5-18-10

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Al DeMarco (RAIN-OUT FROM YESTERDAY)

5 Dime Detroit

Do you realize the Tigers have taken consecutive home series against the Red Sox (2-1), Yankees (3-1), Twins (2-1) and Angels (3-0) - all playoff teams - to improve to 14-5 on the season at home with 10 wins in their last 13 games in Motown?

One guy who loves the home cooking is Rick Porcello. At Comercia Park he's 3-0 in four starts with a 3.86 ERA. Compare that to his 0-3 record and 9.88 earned run average on the road. Ouch.

In his last start at home Porcello blanked the Yankees over seven innings, allowitng just four hits. If he could hold New York's potent attack in check, he can certainly stop Chicago's impotent line-up.

Yes, Freddie Garcia has some impressive career numbers against Detroit, but the majority of those were compiled long before his career was derailed by shoulder and arm injuries. And yes, he's won his last two starts against the Twins and Royals, but take a look at the linescores for those two games: 19 hits allowed in 13 innings. No surprise considerong he's allowed 56 baserunners in 36 innings this season.

How the Tigers aren't a -185 favorite - or higher - in this spot is a surprise to me.

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Jim Feist (RAIN-OUT FROM YESTERDAY)

15* Detroit Tigers

The White Sox look to rebound after losing two of three games to the Kansas City Royals. The White Sox are next to last in the AL Central and eight games back of the Minnesota Twins for first place. The club lacks much punch at the plate as they are dead last in the AL in batting average (.228). The team is first in stolen bases (44) but had three players thrown out on the basepaths in Sunday's loss to the Royals. The White Sox have won just six of 18 road games and now face one of the best home clubs in the AL in Detroit. The Tigers are 14-5 at Comerica Park and have won 10 of their last 13 at home. Detroit is coming off a fine home series against Boston where they took two of three games including Sunday's game, 5-1. Rick Porcello starts today for Detroit and has won two of his last three starts including a fine outing last time where he allowed just four hits over seven innings in a win against the Yankees, 2-0. I'll be taking the Tigers here on Monday and laying the price. The Tigers have been dominant at home and with the light hitting White Sox visiting, this two-game series is likely to be a sweep by the home club.

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Steven Budin (RAIN-OUT FROM YESTERDAY)

The Freehold, New Jersey Wise Guys have a play on the Detroit Tigers with Porcello over the Chicago White Sox and Garcia and they are specifying both pitchers. At this time, I see the Tigers are around a -140 to -145 favorite at most sportsbooks

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Don Wallace Sports
NBA

10* Orlando -7.5 over Boston

0-1 yesterday

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Nsa 5/18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tonight/today

20 celtics +7
20 tigers -140
20 san jose - 140

10 montreal +140
10 yanks-190
10 undwe magic/celt 189

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Ferringo MLB 05-18-10

2-Unit Play. Take #972 Tampa Bay (-1.5, -120) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Tuesday, May 18)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #970 Detroit (-135) over Chicago White Sox (1 p.m., Tuesday, May 18)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #954 Florida (-1.5, +115) over Arizona (1 p.m., Tuesday, May 18)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Philadelphia (-1.5, -150) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Tuesday, May 18)



Todays Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 Cleveland at Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Tuesday, May 18)

1.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 Arizona at Florida (1 p.m., Tuesday, May 18)

1.5-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1 p.m., Tuesday, May 18)

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

Doc's NBA 5/18 GOW

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GAME OF THE WEEK TIME!!!

Good Luck

5-Unit NBA Game of the Week #505 Take Boston +7 Over Orlando

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

DALLAS DAVE SPORTS
MLB Guaranteed Play
Florida -174

MLB Daily Package
Marlins -174
Reds -134
Blue Jays -119
Rays -250

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

ATS FINANCIAL
3 UNITS Orlando/Boston OVER 188.5

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

KELSO
10 UNITS Orlando Magic -7

[spook]

