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The Red Sox starting pitcher is off to a very slow start this season and currently has an ERA of 7.46 for the year. Beckett has been even worse in two starts against the Yankees this season. In those two starts, Beckett is 0-1 with a 12.60 ERA. In ten innings of work against New York Beckett has allowed fourteen earned runs on seventeen hits and six walks. He has been suffering from back problems and I sure don't expect him to turn things around today against CC Sabathia and a Yankees lineup that has hit him very hard this year. The Bronx Bombers have won fourteen out of the last seventeen meetings between these two teams and I expect those winning ways to continue. Play on New York.
double-dime bet 505 BOS 7.0 (-110) Bodog vs 506 ORL
Analysis: Coming right back with the Celtics in Game 2 as the Game 1 OUTRIGHT win was no surprise...history books indicate the Host will have lingering effects from their 8 game post-season winning streak snapped...Dogs in Game 2 are 22-13 ATS on the blind adn 8-4 ATS off BB SU wins...Clubs clinching a Conf Finals ticket on the road (Round 2 win away from home) are 3-11 ATS in Game 2 as hosts and 4-10 ATS off a DD ATS loss in Game 1...Eastern Conf clubs are 4-12 ATS as Hosts in Game 2 of the Conf Finals and 1-6 off a DD ATS loss - Boston 4-1 in Round 3 vs. non-division clubs and clubs off a Dog role in Game 1 - a Fav role and a Dog role in the previous round are 10-2 ATS S'92 including 6-0 ATS dogs of 6 or more points...not to mention HF's scoring less than 90 in Game 1 are 2-7 ATS in Game 2...teams favored in their L3 games and playing Game 2 Rou~nd 3 are 2-10 ATS and 1-7 ATS off a DD ATS loss...
2-Unit Play. Take #959. Take Colorado Rockies -105 over the Chicago Cubs (Tuesday @ 8:05pm est).
The Rockies fell short in extra innings yesterday. I expect them to bounce-back behind the arm of Chacin today. The rest of your write-up to come shortly. Despite giving a season high in runs to the Nationals in his last start, Chacin still has a 2.66 era. Prior to his start against the Nats, Chacin had pitched more than 15 innings of no run ball. I look for him to have a decent bounce-back effort today as he looks to get back on the saddle against the Cubs. Tack on the fact that the Rockies look to bounce-back overall today and ita makes for a good combination. Bear in mind that Silva is pitching very well right now. Having said that, there is a reason why the Rockies are given a lot of respect in this game - its because they are expected to do well. Yes, Silva has pitched well of late but notice that he has given up 25 hits over his last three starts spanning just over 16 innings. Tack on the fact that Carlos has given up 11 runs over his last 16 innings and the fact the Cubs bullpen usually is entering earlier and earlier when he starts, I like our chances with Chacin and the Rockies today to both bounce-back.
4-Unit Play. Take #505. Take Orlando Magic -7 vs. the Boston Celtics (Tuesday @ 8:30pm est).
The Magic seemed to figure out Boston in the second half to make a stark contrast to their dreary performance in the first half of game one. I suspect that Coach Van Gundy will get through to his players that this game means everything to its ballclub. They are down 0-1 and this team cannot and should not fathom going down 0-2 as they head to Boston after this game. Despite a terrible game one, Orlando still had a chance to win it at the end which shows a lot of no-quit in this team. Remember, this team did outcore the Celtics 56-51 in the second half despite only outscoring them in the fourth quarter in the entire game. I also like the fact that 66% of the public here is riding Boston's pine as they come off the big game one upset. I think Orlando likely wins this game and covers the big number here as they even the series prior to it heading to Boston.
2-Unit Play. Take #505. Take Under 189 between the Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics (Tuesday @ 8:30pm est).
I know there are quite a few people that are on the over as well for this game but I wouldn't be surprised if this game too falls below the posted total as defense is still the staple of both of these teams. Out of the four quarters yesterday in the last ballgame, three of them were on pace for Under 188 mark. I look for this game to go Orlando and the Under this evening. The last eight of ten ballgames in this series have also gone below the posted total as well. The C's are still 8-1 to the Under when facing a team with a straight up winning record and the Under is 8-1 when the Magic face a team with a winning record
3 Unit Play. #960 Take Chicago Cubs -105 over Colorado (8:05 p.m., Tuesday May. 18)
Any other pitcher the Cubs throw out on the mound gives me doubts but one guy we can probably trust for a good outing. Carlos Silva is 4-0 with a 3.40 ERA on the season, with the Cubs going 6-1 in his seven starts. Silva has also won his last two starts and the Cubs tonight go for three straight Ws. Colorado is 8-22 in their last 30 meetings against the Cubs in Chicago
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No Normal Play today- ad naseum
his computer is very selective
a Weak play on Orlando by 9
Against the Spread Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
East Orlando Magic Boston Celtics (7.5) 9.0 53.7% Calc -->
Straight-Up Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Favorite Underdog Points For Points Against Win% SU
East Orlando Magic Boston Celtics 98.7 89.7 60.0%
Over/Under Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Better Seed Worse Seed Line Total Points Pick Pick%
East Orlando Magic Boston Celtics 187 188.4 OVER 53.6% Calc -->
Key
65%+ 3X Normal Play
62% - 65% 2X Normal Play
57% - 62% Normal Play
53% - 57% Weak Play (but playable)
< 53% No Pick
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