los Angeles Lakers (-) vs Phoenix @ 9:05 PM ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

The Lakers are 5-1 straight-up and 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against the Suns. Overall, the Lakers are 9-3 straight-up and 8-4 ATS against Phoenix in all games the last three seasons. The fact is that Los Angeles just has too much size and physical edge inside for the Suns to handle. Sure, Phoenix would like to get out and run and play “Suns basketball” but, especially on the road, that’s going to be tough to do in this series. The Lakers are good at forcing the tempo and forcing the “slow down” as their size inside helps give them match-up edges in the paint that they can use to their advantage on both ends of the floor. The extra rest certainly benefited both teams heading into this series but it particularly benefited the Lakers as there were some key injury situations that received extra benefit from the layoff. Also, the Suns style, run and gun and knocking down perimeter shots is more impacted by a layoff than the Lakers style where they rely more on physicality on both ends of the floor and that includes creating open, shorter looks at the hoop on the offensive end.

Just as we went against Orlando (a perimeter shooting team) and cashed in yesterday when the Magic were off of a layoff, we expect a similar result today. We go against a Suns team that relies heavily on fluid ball movement and knocking down outside shots, including the 3 ball, and that’s tough to do after a long layoff. The line on this game right now has been bouncing between a 6 and a 6.5 as of early Monday morning. Note that the Suns are 2-4 ATS this season, and 5-12 ATS the last three seasons, as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points. Also, when playing with 3 or more days of rest the Suns are 5-8 ATS the last three seasons. As for Los Angeles, the Lakers are 17-8 ATS the last three seasons when playing with three or more days of rest. Also, the Lakers have gone 3-0 to the over (with one push) the last four games and they are 10-1 ATS this season when they enter a game on a streak of 3 or more overs! Also, off of an upset win as an underdog at Utah in Game Four a week ago, you might expect the Lakers to struggle in their next game. However, the Lakers are 17-9 ATS the last three seasons when they are off of an upset win as an underdog. They are the better defense, have big size edges inside, and they ride their home court edge to the victory circle in game one. Play the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points as a *10* Top Play selection on Monday.



Players MLB *8* Monday OVER in Toronto on 17 May
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER the total in Toronto vs Minnesota @ 7:05 PM ET – Eveland vs Slowey – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

The Blue Jays lead the majors in home runs and in extra base hits. Though they didn’t hit the ball well Sunday, Toronto still managed to score 5 runs and they ended up averaging 9 runs per game in their three game sweep of Texas. The Twins fell short in their first two games with the Yankees this weekend but a big grand slam from Jason Kubel put them over the top Sunday although that game still stayed under the total. In fact, every game in the American League stayed under the total Sunday and that is something you won’t see very often when it’s a full card. That should help give us some line value here as Monday’s totals may get held a little lower than usual after Sunday’s results. Note that the Twins are handing the ball to Kevin Slowey Monday and he’s coming off of a rough start against the Chicago White Sox. Also, Slowey is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA in four starts against the Blue Jays. Toronto is expecting to get back Travis Snyder Monday after he missed the Jays last two games. Snyder is 4 for 5 in his career against the Twins right-hander. Slowey won’t be the only hurler getting roughed up on Monday.

The Blue Jays are sending Dana Eveland to the mound and the southpaw lost for the 2nd time in 3 starts in his most recent outing. Walks were an issue and Eveland only lasted four innings in a very rough start. The left-hander has been hit hard in four of his last five outings and he also has more walks than strikeouts on the season. Eveland is quickly finding that pitching in hitter-friendly Toronto is not near as palatable as pitching in pitcher-friendly Oakland. Eveland has a 6.43 ERA and a .318 BAA in his home starts so far this season. The Twins Slowey not only has the ugly ERA against Toronto, the Blue Jays have actually hit .370 against him in four career starts. The Twins right-hander got hit at a .309 clip last season and is already getting hit at a .304 clip this season. Look for plenty of fireworks north of the border Monday! Play OVER the total in Toronto as an *8* Regular Play