Re: 5-18-10

RANDIZZLE
MLB:Arizona @ Florida
Time:1:10 pm est *FREE PLAY*
The Pick: (10 Units)*FLORIDA/ARIZONA OVER8*
(Non-Members email now & get full NBA&MLB members packages & start enjoying the profits i make weekly:Over $19,250 made in the last 17 days. Everyday you wait to get on board-is another day you let your book off the hook.)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-18-10

Matt Fargo

10* Magic -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-18-10

bob balfe

phillies under 8 1/2 If this game is not rained out, this is a very high total for these two quality pitchers. Zack Duke has struggled this year but, in cold and sloppy weather conditions, the ball should stay inside the ball park. I do not see a lot of runs being scored on such a miserable day. Pittsburgh will be lucky if they can put up more than one run in the entire game. This total has tremendous value, being at least 1.5 runs too high. Take the Under

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-18-10

Wunderdog

NBA | May 18
Boston Celtics vs. Orlando Magic Total
189 un-110 at BODOG > 5h.

We were on the UNDER in game one and that bet was a winner by the end of the first quarter and we are on it again tonight. I expect the Magic to come out on a mission tonight. The Magic turns to defense when the games begin to get important, and are 26-9 to the UNDER after a straight-up loss and 38-12-1 to the UNDER after an ATS loss. Boston is now 8-2 to the UNDER in their last 10 Conference Finals, and eight of the last nine between these clubs have failed to reach the total. Im on the UNDER here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 5-18-10

Jeff Benton Tuesday's Winner ... 20 DIME: ORLANDO MAGIC


Magic

I’m going with the old NBA Playoff zigzag theory. Not only do I believe the Magic will show up with a much better (and complete) effort than they did in Game 1, but I expect an emotional letdown from Boston, which has to be feeling pretty good about things right now after knocking off LeBron and the Cavaliers and stealing Game 1 in Orlando.

Besides, when you look inside the boxscore of Game 1, you see that Orlando played about as poorly as a team can play through three quarters (the Magic were down by 20 points at one point in the second half and trailed 74-58 going into the fourth) and yet still only lost by four points. The Magic ended up with just one less field goal than Boston overall (33-32), one less three-pointer (6-5) and one less free throw (20-19). And Orlando actually dominated the glass (45-38 rebounding edge overall; 15-7 rebounding edge on the offensive end), had more blocked shots (8-5) and more points in the paint (44-38).

So how did the Magic lose Game 1 – their first loss since April 2 and just their fourth loss in their last 29 games? Turnovers. They committed 18 of them (the vast majority in the first three quarters). I chalk that up to two things: 1) rustiness (they had six days off between sweeping the Hawks and Game 1 against the Celtics), and 2) overconfidence (they had rolled through their first two playoff opponents, going 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS, and they had won 14 in a row overall, going 13-1 ATS). In Game 1, Orlando finally got punched in the mouth and didn’t immediately know how to react.

Well, the Magic clearly got over the rustiness in the fourth quarter Sunday, and the Celtics clearly have their attention. And the bottom line is if the Magic play with the intensity, focus and sense of purpose for 48 minutes tonight they way it did in the final 12 minutes in Game 1, this is going to be a double-digit rout.

A few things to keep in mind: Orlando is still 41-9 SU in its last 50 games, including 28-4 in its last 32 (23-8-1 ATS). The Magic are still 17-2 in their last 19 home games (13-5-1 ATS), including 11-1 in the last 12 (8-3-1 ATS). During their 41-9 run, they haven’t once had consecutive defeats, and only once in their 28-4 run have they had consecutive non-covers.

Additionally, while the Celtics have won four in a row SU and ATS, you have to go back to late November/early December for the last time Boston won five straight games (that was an 11-game winning streak). And the Celtics’ last five-game ATS winning run came early on in that 11-game winning streak (from Nov. 27-Dec. 4).

Finally, if you believe Orlando is going to win this game but you’re a little skittish about whether the Magic will do so by margin, consider this: The winner has covered the pointspread in 22 consecutive Boston games (including all 12 playoff games) and the winner is 16-1 ATS in the Magic’s last 17 games.

Lay the chalk, and look for the Magic to improve greatly on their 5-for-22 three-point shooting effort in Game 1 and roll to a 15-point win.